Global Market Comments August 27, 2013 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (THE TECHNICAL/FUNDAMENTAL TUG OF WAR), (SPY), (INDU), (IWM), (AND MY PREDICTION IS….), (TESTIMONIAL), (THERE ARE NO GURUS) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDU) iShares Russell 2000 Index (IWM)
For the last few weeks, I have had two groups of analysts screaming in my ears. Fundamental researchers are asserting that at $105 per share in earnings, generating a price earnings multiple of 15, stocks are at the historic middle of a 10-22 range. Q2 earnings are over, and modestly outperformed on the upside, although […]
Take those predictions, forecasts, and prognostications with so many grains of salt. They have a notorious track record for being completely wrong, even when made by the leading experts in their fields. In preparing for my autumn lecture series, I came across the following nuggets and thought I’d share them with you. There are some […]
If there was ever an argument that you should rely on independent newsletters for guidance about financial markets, such as The Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader, and not traditional brokerage houses, take a look at the chart below from JP Morgan. It shows that despite all of the reforms passed after the dotcom […]
Global Market Comments August 26, 2013 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (RIDING WITH TREASURY SECRETARY JACK LEW)
I was perusing my morning email in Zermatt a few weeks ago, and spotted the familiar White House address with the .gov ending. Would I be interested in meeting with the new Treasury Secretary, Jack Lew? It was just what I needed to lure me out of my Alpine lair back to the USA. I […]
Global Market Comments August 23, 2013 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (HOW US JOB LOSSES WILL END), (FXI), (PIN), (EWY), (VNM), (OPTIONS FOR THE BEGINNER) (BRING BACK THE UPTICK RULE!) iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) PowerShares India (PIN) iShares MSCI South Korea Capped (EWY) Market Vectors Vietnam ETF (VNM)
I was researching comparative Asian wage data the other day and was astounded with what I found. Textile workers earn $2.99 an hour in India (PIN), $1.84 in China (FXI), and $0.49 in Vietnam (VNM). This is an 18 fold increase in labor costs from ten cents an hour since Chinese industrialization launched in 1978. […]
I strongly urge readers of this letter to log on to Amazon and by a copy of Options for the Beginner and Beyond by W. Edward Olmstead. Options contracts offer investors a wonderful instrument for minimizing risk, while maximizing the upside, and I am going to recommend many more such strategies in the future. So, […]
When the Dow crashed 514 points in a single day a few years ago, the market lost a staggering $850 billion in market capitalization. High frequency traders were possibly responsible for half of this move, but generated a mere $65 million in profits, some 7/1,000’s of a percent of the total loss. Are market authorities […]
Global Market Comments August 22, 2013 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (WHY I SOLD OIL), (USO), (UNG), (UUP) (SALUTING THE “OLD BREED”) United States Oil (USO) United States Natural Gas (UNG) PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish (UUP)
I think that oil peaked last week with the Egyptian Army’s ferocious and bloody attack on the Muslim Brotherhood. I hate to sound cynical here, but count the daily bodies in the street, which has been trending down sharply since Thursday’s, 1,000 plus tally. Fewer bodies mean lower oil prices. This has most likely broken […]
It was with a mixture of nostalgia and awe that I attended the reunion luncheon celebrating the 71st anniversary of America’s invasion of Guadalcanal. The event was hosted by my former division commander in Desert Storm, Major General Mike Myatt, at the Marines Memorial Association in San Francisco. I was there to represent the family. […]
Global Market Comments August 21, 2013 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (WHY YOU SHOULD BUY THIS DIP), (SPX), (IWM), (INDU), (THE BIPOLAR ECONOMY), (TESTIMONIAL) S&P 500 Index (SPX) iShares Russell 2000 Index (IWM) DJ Industrial Average (INDU)
There’s nothing like coming home and getting slapped in the face with a fresh mackerel the second I step off the plane. That’s what happens when you travel from a continent that is universally positive about US stocks, to one that is largely negative. Take a look at the chart below from my friends at […]
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