Trade Alert - (FCX) March 5, 2019 - BUY

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline.

 

Trade Alert - (FCX) – BUY

BUY the Freeport McMoRan (FCX) April 2019 $10-$11 vertical BULL CALL spread at $0.90 or up to $0.94

Opening Trade

3-5-2019

expiration date: April 18, 2019

Portfolio weighting: 20%

Number of Contracts = 220 contracts

There isn’t much to do in the stock market here prior to the announcement of a China trade deal and with prices at five-month highs.

The risk here is that markets don’t rocket or crash but produce a dreaded flat line or death where nothing moves and there is no money to be made.

I am therefore going to buy the bottom in Freeport McMoRan with double the normal size. I highly doubt that any stock in the commodity area will challenge its December Christmas Eve lows any time soon.

There is an entry point here, with copper down 3% and (FCX) off 10% from its recent highs. This is also a play on dollar weakness which should take place as long as the Fed doesn’t raise interest rates.

Therefore, I am buying the Freeport McMoRan (FCX) April 2019 $10-$11 vertical BULL CALL spread at $0.90 or best

Don’t pay for than $0.94 or you will be chasing.

If you don’t do options, buy the (FCX) shares outright. There is a potential double in these shares from this level.

This is a bet that the (FCX) will not rise fall below $11.00 by the April 18 option expiration in 32 trading days.

There’s nothing like getting in on the ground floor of a raging bull market in commodities to get your juices flowing, even for a senior citizen.

That’s why I am jumping into the Freeport McMoRan (FCX) right here and right now. (FCX) is the world’s largest producer of copper.

Many thanks to my many subscribers who work at Freeport, although I assure you, you had absolutely nothing to do with the recent move in your stock.

This is inspired by the fact that prices for the red metal (CU) have recently broken out of a major long term bottom.

Instead, there is a parade of people I wish to thank for the opportunity presented by this trade.

First, I have to tip my hat to Federal Reserve Chairman, Jay Powell, for making it abundantly clear to me on countless occasions that he has absolutely no intention of raising interest rates this year. This will knock the wind out of the greenback, and given newfound strength to commodity stocks like (FCX).

Hey, Jay, call me!

I also want to thank the government in Beijing for the assist, which announced a major program to stimulate the Chinese economy through the reduction of bank reserve requirements.

China is the world’s largest consumer of copper, and a stronger economy consumes more of the red metal, boosting prices northward.

I owe you all a Peking duck dinner for this one. Might I suggest the Da Dong Roast Duck Restaurant on Dongsi on the 10^th Alley in Beijing? They’re supposed to be the best in town.

Finally, one can’t ignore the contribution of the Houthi rebels in Yemen for inspiring a sharp rally in the price of crude oil (USO), which helped drag up the price of other commodity stocks as well, including those producing copper.

For you I owe a round of falafels and cooked sheep’s eyes, favorites of yours, I know. However, I’ll have to mail this one in, lest a CIA Predator drone strikes take me out over dinner.

When it rains, it pours.

If instead of buying the (FCX) call spread, you can also purchase the shares outright, the United States Copper Fund (CPER), First Quantum Minerals Ltd. (FM.TO), Antofagasta (ANTO.L), hang on. We are going much higher.

The 200-day moving average beckons at $13.60. And if the Chinese economic recovery is real, as the stock market there seems to think, you can easily double that target.

I have a feeling that Freeport McMoRan is my new rich uncle, cutting me generous maintenance checks every month.

Here are the specific trades you need to execute this position:

Buy 220 April 2019 (FCX) $10 calls at………….………$3.00

Sell short 220 April 2019 (FCX) $11 calls at…………$2.10
Net Cost:………………………….………..………….….....$0.90

Potential Profit: $1.00 - $0.90 = $0.10

(220 X 100 X $0.10) = $2,200 or 11.11% in 32 trading days.

 

To see how to enter this trade in your online platform, please look at the order ticket above, which I pulled off of Interactive Brokers.