• support@madhedgefundtrader.com
  • Member Login
Mad Hedge Fund Trader
  • Home
  • About
  • Store
  • Luncheons
  • Testimonials
  • Contact Us
  • Click to open the search input field Click to open the search input field Search
  • Menu Menu

November 22, 2016 - Pro Tips A.M.

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Bill Davis, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points.

CURRENT POSITIONS:

GOGO? Long at $19.93

Total Premium Collected? $1.95

ASNA Long at $14.20
Total Premium Collected $.75

DUST Long $4.50
Total Premium Collected? $.70

FCX Long $12.45
FCX Short Nov 25th - $14 Call ?($.30)
Total Premium Collected $.54

DYN Long at $12.55
Premium Collected $.48

CERN Long Jan $50 Call - $1.65
CERN Short Jan $55 Call ? ($.40)

FEYE Long at $13.65
FEYE Short Nov 25th - $14 Call ? ($.28)

..........................................................................................

It seemed like only yesterday that I warned against attempting to short this market.? Actually, it was two days ago when I made that comment.

In Friday?s update I said this ? ?The slow action gives you the impression that the target would not be achieved.? That?s by design, I am sure. Lure?s you in to make you think about a short.

That would be a mistake at this point.? And If I can caution you on avoiding a mistake, then I have succeeded.

The reason I say this is because after taking out a key level and being very close to an all time high, a little push up and the market will be in new territory.?

And that is exactly what has happened.? The S & P 500 has closed at a record high of 2,198.18.? And it managed to close above the minor 2,195.30 level, which is another bullish sign.

Now that the S & P 500 is within 2 points of 2,200, the 2,250 level does not seem that far fetched.? As you know, that is the level I ultimately feel this market will go to.

The negative and a cause for a pullback at the moment is that the VIX is now within 30 cents of the major 12.50 level.

Having said that, the VIX has moved into a downtrend on its 60 minute chart, which suggests that if the VIX does get a bounce, it will be short lived.

And the S & P 500 is strongly bullish now on its 60 minute chart, so I would expect support to hold on a pullback.

The question to ponder is when to attempt a short?

The 2,203 level could be the answer. I say this because oftentimes when a level is violated it stalls at the next upside confirming level.? If the S & P 500 can close above that price, then the short is off.? But it is a price to watch closely to see how the market reacts.

And the VIX will help to confirm a short if it does reverse to the upside.

Continue to monitor the levels for entry points.

Here are the Key Levels for the Markets:


$VIX:

Major level ? 14.06
Minor level ? 13.67
Minor level ? 12.89
Major level - 12.50
Minor level ? 12.11
Minor level ? 11.33
Major level ? 10.94

The VIX at 12.37 is just under the 12.50 level.? The VIX will need two closes under 12.11 to move to 10.94.

11.72 should offer strong support.


$SPX:

Major level - 2,250.00
Minor level - 2,234.38
Minor level - 2,203.12 *
Major level - 2,187.50 *
Minor level - 2,171.88 *
Minor level - 2,140.62
Major level - 2,125.00
Minor level - 2,109.38
Minor level - 2,078.12
Major level - 2,062.50

The next level is 2,203.12.? If the S & P 500 can close above that level for two days, the objective becomes 2,250.

On the downside, 2,179.70 should offer support.?


QQQ:?

Major level - 121.88
Minor level - 121.10
Minor level - 119.53
Major level - 118.75
Minor level - 117.97
Minor level - 116.41 *
Major level - 115.63 *
Minor level - 114.84 *
Minor level - 113.28
Major level - 112.50

The QQQ closed at 118.54,? just 21 cents under the 118.75 objective. 118.36 could offer minor support. And I would expect 117.97 to as well.

119.53 could offer resistance.


TLT:?

Major level - 131.25
Minor level ? 130.46
Minor level ? 128.91
Major level ? 128.13
Major level ? 125.00 *
Minor level ? 124.22
Minor level ? 122.66
Major level ? 121.88 *
Major level ? 118.75

The TLT is oversold on the daily chart and a bounce should be expected. Having said that, I would expect a rally to fail.? Most likely at the 125 level.

120.31 should offer support and a long if this level holds would be warranted.


GLD: ?

Minor level ? 119.53
Major level ? 118.75
Minor level ? 117.97
Minor level -? 116.41
Major level ? 115.63 *
Minor level ? 114.85
Minor level ? 113.28
Major level ? 112.50

The GLD closed just under the 115.63 support level, at 115.58 yesterday.? To move higher, it needs two closes above 116.41.? I would not expect any counter move to exceed 121.88.? And most likely, 118.75 would be a place to fail on any rally.

117.19 should also offer resistance.


XLE:

Major level - 75.00
Minor level - 74
.22
Minor level - 72.66 *
Major level - 71.88 *
Minor level - 71.10
Minor level - 69.53
Major level - 68.75
Minor level - 67.96
Minor level - 66.41
Major level - 65.63

The XLE finally popped strongly, closing at 72.82, up 2.38% on the day.? The implication now that is if the XLE can close above 72.66 today, it should move up to 75.

71.88 should now be support.?


FXY:

Minor level: 89.45
Major level: 89.06
Minor level: 88.67
Minor level: 87.89
Major level: 87.50
Minor level: 87.11 *
Minor level: 86.33
Major level: 85.94

A close today under 87.11, and the FXY should drop to 85.94. 85.94 is a major level and if it closes under that level for two days, the FXY could drop all the way down to the 80 ? 82 area.

Watch that level closely.

86.33 is a minor support level.? 87.30 is minor resistance.


AAPL:

Major levels for Apple are 118.75, 115.63, 112.50, 106.25, 100, 93.75, and 87.50.

A close today above 110.16 and Apple should test 112.50.? That area should suggest a lot for the next move on Apple.? 112.50 could offer resistance and area for a pullback. ?If it does pull back off 112.50, I would expect a higher bottom and a decent opportunity to get long the stock.


WATCH LIST:

Bullish Stocks: GS, HUM, FDX, FFIV, CVX, NVDA, DE, VMW, KLAC, KSS

Bearish Stocks:? AGN, CVS, TEVA, FSLR, CUBE, CRAY, NVO

Be sure to check earnings release dates

Share this entry
  • Share on Facebook
  • Share on X
  • Share on WhatsApp
  • Share on Pinterest
  • Share on LinkedIn
  • Share by Mail
https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 DougD https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png DougD2016-11-22 09:10:452016-11-22 09:10:45November 22, 2016 - Pro Tips A.M.

tastytrade, Inc. (“tastytrade”) has entered into a Marketing Agreement with Mad Hedge Fund Trader (“Marketing Agent”) whereby tastytrade pays compensation to Marketing Agent to recommend tastytrade’s brokerage services. The existence of this Marketing Agreement should not be deemed as an endorsement or recommendation of Marketing Agent by tastytrade and/or any of its affiliated companies. Neither tastytrade nor any of its affiliated companies is responsible for the privacy practices of Marketing Agent or this website. tastytrade does not warrant the accuracy or content of the products or services offered by Marketing Agent or this website. Marketing Agent is independent and is not an affiliate of tastytrade. 

Legal Disclaimer

There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. MadHedgeFundTrader.com and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Affiliates of MadHedgeFundTrader.com may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.

Copyright © 2025. Mad Hedge Fund Trader. All Rights Reserved. support@madhedgefundtrader.com
  • Privacy Policy
  • Disclaimer
  • FAQ
Link to: November 22, 2016 Link to: November 22, 2016 November 22, 2016 Link to: MOT Follow-Up to Text Alert - (AMZN)(AAPL) November 21, 2016 Link to: MOT Follow-Up to Text Alert - (AMZN)(AAPL) November 21, 2016 MOT Follow-Up to Text Alert - (AMZN)(AAPL) November 21, 2016
Scroll to top