May 16, 2011 - The Markets Are On a Knife Edge

Featured Trades: (THE MARKETS ARE ON A KNIFE EDGE)

1) The Markets Are On a Knife Edge. All global asset classes are within a hair's breadth of completely breaking down.

The S&P 500 sits perilously on its neckline. Just below here there are a ton of sell stops that could pare 5% off the index very rapidly. The more volatile and leading emerging market ETF (EEM) has already broken this key level. Look also at the euro, which has been marching in almost complete lockstep with stocks. It has crashed through the 50 day moving average, and has so far struggled unsuccessfully to recover it. The flip side of all of this is the (UUP), a dollar long against a basket of currencies, which appears to have entered new bull market territory.

What positive surprise is out there that could possibly hold things out there for a few more weeks or months? I can't think of one. What surprise negative is out there that could cause the whole house of cards to collapse. I can think of a dozen. Only Ben Bernanke has the power to stick his finger in the dyke, and right now he is keeping his hands in his pocket.

Ben, Where are You?

Legal Disclaimer

There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. MadHedgeFundTrader.com and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Affiliates of MadHedgeFundTrader.com may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.