February 23, 2015

Global Market Comments February 23, 2015 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (THE SPRING IN CISCO’S SYSTEM’S STEP), (CSCO), (REPORT ON THE 6th ANNUAL SKYBRIDGE ALTERNATIVES CONFERENCE) Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) … [Read more...]

The Spring in Cisco’s System’s Step

Marty Cooper

I thought I noticed a spring in the step of Cisco Systems (CSCO) CEO John Chambers when he strutted out on TV to announce earnings last week. Revenue came in just shy of $12 billion, a 7% improvement over fiscal 2014's Q2, and earnings per share really popped -- up 70% on a GAAP basis (including one-time items) to $2.4 billion from the prior year's "paltry" $1.4 billion. … [Read more...]

Report on the 6th Annual SkyBridge Alternatives (SALT) Conference

Anthony Scaramucci

Once again, I am writing to you from the poolside cabana B-2 at the Bellagio Hotel in Las Vegas. It is a baking hot 100 degrees in the shade and the air is bone-dry, so I’m draining my third rum punch for the day. The days when I risked getting dragged out to the parking lot to get my hands broken with a hammer for card counting at blackjack have long since passed, so I am … [Read more...]

February 20, 2015

Global Market CommentsFebruary 20, 2015Fiat Lux Featured Trade:(A NOTE ON THE FRIDAY OPTIONS EXPIRATION),(FXY), (GILD), (SPY), (VIX),(TLT), (IWM), (QQQ), (SCTY), (USO), (GLD), (AN EVENING WITH TEXAS GOVERNOR RICK PERRY), (LNG), (UNG), (TSLA) CurrencyShares Japanese Yen ETF (FXY)Gilead Sciences Inc. (GILD)SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)VOLATILITY S&P 500 (^VIX)iShares 20+ Year … [Read more...]

A Note on the Friday Options Expiration

Pat on the back

We have several options positions that expire on Friday, and I just want to explain to the newbies how to best maximize their profits. These include: The Currency Shares Japanese Yen Trust (FXY) February $84-$87 vertical bear put spread The Gilead Sciences (GILD) February $87.50-$92.50 vertical bull call spread The S&P 500 (SPY) February $199-$202 vertical bull call … [Read more...]

February 20, 2015 – Quote of the Day

Lake Tahoe

“…at last the lake burst upon us—a noble sheet of blue water…walled in by a rim of snow-clad mountain peaks...As it lay there with the shadows of the mountains brilliantly photographed upon its still surface I thought it must surely be the fairest picture the whole earth affords.” said the American writer, Mark Twain, on his first sight of Lake Tahoe in 1861, pictured below. … [Read more...]

February 19, 2015

Global Market CommentsFebruary 19, 2015Fiat Lux Featured Trade:(THE BEST IS YET TO COME IN CRUDE),(USO), (XOM), (COP), (OXY),(AN EVENING WITH DAVID TEPPER) United States Oil ETF (USO)Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM)ConocoPhillips (COP)Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) … [Read more...]

The Best is yet to Come in Crude

Oil Storage

For the last few months, I have leapt off my biweekly global strategy webinars to check the weekly crude inventories announced minutes before. This week’s figures absolutely blew me away. The American Petroleum Institute reported that crude stocks rose a staggering 14.3 million barrels over the past week. This is the biggest weekly build that I can remember after covering the … [Read more...]

An Evening with David Tepper

David Tepper

“There is a time to make money, and a time to not lose money. This is one of those times.” That was the insightful gem I came away with after listening to David Tepper speak at the 7th annual SALT Alternative Investment Conference in Las Vegas Nevada. Tepper continued, opining that the markets are “dangerous” here, and that he was “nervous.” “It was easy to buy stocks (SPY), … [Read more...]

February 19, 2015 – Quote of the Day

Kevin Spacey

“I want staffers who are so loyal that they will kiss my ass in Macy’s front window and tell everyone it smells like roses,” said the late president, Lyndon Baines Johnson, the model for the character, Francis Underwood, in the hit cable TV series House of Cards. … [Read more...]

February 18, 2015

Global Market Comments February 18, 2015 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (AN AFTERNOON WITH GENERAL COLIN POWEL) … [Read more...]

An Afternoon with General Colin Powell

Colin Powell

I have long had enormous respect for General Colin Powell. My commanding four star general when I was flying errands for the Marine Corps. during Desert Storm, he fights my kind of war; they’re very short, three days in the case of desert storm, and we won. And topping everything else, the Kuwaitis paid for it all. It was the best training exercise I ever enjoyed. General … [Read more...]

February 17, 2015

Global Market CommentsFebruary 17, 2015Fiat Lux Featured Trade:(FRIDAY, APRIL 3 HONOLULU, HAWAII STRATEGY LUNCHEON),(HOW FAR WILL BIOTECH RUN?),(GILD), (IBB) Gilead Sciences Inc. (GILD)iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology (IBB) … [Read more...]

How Far Will Biotech Run?

Scientist Bio Lab

Long-term readers of this letter have prospered mightily from my addiction to biotech stocks in recent years, one of the most reliably top performing sectors in the stock market. But have we visited the well one time too many times? Is biotech turning into a bubble that will eventually deliver the same grievous outcome of other past bubbles? Not yet. Still, one has to ask … [Read more...]

February 16, 2015

Global Market CommentsFebruary 16, 2015Fiat Lux Featured Trade:(FEBRUARY 18 GLOBAL STRATEGY WEBINAR),(WHY ARE BOND YIELDS SO LOW?)(TLT), (TBT), (LQD), (MUB), (LINE), (ELD),(QQQ), (UUP), (EEM), (DBA)(BRING BACK THE UPTICK RULE!) iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT)ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury (TBT)iShares iBoxx $ Invst Grade Crp Bond (LQD)iShares National AMT-Free … [Read more...]

Bring Back the Uptick Rule!

Art work

When the Dow crashed 514 points in a single day a few years ago, the market lost a staggering $850 billion in market capitalization. High frequency traders were possibly responsible for half of this move, but generated a mere $65 million in profits, some 7/1,000’s of a percent of the total loss. Are market authorities and regulators being penny wise, but pound foolish? The … [Read more...]

February 13, 2015

Global Market CommentsFebruary 13, 2015Fiat Lux Featured Trade:(FEBRUARY 18 GLOBAL STRATEGY WEBINAR),(THE CASE FOR EUROPE),(FXE), (HEDJ), (RSX), (GREK), (GLD), (TLT), (SPY)(OPTIONS FOR THE BEGINNER) CurrencyShares Euro ETF (FXE)WisdomTree Europe Hedged Equity ETF (HEDJ)Market Vectors Russia ETF (RSX)Global X FTSE Greece 20 ETF (GREK)SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)iShares 20+ Year … [Read more...]

The Case for Europe

Foie Gras

I have been to Greece many times over the past 45 years, and I’ll tell you that I just love the place. The beaches are perfect, the Ouzo wine enticing, and I’ll never say “No” to a good moussaka. However, I don’t let Greece dictate my investment strategy. Greece, in fact, accounts for less than 2% of Europe’s GDP. It is not a storm in a teacup that is going on there, but a … [Read more...]

Options for the Beginner

Options for the Beginner and Beyond

I strongly urge readers of this letter to log on to Amazon and by a copy of Options for the Beginner and Beyond by W. Edward Olmstead. Options contracts offer investors a wonderful instrument for minimizing risk, while maximizing the upside, and I am going to recommend many more such strategies in the future. So, if you want to have the slightest idea of what I am talking … [Read more...]

February 13, 2015 – Quote of the Day

Evolution - Homo Sapiens

“Homo Sapiens, the first truly free species, is about to decommission the natural selection, the force that made us,” said E.O. Wilson, a Harvard University biology professor. … [Read more...]

February 12, 2015

Global Market CommentsFebruary 12, 2015Fiat Lux Featured Trade:(HITTING TWO HOME RUNS IN ONE DAY),(FXY), (GILD),(THE NEW COLD WAR),(THE HISTORY OF TECHNOLOGY) CurrencyShares Japanese Yen ETF (FXY)Gilead Sciences Inc. (GILD) … [Read more...]

Hitting Two Home Runs in One Day

Sovaldi - Pills

Those of you who are paid subscribers have the good fortune of waking up to a bounty of riches this morning. Both Gilead Sciences (GILD) and the Japanese yen (FXY) have made gap moves in your favor overnight. Your long position in (GILD) saw a nice little $2 pop to the upside, and your short in the (FXY) just got whacked in the knees, down a full $1. As a result, the Trade … [Read more...]

The History of Technology


I have just finished leisurely reading Tom Standage’s book The Victorian Internet: The Remarkable Story of the Telegraph and the Nineteenth Century On-Line Pioneers. Standage discusses the creation and development of the telegraph system and how it revolutionized communication in the nineteenth century. The book claims that Modern Internet users are in many ways the heirs of … [Read more...]

February 11, 2015

Global Market Comments February 11, 2015 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (WHO THE GRAND NICARAGUA CANAL HAS WORRIED), (SCAM OF THE MONTH) … [Read more...]

Who the Grand Nicaragua Canal Has Worried

Artists Rendition of Nicaragua Canal

Multinationals, Global development economists and armchair military strategists are all watching with great interest China’s plans to build a Grand Nicaragua Canal. The government in Managua inked a deal with a Hong Kong based consortium in 2013, led by telecommunications magnate Wang Jing, and broke ground on a minor access road on December 22. But that is a very long way … [Read more...]

Scam of the Month

Bernie Madoff

Having trouble raising capital for your new hedge fund? Just list Warren Buffet as your “Honorary Chairman.” That’s what California prison guard Ottoniel Medrano did. To help his marketing efforts, he also claimed that he had $4.8 billion in assets under management as well as massive real estate holdings somewhere in Asia. Medrano’s International Realty Holdings managed to … [Read more...]

February 11, 2015 – Quote of the Day

Winston Churchill

“A pessimist sees the difficulty in every opportunity, and optimist sees the opportunity in every difficulty.” said the late British Prime Minister, Winston Churchill. … [Read more...]

February 10, 2015

Global Market CommentsFebruary 10, 2015Fiat Lux Featured Trade:(WHY THE JANUARY NONFARM PAYROLL WAS A BIG DEAL),(IWM), (DXJ), (HEDJ), (FXE), (FXY),(THE BIPOLAR ECONOMY),(TESTIMONIAL) iShares Russell 2000 (IWM)WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity ETF (DXJ)WisdomTree Europe Hedged Equity ETF (HEDJ)CurrencyShares Euro ETF (FXE)CurrencyShares Japanese Yen ETF (FXY) … [Read more...]

Why the January Nonfarm Payroll Was a Big Deal

Unemployment Line

Economists were blown away by the January nonfarm payroll numbers, announced on Friday. Some 257,000 jobs were added the previous month, holding the headline unemployment figure at 5.7%. Far more important were the revisions for earlier months, which saw December increased to a robust 329,000 and November bumped up to a breathtaking 423,000. These numbers are almost back to … [Read more...]

The Bipolar Economy


Corporate earnings are up big! Buy! No wait! The economy is going down the toilet! Sell! Buy! Sell! Buy! Sell! Help!! Anyone would be forgiven for thinking that the stock market has become bipolar. According to the Commerce Department’s Bureau of Economic Analysis, the answer is that corporate profits accounts for only a small part of the economy. Using the income method of … [Read more...]



I cannot give higher marks to John's style of approaching the market. My wife has learned so much from him that we are actually having conversations about the global economy. Wow! You will learn money management, the concept of risk versus reward, and how to take advantage of trades that are worth taking. Thanks John! Robert B. New York … [Read more...]

February 10, 2015 – Quote of the Day

Ticker Tape

"Where a calculator on the Eniac is equipped with 18,000 tubes and weighs 30 tons, computers in the future may have only 1,000 vacuum tubes, and weigh 1.5 tons." said Popular Mechanics magazine in 1949. … [Read more...]

February 9, 2015

Global Market CommentsFebruary 9, 2015Fiat Lux Featured Trade:(THE 12 NEW TRADING RULES FOR 2015),(AN ENVIRONMENTAL ACTIVISTS TAKE ON THE MARKETS),(DBA), (MOO), (PHO), (FIW)(FRIDAY, APRIL 3 HONOLULU, HAWAII STRATEGY LUNCHEON) PowerShares DB Agriculture ETF (DBA)Market Vectors Agribusiness ETF (MOO)PowerShares Water Resources ETF (PHO)First Trust ISE Water ETF (FIW) … [Read more...]

The 12 New Trading Rules for 2015

John Thomas

1) Dump all hubris, pretentions and stubbornness. It will only cost you money. 2) The market is always right, even if all the prices appear wrong. 3) Only buy the puke outs and sell the euphoria. Do anything in the middle, and you will get whipsawed. 4) Outright calls and puts are offering a better risk/reward right now than bull and bear vertical call and put spreads, which … [Read more...]

An Environmental Activist’s Take on the Markets


I spent an evening with Lester Brown, president of the Earth Policy Institute and a winner of the coveted MacArthur Prize, for some long-term thinking about the environment and its investment implications. Global warming is causing the melting of ice sheets in Greenland and Antarctica, glaciers in the Himalayas and the Sierra snowpack. Water tables are falling and fossil … [Read more...]

February 9, 2015 – Quote of the Day


“Most inventions fail because the timing is wrong. Inventing is a lot like surfing. You have to anticipate and catch the wave just at the right moment,” said computer scientist and futurologist, Ray Kurzweil. … [Read more...]

February 6, 2015

Global Market Comments February 6, 2015 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (SHOPPING FOR A NEW BROKER) … [Read more...]

Shopping for a New Broker

Female Office Worker

Many of you have figured out by now that I like to call my paid subscribers once a year, ask how the service is working for them, and how to improve it. Most of you are shocked that I take the time and trouble to do this. Many ask if, in fact, I am a robot. But the feedback I get is worth it. And many of you are downright fascinating people. After all, you did make one of the … [Read more...]

February 5, 2015

Global Market CommentsFebruary 5, 2015Fiat Lux Featured Trade:(TRADING DEVOID OF THE THOUGHT PROCESS),(SPY), (INDU), (TLT), (USO),(GOING BACK INTO GILEAD SCINECES), (GILD),(ON EXECUTING TRADE ALERTS) SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)Dow Jones Industrial Average ($INDU)iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT)United States Oil ETF (USO)Gilead Sciences Inc. (GILD) … [Read more...]

Trading Devoid of the Thought Process

Money Under Mattress

The second the day traders covered their last short in a rising market today, the European Central Bank announced that the Greek debt negotiations may not be successful. The Dow Average fell 200 points, bonds jumped a full point and oil added to its 8% decline. Welcome to The Great Meat Grinder of 2015. It seems that all anyone has to do is to blow their nose, and high … [Read more...]

Going Back Into Gilead Sciences

Sovaldi - Pills

This is a stock that could double by the end of 2015. Buy a great performing stock in the top performing sector on a 10% dip. The stock has over reacted to an earnings report that was fantastic; but carried conservative forward guidance, based on expected future pricing pressure on its blockbuster Hepatitis C drugs, Sovaldi and Harvini. I am giving a nod to the current high … [Read more...]

On Executing Trade Alerts


From time to time I receive an email from a subscriber telling me that they are unable to get executions on trade alerts that are as good as the ones I get. There are several possible reasons for this: 1) Markets move, sometimes quite dramatically so. 2) Your Trade Alert email was hung up on your local provider’s server, getting it to you late. This is a function of your … [Read more...]

February 4, 2015

Global Market CommentsFebruary 4, 2015Fiat Lux Featured Trade:(SOLAR STOCKS GET A JOLT),(SCTY), (SUNE), (SPWR), (TAN),(IS THE REAL ESTATE MARKET CATCHING COLD?),(ITB), (KBE) SolarCity Corporation (SCTY)SunEdison, Inc. (SUNE)SunPower Corporation (SPWR)Guggenheim Solar ETF (TAN)iShares US Home Construction (ITB)SPDR S&P Bank ETF (KBE) … [Read more...]

Solar Stocks Get a Jolt

Solar Panel Installation

The blockbuster for me in President Obama’s budget speech on Monday was his suggestion that the 30% alternative energy investment tax credit be made permanent. All solar stocks, including front-runners Solar City (SCTY), Sun Edison (SUNE), and SunPower (SPWR), rocketed on the news. Now slated to expire at the end of 2017, the tax break is credited with igniting a solar … [Read more...]

Is the Real Estate Market Catching Cold?

House Fire

I used to begin my pieces about residential real estate talking about the broker I found hanging from the showerhead at an open house. That didn’t really happen. But from 2008-2012 conditions were so dire that it could have. That is clearly not the case any more. The market has been on fire for the past three years. Private equity firms put a floor under the markets by … [Read more...]

February 4, 2015 – Quote of the Day

U.S. Marines Plaque

“Some People spend an entire lifetime wondering if they’ve made a difference. The Marines don’t have that problem,” said the late President, Ronald Reagan. … [Read more...]

February 3, 2015

Global Market CommentsFebruary 3, 2015Fiat Lux Featured Trade:(FEBRUARY 4 GLOBAL STRATEGY WEBINAR),(HOW TO LOSE MONEY),(LINE), (USO),(THE MARKET’S TECHNICAL OUTLOOK IS TERRIBLE),(SPY), (QQQ), (IWM), (T), (AA), (FXY),(TESTIMONIAL) Linn Energy, LLC (LINE)United States Oil ETF (USO)SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)PowerShares QQQ Trust, Series 1 (QQQ)iShares Russell 2000 (IWM)AT&T, … [Read more...]

How to Lose Money

Pete Carroll

I’m really glad I watched the Super Bowl yesterday. Not only was it a great warm-up for next year’s championship game, which will be in my hometown of San Francisco. I also witnessed the worst coaching call in football history. The Seattle Seahawks had the game in the bag. All they had to do was move the ball one foot over two tries at the goal line. Instead, they passed? Too … [Read more...]

The Market’s Technical Outlook is Terrible


At yesterday morning’s opening bell, we were greeted with the unmistakable evidence the stock market is technically breaking down. The Dow Average has broken its three-year upward sloping trend line. Market leading sectors, like Consumer Discretionary and Financials have all put in eminently convincing “Head and Shoulders” tops (click here). More distressingly, the head and … [Read more...]


John Thomas

Really enjoyed the Chicago lunch with you, Jim and the guys from Toronto. My trading improved just from the two-hour lunch seminar. Looking forward to coming in the spring if you do another Chicago lunch. Thanks, Rich Detroit, Michigan … [Read more...]

February 3, 2015 – Quote of the Day

Bad-Good Meter

"When you develop your opinions on the basis of weak evidence, you will have difficulty interpreting subsequent information that contradicts these opinions, even if this new information is obviously more accurate.” said Nassim Nicholas Taleb, author of Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder. … [Read more...]

February 2, 2015

Global Market CommentsFebruary 2, 2015Fiat Lux Featured Trade:(THE GREAT AMERICAN ROT IS ENDING),(SPY), (TLT), (FXY), (FXE), (USO) SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT)CurrencyShares Japanese Yen ETF (FXY)CurrencyShares Euro ETF (FXE)United States Oil ETF (USO) … [Read more...]

The Great American Rot is Ending

Holmes & Watson

Those of a certain age can’t help but remember that things for the US went to hell in a hand basket after 1963. That’s when President John F. Kennedy was assassinated, heralding decades of turmoil. Race riots exploded everywhere. The Vietnam War ramped up out of control, taking 60,000 lives, and destroying the nation’s finances. Nixon took the US off the gold standard. Two … [Read more...]

February 2, 2015 – Quote of the Day

Neighborhood Oil Spill

“All we need to know about crude right now is that we have it coming out of our ears, both here and in the Middle East, and that’s why it’s headed to $40,” said Scott Nations, president of the options trading firm, NationsShares. … [Read more...]

January 30, 2015

Global Market CommentsJanuary 30, 2015Fiat Lux Featured Trade:(FEBRUARY 4 GLOBAL STRATEGY WEBINAR),(SIGN UP NOW FOR TEXT MESSAGING OF TRADE ALERTS),(QCOM), (SPY),(THE CHINA VIEW FROM 30,000 FEET)(FXI), (DBC), (DYY), (DBA), (PHO) QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM)SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)iShares China Large-Cap (FXI)PowerShares DB Commodity Tracking ETF (DBC)PowerShares DB … [Read more...]

January 29, 2015

Global Market Comments January 29, 2015 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (QUALCOMM GUIDANCE CRUSHES STOCK), (QCOM) (BUSINESS IS BOOMING AT THE MONEY PRINTERS), (TESTIMONIAL) QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM) … [Read more...]

Qualcomm Guidance Crushes Stock


It seems that the harder I work, the luckier I get. Last week I made a bet that companies with a high share of international business would be punished severely during earnings season. Specifically, I picked QUALCOMM (QCOM), the San Diego based maker of processors for cell phones, tablets, and laptops, because it had the highest percentage of foreign earnings among the … [Read more...]

Business is Booming at the Money Printers

New $100 Bill

All of the high-grade paper used by the US Treasury to print money is bought from a single firm, Crane & Co., which has been in the same family for seven generations. Last year, the Feds printed 38 million banknotes worth $639 million. Although they have seen the recession cause the velocity of money to decline, recent reflationary efforts have spurred a big increase in … [Read more...]


John Thomas - Breakfast

I’m happy to renew my subscription to The Mad Hedge Fund Trader. This current, very perplexing market demands a coach advising you on what it is doing. If you do not step up to the plate and hit what is being pitched you will not succeed. The same is true with this market. With a personal 35+ years of investing, some as a professional, I do not know of anyone that can … [Read more...]

January 28, 2015

Global Market CommentsJanuary 28, 2015Fiat Lux Featured Trade:(THE UNINTENDED CONSEQUENCES OF THE EURO CRASH),(FXE), (EUO)(CAT), (PG), (MSFT), (M), (FDO), (COST), (TGT), (WMT)(RSP), (QQQ), (IWM)(WATCH OUT FOR THE HEAD AND SHOULDERS)(SPY), (QQQ), (TLT), (FXE), (FXY), (GLD), (SLV) CurrencyShares Euro ETF (FXE)ProShares UltraShort Euro (EUO)Caterpillar Inc. (CAT)The Procter … [Read more...]

The Unintended Consequences of the Euro Crash

John Thomas

For those of you who heeded my expert advice to buy the ProShares Ultra Short Euro ETF (EUO) last July, well done! You are up a massive 48%! This is on a move in the underlying European currency of only 18.5%. My browsing of the Galleria in Milan, the strolls through Spanish shopping malls, and my dickering with an assortment of dubious Greek merchants, all paid off big time. … [Read more...]

Watch Out for the Head and Shoulders

Head & Shoulders Shampoo

Every technical analyst in the world is pouring over their charts and coming to the same conclusion. A “Head and Shoulders” pattern is setting up for the major indexes, especially for the S&P 500 (SPY). This is terrible news for the stock investors, as well as other owners of risk assets like the US dollar, commodities, and real estate. It is wonderful news for those long … [Read more...]

January 28, 2015 – Quote of the Day


“As for the Swiss franc, there’s blood in the street and on the walls,” said Stephen Schwarzman, CEO of the Blackstone Group, a global private equity firm. … [Read more...]

January 27, 2015

Global Market CommentsJanuary 27, 2015Fiat Lux Featured Trade:(MORE PAIN TO COME IN OIL)(USO), (XOM), (OXY), (COP), (DAL)(THE SERVICE JOB IN YOUR FUTURE), (MCD) United States Oil ETF (USO)Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM)Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY)ConocoPhillips (COP)Delta Air Lines, Inc. (DAL)McDonald's Corp. (MCD) … [Read more...]

More Pain to Come in Oil

The Prize

There are very few people I will drop everything to listen to. One of the handful is Daniel Yergin, the bookish founder and CEO of Cambridge Energy Research Associates, the must-go-to source for all things energy. Daniel received a Pulitzer Prize for The Prize: The Epic Quest for Oil, Money, and Power, a rare feat for a non-fiction book (I’ve never been able to get … [Read more...]

The Service Job in Your Future

McDonalds Employee

Anyone wondering about the long term future of the US economy should take a look at the chart below. It shows the unrelenting growth of services’ share of American GDP growing from 25% to 45% over the last sixty years. Far and away the fastest growth area has been in health care and with the first Obamacare now underway, that growth is set to accelerate hugely. Financial … [Read more...]

January 26, 2015

Global Market CommentsJanuary 26, 2015Fiat Lux SPECIAL RAILROAD ISSUE Featured Trade:(WILL THE OIL BUST KILL THE RAILROADS?),(UNP), (CSX), (NSC), (CP), (ACI),(TESTIMONIAL) Union Pacific Corporation (UNP)CSX Corp. (CSX)Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC)Canadian Pacific Railway Limited (CP)Arch Coal Inc. (ACI) … [Read more...]

Will the Oil Bust Kill the Railroads?


No, not really. I was fascinated by the recent comments made by Union Pacific (UNP) CEO, Jack Koraleski, about the current robust health of his company. Fourth quarter profits rocketed by an amazing 22% and those stellar numbers look set to continue. I love railroads, not because they used to belch smoke and steam and have these incredibly loud, romantic, wailing whistles. … [Read more...]


John Thomas

Greetings from the great white north. I am a BIG fan of yours and have rejoined your Trade Alert Service for another year. You have friends around the world you have yet to meet. Enclosed is a token of my appreciation. Thanks a 100 trillion! Bob Vancouver, Canada … [Read more...]

January 26, 2015 – Quote of the Day


“China has been doing everything right for the last ten years. Our government is made up of 'C' students that were political science majors, whereas, the Chinese government is made up of PhD's that were educated at Cambridge and Harvard,' said one Washington observer. … [Read more...]

January 23, 2015

Global Market Comments January 23, 2015 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (STOCKS TO BUY AT THE BOTTOM), (CRASH TESTING THE TESLA), (TSLA) Tesla Motors, Inc. (TSLA) … [Read more...]

12 Stocks to Buy at the Bottom

Jim Parker

My friend and esteemed colleague, Mad Day Trader Jim Parker, spent the weekend perusing hundreds of long term charts. He was assembling a short list of attractive names to buy after the next major sell off. I am not talking about a modest 4% decline. Even a textbook 10% won’t get his attention. I’m talking about the kind of gut churning, rip your face off, time to change the … [Read more...]

Crash Testing the Tesla

Tesla  Damage

The Tesla Model S1 (TSLA) has been rated by Consumer Reports magazine as the best car ever built, grabbing a covered 99 score out of 100. It has been ranked by the US government Department of Transportation as the safest car ever built. Even competitors love the car. So I decided to see if these vaunted claims were true and crash test my own $110,000 high performance Model S1 … [Read more...]

January 22, 2015

Global Market CommentsJanuary 22, 2015Fiat Lux SPECIAL GOLD ISSUE Featured Trade:(IS THE BULL MARKET IN GOLD BACK?),(GLD), (GDX), (SIL), (ABX), (REMX), (SLV),(ANOTHER NAIL IN THE NUCLEAR COFFIN),(NLR), (CCJ) SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX)Global X Silver Miners ETF (SIL)Barrick Gold Corporation (ABX)Market Vectors Rare EarthStrat Mtls ETF … [Read more...]

Is the Bull Market in Gold Back?

John Thomas -Gold

After a prolonged, four year hibernation, it appears that the gold bulls are at long last back. Long considered nut cases, crackpots and the wearers of tin hats, lovers of the barbarous relic have just enjoyed the first decent trading month in a very long time. The question for the rest of us is whether there is something real and sustainable going on here, or whether the … [Read more...]

Another Nail in the Nuclear Coffin

Nuclear Power Plant

Southern California Edison (SCE/PF) has announced that it is permanently shuttering its controversial nuclear power plant at San Onofre, California. The move is only the latest in a series of closures implemented by utilities around the country, and could well spell the end of this flagging industry. This is further dismal news for holders of ETF’s in the sector, like the … [Read more...]

January 21, 2015

Global Market CommentsJanuary 21, 2015Fiat Lux Featured Trade:(JANUARY 21 GLOBAL STRATEGY WEBINAR),(THE TECHNICAL/FUNDAMENTAL TUG OF WAR: WHO WILL WIN?)(MAKE YOUR NEXT KILLING IN AFRICA),(AFK), (GAF) Market Vectors Africa ETF (AFK)SPDR S&P Emerging Middle East&Afr ETF (GAF) … [Read more...]

The Technical/Fundamental Tug of War: Who Will Win?

Cromagnon Man

At my many Mad Hedge Fund Trader Global Strategy Luncheons, speaking engagements and conferences which I attend around the world, I never fail to get asked the same question by beginning traders. “Which is more useful, fundamental or technical analysis?” That question has earned a heightened urgency over the past few weeks, when I have had two diametrically opposed groups of … [Read more...]

Make Your Next Killing in Africa


Feel like investing in a state sponsor of terrorism? How about a country whose leaders have stolen $400 billion in the last decade and has seen 300 foreign workers kidnapped? Another country lost four wars in the last 40 years. Still interested? How about a country that suffers the world’s highest AIDS rate, regularly endures insurrections where all of the Westerners are … [Read more...]

January 20, 2015

Global Market CommentsJanuary 20, 2015Fiat Lux Featured Trade:(THE YEAR OF THE BLACK SWAN),(FXF), (FXE), (EUO)(THE PRICE OF STARDOM AT DAVOS),(WILL GOLD COINS SUFFER THE FATE OF THE $10,000 BILL), (GLD),(SIGN UP NOW FOR TEXT MESSAGING OF TRADE ALERTS) CurrencyShares Swiss Franc ETF (FXF)CurrencyShares Euro ETF (FXE)ProShares UltraShort Euro (EUO)SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) … [Read more...]

The Year of the Black Swan

John Thoms - Black Swans

I’ve just spent the entire morning on the phone, and it’s clear that thousands of individuals, hedge funds and brokers have just been wiped out as a result of The Swiss National Bank’s surprise move to remove its cap against the Euro. This is a black swan on steroids. And it hasn’t just been Swiss franc positions that have been bedeviling traders. You can add to the list … [Read more...]

The Price of Stardom at Davos

Davos Emblem

It’s that time of year again, when finance ministers, central bank governors, hedge fund managers, and assorted rock stars hold their annual confab high in the Alps at Davos, Switzerland. When I was a director of one of the largest banks in Switzerland, I found myself a frequent visitor to the Alpine village of Davos. In years gone by, we provided the loans to the Canton of … [Read more...]

Sign Up Now for Text Messaging of Trade Alerts


Subscribers to Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Fund Trader PRO are able to receive instantaneous text messages of my proprietary Trade Alerts. This eliminates frustrating delays caused by traffic surges on the Internet itself, and by your local server. To activate your free service, please log in to your account at www.madhedgefundtrader.com, look under your name on the … [Read more...]

January 20, 2015 – Quote of the Day


Steve Jobs offered me one third of Apple for $50,000 and I was so smart that I turned it down. It’s funny when you think about it now, except when I’m crying,” said Nolan Bushnell, the founder of game company Atari and Jobs’ first employer. … [Read more...]

January 16, 2015

Global Market CommentsJanuary 16, 2015Fiat Lux Featured Trade:(SWISS SURPRISE RATTLES MARKETS)(FXF), (FXE), (EUO)(FRIDAY, APRIL 3 HONOLULU, ALASKA, WASHINGTON, OREGON, BRITISH COLUMBIA, JAPAN, AND CHINA STRATEGY LUNCHEON) CurrencyShares Swiss Franc ETF (FXF)CurrencyShares Euro ETF (FXE)ProShares UltraShort Euro (EUO) … [Read more...]

Swiss Surprise Rattles Markets

John Thomas - Switzerland

It was one of those moves that appeared so gigantic and so unreal that you had to blink, while checking the cables on the back of your computer and your broadband connection. The Swiss franc has just skyrocketed by 17% against the dollar in one tick. First the bad news: the rent on my summer chalet in Zermatt, Switzerland had just risen by 17%. And the good news? Holders of … [Read more...]

January 15, 2015

Global Market CommentsJanuary 15, 2015Fiat Lux Featured Trade:(2014 TRADE ALERT REVIEW),(FXE), (EUO), (SPY), (AAPL), (GILD), (F), (GM), (TLT), (UNG), (VIX), (VXX) CurrencyShares Euro ETF (FXE)ProShares UltraShort Euro (EUO)SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)Apple Inc. (AAPL)Gilead Sciences Inc. (GILD)Ford Motor Co. (F)General Motors Company (GM)iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond … [Read more...]

2014 Trade Alert Review

John Thomas - Beach

When is the Mad Hedge Fund Trader a genius, and when is he a complete moron? That is the question readers have to ask themselves whenever their smart phones ping, and a new Trade Alert appears on their screens. I have to confess that I wonder myself sometimes. So I thought I would run my 2014 numbers to find out when I was a hero, and when I was a goat. The good news is … [Read more...]