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Mad Hedge Fund Trader

December 4, 2013 - MDT - Midday Missive

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Jim Parker, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points.

Read more

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Mad Hedge Fund Trader

December 4, 2013 - MDT - AAPL Trade Alert

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Jim Parker, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points.

Read more

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Mad Hedge Fund Trader

December 4, 2013 - MDT - Trade & Order Follow Up OIL & TBT

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Jim Parker, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points.

Read more

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2013-12-04 09:54:442013-12-04 09:54:44December 4, 2013 - MDT - Trade & Order Follow Up OIL & TBT
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

December 4, 2013 - MDT - OIL & TBT Trade Alert

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Jim Parker, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points.

Read more

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2013-12-04 09:52:282013-12-04 09:52:28December 4, 2013 - MDT - OIL & TBT Trade Alert
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

December 4, 2013 - MDT Pro Tips A.M.

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Jim Parker, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points.

Read more

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2013-12-04 09:51:062013-12-04 09:51:06December 4, 2013 - MDT Pro Tips A.M.
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

December 4, 2013

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
December 4, 2013
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:
(ARE YOU READY FOR PRESIDENT HILLARY?),
(TESTIMONIAL)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2013-12-04 01:05:552013-12-04 01:05:55December 4, 2013
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

The Markets and President Hillary

Newsletter

Yes, I know that the presidential election of 2016 is three years off. But if you already know the outcome of that contest you can use it to your advantage trading the markets today.

You don?t want to get caught out like many conservatives did in 2012, who were forced to dump stock in a hurry to beat a surprise jump in capital gains taxes after an unexpected Obama win, triggering a 10% market correction.

If you have any doubt that Hillary Clinton will be the slam-dunk winner in 2016, take a look at the table below. According to a poll just conducted by Quinnpiac University in New Haven, Connecticut, the former Secretary of State beats every Republican front-runner in the key battleground states of Florida and Ohio, often by huge margins.

Notice that the more conservative the candidate, the bigger the losing margin. I have always believed that the United States is a fundamentally moderate, middle of the road country. Whenever either party leans towards extremes, they are sent to the woodshed, where they are punished severely by the voters. At the end of the day, most Americans just wish that the government would go away.

In another poll I saw Clinton is leading by 60%-40% with Republican women. Democrats are counting on many to cross party lines to vote for the first woman president, as they did for the first black one in 2008. Most other leading polls are reaching the same conclusion.

You can forget about Senator Ted Cruz from Texas because he was born in Canada, with a Canadian father. After carping about Obama being from Kenya for eight years, the last thing the Republicans will do is run a Canadian for president.

So what will President Hillary mean for the market? There?s no point in asking her. Officially, she is not even running yet. But I have been in touch with some of her recent and past staff people, and the answer seems to be not much.

With our Middle Eastern wars done, Al Qaida a distant memory, the economy going great guns, unemployment down, and the US energy independent, Clinton should inherit a country that is in pretty good shape.

With the economy reaccelerating back to a 3%-4% growth rate, and no new wars, the budget should be close to balancing. The dollar will be endemically strong.

We should be at the threshold of a Pax Americana. In these goldilocks conditions stocks should rise by 10% a year, and 13% with dividends, and inflation will stay under control. Bonds will slowly grind down, and interest rates up. That works for me.

So, social issues will be the top legislative priority. You can expect to hear a lot about gun control. Assault rifles, especially military ones like the AR-15, and high capacity magazines will become history. You can also count on federal restrictions on the resale of firearms and closer tracking of convicted criminals.

Immigration will be another hot button item. Expect measures to permit the 10 million illegals currently in the country to gain access to citizenship, subject to strict conditions.

Clinton will also make an effort to roll back restrictions on voter?s rights now rampant in red states. Ten-hour lines to vote in black neighborhoods in Miami should become a thing of the past. The same will hold true for state restrictions on abortion, such as mandatory ultrasounds.

President Obama did the heavy lifting with financial regulation through Dodd-Frank, and health care with the Affordable Care Act. It will be up to Hillary to implement and enforce existing law, a far easier task.

The same will be true with tax reform. We took the big hit when the federal income tax rate jumped from 35% to 39.50%. Clinton will probably only nibble at the edges. It will be hands off for the middle class. Target number one: the ?carried interest? treatment that assures that most hedge fund managers, like me, pay no more than a 15% annual rate. Capital gains could also see another 5% move.

Big earnings to see their favorite deductions whittled back as well. Home mortgage interest deductibility will get capped at mortgage values of? $250,000-$500,000. Limits will be placed on tax-free charitable donations. Company provided health insurance will become fully taxable as regular income.

The really big impact President Clinton will have on the future of the country will be with her Supreme Court appointments. It is likely that at least one conservative justice will retire or die before the end of her second term in 2024.

That will enable her to shift the 5-4 convective majority to a liberal one for the first time in 40 years. That assures a liberal bent for the country until 2064. After that, I will be long dead, or 112, so I don?t care what happens.

A rapid succession of legal challenges will follow that will eventually bring to an end of gerrymandering of congressional elections and anonymous corporate campaign donations. That will turn Texas, Arizona, and several other states into blue ones. Gay rights will reach full equality, if it hasn?t already happened by then.

Who will Hillary bring into her cabinet? I suggest former presidential candidate, Mitt Romney, as the next Secretary of Health and Social Services. He is the only person who has ever gotten government provided health care to work in the US, with his highly successful Massachusetts program. I think it will take ten years to fully implement Obamacare and for it to become actuarially sound. That makes it just the job for an experienced private equity guy.

So who will be Hillary?s first appointment to the Supreme Court? President Obama will be only 55 when his second term ends, and is a constitutional law professor with a proven track record. The kids are already placed in local schools. The only thing he will need is a new residence. What else is an ex president supposed to do?

The bigger question will be what to do about Bill.

Poll

2012 Pres Election Results MapLooking for a Replay

 

Hillary ClintonAre You Ready for President Hillary?

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/12/Hillary-Clinton.jpg 386 307 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2013-12-04 01:04:022013-12-04 01:04:02The Markets and President Hillary
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Testimonial

Testimonials

Please pass along my deep gratitude for the work that both John Thomas and Jim Parker do for us.? Each of their daily posts?are invaluable. I sincerely hope that they?will be blessed and refreshed this holiday season.

In appreciation;

Rene
Mortlach, Saskatchewan, Canada

BusinessJohnThomasProfileMap2-2

0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2013-12-04 01:03:082013-12-04 01:03:08Testimonial
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

December 4, 2013 - Quote of the Day

Quote of the Day

?Everybody has a plan until they get punched in the nose,? said former heavyweight champion, Mike Tyson.

Boxers-Fights-Mike Tyson

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Mad Hedge Fund Trader

December 3, 2013 - MDT - OXY & OIL

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Jim Parker, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points.

Read more

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Legal Disclaimer

There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. MadHedgeFundTrader.com and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Affiliates of MadHedgeFundTrader.com may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.

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