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Another AI Server Stock

Tech Letter

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang complimented Dell by saying it’s a “great partnership” at its GTC conference and said that “nobody is better at building end-to-end systems of very large scale for the enterprise than Dell.”

Words like this go a long way in this industry let alone partnering with the best tech firm in the industry.

To have the best CEO in tech flatter your products means staying power but in the short-term, the stock has come too far too fast.

That’s what this deep selloff is about as Dell shares.

The stock is down 19% today but that doesn’t diminish the 207% gain in the past 365 days.

Dell has reinvented itself as an AI stock and specifically a company specializing in servers that serve AI chips.

The company has done so well lately that they are gearing themselves up for inclusion into the S&P index.

That would honestly be a game-changer for the stock.

Super Micro Computer (SMCI), another play on AI servers, was added in March, despite having a market cap below $50 billion.

Confirmation of improving growth prospects could continue to support a stock that’s at a record high while trading at a discount to other tech favorites.

Dell recently generated excitement by unveiling a line of PCs optimized for AI, adding to hopes that such features could prompt a long-awaited upgrade cycle from customers and businesses. HP even reported the first increase in PC sales in two years.

The firm has become a critical cog in the AI ecosystem.

Both the PC and the server businesses will drive growth in coming years, and that’s supportive of both the stock price and the multiple.

I believe we can now say the company has turned itself into both a growth and a value play since the growth story is still under-appreciated and the multiple is very low relative to other AI plays.

The S&P 500 is rebalanced quarterly, with the next scheduled to occur in June. Becoming a component would open Dell up to a fresh avalanche of investors who use the S&P 500 as their benchmark, as well as flows into passive funds that track the index.

All things considered, I believe this is one of the best tech stocks to play server momentum, sky-rocketing storage demand, and an improving PC market.

Dell is becoming an increasingly strategic vendor in AI, but there’s a lot more appreciation for this than there was a few months ago.

Demand for AI systems remains healthy, but other parts of the business remain cyclical, and if we see a macro downturn, even a growth story as powerful as AI could slow down.

I like that investors are looking through the bad PC numbers and only focusing on Dell's AI server story.

This means that readers should be dissuaded from reach for this tech play even though they have a saturated computer business.

The most important and hardest endeavor in the tech industry is to reinvent when business is slowing down.

Only so many firms can pull it off and now that the pivot is into AI, companies are scrambling like Google and Apple in order to stay relevant.

Dell is a stock that should be bought on dips now and I feel funny saying that because that wasn’t the case not too long ago.

Another stock that has reinvented itself with the AI craze has been Oracle (ORCL).

 

 

 

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