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That was Some Shaker!

Wow! There is nothing like being tossed out of bed at 3:20 AM by a massive earthquake! It really gets the juices flowing. I was really praying that the wooden roof creaking and groaning above was not about to land on my head. After hurriedly getting dressed, I grabbed a flashlight and ran downstairs to […]

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August 25, 2014

Global Market Comments August 25, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (MY END 2014 STOCK MARKET FORECAST), (SPY), (ALL I WANT TO DO IS RETIRE), (TAKE A LOOK AT OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM), (OXY), (BP), (OIL), (UNG),  (NSANY), (XOM) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) BP plc (BP) iPath S&P GSCI Crude Oil TR ETN (OIL) […]

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My End 2014 Stock Market Forecast

If anyone had any doubts about the future direction of stocks this year, you better take a look at the chart below for the S&P 500. It shows a very convincing trend upward at almost a perfect 45-degree angle going back for the past year. The range is 100 points wide. It’s almost as if […]

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All I Want to do is Retire

I have always believed that if you don’t have a sense of humor, then you better get the hell out of this business. Below is a link to a YouTube video entitled “All I Want to do is Retire” which covers the decline of the brokerage industry over the last 20 years. The video is […]

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Take a Look at Occidental Petroleum (OXY)

There are a lot of belles at the ball, but you can’t dance with all of them. While a student at UCLA in the early seventies, I took a World Politics course, which required me to pick a country, analyze its economy, and make recommendations for its economic development. I chose Algeria, a country where […]

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August 22, 2014

Global Market Comments August 22, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (AUGUST 27 GLOBAL STRATEGY WEBINAR), (MIXING WITH THE 1% AT THE PEBBLE BEACH CONCOURSE D’ ELEGANCE)

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Mixing with the 1% at Pebble Beach

On the right was my friend’s 1958 Ferrari Testa Rossa Scaglietta. On my left was a 1929 Dusenberg Murphy convertible sedan with a V-12 engine. I just walked past a 1914 Rolls Royce Silver Ghost Portholme Alpine Tourer. Yes, it’s August in Pebble Beach, California, and that can only mean one thing. It’s time for […]

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August 21, 2014

Global Market Comments August 21, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (WHY US STOCKS ARE DIRT CHEAP), (SPY), (IWM), (QQQ), (TSLA) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) iShares Russell 2000 (IWM) PowerShares QQQ (QQQ) Tesla Motors, Inc. (TSLA)

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Why US Stocks Are Dirt Cheap

Many commentators are warning of a top, a bubble and Armageddon to come in the stock market. There has not been a 10% correction in the indexes since the debt ceiling crisis three years ago. But I think that we are just getting started. Share prices have the rocket fuel for the Dow average to […]

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August 20, 2014

Global Market Comments August 20, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (THE EURO BREAKS DOWN), (FXE), (EUO), (TLT), (APPLE BREAKS $100), (AAPL) CurrencyShares Euro ETF (FXE) ProShares UltraShort Euro (EUO) iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) Apple Inc. (AAPL)

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The Euro Breaks Down

You usually don’t expect US housing data to cause the collapse of a foreign currency. But that is exactly what happened this morning. The announcement by the Census Bureau that new home stats for July came in at a breathtaking 1.09 million, up 15.7%, blew away even the optimistic forecasts. Earlier figures for June were […]

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Apple Breaks $100

Since I am in a major patting myself on the back mood, I thought I would rerun a piece I ran last October entitled “Apple is Ready to Explode”. This is back when the shares were trading at a lowly $490 a share. Since then I have been urging readers to get in on the […]

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August 19, 2014

Global Market Comments August 19, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (WHY WE DON’T CARE ABOUT OIL), (USO), (UNG) (AUSTERITY HITS WALL STREET) (THE TWELVE DAY YEAR) United States Oil (USO) United States Natural Gas (UNG)

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Why We Don’t Care About Oil

There’s nothing like seeing your long term forecasts vindicated. When I warned the oil majors in the late 1990’s that fracking technology was about to change their world beyond all recognition, they told me I was out of my tree, in the politest way possible, of course. Their argument was that the technology was untested, […]

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Austerity Hits Wall Street

This year, your bonus is that you get to keep your job. That is the bad news that will be dished out to many disappointed staff during annual reviews at the major Wall Street firms this year. We all know that volumes have been trading at subterranean levels, which have created a real draught of […]

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