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US Headed Towards Energy Independence

My inbox was clogged with responses to my “Golden Age” for the 2020’s piece, particularly my forecast that the US was moving towards complete energy independence. This will be the most important change to the global economy for the next 20 years. So I shall go into more depth. The energy research house, Raymond James, […]

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January 7, 2014

Global Market Comments January 7, 2014 Fiat Lux 2014 Annual Asset Class Review FOR PAID SUBSCRIBERS ONLY Featured Trades: (SPX), (QQQ), (XLF), (XLE), (XLI), (XLY), (EEM), (TLT), (TBT), (JNK), (PHB), (HYG), (PCY), (MUB), (HCP) (FXE), (EUO), (FXC), (FXA), (YCS), (FXY), (CYB) (FCX), (VALE), (MOO), (DBA), (MOS), (MON), (AGU), (POT), (PHO), (FIW), (CORN), (WEAT), (SOYB), (JJG) […]

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2014 Annual Asset Class Review

I am writing this report from a first class sleeping cabin on Amtrak’s California Zephyr. We are now pulling away from Chicago’s Union Station, leaving its hurried commuters, buskers, panhandlers, and majestic great halls behind. I am headed for Emeryville, California, just across the bay from San Francisco. That gives me only 56 hours to […]

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January 6, 2014

Global Market Comments January 6, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trades: MY 20 RULES FOR TRADING

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My 20 Rules for Trading

Nothing like starting the New Year with going back to basics and reviewing the rules that worked so well for us in 2013. Call this the refresher course for Trading 101. I usually try to catch three or four trend changes a year, which might generate 50-100 trades, and often come in frenzied bursts. Since […]

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January 3, 2014

Global Market Comments January 3, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (REPORT FROM THE MATTERHORN SUMMIT)

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Report from the Matterhorn Summit

From where I stand, the rolling foothills of Northern Italy spread out below me to the south. On my left lie the distinctive peaks of the Dolomite Alps. On my right I can see the massive expanse of Mont Blanc, at 15,781 feet the highest mountain in Europe. I am standing at the summit of […]

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January 2, 2014

Global Market Comments January 2, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (AN EVENING WITH GENERAL DOUGLAS FRASER), (EWZ), (ECH), (GXG), (CU), (CORN), (SOYB), (WEAT), (A COW BASED ECONOMICS LESSON) iShares MSCI Brazil Capped (EWZ) iShares MSCI Chile Capped (ECH) Global X FTSE Colombia 20 ETF (GXG) First Trust ISE Global Copper Index (CU) Teucrium Corn (CORN) […]

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An Evening with General Douglas Fraser

I never cease to be amazed by the intelligence provided me by the US Defense Department, which after the CIA, has the world’s most impressive and insightful economic research team. There are few places a global strategist like me can go to get intelligent, thoughtful forty-year views, and this is one. Wall Street, eat your […]

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A Cow based Economics Lesson:

SOCIALISM -You have 2 cows. You give one to your neighbor. COMMUNISM -You have 2 cows. The State takes both and gives you some milk. FASCISM -You have 2 cows. The State takes both and sells you some milk. NAZISM -You have 2 cows. The State takes both and shoots you. BUREAUCRATISM -You have 2 […]

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December 31, 2013

Global Market Comments December 31, 2013 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (THE LONG VIEW ON EMERGING MARKETS), (HOW TO AVOID THE PONZI SCHEME TRAP), (MURRAY SAYLE: THE PASSING OF A GIANT IN JOURNALISM), (TESTIMONIAL)

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The Long View on Emerging Markets

I managed to catch a few comments in the distinct northern accent of Jim O’Neil, the fabled analyst who invented the ‘BRIC’ term, and who was later kicked upstairs to the chairman’s seat at Goldman Sachs International (GS) in London. Jim thinks that it is still the early days for the space, and that these […]

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How to Avoid the Ponzi Scheme Trap

I spent a sad and depressing, but highly instructional evening with Dr. Stephen Greenspan, who had lost most of his personal fortune with Bernie Madoff. The University of Connecticut psychology professor had poured the bulk of his savings into Sandra Mansky’s Tremont feeder fund; receiving convincing trade confirms and rock solid custody statements from the […]

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Murray Sayle: The Passing of a Giant in Journalism

I was saddened when I heard of the death of my close friend, the Australian, Murray Sayle a few years ago, after his long battle with Parkinson’s disease at the age of 84. Murray was one of the giants of journalism in the second half of the 20th century. He started by editing the newspaper […]

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December 30, 2013

Global Market Comments December 30, 2013 Fiat Lux Featured Trades: (BE CAREFUL WHO YOU SNITCH ON), (A CONVERSATION WITH THE BOOTS ON THE GROUND), (DINNER WITH JOSEPH STIGLITZ)

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