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HOT TIPS

May 15, 2026

Fiat Lux

The Entry Level Service for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today

(and what to do about them)

The Bond Market Crashes,

sending ten-year US Treasury bond yields up 15 basis points in a day to 4.61%. Government bond markets tumbled around the world, sending yields surging from Japan to the US on intensifying fears that the war-driven price shock will force central banks to raise interest rates to contain the impact. It looks like the government’s ability to borrow is NOT unlimited after all.

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Today is Jay Powell’s Last Day as Governor of the Federal Reserve.

He handled Trump attacks, a criminal investigation, and a pantomimic and will leave the office as one of the most respected Fed chairmen by both parties. Kevin Warsh takes over on Monday with orders from the president to cut interest rates when the markets are screaming for an increase. It’s no accident that bond markets had their worst day in years the day before he takes off. Warsh has spent the last decade arguing for higher rates, less spending, and a balanced budget. Good luck with that!

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Jeff Bezos Blue Origin Weighs First External Fund Raise,

as part of a push by Jeff Bezos’s rocket venture to hit ambitious launch targets and tap investor appetite boosted by SpaceX’s upcoming initial public offering. The company would require outside investment if it were to significantly increase its launch schedule. It would take a lot of capital to achieve the number of rocket launches Blue Origin has targeted — more money than would be available with just one investor.

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Inflation to Hit 6% in Q2.

The recent surge in inflation is likely to get worse over the next several months, according to a survey Friday from the nation's top economists. Consumer price inflation is projected to hit 6% for the first quarter, according to the Survey of Professional Forecasters, a blue-ribbon group that is polled each quarter by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.

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Boeing Scores Order for 200 Jets from China.

The order is just an accumulation of many orders over recent years and had nothing to do with the China visit, which was just a PR exercise. Buy (BA) on tips.

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Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch, the Mad Hedge Technology Letter, the Mad Hedge Biotech and Health Care Letter, the Mad Hedge AI Letter, and Jacquie’s Post:

 

Global Trading Dispatch

(JOIN ME ON CUNARD'S QUEEN MARY 2 FOR MY JUNE 19 TRANSATLANTIC SEMINAR AT SEA LUNCHEON)

(HOW TO READ THE MAD HEDGE DAILY POSITION SHEET)

 

Mad Hedge Technology Letter

(NVIDIA A WINNER IN CHINA)

(NVDA)

 

Mad Hedge Biotech & Health Care Letter

(GROW WHERE YOU'RE PLANTED)

(BASFY), (ABT), (ABBV), (REGMF)

 

Mad Hedge Jacquie's Post

(ETHER TREASURY COMPANIES ARE GAINING TRACTION)

 

Mad Hedge AI

(An Old Wildcatter Knows Pre-Sold Pipe When He Sees It)

(AMZN), (GOOG), (META)

 

Only First Class for me

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