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December 30, 2014 - MDT Pro Tips A.M.

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Jim Parker, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points.

Current Positions

????????????????????????????????? ? ???????????????????????????? Entry????????? ? Stop???????????????????? TGT

LONG? JJG?????????????????????????????????????????? 38.21?????????? 38.60 Intra-day? 42.00

 

.......................................................................................

Today's Working Orders

No working orders.

.......................................................................................

Stocks...

IWM...an ORH month seems a lock. A close tomorrow over 120.97 puts in an ORH qtr. to fill out the pattern.
?
KBE...put in an ORH day. 33.95 is the Monthly ORH #. 34 is the qtrly ORH #.
?
The banking sector is prime to get bid up over the next 2 trading days.

 

Bonds ...

30 yr. Bonds... 144.28-30 starts resistance.

145.06 is fib resistance and the upside pivot for another 20 ticks.

Italian 10 yr...is up big today showing a potential ORH weekly pattern.
It might have more legs on the upside.

As a trader it could be a good momentum play, as an investor I'd rather be in U.S. securities.

FX...

EURO....the next set of sell stops are under 120.42, the 2012 low.

 

USD/JPY...Yen is seeing some strength this A.M. with a weaker Nikkei.
118.60 (84.35 Futures) remains macro dollar support and the closing pivot for Yen strength.

EUR/JPY...
has to get under 144.90 +- a few to elect a big profit taking rally in the Yen before year end. I don't see this happening, however you need to keep this cross front & center if you're trading the above dollars.

Commodities...

OIL...54 is resistance and the upside pivot. Price action and a close over 56 is needed to get excited about the long side.?
?
WTI could weaken toward 49 into year end markings as long as rallies to 54 fail.

Brent...could go into the 56 dollar level before year end. Price action and a close over 60.60 resistance is needed for upside.

Natgas...sustained price action over 3.19 can lead to a test of 3.35-38.
?
?

General Comments or Valuable Insight

?

Trade the Flow and the opening ranges again today.

Oil is the easy commodity to push into year end.
?
U.S. Equity Indices can be a very sloppy trade until late tomorrow, when they can get priced for year end markings on light volume.
?
Bonds will remain bid benefiting from both a flight to quality from offshore investors and the Dollar carry trade. In short, Any break will hold into year end.?

 

 

 

?

For Medium Term Outlook click here.

For Glossary of terms and abbreviations click here.

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