Mad Hedge

HOT TIPS

April 6, 2026

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The Entry Level Service for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today

(and what to do about them)

Nonfarm payrolls rose by 178,000

in March, a reversal from the 133,000 decline in February. The headline Unemployment Rate edged lower to 4.3%, though that was largely from a sharp reduction in the labor force. Wages also rose less than expected, with average hourly earnings up just 0.2% for the month and 3.5% from a year ago. The annual increase was the lowest since May 2021. As has been the case, health care was responsible for much of the growth, with the sector adding 76,000 jobs.

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Tesla is Getting Trashed,

as JP Morgan cuts its downside target to only $85. The EV Business is in free fall, and profits from robots are years off. Investors are also selling Tesla to buy SpaceX, and it's coming with a $2 trillion valuation. Avoid (TSLA).

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Avoid SpaceX,

as the company is likely to go public at a peak valuation. That’s because investors are unlikely to see robust returns from the aerospace manufacturer stock following its likely massive initial public offering, given that much of its value already appears to be “priced in.” If it is already one of the largest companies in the world on day one, what is the upside? Wait for the post IPO selloff as I did with (TSLA) 16 years ago, which could be as much as 50%.

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Oil Breaks Out to the Upside,

with the (USO) hitting a 20-year high at $139, as there is no sign of a reopening of the Straits. Even if they do eventually reopen, much of the Persian Gulf’s export facilities are now scrap metal requiring five-year rebuilds. Iran is demanding repayment of damage incurred by the US bombing, or more than $1 trillion. I’m not holding my breath on that one. Look for much higher highs in crude (USO).

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Inflation is Heating Up,

because of the war-driven, explosive rise in energy prices. SM services sector growth slows, PMI falls more than expected to 54.0. Input prices index surges to 70.7, the highest since Oct 2022, amid Middle East conflict and tariffs. Services employment contracts diverged from strong private payrolls in March.

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch, the Mad Hedge Technology Letter, the Mad Hedge Biotech and Health Care Letter, the Mad Hedge AI Letter, and Jacquie’s Post:

 

Global Trading Dispatch

(MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THE WEEK AHEAD, or A WEEK….OR 50 YEARS IN DUBAI),

(USO), (SPY), ($INDU), (GLD), (B), (NEM), (NG), (GDX), (NFLX), (WBD), (NVDA)

 

Mad Hedge Technology Letter

(SHOULD YOU BUY TESLA IN THE SHORT-TERM?)

(TSLA)

 

Mad Hedge Biotech & Health Care Letter

(STANDING ROOM ONLY)

(BMY)

 

Mad Hedge Jacquie's Post

(HISTORY MAY BE RHYMING WITH THE 1970’S, BUT HAS DOUBLE THE IMPACT)

 

Mad Hedge AI

THE PO RIVER PRINCIPLE

 

Yes, But I Got the Trade Alert

Futures trading involves a high degree of risk and may not be suitable for everyone.

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