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Trade Alert Service Blasts to New All Time High

Global Trading Dispatch’s Trade Alert Service posted a new all-time high yesterday, clocking a 48% return since inception. That takes the average annualized return up to 30.3%, ranking it among the top five performing hedge funds in the world. Those happy subscribers who bought my service in early May reaped an instant 35% profit following […]

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No Fed Action Disappoints QE Bulls

It’s always nice when intelligent people agree with you. That was my feeling after the Federal Reserve gave notice today that it was downgrading its forecast of US economic growth for 2012 from 2.6% to 2.15%. That is a major step down from the 3% and higher predictions they were hanging on to earlier. The […]

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A Day in the Life of the Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Diary Entry for Monday, June 18, 2012 Dear Diary, 4:30 PM Sunday- Looks like my Monday is going to start early this week. One of my Athens readers e-mailed me that New Democracy was a slam dunk to win the election and would form a right of center, pro bailout, pro Euro (FXE) coalition government. […]

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Gold is Making a Comeback

One of my best calls of the year was to plead with readers to avoid gold like the plague, periodically dipping in on the short side only. The barbarous relic has been in a bear market since it peaked at $1,922 an ounce at the end of August last year. Gold shares have fared much […]

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Greek Conservative Win Sends Shorts Fleeing

The victory of the centrist pro bailout New Democracy Party in the Sunday Greek elections sparked a furious rally in the overnight Asian markets, much of it driven by hedge fund short covering. The socialist, anti-bailout parties went down in flames. As I write this on Sunday night, the Dow futures are trading up 78 […]

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The Nationalization of the Bond Market

I was as stunned as anyone when the yield on the ten year Treasury bond (TLT), (TBT) plummeted to 1.42% two weeks ago. Predictions that long dated government paper would reach subterranean Japanese levels, considered loony as recently as a few months ago, are now donning the mantle of respectability, and even plausibility. Where will […]

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The Next China Boom

The call was scratchy and barely audible. I was instructed to not mention any names. I should only use the prearranged code words when talking about political parties. You never know when the phones in China are tapped. I was just about to get a heads up that the People’s Bank of China was going […]

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Ben Bernanke Will Say Nothing on Thursday

All eyes will be focused on Federal Reserve Chairman, Ben Bernanke, on Thursday looking for any hints that further quantitative easing is on the way. Don’t get your hopes up. I don’t expect the esteemed former Princeton professor to conveniently tip his hand. At the most he might make a reference to “keeping all options […]

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Reach for Yield With Master Limited Partnerships

The dramatic collapse in the price of oil is creating a rare opportunity to get into some of the highest yielding paper in the financial markets, master limited partnerships (MLP)’s. These are LP’s that are publicly traded on a securities exchanges. These unique and versatile instruments combine the tax benefits of a limited partnership with […]

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Apple Redux

The news out this morning that Apple (AAPL) may launch its HD television product in time for the Christmas holidays caused a nice pop in the stock this morning, so I thought I would quickly review the fundamental case behind owning the company. The story originated from rumors in China that its main manufacturer, Foxcon, […]

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Time to Buy JP Morgan

This is far and away the world’s premier banking institution. Estimates of the huge trading losses by the London “whale”, initially pegged at $2 billion, have since skyrocketed to $6 billion. I’ll ignore the Internet rumors that speculate about a $30 billion hickey. As you well know, almost everything on the net is not true, […]

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My Tactical View of the Market

The easy money has been made on the short side this year for a whole range of asset classes. While we will probably see lower lows from here, the risk/reward ratio for taking short positions in (SPX), (IWM), (FXE), (FXY), (GLD), (SLV), (USO), and (CU) are less favorable than they were two months ago. Of […]

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Why My Boeing Trade Crashed and Burned

This trade was an unmitigated disaster, and hopefully it will be the worst of the year. I’m glad we had one of these because it provides a wonderful opportunity to illustrate everything that can go on with a trade. Every loss is a learning opportunity, and a loss not learned from is an opportunity wasted, […]

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Charts Are Breaking Down All Over

They say a picture is worth a 1,000 words, so here are 4,000 words worth. My friends at www.stockcharts.com put together this series of charts establishing beyond any reasonable doubt that the “RISK ON” trade is breaking down across all asset classes. Everything is breaking down, simultaneously and in unison, including the S&P 500 (SPX), […]

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The Energy Revolution on Our Doorstep

A major plank in my golden age scenario for the 2020’s is the collapse of the cost of energy. This won’t occur because of a single big discovery, but from a 1,000 small ones that aggregate together to create a leveraged effect. The upshot is that we may be free of OPEC in 3-5 years, […]

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