September 10, 2019

Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today

(and what to do about them)

It’s Apple Day in Silicon Valley,

with the world’s largest company rolling out a host of new services and upgrades. The new Apple TV Plus streaming service will be the focus, with minor improvements on everything else. It’s an in-between generation year, don’t expect anything big. But with 200 million iPhones needing replacement in coming years, (AAPL) is still a good long-term hold. All eyes will be on the share buybacks.

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The Next Antitrust Assault on Big Tech,

with Facebook (FB) and Google (GOOGL) now in the sights of 30 US states. This will go nowhere as technology has been leading to lower prices, not higher ones. What is the monopoly value of a service that is given away for free? The choice is very simple: let the US continue to dominate tech, or let China take it over.

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Jay Powell Says He Will “Act as Appropriate”

but appropriate for who? The president or the country? Fed watchers are taking this as code for a 25-basis point rate cut on September, but I am not so sure. If so, it will be the first interest rate cut in the history of the world with a 3.7% unemployment rate.

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Amgen Develops a Blockbuster Lung Cancer Drug,

shrinking 54% of all tumors. Healthcare and biotech will become the seminar investment theme of the 2020s as most major human diseases get cured. The convergence of many technologies will deliver the biggest profit stream in history.

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Profit-Taking Hits Bonds,

with the ten-year US Treasury bond yield backing up to 1.65%, up 20 basis points. Europe did a no-show on more QE, and the market was wildly overbought.

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Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch:

SPECIAL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE ISSUE

(NEW PLAYS IN ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE),

(NVDA), (AMD), (ADI), (AMAT), (AVGO), (CRUS),

(CY), (INTC), (LRCX), (MU), (TSM)

Futures trading involves a high degree of risk and may not be suitable for everyone.