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Oil Isn’t What It Used to Be

Virtually every analyst has been puzzled by the seeming immunity of stock markets to soaring oil prices (USO), (DIG), (DUG) this year. In fact, stocks and crude have been tracking almost one to one on the upside. The charts below a friend at JP Morgan sent me go a long way towards explaining this apparent […]

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March 19, 2013

Global Market Comments March 19, 2013 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (BUY STOCKS ON THE CYPRUS DIP), (SPX), (SPY), (INVESTORS WILL WIN THE ETF PRICE WAR), (BIDDING FOR THE STARTS), (THE DEATH OF THE MUTUAL FUND) S&P 500 Large Cap Index (SPX) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)

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Buy Stocks on the Cyprus Dip

I’ll never forget the last time I was in Cyprus. I landed my twin Cessna 340 and asked for a fill up, hoping to make it back to Rome in one hop. An hour later, a truck dumped three 45-gallon drums of 100LL avgas on the tarmac with a hand pump, and asked to be […]

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Investors Will Win the ETF Price War

Many hedge fund traders are unhappy about the current near monopoly enjoyed by the top three ETF issuers, Black Rock, State Street, and Vanguard, which control 80% of the market. At last count more than 1,300 ETF’s were capitalized at more than $1.4 trillion. The result has been grasping management fees, exorbitant expense ratios, and […]

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Bidding for the Stars

A few years ago, I went to a charity fund raiser at San Francisco’s priciest jewelry store, Shreve & Co., where the well-heeled men bid for dates with the local high society beauties, dripping in diamonds and Channel No. 5. Well fueled with champagne, I jumped into a spirited bidding war over one of the […]

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The Death of the Mutual Fund

ETF’s are much more attractive than mutual fund competitors, with their notoriously bloated expenses and spendthrift marketing costs. You can’t miss those glitzy, overproduced, big budget ads on TV for a multitude of mutual fund families. You know, the ones with the senior couple holding hands walking down the beach into the sunset, the raging […]

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March 18, 2013

Global Market Comments March 18, 2013 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (MARCH 20 GLOBAL STRATEGY WEBINAR), (HAS APPLE BOTTOMED?), (AAPL), (TESTIMONIAL), (SOVEREIGN DEBT WAS A GREAT PLACE TO HIDE),  (PCY), (LQD) Apple Inc. (AAPL) PowerShares Emerging Mkts Sovereign Debt (PCY) iShares iBoxx $ Invest Grade Corp Bond (LQD)

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Don’t Miss the March 20 Global Strategy Webinar

My next global strategy webinar will be held on Wednesday, March 20 at 12:00 noon EST. This one will be open to the public, so login in early to get a space. I’ll be giving you my updated outlook on stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, precious metal, and real estate. The goal is to find the […]

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Has Apple Hit Bottom?

No one has suffered more than I from my slavish devotion to Apple’s products, its performance, and, oops…. it’s stock. A long position in Steve Jobs’ creation remains my only losing position of 2013 (remember the January $525-$575 call spread?). Without the hit I took on that, my Trade Alert Service would be up 33.3% […]

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Sovereign Debt Was a Great Place to Hide

I am constantly asked where to find safe places to park cash by investors understandably unhappy with the risk/reward currently offered by the markets. Any reach for yield now carries substantial principal risk, the kind we saw, oh say, in the summer of 2007. I have had great luck steering people into the Invesco PowerShares […]

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March 15, 2013

Global Market Comments March 15, 2013 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (TAKING PROFITS ON STOCKS), (SPY), (TAKING A BITE OUT OF STEALTH INFLATION), (TESTIMONIAL) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)

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Taking Profits on Stocks

With the (SPY) approaching an all time high, there are just a few pennies to go, I am going to take the money and run on my position in the SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) April, 2013 $145-$150 deep in-the-money bull call spread. At $4.97, there is only 3 cents left in potential profit, and I […]

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Taking a Bite Out of Stealth Inflation

When I visited the local Safeway over the weekend, I was snared by some uniformed pre-teens, backed by beaming mothers behind a card table selling Girl Scout cookies. I was a pushover. I walked away with a bag of Thin Mints, Lemon Chalet Creams, Do-Si-Dos, and Tagalongs. I have to confess a lifetime addiction to […]

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March 14, 2013

Global Market Comments March 14, 2013 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (2013 STRATEGY LUNCHEON SCHEDULE), (THE ELTON JOHN MARKET), (SPY), (RAMPANT WAGE INFLATION STRIKES CHINA), (FXI), (CYB) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) iShares FTSE China 25 Index Fund (FXI) WisdomTree Chinese Yuan (CYB)

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2013 Strategy Luncheon Schedule

Come join me for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Luncheons, which I will be conducting throughout the US and Europe over the next five months. An excellent meal will be followed by a wide-ranging discussion and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view […]

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