• support@madhedgefundtrader.com
  • Member Login
Mad Hedge Fund Trader
  • Home
  • About
  • Store
  • Luncheons
  • Testimonials
  • Contact Us
  • Click to open the search input field Click to open the search input field Search
  • Menu Menu

Trade Alert - (TLT) November 15, 2016

Trade Alert

When a potentially profitable opportunity presents itself, John will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to buy, when to buy it, and at what price. This is your chance to ?look over? John Thomas? shoulder as he gives you unparalleled insight on major world financial trends BEFORE they happen.

Alert

?

Trade Alert - (TLT)- Buy

Buy the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) December, 2016 $127-$130 in-the-money vertical bear put spread at $2.65 or best

Opening Trade

11-15-2016

Expiration Date: December 16, 2016

Portfolio Weighting: Increase from 10% to 20%

Number of Contracts = 38 contracts

I am going to use this two-point rally off the bottom in the (TLT) to DOUBLE UP my short position in the Treasury bond market.

Don?t pay more than $2.70 for this spread or you?ll be guilty of chasing.

If you can?t trade options, buy the ProShares UltraShort 20+ Treasury (TBT) for the medium term view. Potentially it could double over the next four years.

This is a bet that the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) will not close above $127 by the December 16th expiration in 23 trading days.

That works out to a yield on the 10-year Treasury bond of 2.00%, versus the current 2.22%.

I?m sorry, but I just don?t see a 25 basis point dip in yields going into three interest rates hikes by the Federal Reserve that start in December, and a possible tripling in bond yields over the next four years.

One outcome of the presidential election is that I expect yields on the ten-year Treasury to rise to as high as 6.0% within four years, taking the (TLT) down $50 to as low as $70.

Low risk, high return, I love it!

Open your online trading platform please.

To see how to enter this trade in your online platform, please look at the order ticket below, which I pulled off of OptionsHouse.

If you are uncertain about how to execute this options spread, please watch my training video ?How to Execute a Vertical Bear Put Spread?

The best execution can be had by placing your bid for the entire spread in the middle market and waiting for the market to come to you. The difference between the bid and the offer on these deep in-the-money spread trades can be enormous.

Don?t execute the legs individually or you will end up losing much of your profit. Spread pricing can be very volatile on expiration months farther out.

Please keep in mind these are ballpark prices at best. After the text alerts go out, prices can be all over the map. There is no telling how much the market will have moved by the time you get this email.

Paid subscribers, be sure you've signed up for our FREE text alert service. When seconds count, this feature offers a trading advantage.? In today's volatile markets, individual investors need every advantage they can get.


Here Are the Specific Trades You Need to Execute This Position:

Buy 38 December, 2016 (TLT) $130 puts at????.???$8.00

Sell short 38 December, 2016 (TLT) $127 puts at..????.$5.35
Net Cost:????????????????..??.?.....$2.65

Potential Profit: $3.00 - $2.65 = $0.35

(38 X 100 X $0.35) = $1,330 or 13.21% in 23 trading days.?

tlt

tlt-11-15-16

fat+lady+singsThe Fat Lady is Singing for the Bond Market

Share this entry
  • Share on Facebook
  • Share on X
  • Share on WhatsApp
  • Share on Pinterest
  • Share on LinkedIn
  • Share by Mail
https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/10/slider-05-trader-alert.jpg 316 600 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2016-11-15 14:01:462016-11-15 14:01:46Trade Alert - (TLT) November 15, 2016

tastytrade, Inc. (“tastytrade”) has entered into a Marketing Agreement with Mad Hedge Fund Trader (“Marketing Agent”) whereby tastytrade pays compensation to Marketing Agent to recommend tastytrade’s brokerage services. The existence of this Marketing Agreement should not be deemed as an endorsement or recommendation of Marketing Agent by tastytrade and/or any of its affiliated companies. Neither tastytrade nor any of its affiliated companies is responsible for the privacy practices of Marketing Agent or this website. tastytrade does not warrant the accuracy or content of the products or services offered by Marketing Agent or this website. Marketing Agent is independent and is not an affiliate of tastytrade. 

Legal Disclaimer

There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. MadHedgeFundTrader.com and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Affiliates of MadHedgeFundTrader.com may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.

Copyright © 2025. Mad Hedge Fund Trader. All Rights Reserved. support@madhedgefundtrader.com
  • Privacy Policy
  • Disclaimer
  • FAQ
Link to: November 15, 2016 - MDT Alert (CERN) Link to: November 15, 2016 - MDT Alert (CERN) November 15, 2016 - MDT Alert (CERN) Link to: The Fat Lady is Singing for the Bond Market Link to: The Fat Lady is Singing for the Bond Market The Fat Lady is Singing for the Bond Market
Scroll to top