Tag Archives | homefeature

Here Comes the Next Peace Dividend

When communications between intelligence agencies suddenly spike, as has recently been the case, I sit up and take note. Hey, do you think I talk to all of those generals because I like their snappy uniforms, do you? The word is that the despotic, authoritarian regime in Syria is on the verge of collapse, and […]

Read full story Comments are closed

Earnings are Slowing as the Market is Peaking

Just as portfolio managers are buying shares because the stock market is going up, the fundamental argument behind higher equity prices is starting to erode. As the totals are coming into focus for the Q4 earnings period, disappointment is becoming the order of the day. Of the 291 S&P 500 companies that have reported so […]

Read full story Comments are closed

Rumblings in Tokyo

I spent ten years of my life tramping in and out of Japan’s Ministry of Finance headquarters in Tokyo’s Kasumigaseki district. It was a dreadful reinforced steel and concrete affair with a dull grey tile siding that was so solidly built that it was one of the few structures in the city to survive WWII. […]

Read full story Comments are closed

Time to Short the Yen Again

The Japanese yen has been flat lining since the tsunami struck in March of last year and was quickly followed by the nuclear meltdown and an economic collapse. In the meantime, the country’s long term structural problems have gotten steadily worse. Last week, the yen was driven back to the very top of the range […]

Read full story Comments are closed

Global Trading Dispatch Scores Two Day 75% Gain

Finally, all that driving down dusty, bumpy, washboard dirt roads in the Barnet Shale in Texas paid off. The thing about a great trade is that when it works, new reasons to justify it that you never thought of suddenly come out of the woodwork. That is exactly what happened with my decision to sell […]

Read full story Comments are closed

Time to Short Natural Gas Again

Long term readers are well aware of my antipathy towards natural gas, which has been in your worst nightmare of a bear market for the past three years. Well, the simple molecule finally got some good news last week. First, major producer, Chesapeake Energy (CHK) announced that it was cutting its natural gas production by […]

Read full story Comments are closed

Will Facebook Mark the Market Top?

The street is chattering today over the prospect of an enormous payday with the imminent IPO for the social media company, Facebook. Price talk is valuing the company as high as $100 billion, making it the largest such floatation in history. Could the mega deal spell the end of the current bull market? Look at […]

Read full story Comments are closed

Is This the Chink in Japan’s Armor?

“Oh, how I despise the yen, let me count the ways.” I’m sure Shakespeare would have come up with a line of iambic pentameter similar to this if he were a foreign exchange trader. I firmly believe that a short position in the yen should be at the core of any hedged portfolio for the […]

Read full story Comments are closed

Apple’s Next Stop: $1,000!

Newspapers, TV, radio, and the Internet all carried the same headline in San Francisco today: “Apple Now World’s Largest Company.” That was the response to the company’s Q4 earnings of $13 billion announced yesterday that drove its market capitalization skyward to $415 billion, surpassing ExxonMobile’s (XOM) once again. What is even more amazing is that […]

Read full story Comments are closed

Goodbye Steve Jobs, Hello Dividend?

Analysts continue to be stunned by the rate at which cash is rolling into Apple (AAPL). At current cash flows, the company’s hoard is expected to grow from $96.7 billion to $130 billion by next June, an increase of nearly $220 million a day! So far, the company has resisted every entreaty to part with […]

Read full story Comments are closed

The Benefit of the Doubt Market

It is already January 24, and the S&P 500 has seen a grand total of two down days so far in 2012. Are we on the eve of one of the great bull markets of all time? Is it off to the races once again? I follow dozens of fundamental and trading research services and […]

Read full story Comments are closed

The Resurrection of Peak Oil

It has been a long wait for ‘peak oilers,’ whose passionate belief is that the world will run out of oil in coming years, sending prices through the roof. This splinter religion came into being in 1956 when M. King Hubbert produced some simple supply/demand charts showing that US reserves of Texas tea would dry […]

Read full story Comments are closed

Watch International Savings Rates for Market Cues

Often while searching for a piece of data through Google, I stumble across something else which is far more interesting. That is how I found the table below of international savings rates. Why should you care? Because countries with high savings rates tend to have strong economies and great stock markets, since there is plenty […]

Read full story Comments are closed

Why Water Will Soon Become More Valuable Than Oil

If you think that the upcoming energy shortage is going to be bad, it will pale in comparison to the next water crisis. So investment in fresh water infrastructure is going to be a great recurring long term investment theme. One theory about the endless wars in the Middle East since 1918 is that they […]

Read full story Comments are closed

Who Expensive Oil Hurts the Most

Every time the price of oil spikes, we learn vast amounts of information about the global reach of this indispensable commodity. It’s like taking a non-core elective in geology at college. So I was fascinated when I found the chart of relative sector winners and losers below. No surprise that energy does best from sky […]

Read full story Comments are closed