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Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Update on Freeport McMoRan (FCX)

Diary, Newsletter

Those who bought my Trade Alert on the Freeport McMoRan (FCX) October $28-$30 bull call spread at $1.68 or best two days ago will be thrilled to see the charts below. They were prepared by my friends at Stockcharts.com, who offer a very reasonable subscription technical analysis product (click here for their site http://stockcharts.com ).

After testing $26 three times over the past two years, the stock has forged a major long term bottom that appears unassailable. This almost perfectly matches the chart for the Chinese stock market, which is demonstrating almost identical strength. Conclusion: higher prices for copper and the rest of the commodity space.

Just thought you?d like to know.

FCX 9-12-13

FCXa 9-12-13

Pennies

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/09/Pennies.jpg 296 523 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2013-09-13 01:03:072013-09-13 01:03:07Update on Freeport McMoRan (FCX)
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

September 13, 2013 - Quote of the Day

Quote of the Day

?Investing is the only endeavor in which victory goes to the minority,? said the great economist, John Maynard Keynes.

Girl-Arms Up-Shadow

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/09/Girl-Arms-Up-Shadow.jpg 306 421 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2013-09-13 01:02:292013-09-13 01:02:29September 13, 2013 - Quote of the Day
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

September 12, 2013 MDT - Yen Trade Alert

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Jim Parker, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points.

Read more

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2013-09-12 15:40:512013-09-12 15:40:51September 12, 2013 MDT - Yen Trade Alert
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Follow Up #2 to Trade Alert - (FCX) September 12, 2013

Trade Alert

As a potentially profitable opportunity presents itself, John will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what should be bought, when to buy it, and at what price. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/09/Pennies.jpg 296 523 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2013-09-12 13:36:482013-09-12 13:36:48Follow Up #2 to Trade Alert - (FCX) September 12, 2013
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Follow Up to Trade Alert - (FXA) September 12, 2013

Trade Alert

As a potentially profitable opportunity presents itself, John will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what should be bought, when to buy it, and at what price. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/09/Girls-Australian.jpg 342 534 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2013-09-12 13:03:102013-09-12 13:03:10Follow Up to Trade Alert - (FXA) September 12, 2013
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Trade Alert - (FXA) September 12, 2013

Trade Alert

As a potentially profitable opportunity presents itself, John will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what should be bought, when to buy it, and at what price. This is your chance to ?look over? John Thomas? shoulder as he gives you unparalleled insight on major world financial trends BEFORE they happen. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/10/slider-05-trader-alert.jpg 316 600 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2013-09-12 11:43:402013-09-12 11:43:40Trade Alert - (FXA) September 12, 2013
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

September 12, 2013 - MDT - Midday Missive

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Jim Parker, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points.

Read more

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2013-09-12 11:05:472013-09-12 11:05:47September 12, 2013 - MDT - Midday Missive
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

September 12, 2013 - MDT Pro Tips A.M.

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Jim Parker, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points.

Read more

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2013-09-12 09:05:262013-09-12 09:05:26September 12, 2013 - MDT Pro Tips A.M.
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

September 12, 2013

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
September 12, 2013
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:
(BUY APPLE ON THE DIP), (AAPL), (CHL)
(PICKING UP FREEPORT MCMORAN),
(FCX), (CU), (ECH), ($SSEC)

Apple Inc. (AAPL)
China Mobile Limited (CHL)
Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. (FCX)
First Trust ISE Global Copper Index (CU)
iShares MSCI Chile Capped (ECH)
Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index $SSEC

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2013-09-12 01:05:182013-09-12 01:05:18September 12, 2013
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Buy Apple on the Dip

Newsletter

Buy the rumor, sell the news. That was again the lesson of yesterday?s new product launch, where Apple (AAPL) rolled out their new premium 5s and low-end 5c iPhones. So many commentators heaped such abuse on the company in the run up to the release that today?s weakness was a sure thing.

Failure to announce a deal with China Mobile (CHL) in Beijing last night was the immediate reason for today?s $30 plunge, which prompted several houses to downgrade the stock. It was a classic ?closing of the door after the horses have bolted? moment. As with time immemorial, your broker is asking you to buy high and sell low, delivering to you a perfect money destruction machine.

However, this time, there is far more than meets the eye. China Mobile wasn?t the barrier to greater access to gargantuan 700 million mobile users. It was compatibility with China?s unique 3G TD-SCMA networks. The new plastic? $99 iPhone 5c bridges that gap.

Chinese customers can now buy the iPhone 5c retail unsubsidized, as are 70% of the mobile phones in the Middle Kingdom, and use them on the local China Mobile network for the first time. Analysts expect this will enable Apple to pick up 6% of China?s mobile market share immediately, much at the expense of rival Samsung. The full China Mobile subsidy package, which the uninformed and non-technical have been looking for, could still be years off, but has been rendered irrelevant by Apple CEO, Tim Cooks, move.

The reality is that Apple?s unit sales will remain stable, or even grow modestly, with no new products whatsoever, its marketing presence is so overwhelming. So the next version of the Mac Book Pro and iPad, due out in coming months, can only deliver upside surprises on profits. Expanded carrier distribution, better ASP?s, and higher margins will be the inevitable result.

The company also has plenty of room to cut prices and build market share as existing products, like the iPhone 4 and 4s, age. It?s clear that the ultimate low end entry point for Apple products will be the iWatch, to be launched early next year.

The net net here is that Apple?s earnings estimates will be revised up for the first time in more than a year.

This is happening with the additional rocket fuel of a massive $50 billion share repurchase program that continues unabated. Corporate raider and major shareholder, Carl Icahn, is trolling in the background demanding more.

It also helps that the company carried off one of the largest corporate bond deals in history at the absolute peak in the bond market five months ago, a brilliant move that resulted from no small amount of prodding from me.

My tumultuous personal life aside, I am entering this trade cautiously as usual, adding a deep in the money call spread that limits my risk. Note too on the chart that the strikes align nicely with major support levels that should provide an extra safety margin. These only have to hold for five weeks for the October expiration to work.

Take a look at the China Mobile (CHL) chart as well, which will go ballistic if the China recovery story is real.

AAPL 9-11-13

CHL 9-11-13

apple-1

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/apple-1.jpg 333 300 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2013-09-12 01:04:142013-09-12 01:04:14Buy Apple on the Dip
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Legal Disclaimer

There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. MadHedgeFundTrader.com and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Affiliates of MadHedgeFundTrader.com may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.

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