Trade Alert - (QQQ) May 18, 2021

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline.

Tech Alert - Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) – BUY

BUY - Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) June 2021 $340-$350 in-the-money vertical BEAR put spread at $8.68

Opening Trade

5-18-2021

expiration date: June 18, 2021

Portfolio weighting: 10%

Number of Contracts = 12 contracts

This is a short-term bet that Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) will stay BELOW $340 in the next 31 days which means that even if the underlying stock goes slightly up from the current price, we will still make a profit.

Money has rotated out of technology for the time being as the reopening of the economy is supercharging other sectors to the detriment of tech.

Price action has been weak in tech lately and especially today when we opened strongly in the green only for the market to fade away in the afternoon.

It’s a worrying sign signaling that the Nasdaq hasn’t absorbed all the negative momentum yet and we won’t be making new all high time highs in the Nasdaq which ultimately is the genesis of this in-the-money bear put spread.

And what do we have in the headlines today? US Treasury Secretary Yellen pushing higher taxes, stronger unions, more global competition to U.S. Chamber which is not necessarily positive for equity appreciation.

I still love the cash cow of tech like Google, Apple, Microsoft, and Facebook, but as a whole sector, tech appears to be fully priced as even sensational earnings haven’t been the catalyst to spur the next leg up.

So I am executing a short-dated put spread betting that the Nasdaq will NOT make new all time highs in the next 16 days.

I still love technology and they are the long-term difference makers in the economy, but the sector is in the process of being rerated.

If you don’t do options, avoid for now, but if you hold the ETF, keep it long-term.

Here are the specific trades you need to execute this position:

Buy 12 June 2021 (QQQ) $350 put at………….………$26.81

Sell short 12 June 2021 (QQQ) $340 put at………….$18.13

Net Cost:…………………...;.......…..…….………..…….....$8.68

Potential Profit: $10 - $8.68 = $1.32

(12 X 100 X $1.32) = $1,584 or 15.21% in 31 days

If you are uncertain on how to execute an options spread, please watch my training video by clicking here.

The best execution can be had by placing your bid for the entire spread in the middle market and waiting for the market to come to you. The difference between the bid and the offer on these deep in-the-money spread trades can be enormous.

Don’t execute the legs individually or you will end up losing much of your profit. Spread pricing can be very volatile on expiration months farther out.

Keep in mind that these are ballpark prices at best. After the alerts go out, prices can be all over the map.

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