Mad Hedge Hot Tips
December 18, 2018
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

 

1) Some 90% of Global Asset Classes Are Now in Bear Markets. This could be the year that NO ONE made money. Good thing I’m Up 30%! Click here.

2) The Fed Is Pulling $50 Billion a Month Out of the Financial System. And you wondered why stocks were going down? Click here

3) Federal Budget Deficit Hits All-Time High in November. Look for the deficit to hit $1.3 trillion next year when entitlements are added in. Ramping up borrowing at the top of the economic cycle is financial suicide. At least the stock market thinks so. Click here.

4) The Auto Industry Expects Sales to Drop to a 5-year Low in 2019, according to the National Association of Automobile Dealers. No wonder investors have been avoiding the shares like the plague! Click here.

5) Only 53% of CEOs are Increasing Capital Spending in 2019, says a survey from the Chief Executive Group.  Maybe that’s what the market has been trying to tell us by doing a Dotcom Bust 2.0. Click here.
 

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

(THE CHRISTMAS RALLY GOT STOPPED AT THE BORDER),

(THE PASSIVE/AGGRESSIVE PORTFOLIO),

(ROM), (UYG), (UCC), (DIG), (BIB), (UGL), (UCD), (TBT),

(THE BIG TECHNOLOGY TRENDS OF 2019)

(MSFT), (AMZN), (BBY), (SONO), (ROKU), (ADBE), (AAPL), (BAC)

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
December 14, 2018
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

1) Economic Optimism Plunges from 48% to 39%, according to a CNBC poll, the sharpest drop in the 12-year history of the survey. Other than that, how was the play, Mrs. Lincoln? Click here.

2) Mad Hedge Nails it With a Big Bond Short. Taking profits here to get out of the way of the Fed meeting next week. I’ll reestablish on the next three-point rally. Kaching! Click here.

3) Softbank Looking to Sell its NVIDIA Holdings, one of the graphics card maker's largest shareholders down, 50% from the peak. Why do I feel I have just been kicked in the cajones? The stock is in screaming “BUY” territory right here for long-term players. (NVDA). Click here.

4) “World Cup” was the Top Google Search Term of 2018, followed by “Hurricane Florence.” Someday Americans will understand this. How you can stay riveted for 90 minutes for a 1-0 score is beyond me. Isn’t it really all about the acting? Click here.

5) India was the Top Destination of Remitted US Earnings, at $80 billion last year, followed by China at $67 billion and the Philippines at $34 billion. That’s a lot of grandmas to support. Click here.

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch:

(DECEMBER 12 BI-WEEKLY STRATEGY WEBINAR Q&A),

(SPX), (MU), (PYPL), (SPOT), (FXE), (FXY), (XLF), (MSFT), (AMZN), (TSLA), (XOM), (MS)

(SIGN UP NOW FOR TEXT MESSAGING OF TRADE ALERTS)

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
December 12, 2018
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

 

1) The Market Isn’t Going to Ignore Washington Anymore, as the 500-point swoon yesterday in the wake of the on-camera White House slugfest testified. Yes, elections DO have consequences. Click here.

2) Weekly Jobless Claims Hit a 6-month High, up 10,000 at 234,000. Another leg from the bull case falls away. Click here.

3) The Smart Play Here is Non-China Tech Stocks, which have fallen the most. That way, the Chinese can beat up Apple all they want, and it won’t wipe out your retirement funds. Trade alerts to follow.

4) The British Government is on the Verge of Collapse, and Brexit mail, as a result, keeping the UK in the European Community. It’s all as I excepted as I never expected the Brits to commit economic suicide. Both the pound (FXB) and stocks soar. Click here.

5) India was the Top Destination of Remitted US Earnings, at $80 billion last year, followed by China at $67 billion and the Philippines at $34 billion. That’s a lot of grandmas to support. Click here.  

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

(STANDBY FOR THE COMING GOLDEN AGE OF INVESTMENT),

(SPY), (INDU), (FXE), (FXY), (UNG), (EEM), (USO),

(TLT), (NSANY), (TSLA)

(WHY GAMERS ARE TAKING OVER THE WORLD)

(EA), (TTWO), (ATVI), (GME), (MSFT)

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
December 7, 2018
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

 

1) Here We Go Again, as stock plunge once more and the algorithms exact another pound of flesh. Where is the SEC when you need them? Playing golf at Bedminster? Bring back the uptick rule and put these guys out of business. Click here.

2) Another Day, Another Apple Downgrade. UBS cuts price target from $225 down to $210 on fading iPhone 10R sales. Doesn’t that make Apple a screaming “BUY” here, down 23% in two months? When will it ever end? I hope before the December 21 options expiration. (AAPL) Click here.

3) November Nonfarm Payroll Comes in at a Weak 155,000, but headline unemployment still hugs a half-century low. When will someone start spiking the eggnog? An awful lot of people are starting to discount a 2019 recession, no matter what the administration says. Click here.

4) Don’t Plan Any Trips to China Soon, as the Chinese look to grab an American executive to trade for the Huawei CFO arrested this week. Apparently, she was nabbed right when the president was negotiating a trade deal with China in Buenos Aires. Expect worse to come. At least the market is. Click here.

5) Oil Soars 5% as OPEC Cuts Output, as Iran and Saudi Arabia compromise. Who knew about this bromance? Russia chipped in a 200,000-barrel cut, bring the overall output decline to 1.2 million barrels a day. Let the cheating begin! I told you to buy those oil stocks! (XOM), (OXY). Click here.
 

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

(WHY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS IS A DISASTER WORK)

(SPY), (QQQ), (IWM), (VIX),

(TESTIMONIAL)

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
December 3, 2018
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

 

1) Apparently, the Dinner in Buenos Aires Went Well, with stocks up 500 points at the opening. Never mind that all they did was kick the can down the road for 3 months. I’m taking profits on my deep in-the-money positions. Click here.

2) Taking Profits on Salesforce. A 17.41% profit in 12 days is good enough for me. Remember, hogs get fed, pigs get slaughtered. But I’ll be back in on the next decent dip. I love this company! Click here.

3) The Stock Market is Closed on Wednesday, in respect of the President George H.W. Bush funeral. I first met him in Beijing in 1975 when he headed the US Liaison Office in Beijing. He went on to head the CIA after that, a nice person to know. I last saw him in 2012 when he occupied the owner's cabin next to mine on the Queen Mary II, then in a wheelchair. We reminisced about old times. He never uttered an unkind word to me. Click here.

4) US Construction Spending Falls for Third Straight Month, as confidence in the futures is fading fast. Click here.

5) Trump to Withdraw from NAFTA, even though he spent two years negotiating a marginal deal. As if we didn’t have enough to worry about already! Click here.
 

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

(THE MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THE WEEK AHEAD, or

THE YEAR EVERYTHING WENT DOWN)

(SPY), (TLT), (COPX), (GLD), (IYR), (FXE), (EEM), (USO), (IYR), (GM)

(I BET YOU’VE NEVER HEARD OF HUBSPOT)

(HUBS), (CRM)