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August 19, 2014

Global Market Comments August 19, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (WHY WE DON’T CARE ABOUT OIL), (USO), (UNG) (AUSTERITY HITS WALL STREET) (THE TWELVE DAY YEAR) United States Oil (USO) United States Natural Gas (UNG)

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Why We Don’t Care About Oil

There’s nothing like seeing your long term forecasts vindicated. When I warned the oil majors in the late 1990’s that fracking technology was about to change their world beyond all recognition, they told me I was out of my tree, in the politest way possible, of course. Their argument was that the technology was untested, […]

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Austerity Hits Wall Street

This year, your bonus is that you get to keep your job. That is the bad news that will be dished out to many disappointed staff during annual reviews at the major Wall Street firms this year. We all know that volumes have been trading at subterranean levels, which have created a real draught of […]

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The Twelve Day Year

I have reported in the past on the value of the Friday-Monday effect, whereby the bulk of the year’s performance can be had through buying the Friday close in the stock market and then selling the Monday close (click here for “The Friday-Monday Effect Exposed”). Well, I have discovered a further distillation of this phenomenon. […]

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August 18, 2014

Global Market Comments August 18, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (MAD HEDGE FUND TRADER SETS NEW ALL TIME HIGH WITH 27% GAIN IN 2014), (SPY), (TLT), (TBT), (FXE), (EUO), (WILL GOLD SUFFER THE FATE OF THE $10,000 BILL?) (GLD), (GDX) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury […]

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Mad Hedge Fund Trader Sets New All Time High with 27% Gain in 2014

If you think this letter is being written by someone who is stoned, you’d be at least partially right this morning. For that is the after effect of my attending the Paul McCartney concert at Candlestick Park in San Francisco last night. I was sitting in the infield in the most expensive $1,000 seats, well […]

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Will Gold Coins Suffer the Fate of the $10,000 Bill?

The conspiracy theorists will love this one. Buried deep in the bowels of the 2,000 page health care bill was a new requirement for gold dealers to file Form 1099′s for all retail sales by individuals over $600. Specifically, the measure can be found in section 9006 of the Patient Protection and Affordability Act of […]

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August 15, 2014

Global Market Comments August 15, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (BONDS OR STOCKS: WHO’S RIGHT?), (TLT), (TBT), (SPY), (WHO SAYS THERE AREN’T ANY JOBS?), (TESTIMONIAL) iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury (TBT) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)

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Bonds or Stocks: Who’s Right?

Treasury bonds spike to new one year highs, closing at a 2.40% yield, and trading as low as a 2.30% yield in the overnight market at one point last week. Clearly, serious deflation is continuing for the indefinite future. Buy more bonds! US corporate profits are at all time highs, just closing one of the […]

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Who Says There Aren’t Any Jobs?

While recently winging my way across the South Pacific a few months ago, I spotted an unusual job offer: WANTED: Social worker, tax free salary of $60,000 with free accommodation and transportation, no experience necessary, must be flexible and self-sufficient. With the unemployment rate at 6.2%, and running as high as 45% for recent college […]

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August 14, 2014

Global Market Comments August 14, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (HOW THE UKRAINE CRISIS WILL PLAY OUT), (USO), (UNG), (WMT), (AAPL), (MCD) (MY PERSONAL ECONOMIC INDICATOR), (HMC), (NSANY), (GM), (F), (TSLA) United States Oil (USO) United States Natural Gas (UNG) Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (WMT) Apple Inc. (AAPL) McDonald’s Corp. (MCD) Honda Motor Co., Ltd. (HMC) […]

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How the Ukraine Crisis Will Play Out

I can tell you exactly how the crisis in the Ukraine is going to play out. This has major implications for the global economy, financial markets and your personal portfolio, so listen up! The key to deciphering this puzzle is oil, far and away Russia’s largest export. At 10 million barrels a day, the country […]

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My Personal Leading Economic Indicator

There is no limit to my desire to get an early and accurate read on the US economy, which at the end of the day is what dictates the future of all of our investments. I flew over one of my favorite leading economic indicators only yesterday. Honda (HMC) and Nissan (NSANY) import millions of […]

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August 13, 2014

Global Market Comments August 13, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (A SAD FAREWELL TO ROBIN WILLIAMS), (THE CASE AGAINST TREASURY BONDS), (TBT), (TLT), (MUB), (LQD), (LINE), (A NOTE ON THE FRIDAY OPTIONS EXPIRATION), (TLT) ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury (TBT) iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) iShares National AMT-Free Muni Bond (MUB) iShares iBoxx $ […]

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A Sad Farewell to Robin Williams

Sorry to get the letter out late this morning, but I am still reeling the passing of my old friend, comedian Robin Williams. I heard about it last night on the radio, while on my nightly hike on nearby Grizzly Peak. His mother lived directly next door to my family for many years. A petite […]

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