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Friday, April 25 San Francisco Strategy Luncheon

Come join me for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in San Francisco on Friday, April 25, 2014. An excellent meal will be followed by a wide-ranging discussion and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, […]

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The New War in the Ukraine

It was another one of those midnight calls from my old KGB friend. Yuri was assigned to tail me in Tokyo during the 1970’s. He even came to my wedding as the official TASS correspondent. We have stayed in touch ever since. After the fall of the Soviet Union, he landed on his feet (as […]

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Time to Sell the Treasury Market Short

There is a layup of a trade setting up here in the wake of the escalating crisis in the Ukraine. Since January 2, the Treasury bond market (TLT) has enjoyed a massive 8 point rally, taking the ten year yield from 3.05% to 2.60%. By shorting Treasury bonds here, you are betting that the yield […]

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March 3, 2014

Global Market Comments March 3, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (FRIDAY APRIL 4 INCLINE VILLAGE, NEVADA STRATEGY LUNCHEON), (ALL ASSET CLASS RISK REVERSAL AT HAND), (SPY), (EEM), (TLT), (VXX), (FXY), (YCS), (FXE), (UUP), (WHY WATER WILL SOON BE WORTH MORE THAN OIL), (CGW), (PHO), (FIW), (VE), (TTEK), (PNR), (TESTIMONIAL) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) iShares MSCI […]

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Friday, April 4 Incline Village, Nevada Global Strategy Luncheon

Come join me for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Incline Village, Nevada on Friday, April 4, 2014. An excellent meal will be followed by a wide-ranging discussion and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on […]

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All Asset Class Risk Reversal at Hand

I believe that we are on the verge of seeing major reversals across all asset classes. Get this one right, and you will make a fortune. Screw it up, and you will soon be looking for your next job on Craig’s List. I understand that there is a desperate need for code writers in the […]

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Why Water Will Soon Become More Valuable Than Oil

If you think that an energy shortage is bad, it will pale in comparison to the next water crisis. So investment in fresh water infrastructure is going to be a great recurring long-term investment theme. One theory about the endless wars in the Middle East since 1918 is that they have really been over water […]

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February 28, 2014

Global Market Comments February 27, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (WHY I’M SELLING SHORT THE MARKET) (SPY), (TSLA), (NFLX), (FB), (PCLN), (YELP), (XLF), (XLE), (REPORT FROM NEW ZEALAND), (ENZL) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) Tesla Motors, Inc. (TSLA) Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) Facebook, Inc. (FB) priceline.com Incorporated (PCLN) Yelp, Inc. (YELP) Financial Select Sector SPDR® (XLF) Energy […]

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Why I’m Selling Short the Market

Let me give you my thinking here. I am a long-term bull, expecting the S&P 500 to be up 10% or more to over 2,000 by yearend, and possibly 20,000 by 2030. But yearend is a long time off (even though every year seems to go by faster). We have just had a massive 11 […]

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Report from New Zealand

35 degrees South latitude, 174 degrees East longitude. I am writing this report from the Duke of Marlborough Hotel and Pub in remote Russell, off the east coast of New Zealand’s North Island. Once known as “The Hell Hole of the Pacific” in 1835, no less an authority than Charles Darwin, claimed this 19th century […]

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February 27, 2014

Global Market Comments February 27, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (DIVIDEND HIKE COULD SEND BANK OF AMERICA FLYING), (BAC), (XLF), (SPY), (PLEASE USE MY FREE DATA BASE SEARCH), (TESTIMONIAL), (IS USA, INC. A “SELL”) Bank of America Corporation (BAC) Financial Select Sector SPDR® (XLF) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)

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Dividend Hike Could Send Bank of America Flying

Bank of America (BAC) certainly was the chief whipping boy of the financial crisis. Since 2008, it has paid out more than $50 billion in fines and lawsuit settlements for every transgression under the sun. After getting a bail out from the US Treasury, it was forced to cut its dividend payment to a token […]

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Please Use My Free Data Base Search

The original purpose of this letter was to build a database of ideas to draw on in the management of my hedge fund. When a certain trade comes into play, I merely type in the symbol, name, currency, or commodity into the search box, and the entire fundamental argument in favor of that position pops […]

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Is USA Inc. a “SELL?

What would happen if I recommended a stock that had no profits, was cash flow negative, and had a net worth of negative $44 trillion? Chances are, you would cancel your subscription to the Mad Hedge Fund Trader, demand a refund, de-friend me from you Facebook account, and delete my email address from your contact […]

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February 26, 2014

Global Market Comments February 26, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (FRIDAY APRIL 4 INCLINE VILLAGE, NEVADA STRATEGY LUNCHEON), (ANOTHER HOME RUN WITH NATURAL GAS), (UNG), (DGAZ), (UNL), (GET READY FOR YOUR NEXT BIG TAX HIT) United States Natural Gas (UNG) VelocityShares 3x Inv Natural Gas ETN (DGAZ) United States 12 Month Natural Gas (UNL)

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