Archive
Hot Tips
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Bitcoin Crashes,
reaching a 15-month low of $63,000, and it may get worse. The Trump bump is gone. Strategy (MSTR) plunged to $104 and is thought to have lost $17 billion so far this year. Avoid all crypto for now.
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Stellantis Shares Dive 24%,
after a massive $26.5 billion EV write-down. Shares of the Franco-Italian group, which owns the old Chrysler, fell by up to 24% to 6.17 euros in Milan, hovering around their lowest price since May 2020. If the losses hold, the stock will see its biggest one-day drop on record, as Friday's losses wipe off more than 5 billion euros from Stellantis' market capitalization.
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Amazon Plunges 12%,
after missing its fourth-quarter earnings estimates. The e-commerce giant earned $1.95 per share versus the $1.97 analysts polled by LSEG had forecast. On the other hand, its $213.39 billion revenue beat expectations of $211.33 billion. The (AMZN) story is in the same dilemma as all hyperscalers, namely, the investment community isn’t currently willing to pay a premium to back companies behind the AI build-out.
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iPhones are About to Get More Expensive,
as the AI build-out drives up parts prices. The iPhone maker (AAPL) predicted strong sales growth last week, spurred by demand for its iPhone 17 models. CEO Tim Cook told investors he expected memory chip prices to increase sharply, but declined to answer analysts' questions about whether Apple would raise prices in response.
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US Equity Fund Inflows Plunge.
Witnessing an easing of demand in the week through February 4 on caution over a selloff in software stocks, although strong earnings from Eli Lilly (LLY) and Super Micro Computer (SMCI) offered some support. Investors bought U.S. equity funds of $5.58 billion during the week, approximately a 48% drop compared with the prior week's $10.82 billion net inflows.
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There’s a Slow-Motion Crash Underway,
with technology stocks seeing their biggest two-day drop since April. Bitcoin treasury stock Strategy (MSTR) cratered 35% in a week and has given up 74% in four months. Interest rates are rising, which is not good for anyone. Is the rising unemployment rate finally starting to bite?
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Weekly Jobless Claims Rocket.
Initial claims increased by 22,000 to 231,000 in the final week of January, according to Labor Department data released Thursday. Claims exceeded all estimates in a Bloomberg survey of economists. Continuing claims, a proxy for the number of people receiving benefits, increased to 1.84 million in the previous week.
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Layoffs Hit 17-Year High,
while hiring a new low according to the outplacement firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas reported Thursday. U.S. employers announced 108,435 layoffs for the month, up 118% from the same period a year ago and 205% from December 2025. The total marked the highest for any January since 2009, while the economy was in the final months of its steepest downturn since the Great Depression.
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Silver Collapses Another 16%,
to a new post bubble low at $67. Analysts point to speculative flows, leveraged positioning, and options-driven trading as key drivers of the price swings. No way of knowing the bottom here. My worst-case low? The old Bunker Hunt high of $50 an ounce.
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Shipping Companies are Getting Torpedoed,
with the collapse of international trade leading to structural overcapacity. Danish shipping giant Maersk said on Thursday that falling freight rates, driven by container-vessel overcapacity and the gradual resumption of shorter Red Sea routes, could halve earnings in 2026, dragging its shares down sharply. Avoid all shipping plays.
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SpaceX Buys xAI for $1.2 Trillion,
in the largest merger in history. Musk estimates that within two to three years, the most cost-effective way to generate AI compute will be in space, as Big Tech companies spend hundreds of billions in the pursuit of artificial general intelligence, a theoretical milestone where machines could surpass human capabilities in cognitive tasks. This won’t be open to the public.
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Walmart Hits $1 Trillion Market Cap.
The Bentonville, Arkansas-based chain — a longtime favorite of bargain-hunting consumers — has flexed its massive scale and supplier network to keep prices low and grab market share across the income spectrum. While Walmart has maintained its appeal to households looking for value, its online offerings are drawing new, wealthier shoppers seeking convenience. Buy (WMT) on dips.
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Schlumberger (SLB) Wins $1.5 Billion Kuwait Contract.
Oil producers in the Middle East, Africa, and Asia are seeking to boost inventories, which is driving exploration and drilling activity in the region, and with it demand for oilfield services. In December, SLB received a five-year contract to supply Saudi Aramco services for the energy giant's unconventional gas fields.
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$2.5 Billion in Bitcoin was Dumped Last Week,
taking the cryptocurrency down to a one-year low at $74,000. The wipeouts in both short and long Bitcoin positions are far below $19 billion in crypto liquidations the market experienced after U.S. President Donald Trump announced new tariffs on China. Even so, analysts say the fresh cascade of wipeouts demonstrates how sensitive the crypto market has become to risk-off sentiment. Avoid all crypto.
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Take a Look at SoFi.
Shares of SoFi have surged 43% overall in the past 12 months but have declined 10% since the company’s fourth-quarter earnings call on Jan. 30. Momentum in the business is undeniable, as SoFi continues to add new members and deposits at a record pace. Other fintechs report deposit outflows or stagnant member growth, and investments in marketing in ’25 and 1H26 set the stage for continued premium customer acquisition and engagement for the foreseeable future.
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The Precious Metals Rout Continues,
with gold dropping to $4,100 and silver to $68. The margin calls and forced liquidations continue. Some $287 million of gold and silver ETFs were liquidated on Thursday and Friday. But a bottom may be near. Gold is now only 5% about the 50-day moving average, while silver is already there. I expect a bounce back, as all other investment alternatives are getting so much worse. Buy (GLD) and (SLV) on bigger dips. Notice that it's the non-yielding asset classes that are getting slaughtered along with crypto, which are all predicting higher interest rates.
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Government Cancels Friday Jobs Report,
ostensibly because of the government shutdown. Every opportunity to hide the bad news is taken. Private sources like Challenger, ADP, and Standard and Poor’s are offering the only reliable data releases from here on.
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Rare Earth Stocks Jump on Trump's $12 Billion Stockpile Proposal.
The end result is that everyone will have to pay much higher prices for rare-earth dependent parts. Avoid the bubble. The insiders have already made their killing. The problem is that Trump has no money to finance this.
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Ford to Offer Chinese EVs for Sale in the US,
presumably to be assembled at US plants in a direct challenge to Tesla.
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Where is the Bottom for Software Stock?
After Microsoft’s (MSFT) 12% selloff last week and SAP’s 19% crash, investors are wondering whether the suffering will never end for this sector. It’s more than just AI eating their lunch. Many companies have taken programming in-house and no longer rely on third parties.
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Fed Leaves Interest Rates Unchanged.
Reference was made to “Solid growth in the Economy” being mentioned four times in the press conference. That is not a time the Fed cuts interest rates. Powell said that without tariffs, the inflation rate would be 2.0%, but the current is 2.8%. The Fed is unlikely to cut interest rates until May.
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US Mergers & Acquisitions Top $65 Billion in 2025,
a windfall for big investment banks Goldman Sachs (GS) and Morgan Stanley (MS). The rebound was driven by motivated buyers, including refunded private equity teams, increased use of securitized financing, and new international entrants competing for limited assets.
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Tesla Profits Plunge 16%,
off a 3% drop in YOY sales. The company will scrap its flagship, but dated, models S and X, to cut costs. The Fremont factory will be converted to robot production. The shares barely budged on the news, which has been trapped in a six-month trading range. Avoid (TSLA) for now.
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Is this Trump’s Next Invasion Target?
The administration has completely cut off Cuba’s oil supply, prompting an economic collapse. It has already threatened Mexico over providing backup supplies. The communist country is said to have only 15-20 days of oil supplies left. Another attack could be a US stock market disruptor.
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Meta Soars on Big Earnings Beat.
Analysts across Wall Street raised their Meta price targets after the technology giant showed in its latest earnings report that improving AI-driven advertising monetization helped offset concerns around higher operating and capital expenditures. The “Magnificent Seven” titan delivered fourth-quarter earnings of $8.88per share on revenue of $59.89billion. Stand aside from overbought (META) for now.
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