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Mad Hedge Fund Trader

November 17, 2014 - MDT - Midday Missive

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Jim Parker, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more

0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2014-11-17 11:34:402014-11-17 11:34:40November 17, 2014 - MDT - Midday Missive
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

November 17, 2014 - MDT Pro Tips A.M.

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Jim Parker, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more

0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2014-11-17 10:06:342014-11-17 10:06:34November 17, 2014 - MDT Pro Tips A.M.
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

November 17, 2014

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
November 17, 2014
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:
(CHICAGO TUESDAY, DECEMBER 23 GLOBAL STRATEGY LUNCHEON)
(BULL MARKET 2.0),
(PLEASE USE MY FREE DATA BASE SEARCH)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2014-11-17 01:06:372014-11-17 01:06:37November 17, 2014
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Bull Market 2.0

Diary, Newsletter

By now, the reasons behind this year?s bear market are pretty well known. Even my cleaning lady, Cecelia, can site them chapter and verse.

Quantitative easing went global. Inflation fell, with the prices of almost all business input costs, like commodities, energy, interest rates, collapsing. Labor costs remained muted, so corporate profits rocketed.

Voila! Stocks rose, probably by 17% in the S&P 500 by the end of 2014, and 19% with dividends. Not bad for the fifth year of a bull market.

So is this it? Should we now be taking profits in a topping market and running for the hills to avoid a rollover in 2015?

Is it game over?

Let us think again. We need a new set of reasons to keep this bull alive. The good news is that if we delve down to our inner most thoughts, those reasons are out there. What we are really looking for is a bull market 2.0.

It goes something like this. The rally in bonds almost certainly ended on October 15. It is now ?Sell the rallies? for the next 20 years. The mere fact that they are no longer going up will scare away momentum based investors and ignite some institutional selling in the New Year asset reallocations.

Given the gargantuan size of the global bond market, some $100 trillion, this development is potentially more important for stock prices than five years of QE from the Federal Reserve.

That Herculean effort created $4.5 trillion in new cash. Moving 10% out of bonds into stocks and other risk assets would generate double that amount of firepower, or some $10 trillion.

Mind you, bond prices aren?t going to collapse. They will engage in long, tedious range trading, with an eventual slow grind down. Continued disinflation assures that. Bond traders will die from boredom, and not a heart attack. This is a key element of the bull case for stocks.

In other words, you ain?t seen nothing yet, baby!

It gets better.

After the first industrial revolution started during the 1820?s, when we saw the transition to modern manufacturing processes that started with textiles, we witnessed a century of rising profits, falling inflation, and booming stock markets, subject to the occasional 50% correction (there was no Fed then).

Sound familiar?

The really interesting thing now is that we are seeing at least five, if not more, new industrial revolutions get underway, which are collapsing business costs at a prodigious rate.

Count the transition from silicon to DNA based computing, biotechnology, health care, alternative energy sources, and transportation. These are all century long trends which are only just getting started.

This is happening against a backdrop of perennially low interest rates and energy costs. Companies can?t help but make more money, and by implication, share prices can?t help but go higher. Think of Goldilocks on steroids.

This leads to self-sustaining economic growth that keeps the major indexes appreciating for years. The Fed understands this, which is why their gentle exit from quantitative easing in recent months had absolutely no effect on asset prices. If anything, it accelerated their upturn.

So how much juice can we count on for next year? Add 10% to company profits, maintain a 2% dividend rate, and that gets us up 12%. Use 2,100 as a launching pad, and that gets us up to 2,350 by the end of 2015.

When did investors realize that an industrial revolution started in the 1820?s? Oh, sometime in the 1850?s. Similarly, investors today may not understand how rosy the current investment environment is for another couple of decades. Then they?ll be kicking themselves for not loading the boat with shares now.

Just thought you?d like to know.

SPX 11-14-14

MID 11-14-14

SML 11-14-14

SUPHLP 11-13-14

TLT 11-14-14

Industrial RevolutionThink it?s Time to Buy Stocks?

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/11/Industrial-Revolution.jpg 359 362 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2014-11-17 01:04:112014-11-17 01:04:11Bull Market 2.0
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

SOLD OUT: Tuesday, Dec. 23, 2014, Chicago, IL - Global Strategy Luncheon

Lunch, USA

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader?s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Chicago on Tuesday, December 23. A three course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period.

I?ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real estate. And to keep you in suspense, I?ll be throwing a few surprises out there too. Enough charts, tables, graphs, and statistics will be thrown at you to keep your ears ringing for a week. Tickets are available for $219.

I?ll be arriving an hour early and leaving late in case anyone wants to have a one on one discussion, or just sit around and chew the fat about the financial markets.

The lunch will be held at a downtown Chicago venue on Monroe Street that will be emailed with your purchase confirmation.

I look forward to meeting you, and thank you for supporting my research.

To purchase tickets, please click here.

Chicago

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/Chicago1.jpg 240 351 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2014-11-15 10:42:012014-11-15 10:42:01SOLD OUT: Tuesday, Dec. 23, 2014, Chicago, IL - Global Strategy Luncheon
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Novemer 14, 2014 - MDT - The Late Show

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Jim Parker, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2014-11-14 13:53:132014-11-14 13:53:13Novemer 14, 2014 - MDT - The Late Show
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

November 14, 2014 - MDT - Dollar Index

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Jim Parker, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more

0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2014-11-14 12:37:132014-11-14 12:37:13November 14, 2014 - MDT - Dollar Index
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

November 14, 2014 - MDT - EUR/GBP

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Jim Parker, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more

0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2014-11-14 11:16:532014-11-14 11:16:53November 14, 2014 - MDT - EUR/GBP
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Trade Alert - (BABA) November 14, 2014

Trade Alert

As a potentially profitable opportunity presents itself, John will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what should be bought, when to buy it, and at what price. This is your chance to ?look over? John Thomas? shoulder as he gives you unparalleled insight on major world financial trends BEFORE they happen. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/10/slider-05-trader-alert.jpg 316 600 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2014-11-14 11:12:002014-11-14 11:12:00Trade Alert - (BABA) November 14, 2014
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

November 14, 2014 - MDT - Gold

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Jim Parker, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more

0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2014-11-14 11:08:302014-11-14 11:08:30November 14, 2014 - MDT - Gold
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Legal Disclaimer

There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. MadHedgeFundTrader.com and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Affiliates of MadHedgeFundTrader.com may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.

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