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A Refresher Course at Short Selling School

Some asset classes are reflecting the fact that we are already in a full-blown recession, while others are not. In case I am wrong and we DO go into a recession, knowing how to sell short stocks will be a handy skill to have. It will become essential to be knowledgeable about all the different ways

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The Market Outlook for the Week Ahead, or Waiting for the Missiles to Hit

When I was in Ukraine, the air raid sirens used to go off every night exactly at 2:00 AM. The Russian goal was to deprive the civilian population of sleep and to make their lives miserable. It was also when the country was least able to defend itself. You knew the missiles were on the

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Playing the Short Side with Vertical Bear Put Debit Spreads

For me, the glass is always half full, not half empty, and it’s usually darkest just before the dawn. After all, over the past 100 years, markets have risen 80% of the time, and that includes the Great Depression. However, every now and then, conditions arise where it is prudent to sell short, or make

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They’re Not Making Americans Anymore

If demographics are destiny, then America’s future looks bleak. You see, they’re just not making Americans anymore. At least that is the sobering conclusion of the latest Economist magazine survey of the global demographic picture. I have long been a fan of demographic investing, which creates opportunities for traders to execute on what I call

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The Market Outlook for the Week Ahead, or Expensive Again

We certainly are having to work hard for our crust of bread in the stock market this year. April brought us the fastest downturn in stocks in 16 years, immediately followed by the sharpest upturn in 21 years. It's like running for a treadmill heart test, but a sadistic doctor keeps raising the angle of

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April 30 Biweekly Strategy Webinar Q&A

Below, please find subscribers’ Q&A for the April 30 Mad Hedge Fund Trader Global Strategy Webinar, broadcast from Incline Village, NV. Q: Why is the Australian dollar not moving against the US dollar as much as the other currencies? A: Australia is too closely tied to the Chinese economy (FXI), which is now weak. When

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The Seven Worst Financial Mistakes that Retirees Make

A significant proportion of my Mad Hedge subscribers are either retired or are about to do so. I have therefore gained from them a lot of valuable information about how retirees can best manage their financial resources, as well as the worst mistakes they commit, which I thought I might pass on. I have also

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The Lazy Man’s Guide to Trading

I like to start out my day by calling readers on the US east coast and Europe, asking how they like the service, are there any ways I can improve the service, and what topics would they like me to write about. After all, at 5:00 AM Pacific time, they are the only ones around.

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The Next Thing for the Fed to Buy is Gold

A huge new buyer may eventually enter the gold market. That could be a year off, maybe two, or three at the most. I’ll give you a hint who: your taxes will pay for it. If true, it could send the price of the barbarous relic soaring above $5,000, or even $50,000 an ounce, a

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The Market Outlook for the Week Ahead, or Here’s the Best Case Scenario

Last week, a concierge customer asked me an excellent question. Having correctly called the top in this market to the hour, what would it take for me to go all in on the long side and get maximum bullish? With everyone now laser-focused on downside risks, which was really a last February game, I thought

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Testimonial

Gosh darn it, you nailed it again! Trump stopped firing Powell. Banks are on fire. Netflix hit a new high. Score John Thomas 100, everyone else zero. Well done, John AND let's keep it going. You're the Savant of the time at the moment. Talk to you soon, bye. Bill Florida  

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Where’s This Market Bottom?

After Monday’s 1,200-point swoon, the S&P 500 (SPY) has fallen 20.88% from its February peak. And we may still have a “Sell in May” ahead of us. This was one of the most overbought stock markets in my career. I have to think back to the March 2000 Dotcom Top and the Tokyo bubble in

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The One Safe Place in Real Estate

I feel obliged to reveal one corner of this time of great turmoil that might actually make sense. By 2050, the population of California will soar from 40 million to 50 million, and that of the US from 340 million to 400 million, according to data released by the US Census Bureau and the CIA

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The Market Outlook for the Week Ahead, or In Search of the Lost Market Bottom

Back in 1977, I met Chinese Premier Deng Xiaoping for the first time at the Foreign Correspondents Club of Japan. He was a cherubic 4’10” and I was a lanky 6’4” and when we shook hands, he craned his neck and laughed. When he asked me my name, I answered “Shorty” and we laughed again.

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The Mad Hedge March Traders & Investors Summit Replays are Up!

Learn from 24 of the best professionals in the market with decades of experience and the track records to prove it. They are offering a smorgasbord of successful trading strategies. Every strategy and asset class will be covered, including stocks, bonds, foreign exchange, precious metals, commodities, energy, and real estate. Get the tools to build

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April 16 Biweekly Strategy Webinar Q&A

Below, please find subscribers’ Q&A for the April 16 Mad Hedge Fund Trader Global Strategy Webinar, broadcast from Incline Village, NV. Q: Is it time to get out of the (SH), which is the short S&P 500 LEAPS? A: I would say no. We're still very deep in the money for the LEAPS I put

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The IRS Letter You Should Dread

With wait times for the IRS customer support line recently having extended from one hour to five hours, I thought conditions couldn’t get any worse. I was wrong. I knew the letter from the IRS sitting in my mailbox was bad news just from the color of the paper. It was not light green, the

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Testimonial

Just a quick note of appreciation for your helping me decide to get my clients into (GLD) with a 15% allocation early this year. It sure has helped me to be more of a hero to my clients this year than a goat... Best wishes to you and yours! Keep 'em coming. Brad Bakersfield, CA.

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How to Handle the Thursday, April 17 Options Expiration

Followers of the Mad Hedge Fund Trader alert service have the good fortune to own FIVE in-the-money options positions that expire on Thursday, April 17, and I just want to explain to the newbies how to best maximize their profits. These involve the:   Risk On (COST) 4/$840-$850 call spread         10.00% (TSLA)

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The Market Outlook for the Week Ahead, or Rearranging the Deckchairs on the Titanic

Back in 1987, I flew my Cessna 340 twin from London to Rome to visit Morgan Stanley’s high-end Italian clients. Held over by meetings, I got a late start, and I didn’t get as far as the French Champagne country until midnight. Right then, at 20,000 feet, the gyroscope suddenly blew up with a great

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Testimonial

Ingenious writing John in your Monday morning strategy letter.  I forwarded it to all my family and kids, and made my 16-year old read it out loud to my wife. I made sure he understood what he was reading. I got choked up by the whole article.  Go Ukraine! Best regards, Greg Las Vegas, NV

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There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. MadHedgeFundTrader.com and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Affiliates of MadHedgeFundTrader.com may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.