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Don’t Be Short China Here

Everyone who has been reading this letter for the past seven years (yes, there are quite a few of you), know that I am a fundamentalist first and a technician second. Of course you need to use both, as those who mistakenly leave one tool in the bag reliably underperform indexes. The one liner here […]

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Catching up with Economist David Hale

I have been relying on David Hale as my de facto global macro economist for decades and I never miss an opportunity to get his updated views. The challenge is in writing down David’s eye popping, out of consensus ideas fast enough, because he spits them out in such a rapid-fire succession. Since David is […]

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July 8, 2014

Global Market Comments July 8, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JULY 18 BARCELONA, SPAIN STRATEGY LUNCHEON) (TIME TO TAKE ANOTHER RIDE WITH GENERAL MOTORS), (GM), (F), (TM), (TESTIMONIAL), (QUANTITATIVE EASING EXPLAINED TO A 12 YEAR OLD) General Motors Company (GM) Ford Motor Co. (F) Toyota Motor Corporation (TM)

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July 18 Barcelona, Spain Strategy Luncheon

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Barcelona, Spain on Friday, July 18, 2014. A three course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on […]

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Time to Take Another Ride with General Motors

It is safe to say that all of the bad news is finally in the price at General Motors (GM). In the wake of the latest batch of recalls last week, the total number of cars slated for mandatory repairs now equals virtually all of the company’s production of the last five years. Woe to […]

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Quantitative Easing Explained to a Twelve Year Old

I know you spend all day trolling the internet for the most entertaining video on YouTube every day. What, you don’t? I’m shocked, shocked. That’s OK, so I’ve done it for you. Click on the link below to watch a six-minute animation explaining quantitative easing to a 12 year old, using cute little cuddly figures. […]

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July 7, 2014

Global Market Comments July 7, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (THE TIME TO DUMP THE EURO IS HERE), (FXE), (EUO), (UUP), (TAKING PROFITS ON CATERPILLAR), (CAT)  CurrencyShares Euro Trust (FXE) ProShares UltraShort Euro (EUO) PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish (UUP) Caterpillar Inc. (CAT)

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The Time to Dump the Euro is Here

The blockbuster nonfarm payroll on Friday, coming in at a heady 288,000 has certainly removed any doubt that the US economy will reaccelerate in the fall. Earlier months were substantially revised up. Monthly job growth of 200,000 plus now seems to be the new norm, after five consecutive months of such prints. The headline unemployment […]

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Taking Profits on Caterpillar

So, I’m sitting here in my Turkish redoubt, fighting off unusually aggressive flies and going over my charts. It’s further proof that no matter where in the world you travel, work follows you. There is truly no rest for the wicked. As a respite, I have the Best of the Guess Who playing on iTunes. […]

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July 4, 2014

Global Market Comments July 4, 2013 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (PRESIDENT HILLARY AND THE MARKETS), (TESTIMONIAL)

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The Markets and President Hillary

Yes, I know that the presidential election of 2016 is another two years off. But if you already know the outcome of that contest you can use it to your advantage trading the markets today. You don’t want to get caught out like many conservatives did in 2012, who were forced to dump stock in […]

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July 3, 2014

Global Market Comments July 3, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (MAD HEDGE FUND TRADER SETS NEW ALL TIME HIGH WITH 19.74% GAIN IN 2014), (GOOGL), (TLT), (CAT), (IBM), (SPY), (VIX), (MSFT), (POPULATION BOMB ECHOES), (POT), (MOS), (AGU), (WEAT), (CORN), (SOYB), (RJA) (THE COOLEST TOMBSTONE CONTEST) Google Inc. (GOOGL) iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) Caterpillar […]

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Mad Hedge Fund Trader Sets New All Time High with 19.74% Gain in 2014

I am writing this to you from the ancient city of Bodrum on the southwest coast of Turkey. Coming here, I had to set my watch ahead ten hours, then back 3,000 years. As I sit here on my balcony, a flotilla of yachts, both large and small, motor by with the Greek island of […]

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Population Bomb Echoes

Pack your portfolios with agricultural plays like Potash (POT), Mosaic (MOS) and Agrium (AGU) if Dr. Paul Ehrlich is just partially right about the impending collapse of the world’s food supply. You might even throw in long positions in wheat (WEAT), corn (CORN), soybeans (SOYB) and rice. The never dull and often controversial Stanford biology […]

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The Coolest Tombstone Contest

To prove that The Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader only deals with the highest quality, top drawer clientele, I want to share the picture below sent in by a subscriber.

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