There is nothing quite like selling short sovereign bonds and then seeing the country in question go into default. That was a big trade during the 1970's and 1980's, when after two oil shocks the credit worthiness of emerging nations went into a tailspin. I think I made three round trips on Brazil alone. However,
I'm happy to renew my subscription to The Mad Hedge Fund Trader. This current, very perplexing market demands a coach advising you on what it is doing. If you do not step up to the plate and hit what is being pitched you will not succeed. The same is true with this market. With a
"An S&P 500 index fund never beats the index. There's fees, there's friction costs, and other costs involved," said Robert Reynolds, a manager at Putnam Investment Fund.
Global Market Comments January 19, 2018 Fiat Lux SPECIAL CLEVER OPTIONS TRADING ISSUE Featured Trade: (A CHEAP HEDGE FOR THIS MARKET), (VIX), (VXX), (XIV), (SPY), (HOW TO EXECUTE A VERTICAL BULL CALL SPREAD) (FB), (TESTIMONIAL)
The S&P 500 is now 5.66% above its 50-day moving average, the biggest gap in history, which itself is rising sharply. So financial advisors, pension fund managers, and cautious individuals have been ringing me up asking what is the best way to hedge already heady 2018 gains. You can forget about buying the Volatility Index
Global Market Comments January 18, 2018 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (MAD HEDGE JANUARY 17 STRATEGY WEBINAR Q&A), (SPY), (GE), (TLT), (TBT), (EDIT), (GS), (BHGE), (USO), (WMT), (NTLA), (BABA), (LMT), (TRN), (FXA) (WHY THE REAL ESTATE BOOM HAS A DECADE TO RUN), (DHI), (LEN), (PHM), (DXJ)
Q: Will deflation outpace inflation given the rapid pace of technology? A: The answer is yes. We will get some inflation but not much. That's why I am calling the top in this interest rate cycle in the bond market at 4% instead of the 6%, 8%, or 10% we saw in earlier economic cycles.
Global Market Comments January 17, 2018 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (THE BIG WINNER FROM INTEL'S CHIP DESIGN FLAW), (INTC), (NVDA), (AMD), (THE CONTINUING DEATH OF RETAIL), (AMZN), (WMT), (M), (JWN), (TESTIMONIAL)
Buy Intel (INTC) on the dip. That is the only conclusion you can reach after watching the company go through the meat grinder after revelations of its chip design flaws were made public. After following this company for four decades, that is always the correct kneejerk reaction. Certain industries suffer from inherent idiosyncratic risks unique
My next global strategy webinar will be held on Wednesday, January 17 at 12:00 PM EST, which I will be broadcasting live from Incline Village, Nevada. I'll be introducing a new co-host this week. Doug Robertson of OptionsEDU.com is an old friend and a battle-scarred veteran of the equity options market. Readers in the past
Yikes, holy smokes, and sweet mother of Mary! The S&P 500 (SPY) is up an eye-popping, gob smacking 4.2% so far in 2018, making up a third of my original 12% target for the entire year. Even more incredible is that it has gained nearly 10% in 30 days. If we continue to appreciate at
Global Market Comments January 12, 2018 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JANUARY 17 GLOBAL STRATEGY WEBINAR), (SOME HUMBLE ADVICE FROM AN OLD TRADER), (SIGN UP NOW FOR TEXT MESSAGING OF TRADE ALERTS)
When I ran the equity trading desk at Morgan Stanley, whenever traders got bored they would sit around their desks speculating about which single event would most totally destroy financial markets. Nuclear war was always a favorite, but that fell by the wayside after the Soviet Union collapsed and we bought all of their excess
As a large number of new subscribers just poured in, I invite them to sign up for our text messaging service. Paid subscribers are able to receive instantaneous text messages of my proprietary Trade Alerts. This eliminates frustrating delays caused by traffic surges on the Internet itself, and by your local server. This service is
Global Market Comments January 11, 2018 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (NOW THE FAT LADY IS REALLY SINGING FOR TH BOND MARKET), (TLT), (TBT), ($TNX), (GLD), (BITCOIN), (SPY), (THE LIQUIDITY CRISIS COMING TO A MARKET NEAR YOU), (TLT), (TBT), (MUB), (LQD), (TESTIMONIAL)
The most significant market development so far in 2018 has not been the wild gyrations of Bitcoin, the nonstop rally in stocks (SPY), or the rebound of gold (GLD). It has been the utter collapse of the bond market (TLT), which is now probing to one year lows. I love it when my short, medium,
Global Market Comments January 10, 2018 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (WHAT TO BUY AT MARKET TOPS?), (CAT), ($COPPER), (FCX), (BHP), (RIO), (EUROPEAN STYLE HOMELAND SECURITY), (TESTIMONIAL)
Hey John and the MAD Team, here's an early Happy New Years! You really nailed and keep nailing great reversals and trends that are just beginning to deserve a watchful eye. I nailed it today, so far, just buying the JPY pairs, and shorting the big bond, this past couple weeks? I'm still a bit
Global Market Comments January 9, 2018 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (TRADING THE COMING EARNINGS HIT IN APPLE), (AAPL), (GOOG), (ORCL), (MSFT),(PFE), (JNJ), (PG), (GS), (RDS/A), (DDAIF), (BMWYY), (TLT), (BIDDING MORE FOR THE STARS), (SPY), (INDU), (NVDA)
By now, you are all long up the wazoo with the shares of Apple (AAPL). How would you respond if I told you that Steve Jobs' creation is about to take a gigantic $33 billion earnings hit? My guess is that you'd jump off the nearest bridge, slit your wrists, or at the very least,