Mad Hedge Hot Tips for April 9, 2019

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
April 9, 2019
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

 

1) Apple Tops $200. Looks like the market is finally buying the services story. Stand aside for the short term. It’s had a great run, up 42% from the December low. I’m waiting for 5G until I buy my next iPhone, probably next year. Click here.

2) Trump Threatens $11 Billion Worth of European Trade, and the market hates it, down 200 points. Out of the frying pan and into the fire for traders? Endless trade wars aren’t good for investors. As for me, I buy all American, with three Tesla’s. Click here.

3) American Airlines Cuts Forecast, and the stock dives 3%, over missing airplanes. The Boeing saga is not over. Click here.

4) Bank of America Raises Minimum Wage to $20, by 2021. If you are a minimum wage employer your life is about to become very difficult. Avoid fast food companies like (MCD). Click here.

5) Q1 Earnings Season Starts on Friday, with the big banks taking the lead. Now it’s all about wait and see. Click here.

 

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

(ABBVIE’S BATTLE FOR ARTHRITIS DOMINANCE),

(USING MOMENTUM STOCKS TO CALL THE MARKET),

(MTUM)

(THE LEGACY TECH COMPANY THAT IS WORTH BUYING NOW)

(ADBE), (MSFT), (CRM), (AAPL)

 

 

 

 

 

Mad Hedge Hot Tips for April 8, 2019

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
April 8, 2019
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

 

1) Pinterest Launches a Down Round. With an IPO target of $9 billion compared to $12 billion in their last venture capital valuation, the IPO market is deflating very quickly. The weak (LYFT) post-market trading is the cautionary tale. Click here.

2) Boeing Shares Slammed, down 5%, on latest production cutback. Crash disruption may now extend to 6-9 months, and earnings cut 13%. We might get a second bite of the apple. Buy (BA) on the next order cancelation. Click here.

3) GE Gets Slaughtered, with an earnings downgrade from Morgan Stanley. It will take years to sort out this mess. Avoid (GE). Click here.

4) Copper Demand is Rocketing, off of soaring global electric car production. Each vehicle needs 22 pounds of the red metal, and 4 million have been built so far. Take a second bite of the apple with (FCX) as well. Click here.

5) The 30-Year Mortgage Plunges to 4.03%, and may save the spring selling season for residential real estate. Click here.
 

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

(MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THE WEEK AHEAD, OR THE FLIP-FLOPPING MARKET),

(SPY), (TLT), (TSLA), (BA), (LUV), (DAL),

(THE BATTLE FOR COFFEE IN CHINA),

(SBUX), (MSFT), (AAPL), (IBM)

 

 

 

Mad Hedge Hot Tips for April 5, 2019

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
April 5, 2019
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

 

1) Trump Makes Another Political Appointment to the Fed. This is becoming the most predictable Fed in history, ultra-dovish all the time with the appointment of former presidential candidate Herman Cain. The groundwork for the next financial crisis is being laid. Click here.

2) The Most Expensive Divorce in History, has Amazon founder Jeff Bezos giving up $36 billion worth of stock to his ex-wife. However, shareholders can rest easy as he retains 100% of the voting stock. Buy (AMZN) on the dip. Click here.

3) Tesla’s Junk Bonds Get Slammed, with yields soaring to 8.37% on disappointing Q1 deliveries. Could be the ideal entry point for starved fixed income yield players. Click here.

4) Samsung Reports 60% Profit Slide, off the back of collapsing semiconductor demand. Click here.

5) China Weakness is Pulling Japan Down Too. More proof that trade wars have unintended consequences. Click here.

 
Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

(APRIL 3 BIWEEKLY STRATEGY WEBINAR Q&A),

(SPY), (VIX), (TSLA), (BA), (FXB), (AMZN), (IWM), (EWU)

 

 

Mad Hedge Hot Tips for April 4, 2019

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
April 4, 2019
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

 

1) Verizon Beats the World With 5G Roll Out. It’s really all about bragging rights, available only in Chicago and Minneapolis, and it will take time for 5G phones to get to the store. 5G iPhones are not expected until 2020. Click here.

2) Tesla Disappoints, and the stock dives $30. Q1 deliveries came in at only 63,000 as I expected, compared to 90,700 in Q4, down 30.5%. I knew it would be a bad number but got squeezed out of my short the day before for a small loss. That’s show business. It’s all about damping the volatility of profits. Click here.

3) Weekly Jobless Claims Drop to New 49-Year Low. Whatever the problems the economy has, it’s not with job creation. But at what cost. Click here.

4) Greenmailer Carl Icahn Unloaded LYFT, a huge 2.7% stake in the company right before the IPO. Does he know something we don’t? Don’t get in the way of a smart man. Click here.

5) Boeing Successfully Tests New Software. Maybe it will work this time. Airlines will love it. Buy (BA), (DAL), and (LUV). Click here.
 
Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

(TEN REASONS WHY STOCKS CAN’T SELL OFF BIG TIME),

(SPY)

(SCAM OF THE MONTH CLUB)

(A LEGACY TECH COMPANY YOU HAVE TO BUY)

(ADSK)

Mad Hedge Hot Tips for April 3, 2019

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
April 3, 2019
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

 

1) See You at the Skybridge SALT Conference in Las Vegas, May 7-10, the Woodstock of alternative asset investors. Learn what the hedge funds are planning next, and it’s a blast. Meet former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley, AOL Founder Steve Case, Carlyle Group co-founder David Rubenstein, and hyper entrepreneur Mark Cuban. Click here.

2) Oil Prices are Going Ballistic, up four days in a row, topping $62 a barrel. OPEC has developed a new short squeeze. It’s going to be hitting the local pump soon, just as the peak driving season is approaching. Click here.

 3) US Auto Sales Were Terrible in Q1, the worst quarter in a decade. General Motors (GM) suffered a 7% decline with Silverado pickups off 16% and Suburban SUVs plunging 25%. Is this a prelude to the Q1 GDP number? Risk is rising. Click here.

4) Trump Called Fed Governor on the March Stock Dip. Is this micromanaging, or what? Talk about a free put on the market. Risk on! Click here.

5) Semiconductor Index Hits New All-Time High. Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), a Mad Hedge favorite, soars 9%. It’s the future, so why not? Buy dips. Click here.
  

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:


(WHO WILL BE THE NEXT FANG?)

(FB), (AMZN), (NFLX), (GOOGL), (AAPL),

(BABA), (TSLA), (WMT), (MSFT),

(IBM), (VZ), (T), (CMCSA), (TWX),

(YOUTUBE’S BIG MOVE INTO INDIA)

(GOOGL), (NFLX), (AMZN)

 

Mad Hedge Hot Tips for April 2, 2019

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
April 2, 2019
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

 

1) Bitcoin Soars 20% in One Day, to a new one-year high, and algos are to blame. Is this a “fat finger” trade or is there a real end buyer and why? It’s the mystery of the day. Click here.

2) Lyft Craters on Second Day. I guess billion dollar losing companies are not worth so much after all. Avoid (LYFT). Click here.

3) Brexit Vote Fails for the Fourth Time. Prime Minister Theresa May’s career is probably limited to the digits on two hands. Avoid Europe until this is settled. Click here.

4) Tesla Q1 Sales Are Out Today. The consensus is for 64,400 Tesla 3’s, but the numbers are all over the map. Hold your breath. Click here.

5) Boeing Says It Needs More Time, to fix 737 Max software. I took profits yesterday and clocked a nice 13% profit in ten days. On to the next trade. Buy (BA) on the next big dip. Click here.
 
Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

(WHAT’S REALLY BEHIND THE BRISTOL MYERS/CELGENE MERGER),

(BMY), (CELG),

(ON EXECUTING MY TRADE ALERTS),

(HOW TO GET CONTROL OF YOUR LIFE)

(GOOGL), (FB), (LYFT)

 

Mad Hedge Hot Tips for April 1, 2019

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
April 1, 2019
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

 

1) China Rumors Lift Markets. Is this the upside breakout we’ve been looking for? Buy (FXI). Click here.

2) Boeing 737 Max to Stay Grounded Through May, says an internal company memo. The wait is going to be longer than we thought. Still, the stock is up on the news. Sell Southwest (LUV). It will take the biggest hit. Click here.

3) Mad Hedge Hits New All-Time High, up 15.46% year to date, and beating the pants off the Dow Average. Good thing I didn’t buy the bearish argument. There’s too much cash floating around the world. I’m looking to be up 20% within ten days. Click here.

4) Retail Sales Drop 0.20%, in February in another sign of a slowing global economy. Construction spending is also down 0.3%. Try telling that to the stock market today. Click here.

5) China Factory Orders Grow, for the first time in 4 months. Is all their stimulus finally turning around the economy? Click here.

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

(MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THE WEEK AHEAD, OR THE INMATES ARE RUNNING THE ASYLUM)

(SPY), (TLT), (FCX), (DIS), (TSLA), (IWM),

(GOOGL), (MSFT), (PYPL), (AMZN)

(THE NEXT TECH BUBBLE TOP HAS STARTED)

(LYFT), (PIN), (UBER), (AAPL), (JPM), (FB)

 

Mad Hedge Hot Tips for March 29, 2019

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
March 29, 2019
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

 

1) Lyft Prices at $72 a Share, the top end of expectations, valuing the company at an eye-popping $24 billion. Never mind that the company is losing money hand over fist, it’s all about potential. The tech IPO bubble top has started! Click here.

2) Pending Home Sales Drop 4.9% YOY, and 1.0% in February. Give it another month or two for ultra-low interest rates to kick in for the lagging indicator. Avoid homebuilders (ITB). Click here.

3) Wells Fargo CEO Tim Sloan Resigns, over the sins of his predecessor in the giant cross-selling scandal. Next scapegoat, please. Still, (WFC) is the cheapest bank around. Too bad I hate banks, even though I love the horses and stagecoaches on their checks. Click here.

4) New Home Sales Up 4.9%, to 667,000 units in February in a rare positive data point. Could low interest rates finally be kicking in? Still, avoid homebuilders. Click here.

5) Consumer Sentiment Rises to 98.4 in February, says the University of Michigan.  Watch out for quarter end window dressing today. They’ll try to close them high. Click here.
 
Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch:

SPECIAL FANG ISSUE

(FINDING A NEW FANG),

(FB), (AAPL), (NFLX), (GOOGL),

(TSLA), (BABA),

 

Mad Hedge Hot Tips for March 28, 2019

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
March 27, 2019
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

 

1) The US Government Sues Facebook, claiming they enable housing discrimination through its advertising. Expect more government attacks against the FANGs. The west coast is not loved by this administration. Click here.

2) Q4 GDP Final Report Comes in at 2.2%, as expected, down a third from Q3. Expect that figure to more than halve in Q1 2019. Put on your hard hat. Click here.

3) Massive Broker Layoffs Presage Coming Recession. Cutting the overhead is crucial if you’re going to survive the next downturn. It doesn’t help that FinTech is eating their lunch. Click here.

4) Foreign Investors Pour into the US Bond Market, driving ten-year US Treasury yields down to 2.33%. When everyone else in the world has negative yields, our bonds become the highest yielding in the world. Click here.

5) But the Stock Market is Getting it Wrong, seeing plunging rates as a sign of imminent recession. When the market figures this out, stocks will rally hard to new highs. Maybe that’s why we’re only falling 100 points a day. The recession is next year’s business.

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

(JOIN US AT THE MAD HEDGE LAKE TAHOE, NEVADA CONFERENCE, OCTOBER 25-26, 2019)

(THE REBIRTH OF THE MASTER LIMITED PARTNERSHIP),

(USO), (AMLP), (FPL), (MLPS), (MLPX)

(MCDONALD’S GOES HIGH TECH)

(MCD)

Mad Hedge Hot Tips for March 27, 2019

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
March 27, 2019
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

 

1) The Global Bond Short Covering Panic Continues, with ten-year US Treasury yields dropping to an eye-popping 2.37%. Slowing global growth is to blame. Did I hear the word “refi”? Click here.

2) Apple Violates QUALCOMM Patent, rules a judge, and (AAPL) tanks. The battle continues. Click here.

3) FinTech is on Fire, as legacy banks die a death of a thousand cuts, hobbled by the cost of their massive branch networks and lagging technology. Is it time to take another look at the FinTech ETF (FINX)? Click here.

4) Mad Hedge Hits New All-Time High, with 2019 performance hitting 15% this morning. More to come. Going 100% cash by the April 18 options expiration. Click here.

5) Centene (CNC) Buys WellCare (WCG) for $15 billion. Healthcare is the last fragmented industry left so you can expect vastly accelerated M&A in the future. If you can’t compete under “single payer” you’ll soon be out of business. Every stock is now a lottery ticket. Click here.
 
Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

(JUMP ON THE VERTEX BANDWAGON),

(VRTX), (CRSP),

(MAD HEDGE FUND TRADER CELEBRATES ITS 11-YEAR ANNIVERSARY)

(THE DEATH OF ANOTHER STARTUP)

(WINE.L)