September 15, 2011 – Buy the Dip in Corn

Featured Trades: (BUY THE DIP IN CORN), (CORN), (DBA), (JJG) 1) Buy the Dip in Corn. The US Department of Agriculture released its monthly crop report on Monday, underlining the tremendously bullish conditions for corn, which I have been harping away about in this letter for months. What did the markets do? They sold off, […]

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September 15, 2011 – Selling Oil Again for a Hedge

Featured Trades: (SELLING OIL AGAIN FOR A HEDGE), (USO) 2) Selling Oil Again for a Hedge. With oil having bounced $5.50 over the last couple of days, I am going to flip back to the short side for several reasons, not all of which have to do with Texas tea. The trigger was oil's failure […]

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September 14, 2011 – Trading Shifts to the Forex Market

Featured Trades: (TRADING SHIFTS TO THE FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET) 2) Trading Shifts to the Forex Market. Those of us who have been in the business for four decades have been overwhelmed by the growth of the foreign exchange business. Since the late sixties, it has grown from a handful of low level clerks speaking on […]

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September 14, 2011 – The Technical/Fundamental Tug of War: Who Will Win?

Featured Trades: (THE TECHNICAL/FUNDAMENTAL TUG OF WAR: WHO WILL WIN?) 3) The Technical/Fundamental Tug of War: Who Will Win? For the last few weeks, I have had two groups of analysts screaming in my ears. Fundamental researchers are asserting that at $100 per share in earnings, generating a price earnings multiple of 11.5, stocks are […]

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September 14, 2011 – What's On the Menu?

Featured Trades: (WHAT'S ON THE MENU?) (FXE), (EURO), (UUP), (GLD)   4) What's On the Menu? I am posting these charts below from a variety of sources outlining some trades that I may execute in the near future. Call it my 'short watch list'. Look at the two longer term charts for gold, which seems […]

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September 14, 2011 – Quote of the Day

‘The stupid market cliche about catching a falling knife is actually happening now. This is a falling knife. You have to look at the market as a hot air balloon. You only want to grab it as it is going up. I don’t think dollar cost averaging is the plan here,’ said Bob Iaccino at […]

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September 13, 2011 – My Take on the 2012 Presidential Election

Featured Trades: (MY TAKE ON THE 2012 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION) 1) My Take on the 2012 Presidential Election. As I write this, I am sitting at the San Francisco consulate of the People's Republic of China, awaiting the issuance of my business visa. Since I will soon be in the neighborhood, I plan to interview some […]

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September 13, 2011 – Quote of the Day

'An employer now has access to, not only cheap software, cheap automation, cheap robots, cheap labor, but cheap genius as well,' said Tom Friedman, a columnist for the New York Times.

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September 12, 2011 – Last Chance to Attend the September 16 Seattle Strategy Luncheon

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Seattle on Friday, September 16, 2011. A three course lunch will be followed by a 30 minute PowerPoint presentation and a one hour question-and-answer period. I’ll be giving you my up-to-date view on stocks, bonds, […]

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September 12, 2011 – Quote of the Day

'For the last 20 years we used to trade inside a trend. There's no trend anymore. The day to day trade right now is what is the soup du jour, what is the trade of the day,' said Scott Bauer, a floor trader on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange.

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September 9, 2011 – Why I Covered My Gold Short

Featured Trades: (WHY I COVERED MY GOLD SHORT), (GLD)   1) Why I Covered My Gold Short. I have to tell you that I was just not feeling the love from my gold short when I came into the office Wednesday morning. You would have thought that, with a double top on the charts in […]

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September 9, 2011 – Hedge Funds Ramp Up Market Shorts

Featured Trades: (HEDGE FUNDS RAMP UP MARKET SHORTS), (SPX), (SPY) 2) Hedge Funds Ramp Up Market Shorts. Hedge funds have gotten much more aggressive on the short side, as recent data show, with enviable results. According to Data Explorers, and independent research boutique, emboldened market timers and macro players increased their shorts in industrial stocks […]

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September 9, 2011 – Quote of the Day

'Nowadays, people know the price of everything and the value of nothing,' said Irish playwright, poet, and novelist, Oscar Wilde.

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September 8, 2011 – Is the Second Shoe About to Drop on the Euro?

Featured Trades: (IS THE SECOND SHOE ABOUT TO DROP ON THE EURO?), (FXE), (FXF) 1) Is the Second Shoe About to Drop on the Euro? There were two pieces of news today that enabled the Euro (FXE) to benefit from a much needed relief rally. First, the German Supreme Court ruled in favor of the […]

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September 8, 2011 – How US Job Losses Will End

Featured Trades: (HOW US JOB LOSSES WILL END), (FXI), (PIN), (EWY), (VNM) 2) How US Job Losses Will End. I was researching comparative Asian wage data the other day and was astounded with what I found. Textile workers earn $2.99 an hour in India (PIN), $1.84 in China (FXI), and $0.49 in Vietnam (VNM). This […]

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