Archive | September, 2012

Do the Ratings Agencies Need New Typists?

If there were ever a deep lagging indicator, it is a downgrade by a ratings agency. While the housing market peaked in 2006, these despised institutions didn’t get around to marking paper down from triple “A” to junk until four years later. Then in August, 2011, Standard and Poor’s downgraded U.S. Treasury bonds. After that, […]

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Bill Ackman’s Hong Kong Dollar Play

You are all well aware of my love affair with the Chinese Yuan (CYB), which I expect to appreciate substantially in coming years off the back of China’s continuing economic miracle. Bill Ackman, of Pershing Square Capital Management fame, has come up with his own variation, that of piling on a leveraged long in the […]

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Watch Out For Those Dinosaur Turds

The dinosaur bone market has crunched. Once a favorite collectible of high-flying hedge fund managers, the prices of everything from tyrannosaurus rex to brontosaurus fossils have skidded. A recent auction of a triceratops skeleton failed to reach its minimum bid of $1 million. Even prices for fossilized dinosaur excrement, a popular niche market, have gone […]

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September 28, 2012 — Quote of the Day

“Buy and hold is unfortunately completely out the door. People have to be more active than ever before. It is going to be very difficult for individual investors. You are going to end up with a return of 5% or so best case.” said Jeffrey Gundlach, CEO of fixed income manager Doubleline.

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SOLD OUT — October 19, 2012 Washington DC Strategy Luncheon

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Washington DC at noon on Friday, October 19, 2012. A three course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up-to-date view on […]

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Order Execution 101

Given the sudden uptick in trade alerts I have been sending out to my Global Trading Dispatch subscribers, some 60 since August 10, I have been inundated with requests for how to execute these. So I thought I’d take some time today to expound on the basics of order execution 101. There are three basic […]

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September 27, 2012 — Quote of the Day.

“It’s an ugly contest; do you want the dollar, the euro, or the yen,” said hedge fund legend, Ray Dalio of Bridgewater Associates.

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Trade Alert – (USO) September 26, 2012

As a potentially profitable opportunity presents itself, John will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what should be bought, when to buy it, and at what price.

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Bernanke’s Stake Through Romney’s Heart.

I can just imagine how Ben Bernanke’s announcement of QE3 went down at Mitt Romney’s campaign headquarters in Massachusetts last week. Doors slammed, heads pounded against walls, and hair was torn out. You can almost hear the whoosh of resume’s flying down to conservative think tanks on Washington DC’s “K” street as campaign workers scramble […]

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September 26, 2012 — Quote of the Day.

“The nice thing about gold is that it has no PE multiple. Because it earns and yields nothing, gold is a speculation on the systematic debasement of currencies by central banks,” said Jim Grant of Grant’s Interest Rate Observer.

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SOLD OUT — September 28, 2012 Las Vegas Strategy Luncheon

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Las Vegas, Nevada on Friday, September 28, 2012. A three-course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question-and-answer period. I’ll be giving you my up-to-date view on stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities, […]

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Oil is Not Looking So Hot.

I received another one of those scratchy cell phone calls from my friend in the West Texas oil patch. You could almost feel the dust coming through the ether. He said that while Ben Bernanke his committed to buying $40 billion a month of mortgage-backed securities as part of QE3, he has not promised to […]

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September 25, 2012 — Quote of the Day.

“China is the classic emerging market roach motel, except it’s a really big one. It is very difficult to earn adequate returns on capital and to get your capital back as a westerner,” said Jim Chanos of hedge fund Kynikos Associates.  

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Testimonial.

Thank you so much for the newsletter you sent out – I really enjoyed reading it. You’ve got quite a unique and engaging style as a writer, world traveler/lecturer and of course, trader. I’m glad to see your performance numbers catapulted you to the top percentile of the hedge fund ranks – all the best […]

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Don’t Miss the Big Show in Silver.

Those transfixed by gold blasting through the $1,750 level have been missing the real action in silver. The white metal has soared 34% to $34 since the beginning of the year, compared to only a 14% move for the barbaric relic, an outperformance of 2.4 to one. I have been a raging bull on the […]

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