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Throwing in the Towel on the (TBT)

I am throwing in the towel on the (TBT) ETF, my 200% leveraged bet that Treasury bonds will fall. I am doing this partly to clear out the dogs from my portfolio so I can start the New Year with a 100% cash position. But I am also bailing because the short term fundamentals point […]

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Where’s the Money?

That is the question that was asked repeatedly by members of congress to the former senior management of the late MF Global. The response was a few feeble shrugs and I don’t knows. CNBC has been running ridiculous contests like “Where is John Corzine?”, and “What does John Corzine want for Christmas?” The reporting on […]

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Jobless Claims Give More Fodder to the Bulls

No, the important economic event of the week was not the snail like progress towards solution of the European debt debacle. It was the weekly jobless claims announced on Thursday that plunged 23,000 to 381,000, a six month low. That puts it well below the 400,000 level where the economy is generally thought to be […]

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Market Gives Thumbs Up on European Plan

Having the flu during the holidays is the pits. This weekend, I blew my nose at the Cirque du Soliel so loudly that is perilously distracted some of the high wire acrobats. I coughed and hacked my way through the San Francisco Ballet’s Nutcracker Suite. Even the eggnog is utterly tasteless, no matter how much […]

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Trimming Down the Book for Year-end

Given the failure of the “RISK OFF” trade to develop any serious downside momentum this week, I am using the dip this morning to take a small profit on my S&P 500 ETF (SPY) puts. We had every reason to go down, given the Standard and Poor’s threatened European debt downgrade on Monday night. If […]

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Hedge Funds Circling Over the European Wreckage

Have you ever wanted to spend your summers basking in the sunlight at your mountain top Tuscan villa, surveying the manicured vineyards which produce your own estate bottled wine? Are you drawn by the cachet of claiming George Clooney as a celebrity neighbor on the model strewn shores of Lake Como? How about a luxury […]

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Why I’m Pulling the Plug On My Euro Shorts

I am pulling the plug on my short position in the Euro here, selling my Euro ETF (FXE) January, 2012 $134 puts at cost. It’s not that I have suddenly fallen in love with the beer drinkers and the garlic eaters. This is an option driven decision. With market volatility falling across all asset classes, […]

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Trade Alert – (FXE) December 6, 2011

As a potentially profitable opportunity presents itself, John will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what should be bought, when to buy it, and at what price. This is your chance to ‘look over’ John Thomas’ shoulder as he gives you unparalleled insight on major world financial trends BEFORE they happen.

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There is a Method to My Madness

Take a look at the charts below, and you will see what prompted me to knock out some shorts on the S&P 500 (SPY) on Friday. The longer the current trading range in the index works, the more traders pile into it, confining it to an ever narrowing range. I am even hearing that fundamental […]

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Europe Whispers the Magic Words

I heard the magic words today from German chancellor Angela Merkel and French president Nicolas Sarkozy: “treaty changes”. That will be the gist of their joint proposal at the European summit this coming Friday to deal with the sovereign debt crisis. To me, this means that the two besieged leaders are finally biting the bullet […]

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November Unemployment Plunges to 8.6%

The November nonfarm payroll came in at 120,000, better than the consensus. The unemployment rate plunged an eye popping 0.5% to 8.6%, the lowest level in 32 months and one of the sharpest contractions on record. Some 140,000 private jobs were added, bringing the 32 month total to an even 3 million, an impressive feat […]

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Hedge Funds: The New Dumb Money

Much of the fury in yesterday’s nearly 500 point “melt up” in the Dow was generated by hedge funds panicking to cover shorts. Convinced of the imminent collapse of Europe, the impotence of governments, and the death spiral in sovereign bonds, many managers were running a maximum short position at the Monday opening, and for […]

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Central Bank Bazooka Sends Markets Flying

The world’s major central banks launched a coordinated attempt to restore liquidity to the financial markets today, sending risk assets everywhere flying. The group moved to substantially lower interbank dollar swap rates, from 100 to 50 basis points. These swaps involve Federal Reserve dollar deposits with the European Central Bank and offsetting ECB Euro deposits […]

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China’s Rate Cut is a Game Changer

For the first time in three years, China (FXI) has cut its prime lending rate by 50 basis points. The timing caught many analysts by surprise, as such move was not expected until the lunar new year in early February. Perhaps recent data showing collapsing exports prompted the Mandarins in Beijing to hurriedly move up […]

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Watch out for the New “RISK ON” ETN (ONN)

Mark Fisher of MBF Asset Management and Dennis Gartman of the eponymous Gartman Letter joined forces today to launch a new exchange traded note, or ETN, that promises to capture the “RISK ON” trade. The instrument is designed as an improvement over the old Volatility Index ETF where traders attempted to capture short term market […]

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