Friday April 4 Incline Village, Nevada Global Strategy Luncheon

Lake Tahoe View

Come join me for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Incline Village, Nevada on Friday, April 4, 2014. An excellent meal will be followed by a wide-ranging discussion and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real … [Read more...]

Heed the Mad Day Trader’s Q2 Forecasts

Jim Parker

Mad Day Trader, Jim Parker, thinks that the next three to six months will be a tough time for the financial markets. They won’t crash, but won’t break out to new highs either. Instead, they will stay confined to technically driven, narrow, low volume ranges that will cause traders to tear their hair out. It will be an environment where it will be tough for anyone to make … [Read more...]

March 24, 2014

Global Market Comments March 24, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (MARCH 26 GLOBAL STRATEGY WEBINAR), (READ OIL & ENERGY INSIDER FOR TRADING CLUES), (USO), (UNG), (APC), (NBL) (END OF THE COMMODITY SUPERCYCLE), (SLV), (PPLT), (PALL), (CU), (BHP), (USO), (CORN), (WEAT), (SOYB), (DBA), (RSX) United States Oil (USO) United States Natural Gas (UNG) Anadarko Petroleum … [Read more...]

Don’t Miss the March 26 Global Strategy Webinar

John Thomas

My next global strategy webinar will be held on Wednesday, March 26 at 12:00 PM EDT. This time Mad Day Trader Jim Parker will be my willing coconspirator. I’ll be giving you my updated outlook on stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, precious metal, and real estate. The goal is to find the cheapest assets in the world to buy, the most expensive to sell short, and the … [Read more...]

Read Oil & Energy Insider for Trading Clues

Oil fire

I am often asked to divulge my research sources that give me my unfair advantage in trading. I usually decline such requests, unwilling to part with the “secret sauce” that enables me to beat the market, as well as most other hedge fund managers year after year. Why level the playing field for my competitors, what few there are? However, it would be greedy and selfish of me … [Read more...]

End of the Commodity Super Cycle

Gold Coins

Traders have been watching in complete awe the rapid decent of the price of copper (CU), which is emerging as the most despised asset class of 2014, after commodity producer Market Vectors Russia ETF (RSX). But it is becoming increasingly apparent that the collapse of prices for the many commodities is part of a much larger, longer-term macro trend. It isn’t just the red … [Read more...]

March 21, 2014

Global Market Comments March 21, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (CHICAGO FRIDAY, MAY 23 GLOBAL STRAGEGY LUNCHEON) (THE RECEPTION THAT THE STARS FELL UPON), (NLR), (CCJ), (CORN), (WEAT), (SOYB), (DBA), (THE MOST FUNCTIONAL WORD IN THE ENGLISH LANGUAGE) Market Vectors Uranium+Nuclear Enrgy ETF (NLR) Cameco Corporation (CCJ) Teucrium Corn (CORN) Teucrium Wheat … [Read more...]

Chicago Friday, May 23 Global Strategy Luncheon

Chicago

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Chicago on Friday, May 23. A three-course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real estate. And to … [Read more...]

The Reception That the Stars Fell Upon

Sam Nunn

My friend was having a hard time finding someone to attend a reception who was knowledgeable about financial markets, White House intrigue, international politics, and nuclear weapons. I asked who was coming. She said Reagan’s Treasury Secretary, George Shultz, Clinton’s Defense Secretary, William Perry, and Senate Armed Services Chairman, Sam Nunn. I said I’d be there … [Read more...]

The Most Functional Word in the English Language

Girl-I don't know!

Passed on by a friend with my apologies in advance: Well, it's shit... That's right, shit! Shit may just be the most functional word in the English language. You can smoke shit, buy shit, sell shit, lose shit, find shit, forget shit, and tell others to eat shit. Some people know their shit, while others can't tell the difference between shit and Shinola. There are lucky shits, … [Read more...]

March 20, 2014

Global Market Comments March 20, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (ORLANDO FLORIDA SATURDAY, MAY 17 GLOBAL STRAGEGY LUNCHEON), (MAKING HAY WITH THE EAGLEFORD SHALE), (USO), (UNG), (XOM), (CVX), (LNG), (CHK), (HAL) (THE PASSING OF A GREAT MAN) United States Oil (USO) United States Natural Gas (UNG) Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) Corporation (CVX) Chevron Cheniere Energy, … [Read more...]

Orlando, Florida Saturday May 17 Global Strategy Luncheon

Magic Kingdon, Orland, FL

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Orlando, Florida on Saturday, May 17. A three-course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real … [Read more...]

March 19, 2014

Global Market Comments March 19, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (LAS VEGAS WEDNESDAY, MAY 14 GLOBAL STRAGEGY LUNCHEON), (THE MYSTERY OF THE MISSING $100 BILLION), (TLT), (AN EVENING WITH CONGRESS BARNEY FRANK) iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) … [Read more...]

Las Vegas Wednesday, May 14 Global Strategy Luncheon

las-vegas-welcome-sign

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Las Vegas, Nevada on Wednesday, May 14. A three-course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real … [Read more...]

An Evening with Congressman Barney Frank

John Thomas and Barney Frank

One of the highlights of last year’s SkyBridge Alternatives Conference was the blowout party on Wednesday night (click the following for the blow by blow description at http://madhedgefundradio.com/report-on-the-skybridge-alternatives-conference/). Seeking refuge from a band that was blasting my ears out, and fleeing the nubile young bodies that kept bumping up against me … [Read more...]

March 18, 2014

Global Market Comments March 18, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (FRIDAY APRIL 25 SAN FRANCISCO STRATEGY LUNCHEON (ITS TIME FOR A STRATEGY CHANGE), (SPY), (DAL), (GE), (GS), (BAC), (TLT), ($DAX), (HOW TO TRADE CALL SPREADS IN AUSTRALIA), (MY FAVORITE SECRET ECONOMIC INDICATOR) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) Delta Air Lines Inc. (DAL) General Electric Company (GE) The Goldman … [Read more...]

Friday April 25 San Francisco Strategy Luncheon

San Francisco

Come join me for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in San Francisco on Friday, April 25, 2014. An excellent meal will be followed by a wide ranging discussion and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real estate. And to … [Read more...]

How to Trade Call Spreads in Australia

Kangaroo

For the many Australians who recently subscribed to Mad Hedge Fund Trader PRO, a temporary regulatory obstacle has emerged. There are two types of trading accounts permitted by Australian financial regulators: Cash Accounts – opened by individuals Regulation “T” accounts -  opened by corporations and trusts Reg “T” accounts have no problems executing any of my Trade … [Read more...]

My Favorite Secret Economic Indicator

Graduation

It was with an enormous sense of pride and relief that I watched the last of my kids graduate from the University of California at Berkeley. Clutching his hard fought degree in political economics in hand, Robert posed for photos among friends, with thousands of beaming parents looking on. His mother died ten years ago, and raising three kids alone, getting them through top … [Read more...]

March 17, 2014

Global Market Comments March 17, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (FRIDAY APRIL 4 INCLINE VILLAGE, NEVADA STRATEGY LUNCHEON), (CHARTS TO WATCH FOR AN END TO THE CRISIS), (SPY), (TLT),(FXY), (RSX), (GLD), (CU), (CYB), (VIX), (VXX), (RUNNING THE SAN FRANCISCO BAY TO BREAKERS) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust … [Read more...]

Friday April 4 Incline Village, Nevada Global Strategy Luncheon

Lake Tahoe View

Come join me for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Incline Village, Nevada on Friday, April 4, 2014. An excellent meal will be followed by a wide-ranging discussion and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real … [Read more...]

Running the San Francisco Bay to Breakers

Medal-Bay to Breakers SF

I suffer earthquakes, forest fires, floods, dubious neighbors, high taxes, corrupt politicians, and a bankrupt state government to live in California. It is all worth it just to run the Bay to Breakers every year, a five mile run from the San Francisco Bay to the Pacific Ocean, which has evolved into the world’s most bizarre sporting event. The word from race organizers … [Read more...]

March 14, 2014

Global Market Comments March 14, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (ORLANDO FLORIDA SATURDAY, MAY 17 GLOBAL STRAGEGY LUNCHEON), (CASHING IN ON THE SAUDI ARABIA OF MILK), (ENZL), (TAKE A RIDE IN THE NEW SHORT JUNK ETF), (SJB), (JNK), (CORN) iShares MSCI New Zealand Capped (ENZL) ProShares Short High Yield (SJB) SPDR Barclays High Yield Bond (JNK) Teucrium Corn (CORN) … [Read more...]

Orlando, Florida Saturday May 17 Global Strategy Luncheon

Magic Kingdon, Orland, FL

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Orlando, Florida on Saturday, May 17. A three-course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real … [Read more...]

Take a Ride in the New Short Junk ETF

Car-Junk

When you look at the profusion of new ETF’s being launched today, you find that they almost always correspond with market tops. The higher the market, the greater the demand for the underlying, and the more leverage traders pay for it. The resulting returns for investors are disastrous. But occasionally a blind squirrel finds an acorn, and if you fire buckshot long enough, … [Read more...]

The Real Estate Market in 2030

Home for Sale

Long time readers of this letter know too well that I have been hugely negative on the sector since late 2005, when I unloaded all of my holdings (click here for ‘The Hard Truth About Residential Real Estate’). However, I believe that ‘forever’ may be on the extreme side. Personally, I believe there will be great opportunities in real estate starting in 2030. Let’s back up … [Read more...]

March 12, 2014

Global Market Comments March 12, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (FRIDAY APRIL 25 SAN FRANCISCO STRATEGY LUNCHEON), (WHY COPPER IS CRASHING), (CU), (FCX), (BREAKFAST WITH FED GOVERNOR BOB MCTEER), Pulling the Ripcord on GM (BAC), (GS), (GM), (AIG) First Trust ISE Global Copper Index (CU) Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. (FCX) Bank of America Corporation … [Read more...]

Friday April 25 San Francisco Strategy Luncheon

San Francisco

Come join me for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in San Francisco on Friday, April 25, 2014. An excellent meal will be followed by a wide-ranging discussion and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real estate. And … [Read more...]

Breakfast with Fed Governor Bob McTeer

McTeerRobert[1]

No one can explain the most complex economic and monetary issues in a simpler, more homespun fashion than former governor of the Federal Reserve, Bob McTeer. He is known for carrying around two yardsticks, one slightly longer than the other, to demonstrate to your average guy the monthly changes in employment. Bob argues that the Fed is getting a bad rap today. Ben … [Read more...]

March 11, 2014

Global Market Comments March 11, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (MAD HEDGE FUND TRADER KILLS IT WITH A 2014 12.6% RETURN), (TLT), (SPY), (BAC), (GM), (EBAY), (DAL), (GS), (XLV), (XLF), (GE), (MARCH 12 GLOBAL STRATEGY WEBINAR), (EUROPEAN STYLE HOMELAND SECURITY) iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) Bank of America Corporation (BAC) General … [Read more...]

Mad Hedge Fund Trader Kills it with a 12.6% 2014 Return

John Thomas

The industry beating performance of the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Trade Alert Service has maintained its gob smacking pace from last year, picking up another 12.6% profit in the first ten trading weeks of 2014. The Dow Average was up a feeble 1.4% during the same period, pegging my outperformance of the index at a stunning 11.2%. Since the beginning of 2013, I am up 80%, with … [Read more...]

Don’t Miss the March 12 Global Strategy Webinar

Robin Williams

My next global strategy webinar will be held on Wednesday, March 12 at 12:00 PM EST. This time Mad Day Trader Jim Parker will be my willing coconspirator. I’ll be giving you my updated outlook on stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, precious metal, and real estate. The goal is to find the cheapest assets in the world to buy, the most expensive to sell short, and the … [Read more...]

European Style Homeland Security

CleeseJohn2

The English are feeling the pinch in relation to recent geopolitical events, and have therefore raised their security level from "Miffed" to "Peeved." Soon, though, security levels may be raised yet again to "Irritated" or even "A Bit Cross." The English have not been "A Bit Cross" since the blitz in 1940, when tea supplies nearly ran out. Terrorists have been … [Read more...]

March 10, 2014

Global Market Comments March 10, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (THE MARKET LEADERSHIP CHANGE HAS BEGUN), (XLK), (XLV), (AAPL), (XLF), (BAC), (GS), (JPM), (GM), (F) (WATCH OUT! YOU PC IS WATCHING) Technology Select Sector SPDR® (XLK) Health Care Select Sector SPDR® (XLV) Apple Inc. (AAPL) Financial Select Sector SPDR® (XLF) Bank of America Corporation (BAC) The … [Read more...]

Be Careful! Your PC is Watching

computer

Hey! You there, staring at this monitor. This is your PC talking to you. No, not you over there standing in the background. I’m talking to the guy sitting in front of me poking at my keys. Ouch! That one hurt! So you thought no one was watching, did you? Let me straighten you out. About a month ago you clicked on a certain website, and I installed myself as a cookie on your … [Read more...]

March 7, 2014

Global Market Comments March 7, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (MARCH 12 GLOBAL STRATEGY WEBINAR) (LAS VEGAS WEDNESDAY, MAY 14 GLOBAL STRAGEGY LUNCHEON), (TESTIMONIAL), (REPORT FROM AUSTRALIA) … [Read more...]

Don’t Miss the March 12 Global Strategy Webinar

Robin Williams

Don’t Miss the March 12 Global Strategy Webinar. My next global strategy webinar will be held on Wednesday, March 12 at 12:00 PM EDT. This time Mad Day Trader Jim Parker will be my willing coconspirator. I’ll be giving you my updated outlook on stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, precious metal, and real estate. The goal is to find the cheapest assets in the world to … [Read more...]

Las Vegas Wednesday, May 14 Global Strategy Luncheon

las-vegas-welcome-sign

Las Vegas Wednesday, May 14 Global Strategy Luncheon Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Las Vegas, Nevada on Wednesday, May 14. A three-course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, … [Read more...]

Report from Australia

John Thomas - Croc Dundee

The noise was as depressing as it was unmistakable. The front tire on my rental car blew out, leaving me stranded on the side of the road. The problem was that I was in the middle of nowhere in New South Wales, Australia, and it was pouring cats and dogs. Nothing but eucalyptus trees unfolded across the vast rolling hills. I looked in the trunk. Kookaburras laughed in the … [Read more...]

March 6, 2014

Global Market Comments March 6, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (ORLANDO FLORIDA SATURDAY, MAY 17 GLOBAL STRAGEGY LUNCHEON), (A SPECIAL OFFER FOR AUSTRALIAN SUBSCRIBERS), (IT’S PEDAL TO THE METAL ONCE AGAIN), (SPY), (IWM), (DAL), (GE), (EBAY), (GILD), (GS), (BAC), (DBA) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) iShares Russell 2000 (IWM) Delta Air Lines Inc. (DAL) General Electric … [Read more...]

Orlando, Florida Saturday May 17 Global Strategy Luncheon

Magic Kingdon, Orland, FL

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Orlando, Florida on Saturday, May 17. A three-course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real … [Read more...]

A Special Offer for Australian Subscribers

kang1

Executing the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Trade Alerts from the other side of the world can pose some annoying challenges. After speaking with many of my Australian followers on my recent trip down under, I learned of the obstacles presented by distant time zones, dealing in foreign currencies, regulations, and obtaining live customer support. I want to make my service easy for … [Read more...]

March 5, 2014

Global Market Comments March 5, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (CHICAGO FRIDAY, MAY 23 GLOBAL STRAGEGY LUNCHEON), (LUCKY FIND SPARKS NEW CALIFORNIA GOLD RUSH), (GLD), (THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN MAD HEDGE FUND TRADER AND MAD DAY FUND TRADER), (THE NEW CALIFORNIA GOLD RUSH) … [Read more...]

Chicago Friday, May 23 Global Strategy Luncheon

Chicago

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Chicago on Friday, May 23. A three-course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real estate. And to … [Read more...]

The Difference Between Mad Hedge Fund Trader and Mad Day Trader

John & Jim

Thanks to our ballistic, market beating performance, up 10.11% year to date, we have recently enjoyed a large influx of new subscribers, especially from Australia and New Zealand. So I want to take to take this opportunity to clarify exactly what you bought. While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day … [Read more...]

The New California Gold Rush

Panning for Gold

On my way back from Lake Tahoe last weekend I saw that every bend of the American river was dotted with hopeful miners, looking to make a windfall fortune. Weekend hobbyists were there panning away from the banks, while the hardcore pros stood in hip waders balancing portable pumps on truck inner tubes, pouring sand into sluice boxes. Welcome to the new California gold … [Read more...]

March 4, 2014

Global Market Comments March 4, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (FRIDAY APRIL 25 SAN FRANCISCO STRATEGY LUNCHEON) (THE NEW WAR IN THE UKRAINE), (RSX), (USO), ($BRENT), (WEAT), (UNG), (EEM), (TIME TO SELL THE TREASURY MARKET SHORT), (TLT), (TBT) Market Vectors Russia ETF (RSX) United States Oil (USO) Brent Crude OiL-Spot Price(EOD) ICE ($BRENT) Teucrium Wheat … [Read more...]

Friday, April 25 San Francisco Strategy Luncheon

San Francisco

Come join me for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in San Francisco on Friday, April 25, 2014. An excellent meal will be followed by a wide-ranging discussion and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real estate. And … [Read more...]

March 3, 2014

Global Market Comments March 3, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (FRIDAY APRIL 4 INCLINE VILLAGE, NEVADA STRATEGY LUNCHEON), (ALL ASSET CLASS RISK REVERSAL AT HAND), (SPY), (EEM), (TLT), (VXX), (FXY), (YCS), (FXE), (UUP), (WHY WATER WILL SOON BE WORTH MORE THAN OIL), (CGW), (PHO), (FIW), (VE), (TTEK), (PNR), (TESTIMONIAL) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) iShares MSCI Emerging … [Read more...]

Friday, April 4 Incline Village, Nevada Global Strategy Luncheon

Lake Tahoe View

Come join me for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Incline Village, Nevada on Friday, April 4, 2014. An excellent meal will be followed by a wide-ranging discussion and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real … [Read more...]

February 28, 2014

Global Market Comments February 27, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (WHY I’M SELLING SHORT THE MARKET) (SPY), (TSLA), (NFLX), (FB), (PCLN), (YELP), (XLF), (XLE), (REPORT FROM NEW ZEALAND), (ENZL) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) Tesla Motors, Inc. (TSLA) Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) Facebook, Inc. (FB) priceline.com Incorporated (PCLN) Yelp, Inc. (YELP) Financial Select Sector SPDR® … [Read more...]

Report from New Zealand

John Thomas New Zeland Maori

35 degrees South latitude, 174 degrees East longitude. I am writing this report from the Duke of Marlborough Hotel and Pub in remote Russell, off the east coast of New Zealand’s North Island. Once known as “The Hell Hole of the Pacific” in 1835, no less an authority than Charles Darwin, claimed this 19th century whaling port was populated with “the refuse of humanity.” It … [Read more...]

February 27, 2014

Global Market Comments February 27, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (DIVIDEND HIKE COULD SEND BANK OF AMERICA FLYING), (BAC), (XLF), (SPY), (PLEASE USE MY FREE DATA BASE SEARCH), (TESTIMONIAL), (IS USA, INC. A “SELL”) Bank of America Corporation (BAC) Financial Select Sector SPDR® (XLF) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) … [Read more...]

Please Use My Free Data Base Search

Computer with Magnifying Glass

The original purpose of this letter was to build a database of ideas to draw on in the management of my hedge fund. When a certain trade comes into play, I merely type in the symbol, name, currency, or commodity into the search box, and the entire fundamental argument in favor of that position pops up. You can do the same. Just type anything into the search box with the … [Read more...]

Is USA Inc. a “SELL?

USA Inc.

What would happen if I recommended a stock that had no profits, was cash flow negative, and had a net worth of negative $44 trillion? Chances are, you would cancel your subscription to the Mad Hedge Fund Trader, demand a refund, de-friend me from you Facebook account, and delete my email address from your contact list. Yet that is precisely what my former colleague at Morgan … [Read more...]

February 26, 2014

Global Market Comments February 26, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (FRIDAY APRIL 4 INCLINE VILLAGE, NEVADA STRATEGY LUNCHEON), (ANOTHER HOME RUN WITH NATURAL GAS), (UNG), (DGAZ), (UNL), (GET READY FOR YOUR NEXT BIG TAX HIT) United States Natural Gas (UNG) VelocityShares 3x Inv Natural Gas ETN (DGAZ) United States 12 Month Natural Gas (UNL) … [Read more...]

Friday April 4 Incline Village, Nevada Global Strategy Luncheon

Lake Tahoe View

Come join me for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Incline Village, Nevada on Friday, April 4, 2014. An excellent meal will be followed by a wide-ranging discussion and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real … [Read more...]

Get Ready for Your Next Big Tax Hit

IRS Emblem plus

No matter what anyone promises you today, this week, or this year, your taxes are going up. I don’t care if you are still licking your wounds from the last payroll tax rise, or the federal tax hike for millionaires, which in my case took my rate up from 35% to 39.5%. At least the capital gains tax is still a steal at 20%. At $600 billion, the budget deficit is so enormous … [Read more...]

February 25, 2014

Global Market Comments February 25, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (IM BACK FROM THE LAND DOWN UNDER), (FEBRUARY 26 GLOBAL STRATEGY WEBINAR), (MAD HEDGE FUND TRADER LEAPS AHEAD WITH A 9.31% 2014 RETURN),  (UNG), (BAC) (BUDGET CUTS HIT THE WILD ANIMAL MAKET) United States Natural Gas (UNG) Bank of America Corporation (BAC) … [Read more...]

I’m Back from the Land Down Under

John Thomas

I’m half mad with jet lag, and I haven’t pooped in three days. But I’m back from the magical Land Down Under. It was another one of those incredible, once in a lifetime, bucket list type trips. The highlight was flying my own plane out to a small speck of a coral island 40 miles at sea in the Great Barrier Reef National Park. There I spotted electric blue starfish, … [Read more...]

Don’t Miss the February 26 Global Strategy Webinar

Robin Williams

My next global strategy webinar will be held on Wednesday, February 26 at 12:00 PM EST. This time Mad Day Trader Jim Parker will be my willing coconspirator. I’ll be giving you my updated outlook on stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, precious metal, and real estate. The goal is to find the cheapest assets in the world to buy, the most expensive to sell short, and the … [Read more...]

Mad Hedge Fund Trader Leaps Ahead With a 9.31% 2014 Profit

Trade Performance

The red hot performance of the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Trade Alert Service has maintained its blistering pace from last year, picking up another 9.31% profit in the first seven trading weeks of 2014. The Dow Average was down 2.3% during the same period, pegging my outperformance of the index at a stunning 11.6%. Since the beginning of 2013, I am up 76.8%. 2013 closed with a … [Read more...]

Budget Cuts Hit the Wild Animal Market

siberian-tiger-6

In case you missed it, the second hand animal market has crashed. Forced to slash budgets by cash starved municipalities, the nation’s public zoos have been paring back their collections of living exhibits. The Washington Zoo is trying to offload a 7,000 pound hippopotamus; while the San Francisco Zoo is short some tigers after one ate a visitor and had to be shot. The … [Read more...]

February 24, 2014

Global Market Comments February 24, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (FRIDAY APRIL 25 SAN FRANCISCO STRATEGY LUNCHEON), (THINGS ARE HEATING UP IN MEXICO), (BSMX), (EWW), (UMX), (AN AFTERNOON WITH BOONE PICKENS) (UNG), (USO) Grupo Financiero Santander Mexico, S.A.B. de C.V. (BSMX) iShares MSCI Mexico Capped (EWW) ProShares Ultra MSCI Mexico Cppd IMI (UMX) United States … [Read more...]

Friday, April 25 San Francisco Strategy Luncheon

San Francisco

Come join me for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in San Francisco on Friday, April 25, 2014. An excellent meal will be followed by a wide-ranging discussion and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real estate. And to … [Read more...]

Things are Heating Up in Mexico

Mexican

I have fond memories traveling around northern Mexico during the 1950’s. My grandfather used to drive us across the border into Baja in his pickup truck, the back loaded with camping equipment, water, fishing poles, rifles, and shotguns. There was no border control. To eat, we only had to wait for the tide to go out on the Sea of Cortez, uncovering a banquet of fresh … [Read more...]

An Afternoon with Boone Pickens

Boone Pickens

Reformed oil man, repenting sinner, and borne again environmentalist T. Boone Pickens says that “When we turn the US green, it will have the best economy ever.” I met the spry, homespun billionaire at San Francisco’s Mark Hopkins on a leg of his self-financed national campaign to get America to kick its dangerous dependence on foreign oil imports. For the past 30 years, the … [Read more...]

America’s Native Indian Economy

indian

When I was remodeling my 160-year-old London house, the chimney was in desperate need of attention. After the bricklayer crawled up the fireplace, he found a yellowed and somewhat singed envelope addressed to Santa Claus. Thinking it was placed there by my kids, he handed it over to me. In it was a letter dated Christmas, 1910 asking for a Red Indian suit. Europeans have … [Read more...]

The Tax Rate Fallacy

irs

When anyone starts lecturing you that the US has the highest tax rate in the industrialized world, just turn around, walk away, and pretend you never heard of them. This person is either ignorant about this country's taxation system, or is deliberately trying to deceive you. According to a report released by the Internal Revenue Service, America's tax collection agency, the … [Read more...]

February 20, 2014

Global Market Comments February 20, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (NOTICE TO MILITARY SUBSCRIBERS), (CHINA’S COMING DEMOGRAPHIC NIGHTMARE), (TRIBUTE TO A GIANT OF JOURNALISM, ROY ESSOYAN) … [Read more...]

Notice to Military Subscribers

Soldier

To the dozens of subscribers in Iraq, Afghanistan, and the surrounding ships at sea, thank you for your service! I think it is very wise to use your free time to read my letter and learn about financial markets in preparation for an entry into the financial services when you cash out. Nobody is going to call you a baby killer and shun you, as they did when I returned from … [Read more...]

China’s Coming Demographic Nightmare

emperor

Thanks to China's “one child only” policy adopted 30 years ago, and a cultural preference for children who grow up to become family safety nets, there are now 32 million more boys under the age of 20 than girls. Large scale interference with the natural male:female ratio has been tracked with some fascination by demographers for years, and is constantly generating unintended … [Read more...]

Tribute to a Giant of Journalism, Roy Essoyan

Roy Essoyan

I had been filled with great sadness when I had learned of the passing of an old friend and mentor, Roy Essoyan, the former Tokyo bureau chief for the Associated Press. When I was a young, wet behind the ears financial journalist in Japan during the early seventies, Roy had the charity to take me under his wing and teach me a few tricks of the trade. We often met for lunch … [Read more...]

February 19, 2014

Global Market Comments February 19, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (LAST CHANCE TO ATTEND THE SATURDAY FEBRUARY 22 BRISBANE AUSTRALIA STRATEGY LUNCH) (NOT YOUR FATHER’S RAILROADS), (UNP), (CSX), (NSC), (CP), (THE WORST TRADE OF ALL TIME), (GLD) Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) CSX Corp. (CSX) Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC) Canadian Pacific Railway Limited … [Read more...]

Last Chance to Attend the Saturday, February 22 Brisbane Australia Strategy Lunch

Brisbane, AU

Come join me for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Brisbane, Australia on Saturday, February 22, 2014. An excellent meal will be followed by a wide ranging discussion and a question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real estate. I also … [Read more...]

Not Your Father’s Railroads

Train-Cargo

When I rode Amtrak’s California Zephyr service from Chicago to San Francisco last year, we passed countless trains heading west hauling hoppers full of coal for shipment to China. This year I took the same trip. The coal trains were gone. Instead I saw 100 car long tanker trains transporting crude oil from North Dakota south to the Gulf Coast. I thought, “There’s got to be a … [Read more...]

The Worst Trade of All Time

Steve Martin

One of the great asset management blunders of all time has to be the European Community’s decision to sell its gold reserves in the wake of the launch of the Euro in 1998. The decision led to the fairly rapid sale of 3,800 tons of the yellow metal at an average price of $280/ounce, reaping about $56 billion, according to the Financial Times. Today with gold at $1,260/ounce, … [Read more...]

February 18, 2014

Global Market Comments February 18, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (LAST CHANCE TO ATTEND THE THURSDAY FEBRUARY 20 MELBOURNE, AUSTRALIA STRATEGY LUNCH) (AN EVENING WITH GOVERNMENT MOTORS), (GM), (BUSINESS IS BOOMING AT ROUGH TIMES), (GLD), (SLV), (CCJ), (NLR) General Motors Company (GM) SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) iShares Silver Trust (SLV) Cameco Corporation … [Read more...]

Last Chance to Attend the Thursday, February 20 Melbourne Lunch Invitation

Melbourne, AU

Come join me for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Melbourne, Australia on Thursday, February 20, 2014. An excellent meal will be followed by a wide ranging discussion and a minute question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, currencies commodities, precious metals, and real estate. … [Read more...]

An Evening with “Government Motors”

GM-CEO-Dan-Akerson-1

Long-term readers of this letter are well aware of my antipathy towards General Motors (GM). For decades, the company turned a deaf ear to customer complaints about shoddy, uncompetitive products, arcane management practices, entitled dealers, and a totally inward looking view of the world that was rapidly globalizing. It was like watching a close friend kill himself through … [Read more...]

Business is Booming at Ruff Times

Lady Liberty

Following Howard Ruff for the last 40 years has always been eye opening, if not entertaining. The irascible Mormon is the publisher of Ruff Times, one of the oldest investment letters in the business, and one of the original worshipers of hard assets. Ruff says that any investment denominated in dollars is a mistake, which is in a long term down trend, along with all paper … [Read more...]

February 14, 2014

Global Market Comments February 14, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (SATURDAY FEBRUARY 22 BRISBANE AUSTRALIA STRATEGY LUNCH), (DECODING THE GREEBACK), (THE FUSION IN YOUR FUTURE), (WHAT ABOUT ASSET ALLOCATION?) … [Read more...]

Saturday February 22 Brisbane Australia Strategy Lunch

Brisbane, AU

Come join me for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Brisbane, Australia on Saturday, February 22, 2014. An excellent meal will be followed by a wide ranging discussion and a question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real estate. I also … [Read more...]

Decoding the Greenback

US Dollar

If you want to impress your friends with your vast knowledge of financial matters, then here are the Latin translations of the script on the backside of a US dollar bill. “ANNUIT COEPTIS” means “God has favored our undertaking.” “NOVUS ORDO SECLORUM” translates into “A new order has begun.” The Roman numerals at the base of the pyramid are “1776.” The better known “E … [Read more...]

The Fusion in Your Future

Planetarium

Expect to hear a lot about ignition in the next year. No, I don’t mean the rebuilt ignition for the beat up ’68 Cadillac El Dorado up on blocks in your front yard. I’m referring to the inauguration of the National Ignition Facility next door to me at Lawrence Livermore National Labs in Livermore, California. Mention California to most people, and images of love beads, tie … [Read more...]

What About Asset Allocation?

Regis Philbin

Asset allocation is the one question that I get every day, which I absolutely cannot answer. The reason is simple: no two investors are alike. The answer varies whether you are young or old, have $1,000 in the bank or $1 billion, are a sophisticated investor or an average Joe, in the top or the bottom tax bracket, and so on. This is something you should ask your financial … [Read more...]

February 13, 2014 – MDT – Bond Trade Follow Up

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Jim Parker, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. … [Read more...]

February 13, 2014

Global Market Comments February 13, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (THURSDAY FEBRUARY 20 MELBOURNE, AUSTRALIA STRATEGY LUNCH) (THERE ARE NO GURUS), (WATCH OUT FOR THE MILLENNIAL VOTER) (TESTIMONIAL) … [Read more...]

Thursday, February 20 Melbourne Lunch Invitation

Melbourne, AU

Come join me for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Melbourne, Australia on Thursday, February 20, 2014. An excellent meal will be followed by a wide ranging discussion and a minute question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, currencies commodities, precious metals, and real estate. … [Read more...]

Watch Out for the Millennial Voter

College Kids

I have been banging the table for years now about the importance of demographic trends for the economy, the financial markets, and the housing market. Well, politics is no different. According to recent surveys, Millennials, who are now aged 23-34 (I have three of them) are suspicious of government, have a strong anti-business bias, are opposed to new regulation, are highly … [Read more...]

February 12, 2014

Global Market Comments February 12, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (GET READY FOR THE NEXT GOLDEN AGE), (SPY), (QQQ), (IWM), (EEM), (KOL), (USO), (UNG), (TSLA), (NSANY), (FXY), (YCS), (FXE) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) PowerShares QQQ (QQQ) iShares Russell 2000 (IWM) iShares MSCI Emerging Markets (EEM) Market Vectors Coal ETF (KOL) United States Oil (USO) United States … [Read more...]

Get Ready for the Next Golden Age

thunderbird_1

I believe that the global economy is setting up for a new golden age reminiscent of the one the United States enjoyed during the 1950’s, and which I still remember fondly. This is not some pie in the sky prediction. It simply assumes a continuation of existing trends in demographics, technology, politics, and economics. The implications for your investment portfolio will be … [Read more...]

February 11, 2014

Global Market Comments February 11, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (FRIDAY FEBRUARY 14 SYDNEY, AUSTRALIA STRATEGY LUNCH), (WHY WARREN BUFFETT HATES GOLD), (GLD), (GDX), (ABX), (AN EVENING WITH JAMES BAKER III), (CONNECTING UP AMERICA) SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX) Barrick Gold Corporation (ABX) … [Read more...]

Friday, February 14 Sydney, Australia Lunch invitation

Sydney, AU

Come join me for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Sydney, Australia at 12:00 noon on Friday, February 14, 2014. An excellent meal will be followed by a wide ranging discussion and a minute question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, currencies commodities, precious metals, and … [Read more...]

Why Warren Buffet Hates Gold

Gold Coin

The 'Oracle of Omaha' expounded at length today on why he despises the barbarous relic. The sage doesn't really care about the yellow metal, whatever the price. He sees it primarily as a bet on fear. If investors are more afraid in a year than they are today, then you make money. If they aren't, then you lose money. If you took all the gold in the world, it would form a … [Read more...]

An Evening With James Baker III

James Baker

“We have 3,500 nuclear weapons left over from the cold war we don’t need, they take 20 seconds to re-aim, we’re not afraid to use them. And by the way, they’re already aimed at you.” That is the approach James Baker III thinks America should take with Iran, Ronald Reagan’s Chief of Staff and Secretary of the Treasury and George H.W. Bush’s Secretary of State. At the same … [Read more...]

Connecting Up America

Tres Amigas

Until now, the country’s power grid has been divided into three unconnected, noncompetitive kingdoms (in the spirit of Game of Thrones), making transnational transmission impossible, leading to huge regional mispricing. While California and New York suffered from periodic brown outs and sky-high prices, electricity was given away virtually for free in Texas. A group of power … [Read more...]

Wednesday, February 12 Auckland, New Zealand Strategy Lunch

Auckland

Come join me for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Auckland, New Zealand on Wednesday, February 12, 2014. An excellent meal will be followed by a wide-ranging discussion and question-and-answer period. I’ll be giving you my up-to-date view on stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real estate. I … [Read more...]