Archive | May, 2011

May 31, 2011 – When to Buy Japan?

Featured Trades: (IS JAPAN GETTING READY TO BLOOM?), (TM), (NSANY), (FANUY), (CAJ), (KMTUY), (FXJ),(YCS)   1) When to Buy Japan? It has been three months since the horrific Japanese tsunami, the economy is in free fall, and radiation is still lingering in the air and water. It now appears that the beleaguered nation's GDP shrank […]

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May 31, 2011 – 'RISK OFF' Takes a Break

Featured Trades: ('RISK OFF' TAKES A BREAK)   2) 'RISK OFF' Takes a Break. If you had to pick a point where the 'RISK OFF' trade takes a short break, it would be right here. One month into the strategy, and virtually all asset classes have hit key points where you would naturally expect some […]

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May 27, 2011 – The Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s July 18 Chicago Strategy Luncheon

Featured Trades: (CHICAGO STRATEGY LUNCHEON)   1) The Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s July 18 Chicago Strategy Luncheon. Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Chicago on Thursday, July 18, 2010. A three course lunch will be followed by a 30 minute PowerPoint […]

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May 27, 2011 – The Battle of the 100 Day Moving Average

Featured Trades: (THE BATTLE OF THE 100 DAY MOVING AVERAGE)   2) The Battle of the 100 Day Moving Average. Take a look at the chart below from StockCharts.com and it is clear that the line in the sand for the stock market is the 100 day moving average at 1,312. I have noticed an […]

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May 26, 2011 – The July 7 Los Angeles Strategy Luncheon

Featured Trades: (LOS ANGELES STRATEGY LUNCHEON)   1) The July 7 Los Angeles Strategy Luncheon. Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Los Angeles on Thursday, July 7, 2011 at 12:00 noon. A three course lunch will be followed by a 30 […]

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May 26, 2011 – An Evening With Nobel Prize Winner Michael Spence

Featured Trades: (AN EVENING WITH NOBEL PRIZE WINNER MICHAEL SPENCE), (EWZ), (EWY), (EWT), (EWS) , (EWY), (TF) , (IDX), (EWM), (FXI), (EWJ)   2) An Evening With Nobel Prize Winner Michael Spence.  I have always been a sucker for a visiting Nobel Prize winner in economics. So when I heard that Dr. Michael Spence was […]

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May 25, 2011 – Revisiting the First Silver Bubble

Featured Trades: (REVISITNG THE FIRST SILVER BUBBLE), (SLV)   1) Revisiting the First Silver Bubble. With smoke still rising from the ruins of the recent silver crash, I thought I’d touch base with a wizened and grizzled old veteran who still remembered the last time a bubble popped for the white metal. That would be […]

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May 25, 2011 – The Vultures are Circling Around the Euro

Featured Trades: (THE VULTURES ARE CIRCLING AROUND THE EURO), (FXE), (EUO)   2) The Vultures are Circling Around the Euro. It has not been a great week for the beleaguered European currency (FXE), (EUO). The chickens, no, make that vultures, are coming home to roost. Belgian and Spanish debt has been downgraded. The UK's debt […]

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May 25, 2011 – How’s That ‘RISK OFF’ Trade Working?

Featured Trades: (HOW’S THAT RISK OFF TRADE WORKING?), (SPX), (SDS), (GLD), (USO), (DUG), (TLT), (TBT), (FCX), (CU)   3) How’s That ‘RISK OFF’ Trade Working? Take a look at the chart below since I made my watershed call to put on a ‘RISK OFF’ portfolio on April 25 (click here for the link). Almost all […]

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May 24, 2011 – Macro Millionaire Portfolio Clocks a 40% Gain YTD

Featured Trades: (MACRO MILLIONAIRE TOPS 40%) 1) Macro Millionaire Portfolio Clocks a 40% Gain YTD. After posting one of the best days of the year yesterday, up 5%, the Macro Millionaire model trading portfolio year to date performance topped 40%. This compares to a gain of only 11% for the S&P 500 since November 29, […]

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May 24, 2011 – QE3 Has Already Started

Featured Trades: (QE3 HAS ALREADY STARTED)   2) QE3 Has Already Started. Most analysts have missed the fact that QE3 has already started in earnest. Of course, it would have been easy to miss. Ben Bernanke has not made any grand pronouncements. He hasn't done some public thinking out loud, as he did among friends […]

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May 23, 2011 – The S&P 500 in 2020

Featured Trades: (THE S&P 500 IN 2020)   2) The S&P 500 in 2020. Dr. Robert Shiller certainly knows which end of a PE multiple to hold up. He is one of the few economists out there who has produced the sort of long term historical and mathematical analysis of financial valuations that is rare […]

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May 23, 2011 – The Bear Case for Oil

Featured Trades: (THE BEAR CASE FOR OIL), (USO), (DUG)   3) The Bear Case for Oil. Let's do some out of the box thinking here. Let's say that the global economy is really slowing down. The demand for oil will fall. Let's say that China continues to raise interest rates, slowing its economy further. Then […]

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May 20, 2011 – Drinks With Robert Reich

Featured Trades: (DRINKS WITH ROBERT REICH)   2) Drinks With Robert Reich. The commencement speaker at this week's graduation ceremonies at the University of California at Berkeley just so happened to be Robert Reich, Bill Clinton's Secretary of Labor, and an old friend of mine, who now a distinguished professor at the Goldman School of […]

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May 20, 2011 – The Glencore Effect

Featured Trades: (THE GLENCORE EFFECT), (BLK), (RENN), (LNKD)   3) The Glencore Effect. One of the greatest indicators that the music has stopped playing, the fat lady is singing, and it is time to get out of Dodge City, is the level of insider selling. Given the recent hyperactivity of the IPO calendar, it's looking […]

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