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Tag Archive for: (AZN)

Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Watch Out for BioNTech's Hockey Stick Growth

Biotech Letter

BioNTech (BNTX) is the perfect example of an old saying, “Timing is everything.”

Coming from its humble IPO in 2019, this biotechnology company now sports a $25 billion market capitalization—a number that could still go up once its COVID-19 vaccine candidate with Pfizer (PFE) receives US and EU nods.

What we know so far is that their COVID-19 vaccine candidate could secure an emergency approval as early as December and start delivery before Christmas.

Although it’s still not available in the market, the effect of its COVID-19 vaccine candidate, called  BNT162, has made itself known in BioNTech’s earnings report.

The company reported roughly $80 million in revenue in the third quarter of 2020 alone—an impressive 135% jump from its previous performance in the same period last year.

To date, BioNTech and Pfizer are estimated to supply roughly 1.3 billion doses by the end of 2021.

Additional orders could still come in though, which is why the two companies have been busy scaling their manufacturing capacities.

If all goes according to plan, then the expected returns from their COVID-19 vaccine sales could come sooner than initially thought.

Recent reports reveal that Moderna’s (MRNA) COVID-19 vaccine candidate also showed over 90% efficacy. Even AstraZeneca’s (AZN) candidate with Oxford University disclosed promising results.

However, BioNTech and Pfizer’s candidate has a couple of competitive advantages.

The first would be its 95% efficacy, which gives the two companies the commanding position and effectively relegates the rest as second grade options.

Their candidate showed no safety concerns—a major issue for AstraZeneca and Johnson & Johnson’s (JNJ) candidates.

Third, the partners have been able to reassure their capability to manufacture at scale—an issue that would pose problems for other developers like Moderna.

In fact, BioNTech acquired a vaccine manufacturing plan in Germany just last September to meet the demand for 250 million doses by mid-2021 and another 80 million doses monthly thereafter.

In terms of manufacturing capacities, the two potential competitors of BioNTech and Pfizer here are AstraZeneca and JNJ. Both have already paused their trials and are now falling behind in terms of the rigid schedule.

As for the other COVID-19 vaccine leader, Moderna has yet to prove that it can manufacture at scale.

BioNTech and Pfizer even shut down the red herring about the cooling and storage of their COVID-19 vaccine candidate. The two companies released their plans for distribution and detailed a strategy that’s not only feasible but also cheap.

Since the vaccine requires extremely low temperatures to maintain its efficacy, Pfizer and BioNTech will ship them from centralized warehouses via a thermal shipper.

This will ensure that the temperature is maintained for 10 days without the need to re-ice and up to 15 days with re-icing. A GPS will be used to monitor and track the integrity of the vaccine in real-time.

The impact of its sales from the COVID-19 vaccine would dwarf practically everything else in BioNTech’s financial statements.

However, this does not mean the biotechnology company will revert to its 2019 status once the peak of its COVID-19 vaccinations is over.

Instead, BioNTech will be in possession of an extremely valuable IP of an effective and working mRNA vaccine platform.

This will allow the company to apply the technology to other infectious diseases.

If it continues with its partnership with Pfizer, it can even develop vaccines for farm animals and domestic pets and market those under the bigger company’s animal healthcare spinoff, Zoetis (ZTS).

Here’s a bit of background on BioNTech.

Founded in 2008, BioNTech was created to develop hyper-personalized medicine and treatments.

At the center of its mission, the company’s basic idea is that the tumor found in each cancer patient is one of a kind.

To help find a cure or treatment, the company analyzes the tumor for its genetic signature.

Once they identify this unique element, they would develop gene-based therapies to limit the spread or even put an end to that particular occurrence of cancer.

If you think this is a lofty goal for a small biotechnology company, then you’d be surprised to find out that BioNTech proved their theories in 2017.

At the time, all 13 patients who underwent the analysis and received injections for genetically personalized therapies for their advanced-stage cancers.

Essentially, the cancer patients developed immunity from their own cancer. 

Apart from COVID-19 and cancer treatments, BioNTech is also working on treatments for tuberculosis, HIV, and several rare diseases.

Outside its partnership with Pfizer, it has been partnering with Regeneron (REGN) and Genentech (DNA).

Biotechnology stocks have the tendency to move when the companies release updates about their treatments under development.

For momentum investors, it’s crucial to be prepared for whatever happens in the aftermath.

Looking at the developments and other updates, BioNTech’s COVID-19 vaccine work could send this stock to the moon.

After all, its partnership with Pfizer resulted in what could be the most effective and efficient candidate to battle the pandemic.

This means that the demand for the vaccine would exponentially exceed the supply in the near future, with the majority of what can be manufactured getting pre-sold or call option reserved.

To date, BioNTech stock is trading at roughly $104 per share. However, I estimate that it could reach a target price of $600 by the first quarter of 2021.

biotech

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-11-24 13:00:472020-11-28 00:36:54Watch Out for BioNTech's Hockey Stick Growth
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

November 12, 2020

Biotech Letter

Mad Hedge Biotech & Healthcare Letter
November 12, 2020
Fiat Lux

FEATURED TRADE:

(GILEAD IS THE CHOSEN ONE)
(GILD), (REGN), (LLY), (PFE), (AZN), (MRNA), (BNTX), (IMMU)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-11-12 10:02:422020-11-12 11:05:38November 12, 2020
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Gilead is the Chosen One

Biotech Letter

The fight against the coronavirus reached a major milestone when the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approved the first ever treatment for this deadly disease.

Unsurprisingly, the chosen leader for COVID-19 treatment to cross the full approval finish line is the same company that has been supplying the medication since the pandemic started: Gilead Sciences (GILD).

While Gilead’s Remdesivir has been widely used since January to treat severe cases of COVID-19, this FDA approval makes it official—a welcome piece of good news that pushed the stock up by 4% upon announcement.

Now, Gilead can broadly market Remdesivir under its official drug name, Veklury, to doctors and patients.

That means that other than the elderly and severe cases, Veklury can be marketed to COVID-19 patients as young as 12 years old.

Since Veklury gained approval, the drug has generated roughly $873 million in revenues.

Despite its limited market, this COVID-19 treatment actually ranked as Gilead’s second highest-selling drug in the third quarter of 2020—only behind the blockbuster HIV medication Biktarvy, which rose by 8% to contribute $4.55 billion.

As expected, Veklury’s popularity boosted Gilead’s 2020 performance.

Gilead’s total sales for the third quarter alone reached $6.5 billion, with $873 million coming from its brand new just-approved COVID-19 treatment Veklury.

For context, the company’s sales for the third quarter was only projected to grow by 2%. Veklury sales boosted this number to generate an 18% jump in revenue instead.

Clearly, Veklury injects a ray of hope in the declining sales for some of previous Gilead’s money makers like its hepatitis lineup, which saw a $210 million slide in revenue this quarter.

With this approval, Gilead is expected to pocket billions in Veklury sales as the company announced its plan to ramp up production to meet the global demand.

After all, governments are expected to stockpile the drug to be ready for future outbreaks.

In terms of its sustainability, Gilead is estimated to enjoy Veklury’s lucrative profits for a year or two until a COVID-19 vaccine gets fully approved or when herd immunity eventually kicks in.

Apart from Gilead, there are also other companies looking to cash in on this demand.

One of them is Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (REGN), which gained popularity after being used to fast track the COVID-19 recovery of Donald Trump during the campaign period. Another is Eli Lilly, which also applied for an emergency authorization for its antibody cocktail.

Most importantly, Veklury sets a promising precedent for other COVID-19 programs, particularly the vaccines.

If the ongoing trials yield positive results, then the vaccines of Pfizer (PFE), AstraZeneca (AZN), Moderna (MRNA), and BioNTech (BNTX) could quickly receive emergency authorizations.

Meanwhile, Veklury is not the only pandemic-defying achievement of Gilead this year.

Even before the pandemic broke, Gilead’s strategy has consistently centered on acquisitions.

This plan was kickstarted with its $12 billion acquisition of Kite Pharma in 2017.

This investment has been paying off as the company continues growth in Asia, specifically in China.

By 2022, Gilead is projected to generate over $1 billion in sales from its Hepatitis B lineup in this region alone.

While 2020 has not been the best year for mergers and even acquisitions particularly in the biopharmaceutical sector, Gilead seems to not be letting the pandemic ruin its plans.

In March, Gilead completed its $4.9 billion acquisition of Forty-Seven in an effort to own the rights to a blockbuster cancer drug called Magrolimab. This product is anticipated to bring more than $3 billion in annual sales. 

Recently, the company announced yet another massive $21 billion deal to acquire Immunomedics (IMMU)—a value that is nearly 30% of Gilead’s $70.4 billion market capitalization.

Gilead’s deal with Immunomedics adds another potential blockbuster drug in its oncology lineup: Trodelvy.

Once approved, Trodelvy is expected to rake in $4 billion annually—a profit that would eventually pay off the $21 billion that Gilead shelled out to acquire Immunomedics.

Looking at profits from its recent acquisitions, Gilead can rake in roughly $2 billion in quarterly revenue just for Trodelvy and Magrolimab alone.

Overall, Gilead’s product lineup has clearly shown significant growth.

Its core portfolio has been consistently strong, and the full FDA approval of Remdesivir offered the company a short-term boost.

In terms of long-term growth, Gilead maintains the capacity to provide significant cash flow for its shareholders.

veklury

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-11-12 10:00:102020-11-15 15:57:44Gilead is the Chosen One
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

November 10, 2020

Biotech Letter

Mad Hedge Biotech & Healthcare Letter
November 10, 2020
Fiat Lux

FEATURED TRADE:

(PFIZER ADDS EXCLAMATION POINT TO ITS DECLARATION OF INDEPENDENCE)
(PFE). (MRNA), (AZN), (JNJ), (MCK), (GSK), (MYL). (MRK), (BMY)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-11-10 11:02:012020-11-10 17:00:07November 10, 2020
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Pfizer Adds Exclamation Point to its Declaration of Independence

Biotech Letter

When Operation Warp Speed was launched, the US government handpicked the most promising COVID-19 vaccine programs and offered them funding—an offer that was welcomed by all those selected except for one: Pfizer (PFE).

While COVID-19 vaccine frontrunners like Moderna (MRNA), AstraZeneca (AZN), and even Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) accepted financial assistance from the US government, Pfizer insisted on funding its own coronavirus program.

Now, Pfizer has taken another step to make it clear that it does not need any help.

In what could only be described as adding an exclamation point to its “declaration of independence” from the US government, Pfizer announced that it won’t use the country’s chosen distribution partner in delivering its COVID-19 vaccine.

For years, the US government has been using McKesson (MCK) to deliver drugs and other treatments.

In fact, this was the same company used by the Obama administration in 2009, when it distributed the H1N1 vaccine and medications.

This won’t be the case for Pfizer’s COVID-19 vaccine though.

According to the company, it has designed its own delivery system to ensure the proper and safe distribution of its product.

In October, Pfizer disclosed its distribution plans that centered on select sites in Michigan, Belgium, Wisconsin, and Germany.

Other than its goal to operate as independently from the US government as possible, one of the concerns of Pfizer is the sensitive nature of its COVID-19 vaccine.

The vaccine has to be kept at an ultra-cold temperature of minus 94 degrees Fahrenheit, which means that the shipments would require close monitoring.

What we know so far is that Pfizer has designed shipping containers that can maintain the temperature of the vaccine for 10 days.

In terms of monitoring, the company has developed a real-time GPS tracking system that will report any deviations in the set conditions.

All these are implemented to ensure that the COVID-19 vaccine does not lose potency before it reaches patients.

Looking at the other vaccine candidates, Moderna might also resort to this kind of distribution arrangement since its vaccine needs to be stored at negative 4 degrees Fahrenheit.

Outside its COVID-19 efforts, Pfizer has been aggressive in pruning its business divisions.

Since late 2019, Pfizer has been implementing strategies to eliminate its underperforming segments.

In August last year, the company forged a partnership with GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) to combine their consumer healthcare sectors.

This led to the formation of the GSK Consumer Healthcare, where Pfizer holds a 32% stake.

This year, Pfizer has been working on offloading its off-patent drug unit, Upjohn, and merging it with Mylan (MYL).

This deal should be finalized by the fourth quarter of 2020, with the merger offering Pfizer’s shareholders with roughly 57% of the new company, Viatris.

When this is completed, Pfizer would become a smaller and more focused biopharmaceutical company.

This means that the company can leverage its $202.27 billion market capitalization to move the needle more substantially in terms of its long-term prospects.

One of the key areas that Pfizer has been working towards becoming a powerhouse is oncology—a sector that has served as a major growth driver for the company for years.

Pfizer has a deep oncology portfolio comprising over 20 approved drugs marketed to different areas including breast cancer, lung cancer, and blood cancer. 

However, none of its cancer drugs have managed to breach the $10 billion annual sales mark in this sector.

This is because Pfizer has no absolute mega-blockbuster in the oncology space like its competitors Merck (MRK) with Keytruda and Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY) with Opdivo.

With the growing number of pipeline candidates in its cancer portfolio, Pfizer is expected to come up with a blockbuster by the fourth quarter this year or before the first half of 2021 ends.

Looking at Pfizer’s pipeline, there are 14 approvals anticipated from today through 2025 in the oncology segment alone.

One contender is its prostate cancer drug Xtandi. Another is a non-small cell lung cancer medication called Lorbrena.

In terms of its current product lineup, Pfizer’s biopharmaceutical operations continue to impress investors.

Despite not having a mega-blockbuster, it still has several top-selling drugs like Eliquis and Ibrance. Both showed 9% increase each in sales for the third quarter of 2020.

Taking all these into consideration, Pfizer is estimated to deliver solid growth in the next few years primarily thanks to its fast-developing oncology segment. This market is forecasted to experience an increase of $240 billion every year by 2023.

Overall, a successful COVID-19 program could provide a one-time earnings boost for Pfizer and a substantial earnings accretion in fiscal 2021.

However, this giant biopharmaceutical company’s extensive lineup of commercialized products and promising oncology pipeline mean that its revenue and share performance do not heavily depend on its coronavirus vaccine.

If Pfizer’s COVID-19 vaccine candidate fails, it won’t be a disaster for its shareholders, especially since the company’s shares do not seem to consider this program in its pricing.

In fact, Pfizer shares are looking inexpensive even without a successful COVID-19 vaccine candidate.

If it does turn out to be a success though, then Pfizer investors could enjoy some COVID-19 vaccine call option for free.

 

pfizer covid vaccine

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-11-10 11:00:302020-11-10 22:55:19Pfizer Adds Exclamation Point to its Declaration of Independence
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

November 3, 2020

Biotech Letter

Mad Hedge Biotech & Healthcare Letter
November 3, 2020
Fiat Lux

FEATURED TRADE:

(TESTED AND PROVEN COVID-19 STOCK FOR THESE UNCERTAIN TIMES)
(ABT), (PFE), (AZN), (MRNA)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-11-03 12:02:102020-11-03 12:25:31November 3, 2020
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Tested and Proven COVID-19 Stock for These Uncertain Times

Biotech Letter

As we hold our breath for the results of the presidential election, it’s no surprise that investors are wondering how their portfolios will be impacted.

That’s why now is the right time to pick a stock or two that can thrive regardless of who emerges as the victor.

To do this, it’s wise to look at a company that has already experienced a boost under Trump’s presidency and could continue to enjoy the rewards even with a Joe Biden administration.

The obvious common denominator is Trump and Biden’s goal to be aggressive in COVID-19 testing for as long as the virus is around.

Pfizer (PFE), AstraZeneca (AZN), and Moderna (MRNA) are undoubtedly three of the most widely reported coronavirus stocks in the past months.

These companies were the first to launch their COVID-19 vaccine candidates in human trials and are the leaders in the race towards the finish line.

However, long-term investors may find more value betting on one of my preferred COVID-19 stocks: the $188 billion healthcare behemoth Abbott Laboratories (ABT).

Let me tell you why.

In either Trump’s or Biden’s presidency, Abbott stands to benefit.

Regardless of the winner of the 2020 election, Abbott remains a winner for as long as COVID-19 continues to threaten the world.

While the majority of COVID-19 vaccine companies have yet to generate income from their coronavirus programs due to pending FDA approvals, Abbott has been leveraging its pipeline to boost its growth even with the pandemic.

Since the early days of this health crisis, Abbott has been working to stay ahead of the pack.

To date, the company has at least seven COVID-19 tests with emergency use authorization from the FDA and are available in the market.

These tests, which boosted Abbott’s diagnostics sales by 39% in the third quarter, range from detecting active cases to identifying whether a person has been infected with the virus in the past.

The latest swab test to join Abbott’s growing lineup of COVID-19 products is called the antigen test and is designed to deliver results in as fast as 15 minutes and costs only $5.

To add convenience, this test is connected to a mobile to allow users to access their results right away.

Prior to the antigen test, Abbott launched a rapid detection test called BinaxNOW. This test can also return results on-site within 15 minutes. It has a free digital app, which sends users with negative results a “digital health pass” right on their phones.

When BinaxNOW was launched in August, the Trump administration spent $760 million for 150 million tests. 

This company has supplied over 100 million COVID-19 tests and generated roughly $881 million in sales in the third quarter, up from the $615 million it reported in the second quarter.

Abbott is one of the safer stocks to own in the healthcare sector, with sales estimates for this company expected to grow by 14% in 2021 and 2022.

So far, Abbott shares have climbed 22% this year. Even amidst the pandemic, Abbott raised its full-year guidance for its earnings per share from $3.25 to $3.55.

While the company has been focused on its COVID-19 programs, this strategy is not a one-time deal.

On the contrary, the popularity of its COVID-19 testing kits serves as the much-needed door-opener for Abbott to expand its medical venues—an effort that generally takes years to develop.

For instance, its diabetes care segment alone managed to achieve a 26.9% year-over-year jump in sales to reach $843 million in the third quarter.

On top of that, Abbott has an incredibly diverse pipeline with over 100 new products across its different business units.

Abbott is a widely known dividend aristocrat, paying quarterly dividends consistently since 1924. It has a proven track record of solid performance and a carefully curated suite of businesses that promises future rewards.

At the rate the company is growing and the future projects it has in its pipeline, this dividend aristocrat would no doubt continue with this proud tradition of rewarding its investors generously.

covid-19 test

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-11-03 12:00:102020-11-03 22:10:00Tested and Proven COVID-19 Stock for These Uncertain Times
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

October 22, 2020

Biotech Letter

Mad Hedge Biotech & Healthcare Letter
October 22, 2020
Fiat Lux

FEATURED TRADE:

(IS THIS COVID-19 VACCINE OUTLIER ON THE FAST LANE?)
(NVAX), (PFE), (AZN), (JNJ), (SNY), (MRNA), (TAK)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-10-22 12:02:402020-10-22 12:57:58October 22, 2020
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Is this COVID-19 Vaccine Outlier in the Fast Lane?

Biotech Letter

It is not at all surprising that the biggest names in the healthcare industry are dominating the COVID-19 vaccine race.

After all, Big Pharmas such as Pfizer (PFE), AstraZeneca (AZN), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), and Sanofi (SNY) are backed with vast resources that even media favorites like Moderna (MRNA) find challenging to compete against.

For months now though, going head to head with these big-name frontrunners is a clear outlier: Novavax (NVAX).

So far, there are only 10 COVID-19 vaccine candidates that have reached late-stage testing and Novavax’s NVX-CoV2373 has been performing at par (if not better) than its rivals—and the market has definitely noticed.

When 2020 started, Novavax’s market capitalization was less than $130 million and traded at roughly $4 per share.

Ten months into the pandemic, this small biotechnology company’s market cap grew to over $6.5 billion and has been trading at $110 per share—and that is already after a price decrease in the past weeks.

Given the disparity in its size and resources compared to its competitors, it’s safe to say that Novavax has been punching way above its weight class particularly in terms of landing supply agreements for its COVID-19 program.

Novavax first received a CEPI grant in March worth $4 million, which was immediately dwarfed by the $384 million the biotech company got in May.

In a matter of months, Novavax joined the major league players and secured a $1.6 billion funding courtesy of the US government’s Operation Warp Speed program.

In exchange, the biotech company will supply 100 million doses of NVX-CoV2373 to the US upon approval.

Novavax also inked an agreement with the UK for 60 million doses and another with Canada for 76 million doses.

Novavax has also landed deals with Japan through Takeda Pharmaceutical (TAK) and India via the Serum Institute of India.

As expected, the grants and supply agreements were perceived as votes of confidence on Novavax’s work and the company reaped the rewards.

In March, the prices started moving from less than $10 per share to almost $50.

By May, the price moved up to roughly $80 per share.

After its Operation Warp Speed contract in July, Novavax’s price per share soared all the way to $189 before eventually falling to $110 this October.

Novavax has only conducted late-stage testing in the UK. But, Phase 3 is expected to begin in the US soon as well.

Admittedly, a lot is riding on NVX-CoV2373.

However, the company has actually offloaded the majority—if not all—of its financial risks linked to the program.

Riding the momentum of its COVID-19 vaccine candidate, Novavax has been working on a related influenza vaccine called Nanoflu.

Given the market size for this, Nanoflu is estimated to rake in an annual revenue somewhere between $550 million and $1.7 billion.

Another potential blockbuster is respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccine ResVax, which is projected to reach peak sales of $2 billion.

Novavax is also working on a vaccine candidate for the Ebola virus, the Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS-CoV), and Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS).

While NVX-CoV2373 is anticipated as Novavax’s moneymaker in the coming years, the biotech company can only realistically expect massive sales from this until 2023.

Looking at the company’s manufacturing partnerships and the aggressive timeline it has taken, Novavax is expected to produce 2 billion doses of its COVID-19 vaccine by mid-2021.

This is great news for its investors because of Novavax’s smaller market capitalization compared to its competitors.

Since the biotech company is projected as one of the first companies—if not the first—to offer a vaccine, then it can cover a substantial market share before its bigger rivals take over the market.

Even if Novavax prices its COVID-19 vaccine cheaply, say, $10 per dose, it can still generate $20 billion in annual sales.

Moreover, the late-stage success of NVX-CoV2373 will definitely cause Novavax’s stock price to skyrocket.

 Despite this potential though, it’s important to keep in mind that this biotech company still has a way lower market cap than its rivals.

That means its share price will move a lot higher compared to the stocks of the other vaccine leaders.

Therefore, Novavax’s small size is not a negative for its investors—it is actually an advantage.

So for biotech investors who are searching for a promising COVID-19 vaccine stock, there’s nothing cheaper and more promising than Novavax.

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-10-22 12:00:232020-10-26 00:41:41Is this COVID-19 Vaccine Outlier in the Fast Lane?
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

October 15, 2020

Biotech Letter

Mad Hedge Biotech & Healthcare Letter
October 15, 2020
Fiat Lux

FEATURED TRADE:

(KEEP AN EYE OUT ON THE SLOWER RUNNERS IN THE COVID-19 VACCINE RACE)
(SNY), (GSK), (MRNA), (FPE), (AZN), (PRNB)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-10-15 11:02:382020-10-15 11:36:22October 15, 2020
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