“We have 3,500 nuclear weapons left over from the cold war we don’t need, they take 20 seconds to re-aim, we’re not afraid to use them. And by the way, they’re already aimed at you.” That is the approach James Baker III thinks America should take with Iran, Ronald Reagan’s Chief of Staff and Secretary [...]

The Corn Crash Continues
Pit traders of the ags are bruised, battered, and broken, in the wake of Thursday’s US Department of Agriculture crop report showing that there is a whole lot more food out there than anyone imagined possible. Corn was the real shocker. It has long been a nostrum in the ag markets that high prices cure [...]

May 8 Las Vegas Strategy Luncheon
Come join me for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Las Vegas, Nevada on Wednesday, May 8, 2013. An excellent meal will be followed by a wide-ranging discussion and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on [...]
April 1, 2013
Global Market Comments April 1, 2013 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (GET READY FOR THE NEXT GOLDEN AGE)

Get Ready for the Next Golden Age
I believe that the global economy is setting up for a new golden age reminiscent of the one the United States enjoyed during the 1950’s, and which I still remember fondly. This is not some pie in the sky prediction. It simply assumes a continuation of existing trends in demographics, technology, politics, and economics. The [...]
March 28, 2013
Global Market Comments March 28, 2013 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (APRIL 3 GLOBAL STRATEGY WEBINAR), (APRIL 19 CHICAGO STRATEGY LUNCHEON), (REAL ESTATE BIDDING WARS GO NATIONAL), (LEN), (KBH), (PHM) Lennar Corp. (LEN) KB Home (KBH) PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM)

Don’t Miss the April 3 Global Strategy Webinar
My next global strategy webinar will be held on Wednesday, April 3 at 12:00 noon EDT. This one will be open to the public, so login in early to get a space. I’ll be giving you my updated outlook on stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, precious metal, and real estate. The goal is to find the [...]

April 19 Chicago Strategy Luncheon
Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Chicago on Friday, April 19. A three-course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign [...]

Real Estate Bidding Wars Go National
Two years ago, there was an open house listed in the San Francisco Chronicle in my neighborhood for $1.8 million. It offered a cavernous 6,000 square feet, five bedrooms, a generous den I could use as a home office, a gourmet kitchen, and a spectacular view of the entire bay area. It was a slow [...]
March 27, 2013
Global Market Comments March 27, 2013 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (APRIL 12 SAN FRANCISCO STRATEGY LUNCHEON), (WHY WARREN BUFFETT HATES GOLD), (GLD), (GDX), (ABX), (US HEADED TOWARDS ENERGY INDEPENDENCE), (USO), (UNG), (XOM), (OXY), (KOL), (A TOUCHDOWN FOR USC) SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX) Barrick Gold Corporation (ABX) United States Oil [...]

April 12 San Francisco Strategy Luncheon
Come join me for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in San Francisco on Friday, April 12, 2013. An excellent meal will be followed by a wide-ranging discussion and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, [...]

Why Warren Buffet Hates Gold
The ‘Oracle of Omaha’ expounded at length today on why he despises the barbarous relic. The sage doesn’t really care about the yellow metal, whatever the price. He sees it primarily as a bet on fear. If investors are more afraid in a year than they are today, then you make money. If they aren’t, [...]

US Headed Towards Energy Independence
My inbox was clogged with responses to my recent prediction of US energy independence. This will be the most important change to the global economy for the next 20 years. So I shall go into more depth. The energy research house, Raymond James, put out an estimate that domestic American oil production (USO) would rise [...]

A Touchdown for USC
One of my many alma maters, the University of Southern California, announced that they had received their largest private donation in history. As a third generation alumni of this fanatical football factory (I went to school with Mark Harmon, Lynn Swan, and, oops, OJ Simpson), I still receive their alumni newsletter, where I learned the [...]
March 26, 2013
Global Market Comments March 26, 2013 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (MAY 8 LAS VEGAS STRATEGY LUNCHEON), (HERE COMES THE ROLLING TOP), (VIX), (BAC), (UAL), (SPX), (IWM), (A DIFFERENT VIEW OF THE US) VOLATILITY S&P 500 (VIX) Bank of America Corporation (BAC) United Continental Holdings, Inc. (UAL) S&P 500 Large Cap Index (SPX) iShares Russell 2000 [...]
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