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March 25, 2011 – Airline Stocks Could Be Ready for Take Off

Featured Trades: (AIRLINE STOCKS COULD BE READY FOR A TAKEOFF)   3) Airline Stocks Could Be Ready for Take Off. When I was a young, clueless investment banker at Morgan Stanley 30 years ago, the head of equity sales took me aside to give me some fatherly advice. Never touch the airline industry. The profitability […]

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March 24, 2011 – Last Chance to Buy a Ticket for the Thursday, March 31 New York Strategy Luncheon

Featured Trades: (NEW YORK STRATEGY LUNCHEON)   1) Last Chance to Buy a Ticket for the Thursday, March 31 New York Strategy Luncheon. The Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update will be held at 12:00 noon on Thursday, March 31, 2011. The event will be held at an exclusive private club on Central Park […]

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March 24, 2011 – Guess Who's Buying Gold

Featured Trades: (GUESS WHO'S BUYING GOLD), (GLD), (SLV), (ABX)   2) Guess Who's Buying Gold. With gold threatening to break out to a new all-time high, and silver having already done so, some interesting facts are coming out about the precious metals market. It turns out that Iran has been a major buyer, with the […]

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March 24, 2011 – Yen Post Mortem

Featured Trades: (POST MORTEM ON THE YEN)   3) Yen Post Mortem. Since my bet that the Japanese yen would decline clearly didn’t work, I thought I would sift through some alternative theories in an attempt to understand why this trade came undone so badly. After all, every loss is a lesson, best to be […]

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March 24, 2011 – Quote of the Day

'Fund consultants like to require style boxes such as 'long-short', 'macro', or 'international equities.' At Berkshire, our only style box is 'smart', said 'Oracle of Omaha', Warren Buffet, CEO and the largest shareholder in Berkshire Hathaway.

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March 23, 2011 – Welcome to World War III

Featured Trades: (WELCOME TO WWIII) 1) Welcome to World War III. If there was ever a war that had to happen it is our new military engagement against Libya. Khadafy had made enemies with so many governments as the enfant terrible of the Middle East that putting together a coalition to depose him was a […]

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March 23, 2011 – Oil Isn't What It Used to Be

Featured Trades: (OIL ISN'T WHAT IT USED TO BE)   2) Oil Isn't What It Used to Be. Virtually every analyst has been puzzled by the seeming immunity of stock markets to soaring oil prices this year. In fact, stocks and crude have been tracking almost one to one on the upside. The charts below […]

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March 22, 2011 – Hollywood Cashes in on Wall Street's Woes

Featured Trades: (MY HOLLYWOOD ROLE) 1) Hollywood Cashes in on Wall Street's Woes. I have done many things in my life: hedge fund manager, pilot, cowboy, journalist, stock broker, mountain climber, translator, guide, etc, etc. etc. Now add technical consultant to Hollywood to the list. According to the New York Times, Simon Baker, star of […]

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March 22, 2011 – Tesla: Sell the Sizzle, Then Buy the Steak

Featured Trades: (TESLA MOTORS), (TSLA)   2) Tesla: Sell the Sizzle, Then Buy the Steak. So far, the most successful thing Tesla Motors (TSLA) has done is sell stock. The IPO was an absolute blowout success, far and away the best this year, with book building at $14-$16, the size increased by 20%, pricing at […]

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March 22, 2011 – Pssst! Have You Heard About’..?

Featured Trades: (RHODIUM), (AAUKY.PK), (PAL), (SWC)   3) Pssst! Have You Heard About’..? When I was at the New York Hard Asset Investment Conference, every hour someone would stop by my table, mention the word ‘rhodium’, and walk away. My interest piqued, I decided to look into this mysterious metal. Rhodium (Rh) is in fact […]

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March 22, 2011 – A Poolside Report from City Center

Featured Trades: (LAS VEGAS CITY CENTER)   4) A Poolside Report from City Center. I write this to you from my poolside cabana at the Aria at City Center, the newest and hottest hotel in Las Vegas, against a background of blaring rock music and helicopters buzzing overhead every five minutes. It's amazing what passes […]

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March 21, 2011 – Don’t Hold Your Breath for Residential Real Estate

Featured Trades: (RESIDENTIAL REAL ESTATE)   1) Don’t Hold Your Breath for Residential Real Estate. Every few weeks I get a warm and fuzzy feeling when I see my old house for sale in the Wall Street Journal. I’m sure you’ve seen it. It’s the 8,500 square foot, four bedroom, seven bathroom white elephant perched […]

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March 21, 2011 – The Great Ethanol Boondoggle

Featured Trades: (ETHANOL), (CORN), (SOYBEANS)   2) The Great Ethanol Boondoggle. One of my biggest disappointments with Obama so far is his continued support of the ethanol boondoggle. The program was ramped up by the Bush administration to achieve energy independence by subsidizing the production of alcohol from domestically grown corn. Add clean burning moonshine […]

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March 21, 2011 – Watch Out for Those Dinosaur Turds

Featured Trades: (DINOSAUR TURDS)   3) Watch Out for Those Dinosaur Turds. The dinosaur bone market has crunched. Once a favorite collectable of high flying hedge fund managers, the prices of everything from tyrannosaurus rex to brontosaurus fossils have skidded. A recent auction of a triceratops skeleton failed to reach its minimum bid of $1 […]

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March 21, 2011 – How US Job Losses Will End

Featured Trades: (STRUCTURAL UNEMPLOYMENT), (FXI), (EWY), (VNM), (PIN)   4) How US Job Losses Will End. I am not in the habit of regularly lifting data out of the Wall Street Journal, but even a blind squirrel occasionally finds an acorn. I was tempted by the comparative Asian wage data they published, which I just […]

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