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A Christmas Story

When I was growing up in Los Angles during the fifties, the most exciting day of the year was when my dad took me to buy a Christmas tree. With its semi desert climate, Southern California offered pine trees that were scraggly at best, and we didn’t want to chop down the view that we […]

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My Favorite Secret Economic Indicator

It is the end of the school year at the University of California at Berkeley, and the unenviable task of moving my son, a senior, out of his hovel for the holidays fell to me. When I arrived, I was stunned to find nothing less than a war zone. Both sides of every street were […]

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December 23, 2013

Global Market Comments December 23, 2013 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (THE ONE BRIGHT SPOT IN REAL ESTATE), (A SHORT HISTORY OF HEDGE FUNDS), (THE POPULATION BOMB ECHOES), (POT), (MOS), (AGU), (THANK GOODNESS I DON’T LIVE IN SWEDEN), (EWD) Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan, Inc. (POT) The Mosaic Company (MOS) Agrium Inc. (AGU) iShares MSCI Sweden (EWD)

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The One Bright Spot in Real Estate

I feel obliged to reveal one corner of this bubbling market that might actually make sense. By 2050 the population of California will soar from 37 million to 50 million, and the US from 300 million to 400 million, according to data released by the US Census Bureau and the CIA fact Book (check out […]

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A Short History of Hedge Funds

Legendary Fortune Magazine editor, Winslow Jones, created the first hedge fund out of a shabby office on Broadway in New York City in 1948, and generated monster returns over the next 20 years. He got the idea of a 20% performance bonus, now an industry standard, from ancient Phoenician sea captains who kept a fifth […]

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The ‘Population Bomb’ Echoes

Pack your portfolios with agricultural plays like Potash (POT), Mosaic (MOS), and Agrium (AGU) if Dr. Paul Ehrlich is just partially right about the impending collapse in the world’s food supply. You might even throw in long positions in wheat (WEAT), corn (CORN), soybeans (SOYB), and rice. The never dull and often controversial Stanford biology […]

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Thank Goodness I Don’t Live in Sweden!

I recently found the chart below showing world tax rates as a percentage of GDP for the past 40 years. Sweden suffers the world’s heaviest tax burden at 51%, compared to only 27% in the US. The US has among the world’s lowest tax burdens in terms of actual taxes paid, which has been falling […]

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December 20, 2013

Global Market Comments December 20, 2013 Fiat Lux SPECIAL END OF YEAR ISSUE Featured Trades: (GO LONG CHRISTMAS CHEER AND HOT BUTTERED RUM), (A SPECIAL NOTE ON EXERCISED OPTIONS)

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A Thank You from The Mad Hedge Fund Trader

You are in safe hands now, with your trading portfolios up 63% on the year, if you had followed every one of my Trade Alerts to the letter. So I am calling it quits for the year. By the time you read this, I will be well on my way to my beachfront estate at […]

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A Special Note on Exercised Options

We are now deep in the money on most of our options positions.  The Mad Hedge so, it is important that we tread carefully from here to get the full benefit. I received a few emails from readers whose call option holdings have already been exercised against them, and have asked me for advice on […]

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December 19, 2013

Global Market Comments December 19, 2013 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (MAD HEDGE FUND TRADER PROFIT HITS 63%), (SPY), (TLT), (FXY), (SFTBY), (AAPL), (XLF), (I WAS WRONG….BUT IT DIDN’T MATTER) (A DIFFERENT VIEW OF THE US) (THE STRUCTURAL BEAR CASE FOR TREASURY BONDS), (TLT), (TBT) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) CurrencyShares […]

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Mad Hedge Fund Trader Profit Hits 63%

The performance of the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Trade Alert Service is still going ballistic, reaching the heady height of 63.08% for the year. Including both open and closed trades, 24 out of the last 26 consecutive Trade Alerts have been profitable. The results so far in December are up a stunning +7.04. The three-year […]

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I was Wrong…But it Didn’t Matter

Ben Bernanke finally did the deed. He tapered his quantitative easing program, from $85 to $75 billion a month. I thought he would wait until next month for incoming Fed governor Janet Yellen to take the helm, and the responsibility. It was not to be. The good news for followers of my Trade Alert Service […]

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A Different View of the US

My mother lives in Pakistan, my daughter in Greece, and I have a ski chalet in in Peru. What’s more, I have strategy luncheons planned for Australia, Thailand, and Turkey. At least these would be my conclusions after looking at a map prepared by my esteemed former employer, The Economist magazine, of the United States, […]

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The Structural Bear Case for Treasury Bonds

If you want to delve into the case against the long term future of US Treasury bonds in all their darkness, take a look at Foreign Affairs, the establishment bimonthly journal read by academics, intelligence agencies, and politicians alike, which I am sure you all have sitting on your nightstands. In a well-researched and thought […]

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