March 30, 2010 – Treasury Bonds Are Not for Me

Featured Trades: (TBT), (TBF) 1) Treasury Bonds Are Not for Me. Last week's downward revision to Q4 GDP from 5.9% to 5.6% brings me to reiterate my advice to take profits in your long positions in the TBT, the leveraged short Treasury bond ETF. In the last year, the TBT has achieved seven 10% moves up in the $45-$50 range, and I expect this sideways grind to … [Read more...]

March 30, 2010 – Time to Sell US Stocks

Featured Trades: (FXI), ($SSEC) 2) Time to Sell US Stocks. So with the US stock market up almost every day in March, investors are hanging you by your ankles outside a window on a high floor, threatening to let go unless you increase your allocation to equities. How do you escape from this dire predicament? Buy Chinese stocks, where the Shanghai index ($SSEC) has been … [Read more...]

March 30, 2010 – An Evening With Malcolm Gladwell

Featured Trades: (MALCOLM GLADWELL) 3) An Evening With Malcolm Gladwell. I spent an evening with the New Yorker Magazine columnist, Malcolm Gladwell, author of The Tipping Point, Blink, and Outliers, and probably the most prolific publisher of original, consensus challenging ideas today. Half English and half Jamaican, the preeminent challenger of cliches and … [Read more...]

March 29, 2010 – The Mad Hedge Fund Trader Interviews John Petersen of Fefer, Petersen & Cie on Hedge Fund Radio

John Petersen is an attorney specializing in venture capital investments in the alternative energy space with Fefer, Petersen & Cie in Berne, Switzerland.  He argues that the entire electric car movement is a complete fraud orchestrated by a few big car companies pandering to growing numbers of 'green' consumers. Batteries are expensive, and do a poor job of replacing a gas … [Read more...]

March 29, 2010 – The Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update

Featured Trades: (STRATEGY LUNCH) 1) Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader's Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in a number of venues around the country this year. The first two will be held in San Francisco on April 23, and in New York on May 7. A three course lunch will be followed by a 45 minute PowerPoint presentation and a 30 minute … [Read more...]

March 29, 2010 – Enter the Golden Age for Hedge Funds

Featured Trades: (HEDGE FUNDS) 2) Enter the Golden Age for Hedge Funds. I think we are entering a new golden age for hedge funds. I haven't seen as many visible, easy to understand growth differentials since the eighties since the last golden age, when we all made fortunes going long high growth markets and currencies, like Japan and the yen, and shorting low … [Read more...]

March 29, 2010 – The Skinny on Batteries With John Petersen

Featured Trades: (JOHN PETERSEN), (JCI), (XIDE) 3) The Skinny on Batteries With John Petersen. John Petersen is an attorney specializing in venture capital investments in the alternative energy space with Fefer, Petersen & Cie in Berne, Switzerland.  He argues that the entire electric car movement is a complete fraud orchestrated by a few big car companies … [Read more...]

March 26, 2010 – The Days Are Numbered for US Treasury Bonds

Featured Trades: (TBT), (TBF) 1) The Days Are Numbered for US Treasury Bonds. I was so busy writing about the collapse of the yen yesterday that I didn't have a chance to comment on the nearly failed Treasury auction. The government offered  $42 billion five year bonds for sale which came in at a surprisingly high yield of 2.605%, with a bid to cover ratio at an … [Read more...]

March 26, 2010 – California Muni Bonds Are a Steal Here

Featured Trades: (CALIFORNIA), (VCV), (NCP), (NVX) 2) California Muni Bonds Are a Steal Here. The California governor's election is heating up, and the muck slinging is getting hot and heavy. The downside is that front runner Meg Whitman, of EBay fame, has launched such an aggressive, saturating, and negative TV campaign against rival, Steve Poizner, that he … [Read more...]

March 26, 2010 – Playing Catch Up With Titanium

Featured Trades: (TITANIUM), (TIE), (BA) 3) Playing Catch Up With Titanium. One of the many sectors I knew would go up a lot, which I just plain didn't have time to write about, is titanium stocks. But the top titanium producer in the US, Titanium Metals Corporation (TIE), has popped 43% in the past month, giving me the one fingered salute, so I feel obligated … [Read more...]

March 25, 2010 – Cash in Your Yen Shorts

Featured Trades: (YEN), (YCS), (TM), (NSANY), (SNE), (EUROYEN CROSS) 1) Cash in Your Yen Shorts. Paid subscribers who took my advice to clamber into short yen positions at ¥88.5 on March 4 were richly rewarded with a major breakdown in the Japanese currency today to ¥92.5 (click here for the call in my March 5 letter). Repatriation of yen by Japanese banks and … [Read more...]

March 25, 2010 – Sovereign Debt is a Great Place to Hide

Featured Trades: (PCY), (LQD) 3) Sovereign Debt is a Great Place to Hide. I am constantly asked where to find safe places to park cash by investors understandably unhappy with the risk/reward currently offered by the markets. Any reach for yield now carries substantial principal risk, the kind we saw, oh say, in the summer of 2007. I have had great luck … [Read more...]

March 24, 2010 – Here Comes Health Care

Featured Trades: (THE HEALTH CARE BILL) 1) Here Comes Health Care. Well, the sun rose this morning. After driving around Washington State listening to talk radio while the health care vote was counting down, I wasn't so sure I would see it again. With this single vote, Obama has torn up the constitution, deprived America of freedom, and signaled the end of our … [Read more...]

March 24, 2010 – Lumber Futures Are On Fire

Featured Trades: (LUMBER), (SUGAR), (PALL), (PPLT) 2) Lumber Futures Are On Fire. When I recommended that you take profits on lumber in my February 25 piece (click here ), after pleading with you to buy it for the past year, I hope you were all in a coma in intensive care, spending a weekend in Paris with your mistress, or on a long distance hike on the Appalachian … [Read more...]

March 23, 2010

Global Market Comments March 23, 2010 (SPECIAL TEXAS ISSUE) Featured Trades: (JOHN MAULDIN), (SPX), (XEU), (EEM), (GLD), (CMGTX), (TBT), (JAMES BAKER, III) 1) Son of Texas and financial seer, John Mauldin, believes the stock market could shed 40% in the near future (SPX). John is the president of Millennium Wave Advisors, LLC, a Dallas, Texas based … [Read more...]

March 18, 2010

Global Market Comments March 18, 2010 Note to Subscribers: there will be no letter tomorrow as I am taking a research day. Featured Trades: (SPX), (VIX), (MSFT), (INTC), (ORCL), (CSCO), (IDX), (NATIONAL IGNITION FACILITY) 1) OK, so the stock market is up seven days in a row now. But if I've told you once, I've told you a thousand times, stay out of those … [Read more...]

March 17, 2010

Global Market Comments March 17, 2010 Featured Trades: (RESIDENTIAL REAL ESTATE), (TRES AMIGAS TRANSMISSION PLANT), (SPX), (DOLLAR BILL) 1) It's time for my annual review of the residential real estate market in the High Sierra mountain hamlet of Incline Village, Nevada, and I am sad to report that antidepressant addiction among realtors there is still at epidemic … [Read more...]

March 17, 2010 – The Mad Hedge Fund Trader Interviews John Mauldin on Hedge Fund Radio

Market Seer John Mauldin Says the Stock Market Could Lose 40% From Here. Son of Texas and financial seer, John Mauldin, believes the stock market could shed 40% in the near future (SPX). John is the president of Millennium Wave Advisors, LLC, a Dallas, Texas based investment advisor, with $600 million in assets under management. John worries that the velocity of money, an … [Read more...]

March 15, 2010

Global Market Comments March 15, 2010 Featured Trades: (CHARLES NENNER), (SPX), (DOW), (YEN), (PALLADIUM), (PALL), (DEMOGRAPHICS) 1) After much pleading and cajoling, I managed to get a no holds barred, no stone unturned 40 minute interview with technical analyst to the stars, Charles Nenner of Charles Nenner Research in Amsterdam, for Hedge Fund Radio. Bottom line: … [Read more...]

March 11, 2010

Global Market Comments March 11, 2010 Featured Trades: (PCY), (TBF), (TM), (THE PACIFIC) NOTE TO SUBSCRIBERS: There will be no letter tomorrow, as I am taking a research day. 1) Get Ready for the April Surprise. I have a feeling that the markets are on a final countdown, but don't know it yet. No, I am not talking about the next issue of the TV show 24. On … [Read more...]

March 11, 2010 – The Mad Hedge Fund Trader Interviews Charles Nenner on Hedge Fund Radio

A second deflationary tidal wave may hit the US early as April. The Dow is going to crash, possibly heading for a double bottom at 6,000, and bonds are going up for the rest of the year. Gold has had it for the foreseeable future. Crude futures are predicting war with Iran by 2013. First, deflation, then inflation. The greatest trade of your lifetime is setting up. This trend … [Read more...]

March 10, 2010

    Global Market Comments March 10, 2010 Featured Trades: (WARREN BUFFET'S ANNUAL LETTER), (BRK/A), (SPX), (GS), (GE), (BYDDF)   1)Sorry about the absent letter yesterday. A virus took out my computer, and it consumed eight hours to reformat the hard drive, find all of my user keys and passwords, and reload the software. Trolling the … [Read more...]

March 8, 2010

Global Market Comments March 8, 2010 Featured Trades: (FEBRUARY NON-FARM PAYROLL), (YEN), (EUROYEN CROSS), (SPX), (GOOG), (AAPL), (GS), (BARTON BIGGS), (OEF), (MSFT), (INTC), (CSCO), (ORCL), (FXI), (PIN), (EWY), (THD), (EWT), (EWH), (TUR), (PLND), (RSX), (EWZ), (USO).   1) Something Amazing is Happening With the Payroll Figures. The February non-farm … [Read more...]

March 6, 2010 – The Mad Hedge Fund Trader Interviews Barton Biggs of Traxis Partners on Hedge Fund Radio

  Featured Trades: (MSFT), (INTC), (CSCO), (ORCL), (FXI), (PIN), (EWY), (THD), (EWT), (EWH), (TUR), (PLND), (RSX), (EWZ), (USO). Confessions of a Bull. Barton Biggs, founder of mega hedge fund Traxis Partners, spent an hour outlining his current investment strategy with me. Barton is a man of strong opinions, backed with intensive research, which he communicates with … [Read more...]

March 5, 2010

Global Market Comments March 5, 2010 Featured Trades: (JAPAN), (YEN), (YCS), (GOLD), (GLD),(NEM), (NATURAL GAS), (UNG), (HEDGE FUND RADIO), (BARTON BIGGS) 1) I'm hearing from my buddies in Japan that while things are already quite bad in that enchanting country, they are about to get a whole lot worse, and that it is time to start scaling into a major short in … [Read more...]

March 3, 2010

Global Market Comments March 3, 2010 Featured Trades: (JON NAJARIAN), (OPTIONMONSTER), (AUSSIE/EURO CROSS), (ETHANOL), (CORN) 1)How does an NFL linebacker develop a series of computer algorithms that give him a crucial edge when trading the market? That is the question I hoped to answer when I interviewed Jon Najarian, co-founder of OptionMonster (click here for the … [Read more...]

March 2, 2010

Global Market Comments March 2, 2010 Featured Trades: (30 YEAR TREASURY BOND), (TBF), (TBT), (RSX), (IDX), (THD), (PIN), (CGW), (PHO), (FIW), (VE), (TTEK), (PNR) 1) Louise Yamada, one of the most widely followed technical analysts in the market, says the 29 year bull market in Treasury bonds is coming to a close. Looking at the 200 year history of interest … [Read more...]

March 1, 2010

Global Market Comments March 1, 2010 Featured Trades: (CYB), (YUAN), (AGU), (POT) (MON), (DBA), (COPPER), (FCX), (CHILE), (ECH) 1) Since I have been setting off distress flairs warning of an inevitable revaluation of the Chinese Yuan, I thought you would be interested to hear about what popped up on my radar on Friday. No lesser authority than the Beijing based … [Read more...]