Trade Alert - (C) September 8, 2020

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline.

Trade Alert - (C) –BUY

BUY the Citigroup (C) September 2020 $45-$48 in-the-money vertical Bull Call spread at $2.60 or best

Opening Trade

9-8-2020

expiration date: September 18, 2020

Portfolio weighting: 10%

Number of Contracts = 38 contracts

I am going to use this 600 point dive in the Dow Average this morning to increase my position in the banks.

Banks are the quality play in the market right now as it has the lowest price earnings multiple at 6X, and the best growth outlook in any economic recovery.

Banks now account for 15.5% of (SPY) earnings but are only 10% of stock market capitalization. Big tech gives us 13% of earnings but is a hefty 20% of market capitalization. Because of this, there is about to be a big rotation out of tech and into banks.

This cycle of COVID-19 infections is imminently going to peak out and start declining, at least for the short term.

As a result, I believe the core long FANG trade is long overdue for a break. Instead, I think we are about to witness a major rotation into domestic economic “recovery” stocks. Stocks will keep going up, but the leadership will change. Bonds and gold are also due for profit-taking.

With the September 18 option expiration only 8 trading days off, there are a handful of option plays that make all the sense in the world, offering very high return, low-risk returns.

There is no better domestic recovery play than the big banks. During a recovery, they will benefit from steeply rising interest rates, fewer defaults, yet continued government subsidies.

I am therefore buying the Citigroup (C) September 2020 $45-$48 in-the-money vertical Bull Call spread at $2.60 or best.

Don’t pay more than $2.80 or you will be chasing. Stock players should go ahead and buy the shares, which probably have a double in them over the next three years.

DO NOT USE MARKET ORDERS UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES.

Simply enter your limit order, wait five minutes, and if you don’t get done cancel your order and increase your bid by 5 cents with a second order.

This is a bet that Citigroup (C) would not trade below $48 by the September 18 option expiration day in 8 trading days.

Here are the specific trades you need to enter this position:

Buy 38 September 2020 (C) $45 calls at………….…..……$8.00

Sell short 38 September 2020 (C) $48 calls at……….…..$5.40

Net Cost:……………………..…….………..………........….….....$2.60

Potential Profit: $3.00 - $2.60 = $0.40

(38 X 100 X $0.40) = $1,520, or 15.38% in 8 trading days.

To see how to enter this trade in your online platform, please look at the order ticket above, which I pulled off of Interactive Brokers.

If you are uncertain on how to execute an options spread, please watch my training video by clicking here.

The best execution can be had by placing your bid for the entire spread in the middle market and waiting for the market to come to you. The difference between the bid and the offer on these deep in-the-money spread trades can be enormous.

Don’t execute the legs individually or you will end up losing much of your profit. Spread pricing can be very volatile on expiration months farther out.

Keep in mind that these are ballpark prices at best. After the alerts go out, prices can be all over the map.

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