• Hot Tips Archive
Mad Hedge Fund Trader
  • About
  • Store
  • Luncheons
  • Testimonials
  • Free Newsletter / Hot Tips
  • Contact Ussupport@madhedgefundtrader.com
  • Login
  • Search
  • Menu
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Trade Alert – (SPY) September 30, 2014

Trade Alert

As a potentially profitable opportunity presents itself, John will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what should be bought, when to buy it, and at what price. This is your chance to ?look over? John Thomas? shoulder as he gives you unparalleled insight on major world financial trends BEFORE they happen. Read more

September 30, 2014/by Mad Hedge Fund Trader
Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2014-09-30 15:39:302014-09-30 15:39:30Trade Alert - (SPY) September 30, 2014
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Trade Alert – (FXE) September 30, 2014

Trade Alert

As a potentially profitable opportunity presents itself, John will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what should be bought, when to buy it, and at what price. Read more

September 30, 2014/by Mad Hedge Fund Trader
https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/10/slider-05-trader-alert.jpg 316 600 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2014-09-30 10:52:312014-09-30 10:52:31Trade Alert - (FXE) September 30, 2014
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

September 30, 2014 – MDT – Euro Alert

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Jim Parker, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more

September 30, 2014/by Mad Hedge Fund Trader
https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2014-09-30 09:13:272014-09-30 09:13:27September 30, 2014 - MDT - Euro Alert
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

September 30, 2014 – MDT Pro Tips A.M.

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Jim Parker, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more

September 30, 2014/by Mad Hedge Fund Trader
https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2014-09-30 09:11:432014-09-30 09:11:43September 30, 2014 - MDT Pro Tips A.M.
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

September 30, 2014

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
September 30, 2014
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:
(THURSDAY OCTOBER 9 INCLINE VILLAGE, NEVADA STRATEGY LUNCHEON),
(WHY I?M DOUBLING UP MY SHORTS),
(SPY), ($INDU), (IWM), (HYG), (QQQ), (FXE),
(CHINA?S LONG AND WINDING ROAD),
(FSLR), (STPFQ), (YGE)

SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Dow Jones Industrial Avrage ($INDU)
iShares Russell 2000 (IWM)
iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bd (HYG)
PowerShares QQQ (QQQ)
CurrencyShares Euro ETF (FXE)
First Solar, Inc. (FSLR)
Suntech Power Holdings Co. Ltd. (STPFQ)
Yingli Green Energy Holding Co. Ltd. (YGE)

September 30, 2014/by Mad Hedge Fund Trader
https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2014-09-30 01:06:502014-09-30 01:06:50September 30, 2014
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Why I?m Doubling Up My Shorts

Diary, Newsletter, Research

I don?t double up short positions very often. I am too old to lose all my money and go back to work as an entry-level analyst at Morgan Stanley. Besides, they probably wouldn?t have me back anyway. It is a different company than it was 30 years ago, a lot different.

However, the dead cat, short covering bounce we got off this morning?s Hong Kong dump does allow me to get back into the short side of the (SPY) one more time.

We managed to gain 20 (SPX) points, or 2 entire (SPY) handles from the Monday morning capitulation, puke on your shoes low. Except this time, we are a weekend closer to expiration, only 14 trading days until October 15.

And waiting all the way until Friday for the September nonfarm payroll buys us a free week.

Does anyone really care what?s going on in Hong Kong, China, or anywhere else in the world, for that matter? Not really. It appears only day traders do, and those of us who have family members there, like me.

The beginning of October is usually the scariest two weeks of the year. So a bet that the (SPY) doesn?t blast up to new all time highs during this period looks like a pretty good idea.

Buying the S&P 500 (SPY) October, 2014 $202-$205 vertical in-the-money bear put spread with the volatility index (VIX) just short of the $17 handle, the highest print in six months, is also getting us the best short term spread prices this year. It?s almost like the good old days.

If the prospect of executing this trade causes the hair on the back of your neck to stand up, take a look at the charts below.

The Russell 2000 (IWM) broke through to a new low this morning, proving that a solid, three-month downtrend in the small caps is still alive and well.

The chart looks even worse for the iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG), which has become a very important lead security for traders to keep a laser like focus on.

NASDAQ (QQQ) and the Dow Jones Average ($INDU) are sitting bang on crucial support lines. Alibaba is still sucking all the oxygen out of the technology sector, with major institutions selling everything else to take instant 5% stakes in the new issue. This is great news for the sector for the long term, but not so great for the short term.

Finally, I asked my ace Mad Day Trader, Jim Parker, his thoughtful take here. He believes that short term, markets are oversold and due for a rallyette. He wouldn?t be shorting stocks here with My money! But is the (SPY) going to a new all time high in 14 trading days? Absolutely no way!

There is another factor to consider here. We have recently clocked substantial profits with our short positions in the Euro (FXE) and the Russell 2000 (IWM).

So we can afford the luxury of getting aggressive here when everyone else is running and hiding. We are essentially now playing with the house?s money. The only question is whether we will next post a larger gain, or a smaller one. That is a position of strength, and a great place to trade from.

So I think the net net of all of this is that best case, the risk markets all keep trending downward, worse case, they flat line sideways, at least for the next 14 trading days. Either way, it is a win-win for me. That makes the S&P 500 (SPY) October, 2014 $202-$205 in-the-money bear put spread a winner in my book.

You can buy this spread anywhere in a $2.60-$2.75 range and have a reasonable expectation of making money on this trade.

This is a rare instance where there is no outright stock or ETF equivalent to this trade. If you sell short the stock market here, such as through purchasing the ProShares Ultra Short S&P 500 ETF (SDS), we could rally all the way up to, but just short of the all time high, and you would get your head handed to you.

If this happens with the S&P 500 (SPY) October, 2014 $202-$205 in-the-money bear put spread, you make your maximum profit of 1.30% of your total portfolio. This is why I play in the options market. So non options players are better to stand aside on this trade and just watch it for educational purposes.

 

SPY 9-29-14

DIA 9-29-14

QQQ 9-29-14

IWN 9-29-14

HYG 9-29-14

VIX 9-29-14

Headlines

Market Floor

September 30, 2014/by Mad Hedge Fund Trader
https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/Market-Floor-e1411743381455.jpg 265 400 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2014-09-30 01:04:502014-09-30 01:04:50Why I?m Doubling Up My Shorts
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

September 29, 2014 – MDT – The Late Show

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Jim Parker, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more

September 29, 2014/by Mad Hedge Fund Trader
https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2014-09-29 16:05:282014-09-29 16:05:28September 29, 2014 - MDT - The Late Show
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Follow Up to Trade Alert – (SPY) September 29, 2014

Trade Alert

As a potentially profitable opportunity presents itself, John will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what should be bought, when to buy it, and at what price. This is your chance to ?look over? John Thomas? shoulder as he gives you unparalleled insight on major world financial trends BEFORE they happen. Read more

September 29, 2014/by Mad Hedge Fund Trader
https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/Headlines-e1413842059856.jpg 328 400 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2014-09-29 14:32:502014-09-29 14:32:50Follow Up to Trade Alert - (SPY) September 29, 2014
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Trade Alert – (SPY) September 29, 2014

Trade Alert

As a potentially profitable opportunity presents itself, John will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what should be bought, when to buy it, and at what price. This is your chance to ?look over? John Thomas? shoulder as he gives you unparalleled insight on major world financial trends BEFORE they happen. Read more

September 29, 2014/by Mad Hedge Fund Trader
Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2014-09-29 12:45:502014-09-29 12:45:50Trade Alert - (SPY) September 29, 2014
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

September 29, 2014 – MDT – Midday Missive

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Jim Parker, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more

September 29, 2014/by Mad Hedge Fund Trader
Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2014-09-29 10:23:522014-09-29 10:23:52September 29, 2014 - MDT - Midday Missive
Page 1 of 12123›»

Archives

  • 2021 (140)
    • March (53)
    • February (154)
    • January (157)
  • 2020 (635)
    • December (170)
    • November (184)
    • October (169)
    • September (177)
    • August (171)
    • July (169)
    • June (186)
    • May (192)
    • April (196)
    • March (177)
    • February (144)
    • January (131)
  • 2019 (960)
    • December (132)
    • November (128)
    • October (168)
    • September (128)
    • August (173)
    • July (138)
    • June (113)
    • May (159)
    • April (169)
    • March (169)
    • February (141)
    • January (153)
  • 2018 (532)
    • December (150)
    • November (157)
    • October (194)
    • September (131)
    • August (150)
    • July (133)
    • June (128)
    • May (162)
    • April (185)
    • March (155)
    • February (153)
    • January (100)
  • 2017 (418)
    • December (96)
    • November (114)
    • October (52)
    • September (47)
    • August (63)
    • July (38)
    • June (52)
    • May (58)
  • 2016 (1369)
    • December (116)
    • November (107)
    • October (133)
    • September (110)
    • August (125)
    • July (98)
    • June (111)
    • May (142)
    • April (119)
    • March (112)
    • February (91)
    • January (105)
  • 2015 (1290)
    • December (98)
    • November (94)
    • October (89)
    • September (106)
    • August (105)
    • July (87)
    • June (72)
    • May (101)
    • April (134)
    • March (145)
    • February (122)
    • January (137)
  • 2014 (1490)
    • December (112)
    • November (107)
    • October (151)
    • September (120)
    • August (110)
    • July (123)
    • June (109)
    • May (117)
    • April (129)
    • March (153)
    • February (130)
    • January (129)
  • 2013 (1601)
    • December (125)
    • November (176)
    • October (172)
    • September (162)
    • August (131)
    • July (140)
    • June (114)
    • May (123)
    • April (146)
    • March (123)
    • February (87)
    • January (102)
  • 2012 (781)
    • December (23)
    • November (18)
    • October (24)
    • September (78)
    • August (90)
    • July (67)
    • June (68)
    • May (97)
    • April (88)
    • March (86)
    • February (77)
    • January (65)
  • 2011 (449)
    • December (59)
    • November (73)
    • October (23)
    • September (31)
    • August (44)
    • July (34)
    • June (14)
    • May (43)
    • April (20)
    • March (42)
    • February (29)
    • January (37)
  • 2010 (356)
    • December (32)
    • November (45)
    • October (45)
    • September (51)
    • August (58)
    • July (43)
    • May (6)
    • April (1)
    • March (35)
    • February (17)
    • January (23)
  • 2009 (252)
    • December (20)
    • November (18)
    • October (22)
    • September (20)
    • August (15)
    • July (19)
    • June (20)
    • May (20)
    • April (19)
    • March (22)
    • February (19)
    • January (38)
  • 2008 (420)
    • December (38)
    • November (36)
    • October (46)
    • September (40)
    • August (34)
    • July (38)
    • June (36)
    • May (42)
    • April (42)
    • March (28)
    • February (40)

Legal Disclaimer

There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. MadHedgeFundTrader.com and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Affiliates of MadHedgeFundTrader.com may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.

Copyright © 2021. Mad Hedge Fund Trader. All Rights Reserved. support@madhedgefundtrader.com
  • Privacy Policy
  • Disclaimer
  • FAQ
Scroll to top

This site uses cookies. By continuing to browse the site, you are agreeing to our use of cookies.

OKLearn more

Cookie and Privacy Settings



How we use cookies

We may request cookies to be set on your device. We use cookies to let us know when you visit our websites, how you interact with us, to enrich your user experience, and to customize your relationship with our website.

Click on the different category headings to find out more. You can also change some of your preferences. Note that blocking some types of cookies may impact your experience on our websites and the services we are able to offer.

Essential Website Cookies

These cookies are strictly necessary to provide you with services available through our website and to use some of its features.

Because these cookies are strictly necessary to deliver the website, refuseing them will have impact how our site functions. You always can block or delete cookies by changing your browser settings and force blocking all cookies on this website. But this will always prompt you to accept/refuse cookies when revisiting our site.

We fully respect if you want to refuse cookies but to avoid asking you again and again kindly allow us to store a cookie for that. You are free to opt out any time or opt in for other cookies to get a better experience. If you refuse cookies we will remove all set cookies in our domain.

We provide you with a list of stored cookies on your computer in our domain so you can check what we stored. Due to security reasons we are not able to show or modify cookies from other domains. You can check these in your browser security settings.

Google Analytics Cookies

These cookies collect information that is used either in aggregate form to help us understand how our website is being used or how effective our marketing campaigns are, or to help us customize our website and application for you in order to enhance your experience.

If you do not want that we track your visist to our site you can disable tracking in your browser here:

Other external services

We also use different external services like Google Webfonts, Google Maps, and external Video providers. Since these providers may collect personal data like your IP address we allow you to block them here. Please be aware that this might heavily reduce the functionality and appearance of our site. Changes will take effect once you reload the page.

Google Webfont Settings:

Google Map Settings:

Google reCaptcha Settings:

Vimeo and Youtube video embeds:

Accept settingsHide notification only