Hot Tips Archives

Mad Hedge Hot Tips for September 20, 2018

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
September 20, 2018
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

1) Stocks Markets Hit New All-Time Highs. Finally, after an eight-month break. Pour gasoline on a fire with tax cuts and massive deficit spending, and you get an explosion. Do this against an ocean of global liquidity and you get a bigger explosion. When retail starts making easy money, watch out! Click here.

2) Pot Stock Tilray (TLRY) Rockets 100% in One Day, Then Crashes. What are these people smoking? Is this the next Bitcoin? I thought pot was supposed to make you mellow, not frenzied. It all sounds like “Reefer Madness.” Click here.

3) New Fund to Cut Fees for Nonperformers. Finally, a no play-no pay fund. I’d rather pay extra fees for super performance. Click here.

4) August Existing Home Sales Are Flat. Part of a growing mountain of evidence that the residential real estate market has peaked. Home inventories are rising for the first time in three years. Click here.

5) Tesla 3 Gets Highest Government Safety Rating. It’s like driving in a tank made of aluminum and carbon fiber. Click here.

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

SPECIAL VOLATILITY ISSUE,
(SHOPPING FOR FIRE INSURANCE IN A HURRICANE),
(VIX), (VXX), (XIV),
(THE ABCs OF THE VIX),
(VIX), (VXX), (SVXY),
(THE BULL CASE FOR NETFLIX),
(NFLX), (AAPL), (GOOGL), (FB)

Mad Hedge Hot Tips for September 19, 2018

Hot Tips

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)
September 19, 2018
Fiat Lux

1) Meet the Mad Hedge Fund Trader in Miami on October 16. Touch him, shake his hand, and see if he is real. Join John Thomas for a global all asset class review and get a great lunch as well by clicking here.

2) UPS to Hire 100,000 for Christmas deliveries. They are expecting one heck of a holiday season. Should you too? Click here.

3) New China Trade Tariffs Trigger Monster Stock Rally. So, cutting off only two of your fingers instead of 2 ½ is good news? What a strange world we live in! The resulting $20 billion in new taxes are coming out of YOUR pocket! Click here.

4) But They Also Trigger Massive Chinese Selling of US Treasury Bonds (TLT), taking the market down a gut punching two points. Suddenly, the Chinese have gone off all things American. I wonder why? Click here.

5) What is the Worst Performing Major Stock This Year? It is China’s Tencent Holdings (TCTZF), down a heart throbbing 27%, which has been slapped around by Chinese government regulation and a trade war with the US. Click here.

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

(THE QUANTUM COMPUTER IN YOUR FUTURE),

(AMZN), (GOOG),

(WEDNESDAY OCTOBER 17 HOUSTON STRATEGY LUNCHEON INVITATION)

(IBM’S SELF DESTRUCT),

(IBM), (BIDU), (BABA), (AAPL), (INTC), (AMD), (AMZN), (MSFT), (ORCL)

Mad Hedge Hot Tips for September 18, 2018

Hot Tips

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
September 18, 2018
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

1) Mad Hedge Kills It with a Bond Short (TLT). Sold at the highs in August and covered at the Friday lows for a $1,444, or 14% profit. Thank you, Mr. Market! Don’t forget to sell the next bond rally. Click here.

2) China Hits Back With $60 Billion in Tariffs. It’s why the stock market can’t sustain any rallies. Now it’s our turn to hit them again. Stockpile fortune cookies? Click here.

3) But the Big Story Today is a Falling Dollar (UUP), which has hit a seven-week low. The entire “trade peace” sector that I have been blathering about catches a bid. A hint of more to come? Pay for that European vacation early. Click here.

4) Netflix Tops Emmys, Tying HBO. It helps a lot when an AI algorithm and big data tells them what people want to watch next year. Click here.

5) Elon Musk’s Space X to Fly a Japanese Billionaire Around the Moon, and eight artists are coming along for company. No kidding! I would have gone first, but I didn’t have $20 million to blow. Always looking for another exotic logbook entry. My record is 90,000 feet in a MiG-25. Click here.

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

(DON’T MISS THE SEPTEMBER 19 GLOBAL STRATEGY WEBINAR),
(COFFEE WITH RAY KURZWEIL), (GOOG).
(THE DANGERS OF PLAYING TECH SMALL FRY),
(FIT), (AAPL), (CRM), (FTNT), (SQ), (SNAP), (BBY)

Mad Hedge Hot Tips for September 17, 2018

Hot Tips

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
September 17, 2018
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

1) Trump Ramps Up the Trade War with China, adding 10% import duties on $200 billion worth of goods in the run-up to Christmas. Some 80% of the focus this time will be on consumer goods. Beat the Grinch and shop early! Click here.

2) Risks Are Rising for Apple. Once the Chinese run out of trade goods to retaliate against, services are next. An iPhone can only be made in the U.S. for $2,000. Click here.

3) The Volatility Handle (VIX) Hits the $12 Handle Again. Get ready to load up once again now that we are in “BUY” territory. Positioning for an October surprise? Click here.

4) Wall Street Salaries Reach a Decade High. At an average $422,500, this is what they looked like in 2008. Then they got laid off in 2009. I’m just sayin’… Click here.

5) Coca Cola (KO) in Talks to Buy Canada’s Aurora Cannabis, in an effort to enter the pot market. They started out in the 1800s with cocaine, so it makes sense, doesn’t it? Click here.

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

(THE MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THE WEEK AHEAD),
(AAPL), (CBS), (EEM), (BABA), (UUP),
(MSFT), (VIX), (VXX), (TLT),
(TUESDAY, OCTOBER 16, 2018, MIAMI, FL,
GLOBAL STRATEGY LUNCHEON),
(APPLE RAMPS UP ITS GAME),
(AAPL)

Mad Hedge Hot Tips for September 14, 2018

Hot Tips

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
September 14, 2018
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

1) We Nailed it With Microsoft (MSFT). Took profits on my long and will double up on the next dip. The stock has another double in it. Clocking a $1,033 gain in 12 days works for me! Click here.

2) Retail Sales Rose by only 0.1% in August, the lowest in six months. Looks like they spent a lot in July but no so much in August. Another nail in the recovery’s coffin, but it will take another thousand like this to call the next recession. Have they run out of money? Click here.

3) Ten-Year Treasury Yields Hit 3.0%, and the banks could care less when they are supposed to rise. Both a September and December 25 basis point rate hikes are now in the can, and March has risen to a 50% probability. Click here.

4) Stocks Open Up Slightly, with trade wars still a major overhang. No one wants to stay long over a weekend in this world, and risk is high. It’s all about Hurricane Florence today anyway. Click here.

5) Target to Hire 120,000 for the Christmas Rush. And you thought the lines were bad now! Call it “Peak Christmas,” and maybe they won’t hack my credit card this time. Click here.

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch:

(SOME GOOD NEWS FROM TESLA), (TSLA),
(SOME SAGE ADVICE ABOUT ASSET ALLOCATION)

Mad Hedge Hot Tips for September 13, 2018

Hot Tips

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
September 13, 2018
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

1) Fed Says Labor Shortages Rising, Trade Fears Rampant. In its Beige Book report, America’s central bank concedes that Trump’s foreign adventures are really starting to cost the economy, scaling back capital investment. Click here.

2) Apple (AAPL) Makes a Big Play for the China Market, with its new low-end phones, but will the trade war get in the way? Click here.

3) Turkey Raises Interest Rates to break the collapse in its currency. The move triggers a global “RISK ON” move. The Mad Hedge Market Timing Index rockets back up to 71 in a heartbeat. Click here.

4) General Motors (GM) Recalls 1 Million Trucks and SUVs. Please avoid this sector like the plague. Apparently, the steering wheels don’t work. And you’d think they’d notice it at the factory. Click here.

5) U.S. Median Income Recovers 2007 Level. It’s only taken a decade, but at $61,272 we are finally earning what we did in 2007. Somehow, it doesn’t seem to go as far. Click here.

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

(EXPANDING MY “TRADE PEACE” PORTFOLIO),
(BABA), (BIDU), (TCTZF) (MU), (LRCX), (KLAC), (EEM),
(FXI), (EWZ), (SOYB), (CORN), (WEAT), (CAT), (DE),
(THE LEAGUE OF EXTRAORDINARY TRADERS),
(THE THREAT TO YOUR DIGITAL LIFE FROM CHATBOTS),
(FB), (GOOGL), (MSFT)

Mad Hedge Hot Tips for September 12, 2018

Hot Tips

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
September 12, 2018
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

1) Producer Price Index Down 0.1%, versus +0.2% expected. This shocking deflationary print is amazing at the top of an economic cycle. Click here.

2) Apple (AAPL) to Launch Three New Phones Today, but most of the specs have already leaked out. Take profits on the stock. Click here.

3) Semiconductor Stocks Get Clocked Again (LRCX), (MU), with another broker downgrade, and they will continue to fall apart as long as the trade war with China continues. Are we getting close to “BUY” territory? Click here.

4) Risk-Taking in Emerging Countries (EEM) is in Free Fall. If 56% of the global economy is sick, how long will it take for the contagion to spread to us? Click here.

5) Trade Wars to Chop $10 Off S&P 500 Earnings This Year, from $168 to $158, with two-thirds of all companies impacted. The benefits of the tax cuts have been wiped out. When are those midterms again? Click here.

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

THE FUTURE OF AI ISSUE:
(THE NEW AI BOOK THAT INVESTORS ARE SCRAMBLING FOR),
(GOOG), (FB), (AMZN), MSFT), (BABA), (BIDU),
(TENCENT), (TSLA), (NVDA), (AMD), (MU), (LRCX),
(HOW TO PLAY “SOFTWARE AS A SERVICE”),
(AMZN), (IBM), (ADBE), (CRM), (BABA),
(CSCO), (SAP), (ORCL), (GOOGL)

Mad Hedge Hot Tips for September 11, 2018

Hot Tips

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
September 11, 2018
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

1) Stocks Open Down, on what will be a muted day on 9/11 remembrances. I can’t believe it’s been 17 years. The bloom is coming off the rose as trade wars overhang risk taking. Keep those shorts! Click here.

2) Hedge Fun Guru Ray Dalio Says It’s Time to Go Defensive. The Bridgewater founder also thinks we’re in the seventh inning of the economic recovery. The next bear market won’t be as bad as the last, but the politics could be worse. Sees parallels with the 1935-39 drawdown, when income tax rates were raised to 90% and the rich were vilified for the next 20 years. I’m keeping my shorts. Click here.

3) JOLTS Report Shows 6.93 Million Job Openings in July, a new all-time high. This is what an overheating economy looks like. It’s just a matter of time before we start seeing strikes for high wages. Click here.

4) Small Business Optimism Hits an All-Time High in August, up 0.9 points to 108.8. That’s a 35-year high. Super bullish small businesses are another topping indicator. Click here.

5) Tesla’s (TSLA) Battery Business is Booming, but nobody knows it because of all the hoopla over Elon Musk. The stock is still uninvestable as it hits a new low for the year. Click here.

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

(A NOTE ON ASSIGNED OPTIONS,
OR OPTIONS CALLED AWAY), (MSFT),
(TEN MORE REASONS WHY BONDS WON’T CRASH),
(TLT), (TBT), (ELD), (MUB),
(IS IT TIME TO PICK UP THE SLACK?),
SLACK WORKSPACE APP

Mad Hedge Hot Tips for September 10, 2018

Hot Tips

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
September 10, 2018
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

1) Leslie Moonves Leaves CBS (CBS). He just couldn’t keep his hands off the merchandise. Another CEO leaves for playing nookie in-house. Too bad, because he was the best CEO in the industry. A $120 million golden parachute kicks in. Stock dives 4%, stay away. Click here.

2) The Richest Man in China Retires. Alibaba (BABA) founder Jack Ma decides to go spend his $40 billion. Only in China! Maybe it’s time to get out of Dodge. His stock also dives 4%. Click here.

3) Trump Tells Apple (AAPL) to Make Phones in the U.S. Here comes your $2,000 iPhone. It will never happen as talk is cheap, but this is why I’m out of the stock. Click here.

4) Markets Rally on Promise of More Tax Cuts. Yes, it’s called “Tax Reform 2.0”, and it will add another $1.5 trillion to the U.S. deficit. Sell Short more U.S. Treasury bonds (TLT). Click here.

5) Lehman Brothers Bankruptcy 10-Year Anniversary. How time flies! Expect a lot of 20/20 hindsight today. Boy, I’m glad I got out of that one early! Click here.

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

(WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 17, 2018, HOUSTON
GLOBAL STRATEGY LUNCHEON INVITATION),
(THE MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THE WEEK AHEAD,
or “IT WASN’T ME!”),
(AMZN), (NKE), (SPY), (PCG),
(GOOGLE’S BREAKFAST OF ROTTEN EGGS),
(TWTR), (FB), (GOOGL), (MSFT), (AMZN)

Mad Hedge Hot Tips for September 7, 2018

Hot Tips

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
September 7, 2018
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

1) NASDAQ Has its Worst Week in Five Months. And you wonder why I’m 70% in cash, with two short positions. Is the tech miracle dead? No, but it IS taking a long-needed rest. Sell tech for the short term, hold for the long term. Click here.

2) August Nonfarm Payroll Report Hits 201,000, and the Unemployment Rate stands at 3.9%. The jobs market is firing on all cylinders. Even your Uncle Ernie can get a job now at a day care center. Click here.

3) But Wage Growth Hits a Nine-Year High at 2.9%. Talk about whistling past the graveyard. Inflation is on the way. Maybe that’s why my bond short is doing so well, as is yours. Click here.

4) Elon Musk Gets High on a podcast and Tesla (TSLA) shares plunge by $30. Bonds hit record lows. Buy the car, not the stock. There are too many black swans circling out there. Click here.

5) Starbucks (SBUX) Finally Moves into Italy, and they’re already getting sued on illegal price cutting. Taking coals to Newcastle. You would think with 25,000 stores worldwide they had enough. Click here.

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch:

(MONDAY, OCTOBER 15, 2018, ATLANTA, GA,
GLOBAL STRATEGY LUNCHEON),
(SEPTEMBER 5 BIWEEKLY STRATEGY WEBINAR Q&A),
(AMZN), (MU), (MSFT), (LRCX), (GOOGL), (TSLA),
(TBT), (EEM), (PIN), (VXX), (VIX), (JNK), (HYG), (AAPL)