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John Thomas - Beach

I was pondering an FXE trade alert from MHFT today when my cell rang with a Berkeley, CA area code. Since I know a couple people in that part of the world, I answered, and it was none other than John … [Read More...]

Isaac Newton

“I can calculate the motions of heavenly bodies, but never the madness of crowds,” said Sir Isaac Newton, the inventor of calculus and discoverer of Newton’s Laws, who lost his entire fortune in a … [Read More...]

Global Market Comments
April 17, 2015
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:



The Portfolio That Will Double in Three Years

Below, I have listed a portfolio of ten stocks that will almost certainly double in three years. If I am wrong, it will gain 100% in only two years. But there is a catch. This basket of stocks may have to drop 20%-30% first. It is a cardinal rule of investment that if you want […]

John Thomas

My Updated View of the Stock Market

Sooner, and not as high. Those are the adjustments that I am making to my forecast this year for the performance of the US stock markets for the year. You may recall that in my 2015 Annual Asset Class Review (click here), that I thought the S&P 500 might appreciate from 2,060 to 2,350 by […]


Cyber Security is Only Just Getting Started

It looks like the cyber security sector, one of the best market performers so far in 2015, is about to take off like a rocket once again. There could be another 25%-50% in it this year. The near destruction of Sony (SNE) by North Korean hackers last November has certainly put the fear of God […]

More Research Master Pieces

Live Webinars

John Thomas

Don’t Miss the April 15 Global Strategy Webinar

My next global strategy webinar will be held on Wednesday, April 15 at 12:00 PM EDT, which I will be broadcasting life from Incline Village. The Mad Day Trader will be my willing co-conspirator. I’ll be giving you my updated outlook on stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, precious metal, and real estate. The goal is to […]

Global Strategy Luncheons

Empire State Building

Meet John Thomas and Jim Parker in New York on June 25, 2015

Come join Mad Day Trader Jim Parker and I for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Luncheon, which we will be conducting in New York, NY on Thursday, June 25, 2015. An excellent three course lunch will be provided. A PowerPoint presentation will be followed by an extended question and answer period. […]

Free Research

Apple Watch

Watch Out for Apple in the Dow

Apple holders (AAPL) were ecstatic and even apoplectic when they heard that their beloved company would be joining the Dow Average of 30 stocks on March 18. The move requires thousands of portfolio managers to add Apple to their portfolios, like the $32 billion worth of Dow index managers, whether they want to or not. […]

Smoke Stacks

The Price Tag for Clean Coal

I wanted to get the low down on clean coal (KOL) to see how clean it really is, so I visited some friends at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory in California. The modern day descendent of the Atomic Energy Commission, where I had a student job in the early seventies, the leading researcher on laser induced […]

John Thoms - Black Swans

Right Sizing Your Trading

I can’t tell you how many times I have been woken up in the middle of the night by an investor who was sleepless over a position that was going the wrong way. Gold was down $50, the Euro was spiking two cents, or the stock market was enduring one of its periodic heart attacks. […]

More Free Research Pieces

Travel Videos

John Thomas - Harem

Announcing the Mad Hedge Fund Trader YouTube Video in Istanbul

Come with me to visit one of the most lavish palaces ever built, complete with its own harem. Explore one of the boldest engineering works ever undertaken. Learn how to navigate your way around a Turkish bazaar. Admire some of the greatest wonders of the architectural world. These are just a few of the enticements […]

John Thomas

Announcing the Mad Hedge Fund Trader Video Channel on YouTube

One request I get more than any other, is to expand on my half century of international travel, provide a business, economic, and historical backdrop, and place it in today’s global context. Shake up such a cocktail of experience and knowledge, and more than a few trading and investment ideas spill over the top. If […]

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V.I.P Friends

Roy Essoyan

Tribute to a Giant of Journalism, Roy Essoyan

I had been filled with great sadness when I had learned of the passing of an old friend and mentor, Roy Essoyan, the former Tokyo bureau chief for the Associated Press. When I was a young, wet behind the ears financial journalist in Japan during the early seventies, Roy had the charity to take me […]

Emperor's New Clothes

March 12, 2015 – Quote of the Day

“Having spent three years in Washington, it’s easy to have delusion of grandeur in terms of how much you can stimulate the economy,” said Ed Lazear, former chairman of the Council of Economic Advisors.

Murray Sayle

Murray Sayle: The Passing of a Giant in Journalism

I was saddened when I heard of the death of my close friend, the Australian, Murray Sayle a few years ago, after his long battle with Parkinson’s disease at the age of 84. Murray was one of the giants of journalism in the second half of the 20th century. He started by editing the newspaper […]