Global Market Comments
November 20, 2020
Fiat Lux
FEATURED TRADE:
(TRADING THE KENNEDY ASSASSINATION)
Global Market Comments
November 20, 2020
Fiat Lux
FEATURED TRADE:
(TRADING THE KENNEDY ASSASSINATION)
While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to a six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Bill Davis, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three-day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more
Mad Hedge Biotech & Healthcare Letter
November 19, 2020
Fiat Lux
FEATURED TRADE:
(A STOCK FOR ALL AGES)
(JNJ), (PFE), (BNTX), (MRNA), (BRK-A) (BRK-B)
November has been an action-packed month so far.
The US election has concluded, and on top of the political drama, Pfizer (PFE), BioNTech (BNTX), and Moderna (MRNA) have released COVID-19 vaccine trial data that look extremely promising.
Since Pfizer and BioNTech (BNTX) announced that their vaccine BNT162b2 offers roughly 95% efficacy, the development resulted in a market-wide rally, particularly in value stocks, with investors starting to anticipate the economy to show signs of meaningful recovery and bounce back to pre-pandemic levels.
Hence, it makes sense to position your portfolio in a manner that reflects these macro developments.
However, the coming months could still push the markets to be even more volatile.
That’s why my advice is to hold investments that have been historically proven to be dependable even in the most uncertain times.
One of the most reliable stocks in today’s tumultuous financial climate is Johnson & Johnson (JNJ).
Aside from Pfizer and Moderna, JNJ has also joined the ranks of COVID-19 vaccine developers brandishing their success.
In the latest update, the company announced that JNJ-78436735 could be ready for FDA approval by February 2021.
Although JNJ is months behind Pfizer and Moderna, JNJ-78436735 holds a huge advantage: it’s a one-jab vaccine.
In comparison, both Moderna and Pfizer require booster shots for their COVID-19 vaccine candidates. The second shots for these are expected to be given roughly a month after the first shot.
Despite not being the first in the market, JNJ still stands to reap the benefits from the recent developments, as the promising COVID-19 vaccine report could boost the company’s sales for its medical devices and consumer health products—a projection that is already coming into shape as JNJ stock gained over 7% since Pfizer’s announcement.
For the third quarter of 2020, JNJ raked in $21.1 billion in global sales, recording a 1.7% increase from the same period in 2019.
While this growth rate is not as exciting as previous reports, it signified a substantial improvement from the year-over-year sales decline in the second quarter, which was at 10.8%.
Sales for its pharmaceutical chapters rose by 4.7%, while its consumer health sector climbed by 3.1%.
More impressively, JNJ raised its 2020 sales guidance by $1 billion.
The company’s revenue guidance is now up to be somewhere in the range of $81.2 billion to $82 billion from its initial forecast of $79.9 billion to $81.4 billion.
Thanks to the diversity in its product portfolio, broad geographic reach, and of course, brand power, JNJ has been able to thrive despite the pandemic.
After all, JNJ has been in business since 1886, which indicates the company’s resilience and capacity to survive crises.
Historically, this company has been known as a safe stock primarily due to its growing dividends.
In fact, Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway (BRK-A) (BRK-B) has held on to JNJ stock for the past 14 years.
For context, JNJ reported $74.3 billion in sales back in 2014. By 2019, this Dividend Aristocrat’s top line has jumped to reach $82.1 billion. Even more impressively, JNJ has recorded a profit margin of at least 18%.
As a longstanding member of the S&P Dividend Kings, which lists companies that managed to boost their dividends for at least 50 consecutive years, JNJ offers an impressive dividend yield of 2.8%—significantly higher than the S&P 500’s average at 1.8%—translating to roughly $4.04 per share.
JNJ is a good long-term stock to hold.
Although it is admittedly not cheap, its valuation is still reasonable, especially if you think about the dearth of high-quality and safe assets available in today’s extremely volatile market.
So whether you’re a budding investor or a veteran of the market, I advise that you buy JNJ stock on the next dip at its share price to be one of the dividend investors enjoying this company’s revenue.
When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more
I would like to make a suggestion on a stock that is right at the level I mentioned in this morning's update.
And that stock is Apple.
I mentioned this morning how I felt support should be at $116.61, which happens to be the midband on the 60 minute chart.
Apple dropped to a low of $116.81 and seems to be holding that level.
As a result, I am going to suggest a trade.
I am not going to suggest you buy a lot of time because this is a short term swing trade.
I am going to suggest you trade the December 4th expiration date and use a $4 wide debit spread.
Apple is trading around $117.66 as I write this.
Here is how you open the position:
Buy to Open December 4th - $118.00 Call for $2.93
Sell to Open December 4th - $122.00 Call for $1.33
The net debit will be $1.60 per spread.
Based on the tracking portfolio, I suggest you limit the trade to a 6 lot or 1% of the portfolio.
The maximum gain on a six lot would be about $1,440 or 150%.
Apple has to move above $122 to earn maximum profit.
While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to a six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Bill Davis, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three-day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more
Global Market Comments
November 19, 2020
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(TRADING FOR THE NON-TRADER),
(ROM), (UXI), (UCC), (UYG),
When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more
When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more
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