What’s Up With Gold?

Gold-Coins-Gold-Bullion-and-Other-Gold-Invesment

Have you ever held a basketball underwater in a swimming pool and let go? It flies to the upside and pops you in the nose. That is exactly what gold is doing now. After the barbarous relic peaked at $1,922 on August 24, it traded like an absolute pig, giving up 20% in a matter of weeks. I managed to coin it with a couple of quick in and out trades in (GLD) puts, some doubling … [Read more...]

Meet the Teflon Market

guillotine

Pound away at this market all you want, and it just refuses to go down. In recent weeks we have received a torrent of bad news from Europe, including the fall of governments in Greece and Italy, and the S&P 500 index keeps migrating back to the 1,260 level, as if attracted by some supernatural, magnetic force. It is no coincidence that this is where the closely followed big … [Read more...]

Silver Is Starting to Shine

Silver-Panda

I received an urgent call from my friend at Fidelitrade (http://fidelitrade.com/) this morning, a leading dealer in 1,000 ounce bars of gold and silver. He had just been cleaned out of the 1,000 ounce silver bars at $34,930 each, and there was nothing in the pipeline. What the hell was going on with silver? I tried to calm him down with my usual measured, rational, global, … [Read more...]

Take a look at Jeffries

swan

I have an unusually sensitive nose. Maybe that is because it is so big. It is particularly attuned to detecting bullpucky in broker research reports. So when an analyst recently downgraded the mid-level broker, Jeffries & Co (JEF), on the back of its European debt exposure, the stench was overwhelming. I went to the website at http://www.jefco.com/ and had a quick look … [Read more...]

What’s up with BYD?

Pacific20111392

When I first bought shares in the Chinese electric car manufacturer, BYD (BYDDF) (or Build Your Dreams) in 2009 on the heels of Warren Buffet’s 10% investment, it looked like a total home run. The stock soared from $1.50 to $11, given me a paper return of 730%. Undercover, I Totally Blend Last year, the stock started to roll over, retracing all the way back to my cost. I … [Read more...]

Goodbye Steve Jobs, Hello Dividend?

aaple

Analysts continue to be stunned by the rate at which cash is rolling into Apple (AAPL). At current cash flows, the company’s hoard is expected to grow from $81 billion to $120 billion by next June, an increase of nearly $200 million a day! So far, the company has resisted every entreaty to part with some of this dosh, either through a share buyback or a dividend. Now some … [Read more...]

Report From Australia

australia

SPECIAL AUSTRALIAN ASSET CLASS REVIEW     I am writing this report on the ferry boat from Sydney to Manley, where I will attend a gathering of Australia based hedge fund managers to absorb their collective wisdom. I have deliberately taken the slow boat,  so I have the time to give this report the depth it deserves. The Australian swim suit model sitting … [Read more...]

The Stock Market’s Dream Scenario

SPX

I’m sitting here with a mountain of technical analysis reports that are causing my desk to buckle this morning, all shouting “breakout”, “buy”, and “uptrend”. So I’m wondering, “is there a scenario out there where these might actually come to pass?” At this point I thought it might be useful to engage in what Albert Einstein called “thought experiments” and come up with a … [Read more...]

Who’s Doing All That Buying?

coin

Market observers were stunned, amazed, and gob smacked when trading volumes surged with the 300 point move in the Dow last Thursday. Are retail investors at last making a long awaited return to the stock market? Have they broken with tradition and started buying a bottom, instead of a top? Not a chance. Much of the volume spike can be traced to the obscure mathematics of … [Read more...]

Bond Market Crash Sends Macro Millionaire to New All Time High

Picture 4

The abject failure of yesterday’s seven year Treasury bond auction and the crash that ensued has enabled the year-to-date return for my Macro Millionaire trade mentoring program to soar to a new all-time high of 43%. The 30 year bond plunged a staggering six points from the previous day’s high. Yields on ten year government paper have ratcheted up 50 basis points in just a few … [Read more...]

Report From New Zealand

Picture 14

I am writing this report from the Duke of Marlborough Hotel and Pub in remote Russell, off the east coast of New Zealand’s North Island. One known as “The Hell Hole of the Pacific”, in 1835, no less an authority than Charles Darwin claimed this 19th century whaling port was populated with “the refuse of humanity.” It has since been cleaned up, gentrified, and turned into a … [Read more...]

The Bull Market in Mustangs

image03

The Western US has found a new wrinkle in the housing collapse, where homeowners are desperately struggling to cut living costs to meet the next doubling of their adjustable rate mortgage payments on their underwater houses. Raising horses can cost more than children, so Nevadans are turning them loose to join herds of wild mustangs, to dodge the $30,000/year it costs to … [Read more...]

Watch Me on Money Show TV

Screen shot 2011-10-27 at 3.14.22 PM

My friend, Charles Githler, organizer of the hugely successful Money Shows, graciously invited me to appear as a keynote speaker at the recent Las Vegas event. You will never find more talent, useful tools, and new points of view under one roof than any other confab of this kind. And best of all, they are free to attend. After my speech, I made a series of instructional … [Read more...]

Winging My Way Back From China

Screen shot 2011-10-26 at 10.30.13 AM

I am writing TO you from my first class seat on Singapore Airlines, winging my way the 12 hours from Hong Kong to San Francisco. While most airlines jettisoned their first class sections years ago as a cost saving measure, Singapore carried on to maintain its reputation as the best airline in the world. The small section at the front of the bus is populated with a few Chinese … [Read more...]

The New War on Hedge Fund Managers

Screen shot 2011-10-27 at 4.36.55 PM

Yang Yanming was slowly led from his cell by two burly uniformed guards in Beijing’s central prison to a waiting van in the courtyard guards, his hands cuffed behind him and his head bowed. Once in the vehicle, he was strapped to a gurney, hooked up to an IV, and given a highly concentrated injection of sodium pentobarbitol. Minutes later, a technician checked his pulse, and … [Read more...]