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“We have few, if any spare tires left,” said Mohamed El-Erian, CIO of mega bond house PIMCO, about the nail studded road ahead for the US economy.

Global Market Comments January 28, 2025 Fiat Lux   Featured Trade: (THE NEW OFFSHORE CENTER: AMERICA), (SIGN UP NOW FOR TEXT MESSAGING OF TRADE ALERTS)

Officials in South Dakota have figured out how to make up for the complete collapse of their oil fracking industry. They are morphing the Peace Garden State into a major offshore banking center. South Dakota is not alone. Some 200,000 corporations, limited liability companies, and family trusts are registered in remote Stateline, Nevada on the

Yahoo is occasionally down in various parts of the country. AWeber, the service provider we use to send out the Trade Alerts by email, sometimes goes completely down for hours and initially denies that the problem was at their end. They blamed a surge in Internet traffic (probably another battle in the ongoing cyber war

Global Market Comments January 27, 2025 Fiat Lux   Featured Trade: (MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THE WEEK AHEAD, or THE TRADE WAR BEGINS), (SPY), (TLT), (TSLA), (NFLX)

The punitive 25% tariff against Columbia for refusing to take back their own immigrants clearly signals how international relations will be conducted going forward. Never mind that it was rolled back 25 hours later. The intentions are clear. Notice that it is America’s biggest exporters, the Magnificent Seven, that are getting absolutely slaughtered this morning.

“To pursue the mosquito theory as a cause of yellow fever would be a complete waste of government money,” said an army doctor in 1898.  

Global Market Comments January 24, 2025 Fiat Lux   Featured Trade: (SOME SAGE ADVICE ON ASSET ALLOCATION)

Asset allocation is the one question that I get every day, which I absolutely cannot answer. The reason is simple: no two investors are alike. The answer varies whether you are young or old, have $1,000 in the bank or $1 billion, are a sophisticated investor or an average Joe, are in the top or

“Fair value doesn’t mean you have to go down. It just means you have to be cautious,” said hedge fund legend David Tepper of Appaloosa Management.  

Global Market Comments January 23, 2025 Fiat Lux   Featured Trades: (WHY WATER WILL SOON BE WORTH MORE THAN OIL), (CGW), (PHO), (FIW), (VE), (TTEK), (PNR), (WHY WARREN BUFFETT HATES GOLD), (GLD), (GDX), (ABX)

If you think that an energy shortage is bad, it will pale in comparison to the next water crisis. So, investment in freshwater infrastructure is going to be a great recurring long-term investment theme. One theory about the endless wars in the Middle East since 1918 is that they have really been over water rights.

After seven years in the penalty box, gold is finally starting to come alive, and the Armageddon crowd is absolutely loving it. Maybe after ten years of rising, stocks are finally expensive on a relative basis? These are the guys who are perennially predicting the collapse of the dollar, the default of the US government,

“Every recession sows the seeds for the next business recovery, and every recovery sows the seeds of the next recession,” said hedge fund manager Leon Cooperman of Omega Advisors.  

Global Market Comments January 22, 2025 Fiat Lux   Featured Trades: (TRADING FOR THE NON-TRADER), (ROM), (UXI), (UCC), (UYG)

I like to start out my day by calling readers on the US East Coast and Europe, asking how they like the service, are there any ways I can improve the service, and what topics they would like me to write about. After all, at 5:00 AM Pacific time, they are the only ones around.

Global Market Comments January 21, 2025 Fiat Lux   Featured Trades: (MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THE WEEK AHEAD or NOW WE ENTER THE GREAT UNKNOWN), (GS), (MS), (JPM), (C), (BAC) (TLT), (TSLA)

I am writing this to you from Indian Rock Beach, Florida, an extended sand bar outside of Tampa on the west coast. Cabin cruisers pass by every five minutes. There is not much fishing though with rain and temperatures in the low 40s, the coldest of the year. leaving a lot of free time for

"In both the 1982 and 1990 gains, the market accelerated at the end. Lightening may not strike twice but we would advise against flying a kite in a thunderstorm," said Laszlo Birinyi of Birinyi Associates.

Global Market Comments January 17, 2025 Fiat Lux   Featured Trades: (JANUARY 15 BIWEEKLY STRATEGY WEBINAR Q&A), (GS), (MS), (JPM), (C), (BAC), (TSLA), (HOOD), (COIN), (NVDA), (MUB), (TLT), (JPM), (HD), (LOW), FXI)