Mad Hedge

HOT TIPS

February 17, 2026

Fiat Lux

The Entry Level Service for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today

(and what to do about them)

AI Worries Still Drag on the Market.

US equity futures declined as artificial-intelligence concerns damped sentiment, with Wall Street poised to resume trading after a holiday break. US Treasuries (TLT) edged higher, and gold slid. Contracts on the Nasdaq 100 index retreated 0.8%, and those on the S&P 500 dipped 0.4% as all members of the Magnificent Seven US tech stocks declined in premarket trading. A gauge of perceived risk in US high-grade corporate credit reached its highest since Nov. 25. Spot gold dropped toward $4,900 an ounce.

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Silver Dives 2%.

Silver and gold fell in early premarket trading on Tuesday as investors awaited delayed economic data, with little geopolitical news during the holiday-shortened week. Silver ETFs, including ProShares Ultra Silver, were down 7% in premarket, while iShares Silver Trust and ABRDN physical silver fell just over 3%. This is probably the dip you buy, as everything else looks terrible.

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Oil Rises 1%,

as Iran-US nuclear talks continue. Why are we having nuclear talks when the US destroyed all its weapons-grade uranium in a bombing raid? All oil rallies are temporary as massive supply will hit the market on a Venezuela output recovery and a Ukraine peace deal. Avoid all oil plays.

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Airbnb Jumps 5%, 

after it became the latest travel company to point to resilient premium demand as budget-conscious customers pull back. Hotel operators Marriott (MAR) and Hilton (HLT), and airlines such as United (UAL) and Delta (DAL) are banking on resilient demand from high-end travelers in 2026, a trend that reflects a worsening K-shaped economy in the U.S.

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Why has Volatility Suddenly Increased?

About 30% of S&P 500 stocks moved over 20% in three months, double the 15% average, despite low market volatility. AI demand boosts chip makers, while software stocks have crashed; commodity miners and some consumer discretionary stocks also have fallen. Increased inflows into hedge funds, with $3.5 billion in stock purchases this year, are exacerbating extreme stock price movements.

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Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch, the Mad Hedge Technology Letter, the Mad Hedge Biotech and Health Care Letter, the Mad Hedge AI Letter, and Jacquie’s Post:

 

Global Trading Dispatch

(MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THE WEEK AHEAD or ABANDON SHIP!),

(SPY), (EEM), (EWZ), (XLP), (XLU), (XLRE), (XLE),
(XHB), (XLB, (CRM), (XLF), (LSTR),
(JBHT), (XLY), (JNJ), (CL), (O), (NEE), (SCHD)

 

Mad Hedge Technology Letter

(RIDE SHARE TECH FALTERING)

(LYFT), (UBER)

 

Mad Hedge Biotech & Health Care Letter

(A SURVIVOR OF THE GLP-1 MASSACRE)

(VKTX), (NVO), (LLY)

 

Mad Hedge Jacque's Post

(THE SILVER STORY IS CURIOUS NOW)

 

Mad Hedge AI

HOW TO LOSE A QUARTER-TRILLION DOLLARS BY SPENDING $3 BILLION

(MSFT), (NVDA)

 

 

Futures trading involves a high degree of risk and may not be suitable for everyone.

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