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My Market Take for the Rest of 2014

I can’t believe how fast the year has gone by. It seems like only yesterday that I was riding the transcontinental railroad from Chicago to San Francisco, writing my 2013 All Asset Class Review. Now 2014 is at our doorstep. As usual, the market has got it all wrong. There is not going to be […]

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Doubling Up on Softbank

I have always been a big fan of buying a dollar for 30 cents. That appears to be the opportunity now presented by the Japanese software giant, Softbank (SFTBY). This gorilla of the Internet space was founded and run by my old friend, Masayoshi Son, who many refer to as a combination of the Jeff […]

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December 12, 2013

Global Market Comments December 12, 2013 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (IS THIS THE BIG TRADE OF 2014?), (GLD), (SLV), ($SSEC), (EEM), (FXI), (JJC), (DBA), (CORN), (CU), (USO), (KOL), (A CHRISTMAS DONATION FOR THE WORTHIEST OF CAUSES) SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) iShares Silver Trust (SLV) Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index ($SSEC) iShares MSCI Emerging Markets (EEM) […]

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Is This the Big Trade of 2014?

Watching the entire commodity complex collapse in unison this year was nothing less than amazing, with many ending the year down 30% or more. And I mean the broader definition of commodity. It includes the base metals like copper (JJC), (CU), agricultural products (CORN), (SOYB), (DBA), precious metals (GLD), (SLV), emerging markets (EEM), (FXI), ($SSEC), […]

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A Christmas Donation for the Worthiest of Causes

I follow a broad range of unconventional, but highly useful leading economic indicators that gives me a decisive edge when predicting the future direction of global financial markets. One of them has started flashing a warning sign. I fund an orphanage in remote Zhanjiang, in China’s southern Guangdong province, near Hainan Island called The Zhanjiang […]

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December 11, 2013

Global Market Comments December 11, 2013 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (THE BIPOLAR ECONOMY), (SAY GOODBYE TO YOUR FAVORITE TEACHER), (RAILROADS ARE BREAKING OUT ALL OVER), (UNP), (CSX), (NSC), (CP), (ACI) Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) CSX Corp. (CSX) Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) Canadian Pacific Railway Limited (CP) Arch Coal Inc. (ACI)

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The Bipolar Economy

Corporate earnings are up big! Great! Buy! No wait! The economy is going down the toilet! Sell! Buy! Sell! Buy! Sell! Help! Anyone would be forgiven for thinking that the stock market has become bipolar. There is, in fact, an explanation for this madness. According to the Commerce Department’s Bureau of Economic Analysis, the answer […]

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Say Goodbye to Your Favorite Teacher

Don’t bother taking an apple to school to give your favorite teacher, unless you want to leave it in front of a machine. The schoolteacher is about to join the sorry ranks of the service station attendant, the elevator operator, and the telephone operators whose professions have been rendered useless by technology. The next big […]

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Railroads Are Breaking Out All Over

When I rode Amtrak’s California Zephyr service from Chicago to San Francisco last year, I passed countless trains heading west hauling hoppers full of coal for shipment to China. This year I took the same trip. The coal trains were gone. Instead I saw 100 car long tanker trains transporting crude oil from North Dakota […]

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December 10, 2013

Global Market Comments December 10, 2013 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (GOTTA LOVE THAT NOVEMBER NONFARM PAYROLL), (MAD HEDGE FUND TRADER PROFIT SPURTS TO 59%), (SPY), (SFTBY), (AAPL), (TLT), (FXY) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) SoftBank Corp. (SFTBY) Apple Inc. (AAPL) iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust (FXY)

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Gotta Love That November Nonfarm Payroll

The November nonfarm payroll blew out to the upside once again, with 203,000 souls landing jobs for the month. Previous months were substantially revised up. The headline unemployment rate made a whopping great fall from 7.3% to 7.0%, the sharpest drop in years. The much feared collapse in the jobs market triggered by the October […]

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Mad Hedge Fund Trader Profit Spurts to 59%

The performance of the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Trade Alert Service is still going ballistic, reaching the heady height of 59% for the year. I know some of your saw your faith challenged when, at one point, the stock market was looking at five consecutive down days last week. The red ink all disappeared when […]

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December 9, 2013

Global Market Comments December 9, 2013 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (LESSONS FROM THE AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR), (FXA), (EWA), (HANGING OUT WITH THE WOZ), (AAPL), (TESTIMONIAL) CurrencyShares Australian Dollar Trust (FXA) iShares MSCI Australia (EWA) Apple Inc. (AAPL)

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Lessons from the Australian dollar

Last month, I shot out a Trade Alert to buy the Currency Shares Australian Dollar Trust (FXA) December, 2013 $89-$91 bull call spread that turned immediately profitable. A mere four trading days later I sold out, after the (FXA) rallied an impressive $1.2, adding 0.84% to the value of my model trading portfolio. That turned […]

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Hanging Out With the Woz

I first spoke to Steve Wozniak via HAM radio when I was 12 and he was the 14-year-old president of the Homestead High School Radio Club in Cupertino, California. With seven children, my dad was pretty stingy with allowance money. But when it came to electronic parts, I had an unlimited budget, as that is […]

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