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October 6, 2010 – A Visit to the Insane Asylum

(SPECIAL FIXED INCOME ISSUE) Featured Trades: (TREASURY BONDS), (TBT), (TMV) 1) A Visit to the Insane Asylum. Watching the ten year Treasury bond tickle a 2.42% yield yesterday, I thought it would be propitious to revisit the insanity that is going on in THIS market. Historically, ten year bond yields matched the nominal GDP growth […]

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October 6, 2010 – The Seductive Allure of Brazilian Bonds

(SPECIAL FIXED INCOME ISSUE) Featured Trades: (BRAZILIAN BONDS), (EWZ) 2) The Seductive Allure of Brazilian Bonds. OK, let’s say that if you don’t own bonds, but someone is holding a gun to your head, dangling you by your ankles outside a window on a high floor, or threatening to cut you off their Christmas card […]

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October 6, 2010 – The Very Long View on China

(SPECIAL FIXED INCOME ISSUE) Featured Trades: (THE LONG VIEW ON CHINA), (FXI) 3) The Very Long View on China. I have long sat beside the table of Mckinsey & Co., the best management consulting company in Asia, hoping to catch some crumbs of wisdom. So, I jumped at the chance to have breakfast with Shanghai […]

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October 5, 2010 – Contemplations on Oil

Featured Trades: (OIL), (XOM), (CVX), (OXY), (COP), (RSX)   1) Contemplations on Oil.  After a tumultuous 2009, oil has been one of the least volatile assets of 2010, confined to a tortuous $68-$88 range, frustrating momentum players to no end. How many city morgues are packed with the bodies of those who sold every dip […]

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October 5, 2010 – Say Goodbye to Your Favorite Teacher

Featured Trades: (ONLINE EDUCATION), (BBBB) 2) Say Goodbye to Your Favorite Teacher. Don’t bother taking an apple to school to give your favorite teacher, unless you want to leave it in front of a machine. The school teacher is about to join the sorry ranks of the service station attendant, the elevator operator, and the […]

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October 5, 2010 – Welcome to the Limit Down Move

Featured Trades: (CORN), (WHEAT) 3) Welcome to the Limit Down Move. Those who are new to trading the agricultural commodity area, the dilettantes, the neophytes, and the wanabees, who have watched in awe as prices trended skyward for the past four months, may not be familiar with how they behave on the downside. They got […]

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October 1, 2010 – Only Three Weeks to Go Until the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s San Francisco Strategy Luncheon!

Featured Trades: (SAN FRANCISCO STRATEGY LUNCHEON) 1) Only Three Weeks to Go Until the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s San Francisco Strategy Luncheon! Come join me for lunch at The Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s semiannual Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in San Francisco at 12:00 noon on October 22, 2010. A three course […]

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October 1, 2010 – Double Click on Alibaba

Featured Trades: (ALIBABA) 2) Double Click on Alibaba. Given my bullish take on China in my September 28th letter, I’m going to be putting a few more single names out there. Jim Trippon’s China Stock Market Digest published a recommendation that caught my eye (click here for my Hedge Fund Radio interview with Jim). Alibaba […]

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October 1, 2010 – Gold is Now At the Deep End of the Pool

Featured Trades: (GOLD), (GLD) SPDR Gold Shares Trust 3) Gold is Now At the Deep End of the Pool. For me, the best case scenario which I have been predicting for nearly two years has arrived. But as much as I love gold for the long term, I have to take note when a number […]

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September 30, 2010 – The Long View on Emerging Markets

Featured Trades: (EMERGING MARKETS), (EEM), (EWZ), (RSX), (PIN), (FXI) Brazil iShares ETF Market Vectors Russia ETF PowerShares India Portfolio ETF iShares FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index ETF 1) The Long View on Emerging Markets. I managed to catch a few comments on TV yesterday in the distinct northern accent of Jim O'Neil, the fabled analyst who […]

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September 30, 2010 – Pushing on a String Up Close and Ugly

Featured Trades: (RESIDENTIAL REAL ESTATE) 2) Pushing on a String Up Close and Ugly. With many economists arguing that Quantitative Easing II amounts to nothing more than pushing on a string, I'll show you what it looks like up close and ugly. The online real estate firm, Zillow.com, has analyzed the results of tens of […]

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September 30, 2010 – Have You Seen Molycorp Lately?

Featured Trades: (RARE EARTHS), (MCP), (AVARF), (LYSCF) 3) Have You Seen Molycorp Lately? I have only recommended one stock IPO this year, and that is for the resurrecting rare earths producer, Molycorp (MCP).  Since the July launch, it has rocketed 114% from $14 to $30, and then pulled back 15% today (click here for ‘It’s […]

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September 30, 2010 – The “Friday-Monday Effect” Exposed

Featured Trades: (THE FRIDAY-MONDAY EFFECT) 4) The 'Friday-Monday Effect' Exposed. Dennis Gartman of the ever interesting The Gartman Letter published an interesting analysis on the 'Monday-Friday' effect. If you bought every Friday close this year and sold the Monday close, your return so far would be 14.20%, versus a 0.42% return on the S&P 500. […]

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September 29, 2010 – I Told You to Buy Mongolia!

(SPECIAL MONGOLIAN ISSUE) Featured Trades: (MONGOLIA), (IVN), (RTP)   1) I Told You to Buy Mongolia! The global resource frenzy has grown so heated that money has begun pouring into the marginal fringes of the universe. The Mongolian stock market has been one of the world’s best performers this year, spiking some 100%. I have […]

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September 29, 2010 – The Leveraged Upside Play in Silver

(SPECIAL MONGOLIAN ISSUE) Featured Trades: (SILVER), (SLW), (SLV) iShares Silver Trust 2) The Leveraged Upside Play in Silver. Silver really seems to have the bit between its teeth, not pausing at all after blasting through $21/ounce to a new 30 year high. If you think the move will continue, you better take a look at […]

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