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Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Issuance Constraints Elevate Ether

Bitcoin Letter

We are at the point where sure Bitcoin will go higher and I fully expect it to be close to $100,000 next year, but Ether will outgain Bitcoin by percentage points.

And it’s no shocker that Ethereum (ETH) has already climbed above $4,000 for the 3rd time this year.

Talk about a 2-foot putt.

In the last five months, the supply of ETH has shrunk meaningfully from 22 million tokens to 18 million today.

Dwindling supply intersected with higher demand means higher prices no matter what asset you’re talking about.

The tape shows that retail and institutional money piling into ETH in the last few months means fewer sellers looking for short-term smash and grab type of profits.

I do believe this is a legitimate reason why we are seeing the volatility of crypto settling down the last month as nobody is willing to take profits when they know more profits are on the table for next year.

In total, the Ethereum network has seen its first consecutive week of negative supply issuance as frothy markets drive persistently high transaction fees.

The London upgrade introduced a burn mechanism into Ethereum’s fee market in early August, meaning a small quantity of Ether (ETH) has since been destroyed with every transaction executed on the network.

The Ethereum London Hard Fork upgrade is a set of five improvement proposals.

Unlike Bitcoin, there is no limit to mining Ether coins, which makes it an inflationary cryptocurrency which is why development understood installing a deflationary mechanism would do wonders for the price of ETH.  

Miners are paid new coins for validating each block of information. They are compensated with transaction fees that are paid by users.

One of the biggest benefits of the London upgrade is that it has enabled the Ethereum network to handle a higher transaction load per second. It will help with scalability and tackle the high transaction fees — one of the biggest complaints of small investors or those who make frequent transactions.

Since the London upgrade, more than 724,400 ETH worth $3.1 billion has been permanently destroyed.

Truth be told, ETH has not experienced lower transaction fees, or gas price.

Yet, the upgrade has not increased gas prices but has made them more predictable and stable.

This has led to a smoother network overall during peak hours.

Transaction volumes are 400% higher since the same period last year and Ethereum needs to handle the higher workload to legitimize itself into a solid cryptocurrency.

The inability to function properly as a network could cause a massive sell-off that would spill into more mature Bitcoin.

ETH simply won’t be attractive relative to other crypto if they can’t put a lid on transaction costs.

The reason equities are so attractive is not only because they are fully insured by the federal government, but because liquidity and costs are minimal.

Thwarting this underlying issue of a bloated supply, six times larger than Bitcoin's, should act as a major catalyst in awakening the price action of ETH and that’s what we are currently seeing.

In total, there's been a 57% reduction in cumulative ETH issuance to date and it’s hard for me to envision a scenario in which ETH is not over $8,000 per unit next year.

Generally speaking, after the transition to proof of stake, the supply of ETH will decline 2% annually.

The scarcity value that will hit next year will easily cause the asset to double quickly.

I predict a rapid run-up in ETH prices leading up to the December debt ceiling triggering new all-time highs in BTC and ETH.

Jump on the bandwagon while it’s still rolling!

 

 

 

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/ETH-CHART.png 744 1420 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2021-11-02 15:02:272021-11-02 15:38:34Issuance Constraints Elevate Ether
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Quote of the Day - November 2, 2021

Bitcoin Letter

“Whereas most technologies tend to automate workers on the periphery doing menial tasks, blockchains automate away the center. Instead of putting the taxi driver out of a job, blockchain puts Uber out of a job and lets the taxi drivers work with the customer directly.” – Said Co-Founder of Ethereum Vitalik Buterin

 

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/09/vitalik.png 494 378 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2021-11-02 15:00:222021-11-02 15:36:58Quote of the Day - November 2, 2021
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

October 28, 2021

Bitcoin Letter

Mad Hedge Bitcoin Letter
October 28, 2021
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(SHIBA INU COIN)
(BTC), (SHIB), (ETH), (DOGE)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2021-10-28 14:04:182021-10-28 15:29:41October 28, 2021
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Quote of the Day - October 28, 2021

Bitcoin Letter

“It’s money 2.0, a huge, huge, huge deal.” – Said Canadian Venture Capitalist Chamath Palihapitiya

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/10/chamath-palihapitiya.png 328 294 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2021-10-28 14:00:072021-10-28 15:31:12Quote of the Day - October 28, 2021
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

October 26, 2021

Bitcoin Letter

Mad Hedge Bitcoin Letter
October 26, 2021
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(GLOBAL PENSION FUNDS NEXT IN LINE)
(BTC), (KTCU)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2021-10-26 15:04:272021-10-26 15:12:00October 26, 2021
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Quote of the Day - October 26, 2021

Bitcoin Letter

“Quantitative easing is universal basic income for rich people.” – Said Portfolio Manager Travis Kling

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/10/Travis-King.png 516 500 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2021-10-26 13:00:362021-10-26 15:10:52Quote of the Day - October 26, 2021
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

October 21, 2021

Bitcoin Letter

Mad Hedge Bitcoin Letter
October 21, 2021
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(HIGH INFLATION IS A GIFT TO CRYPTO)
(BTC)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2021-10-21 13:04:332021-10-21 18:40:42October 21, 2021
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Quote of the Day - October 21, 2021

Bitcoin Letter

“Bitcoin will be a great hedge.” – Said American Hedge Fund Billionaire Paul Tudor Jones

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/10/paul-tudor-jones.png 564 306 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2021-10-21 13:00:402021-10-21 18:35:42Quote of the Day - October 21, 2021
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

October 19, 2021

Bitcoin Letter

Mad Hedge Bitcoin Letter
October 19, 2021
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(A MAJOR CATALYST FOR HIGHER BITCOIN PRICES)
(BITO)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2021-10-19 13:04:482021-10-19 15:07:28October 19, 2021
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

A Major Catalyst for Higher Bitcoin Prices

Bitcoin Letter

(BITO) — remember that ticker symbol — it’s the first Bitcoin ETF listed in the U.S.

After a nearly decade-long campaign to get crypto onto a legitimate exchange — the wait is finally over.

The desire for an ETF specifically began in 2013, and in the eight years since, nervous traders have watched the Securities and Exchange Commission reject numerous applications.

“2021 will be remembered for this milestone,” says ProShares CEO Michael Sapir. For investors still on the fence about dabbling in the unregulated cryptocurrency market, he adds that his company is giving them “convenient access to Bitcoin in a wrapper that has market integrity.”

Bitcoin hit a six-month high and was within striking distance of its all-time peak giving a thumbs up to a new U.S. ETF that started trading today.

Bitcoin has risen by some 40% which could see billions of dollars managed by pension funds and other large investors flow into the sector.

ETFs are securities that track an asset and can be bought or sold on a stock exchange.

Many institutions are banned or not authorized from buying assets that aren’t insured and assets on crypto exchanges like Binance and Kraken aren’t insured by the federal government.

This definitely makes it a whole lot simpler to just open a vanilla E-trade account and pour money into a Bitcoin ETF, then ta-da, you own part of the Bitcoin story.

Not only will this benefit institutions, but retail traders will be able to sleep well at night if they decide to pull the trigger on this ETF, also the ease of buying is up there as another major bonus.

Just be aware that this fund will not invest directly in Bitcoin, rather in Chicago-traded futures, and so there won’t be a 1:1 correlation of the market price.

In general, this fortifies sentiment around any cryptocurrency asset giving a signal that adoption rates are exploding, and the future in-flow pipeline is robust.  

So we have seen a rising tide lift all boats with other currencies doing well in the short-term like Ethereum.

Crypto ETFs have launched this year in Canada and Europe amid surging interest in digital assets. VanEck and Valkyrie are among fund managers pursuing U.S.-listed ETF products, although Invesco on Monday dropped its plans for a futures-based ETF.

Just take for instance Invesco QQQ ETF — which offered diversification among the top tech names at a time when investors already had the ability to invest in tech stocks.

It saw inflows of $36 billion in the ETF's first year.

I expect the same type of fund flow into this Bitcoin ETF.

From a regulatory perspective, this offers more clarity from the SEC that they are willing to accommodate Bitcoin ETFs that are tied to the Bitcoin futures.

SEC Chairman Gary Gensler recently reiterated that the crypto sector needs to be more heavily policed, and I believe this is all bark and no bite with many politicians and elites already fully invested in crypto assets.

I believe Gensler will continue to tell us how important it is to regulate the industry, but I doubt he wants to be the one that kills the golden goose that lays the golden eggs.

In other words, it’s too big to kill at this point as we surge past the $1.2 trillion market cap for all crypto assets.

Just another funny fact, Gensler once taught a class at MIT’s Sloan School of Management called “Blockchain and Money.”

We could even guestimate that Gensler is highly supportive of Bitcoin on a personal level.

Another side note, Grayscale, the world's largest digital currency manager, is planning to convert its Grayscale Bitcoin Trust into a spot bitcoin ETF, and that application was filed this morning.

If one thought this was the first and last Bitcoin ETF product to grave the public markets, let me tell you, when it rains — it pours.

All these companies understand first-mover advantage is vital.

Look at today and Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ), the de-facto Nasdaq ETF is still one of the leaders of the tech trade.

Many involved understand, there is a big difference from becoming the 2nd Bitcoin compared to the 50th Bitcoin ETF and a race against time is happening as we speak to get products into the bloodstream.

As for investors, we just pick the winner and the first one is ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO).

 

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/10/btcusd-oct19-1.png 530 936 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2021-10-19 13:02:362021-10-19 15:07:49A Major Catalyst for Higher Bitcoin Prices
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