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Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Kowtows to the Institutions

Bitcoin Letter

Google allowing crypto payments to its cloud services from Coinbase Global (COIN) doesn’t move the needle.

COIN is the crypto exchange platform that has run into a litany of problems recently, from falling trading volumes and regulatory fines to shifting strategic focus.

The news is a footnote to the carnage that is really happening front and center in the crypto market.

Funnily enough, why would a customer choose to pay for Google’s cloud services through Coinbase when fees are still meaningful and alternative rails (cards, bank transfers) dominate?

Crypto isn’t cheap, and it doesn’t pretend to be.

Ether (ETH) remains infamous for its “gas fees.” In 2021, they averaged around $63 for one transaction, which contributed to its lag behind other networks.

In 2025, the network has improved (via upgrades like Dencun and protocol optimizations), but fee-peaks still occur and many users have migrated to layer-2s or alternative chains.

Bank ACH transfers are free or very low cost, and so are most debit/credit card purchases.

Even though El Salvador claims to be a crypto-first economy, most everyday transactions continue to be completed in cash or U.S. dollars.

At least crypto will now be allowed to transact on Google’s platform (or at least participate via some rails), which is a victory in itself, but I don’t believe this will catch on like wildfire.

Crypto is up against a Sisyphean task.

The Google Cloud infrastructure service will initially accept cryptocurrency or crypto-adjacent payments from a limited set of customers; the roll-out is far from universal. Meanwhile, Google has pivoted toward broader payments infrastructure, agentic AI commerce and blockchain layers.

Over time, Google may allow more customers to make payments via crypto or stablecoins but the emphasis is no longer solely “pay with Bitcoin/Ether” but “use stablecoins or tokenized rails.”

Coinbase will (or already does) earn a percentage of transactions that go through whatever rail they enable but the margin of that business remains tiny relative to its overall operations.

It remains high risk to hold crypto on the balance sheet. Coinbase no longer flags a large impairment charge the way it did in 2022, but it continues to grapple with volatility and shrinking core trading revenue. In Q2 2025, Coinbase’s revenue fell to about $1.5 billion, with consumer spot trading volumes down ~45% year-over-year.

Therefore, I expect Google (or Google’s payment rail) to charge a fee or apply a conversion spread to turn crypto in and out of fiat - just as before - or to prefer stablecoin/fiat rails entirely.

From the outside, this really does look like a marketing gimmick.

Blockchain technologies, such as non-fungible tokens (NFTs), have moved out of the “wild hype” phase; for Google’s cloud division the bigger focus now is on tokenized assets, stablecoin infrastructure, AI-agent payments, and building developer tools around these. 

Google has announced the Agent Payments Protocol (AP2), an open standard for AI-agent-led payments that supports stablecoins among other rails.

Previously, Google pushed for growth in major industries such as media and retail. This year, it started forming more teams around blockchain, payments infrastructure and “Web3” tooling but the narrative has shifted from “crypto payments” to “tokenized finance + AI commerce.”

However, I thought that crypto was going at its lone-wolf style hoping to create a parallel system to the fiat money system which it despises.

Apparently not.

Tying up with a mega-tech corporate firm sounds like they are giving up to me.

It seems as if the founding investors are ready to cash out and leave the die-hard crypto believers for a more stable income stream.

Annuity-like income stream is something many crypto firms lack and locating one is a hard sell.

Crypto was supposed to be “decentralized” but this appears to be a move that will offer Google the keys to Coinbase’s data while limiting them to lateral moves.

In short, this is a move that allows more centralization in the biggest crypto platform in the United States.

Growth was crypto’s calling card and that means parabolic growth possibilities are over.

Integrating with Google also means Google will have deep insight into how they can use Coinbase to profit from digital currencies - since Coinbase has agreed to onboard their data onto Google’s cloud infrastructure in some capacity.

Honestly, this is a bone-head strategic move for Coinbase, and my inclination would be to buy Google’s stock if one believes in crypto.

Desperation can trigger some unusual moves and we are seeing that in real time. But analyzing the bleak short-term prospects for crypto, this might be a move for survival rather than anything else.

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-10-11 16:02:552025-11-17 01:37:43Kowtows to the Institutions
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Quote of the Day - October 11, 2022

Bitcoin Letter

“Every technological revolution takes about 50 years.” – Said Founder of Alibaba Jack Ma

 

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/jack-Ma.png 385 370 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-10-11 16:00:542022-10-11 16:27:38Quote of the Day - October 11, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

October 6, 2022

Bitcoin Letter

Mad Hedge Bitcoin Letter
October 6, 2022
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(MAX OUT CRYPTO)
(BTC), (MAXI)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-10-06 15:04:402022-10-06 16:00:54October 6, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Max Out Crypto

Bitcoin Letter

One of the big knocks on the digital gold or crypto is that it doesn’t generate some type of annuity-like payment.

That’s right, it doesn’t.

It’s not like a rental property that pumps out dollars every month.

That honestly turns off a lot of people.

I get it.

Getting those Benjamins to fill pockets for investors is a comforting feeling.

Instead, crypto holders are rewarded by the appreciation of the asset itself.

Speculative investors must wait for the price of crypto to elevate and sometimes it doesn’t so investors can’t cash out.

For the first time in the history of crypto products, the ETF Simplify Bitcoin Strategy PLUS Income ETF (MAXI) is designed to solve that challenge.

It combines investments in the bellwether coin crypto bitcoin with derivative-based income-producing products.

The Simplify Bitcoin Strategy PLUS Income ETF (MAXI US) is listed on Nasdaq with an expense ratio of about 1.00%.

The fund’s options sleeve is actively managed and consists of opportunistically selling short-dated put or call spreads on the most liquid global equity indices.

The management of MAXI described the portion of income-generating opportunities as “padding.”

However, that doesn’t adequately describe the large risk of what they are actually doing.

They are talking about this ETF as if the “income” is almost guaranteed.

But the risk here is that selling option calls and puts can be extremely loss-making and they fail to disclose that to investors.

This type of Frankenstein investment is definitely an interesting spin on crypto products by combining a derivative portion to the speculative crypto part.

There are many moving parts to this and due diligence is necessary.

In addition to the high risk, the management fee is a big turn-off.

The fee is to basically fund the operation, but it’s no guarantee that the derivative portion of the portfolio will be successful.

They claim they will generate income by writing short-dated option spreads on the “most liquid global equity indices,” yet as of 2025 the portfolio is still dominated by exposure to the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), along with a small sleeve of listed call options and index-based spreads.

The opaqueness doesn’t sit well with me and it shouldn’t with you.

The prospectus explains that the “options overlay strategy will invest up to 20% of fund’s assets,” which remains true in current filings.

Therefore, it could either be 0 or 20% of the ETF capital exposed to complete losses because the traders bet on the wrong short-dated strategy.

Essentially, investors have no idea what they are investing in.

What if there are no “income generating” profits and they are all losses?

Surely, they must be refunded to the customers, but I highly doubt it.

Adding speculation on top of speculation usually ends up badly and that is exactly what personifies MAXI.

Buy it for the asset appreciation or avoid it, but then might as well just buy Bitcoin itself.

This ETF needs to be avoided at all costs.

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-10-06 15:02:362025-11-17 01:19:06Max Out Crypto
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Quote of the Day - October 6, 2022

Bitcoin Letter

“Creativity is just connecting things.” – Said Co-Founder of Apple Steve Jobs

 

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/steve-jobs-3.png 246 372 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-10-06 15:00:482022-10-06 15:58:36Quote of the Day - October 6, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

October 4, 2022

Bitcoin Letter

Mad Hedge Bitcoin Letter
October 4, 2022
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(ANOTHER SLIP-UP)
(FSOC), (MAX), (BTC), (ETH)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-10-04 14:04:352022-10-04 15:14:17October 4, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Quote of the Day - October 4, 2022

Bitcoin Letter

“I believe this artificial intelligence is going to be our partner. If we misuse it, it will be a risk. If we use it right, it can be our partner.” – Said CEO of Softbank Masayoshi Son

 

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/masayoshi-son.png 372 477 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-10-04 14:00:112022-10-04 15:15:51Quote of the Day - October 4, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

September 29, 2022

Bitcoin Letter

Mad Hedge Bitcoin Letter
September 29, 2022
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(WHERE DOES THE UTILITY COME FROM?)
(FOMO), (BTC)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-09-29 15:04:492022-09-29 17:13:58September 29, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Quote of the Day - September 29, 2022

Bitcoin Letter

“We've arranged a civilization in which most crucial elements profoundly depend on science and technology.” – Said American astronomer and cosmologist Carl Sagan

 

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/sagan.png 300 222 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-09-29 15:00:572022-09-29 17:13:03Quote of the Day - September 29, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

September 27, 2022

Bitcoin Letter

Mad Hedge Bitcoin Letter
September 27, 2022
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(AN INDUSTRY ON THE ROPES)
(LUNA), (BTC), (DAI)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-09-27 15:04:572022-09-27 17:09:35September 27, 2022
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There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. MadHedgeFundTrader.com and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Affiliates of MadHedgeFundTrader.com may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.

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