June 23 London Strategy Luncheon

Big_Ben_8583a

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in London on Monday, June 23, 2014. A three course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, currencies commodities, precious metals, and real estate. And to keep … [Read more...]

Back at the Ranch

John Thomas

“Give us all your money,” said the largest of the three men who snuck up behind me at the entrance to the Orlando Marriott World Hotel. It was 1:30 AM, pitch dark, and the area was abandoned. I had my wallet out to pay the taxi driver, brimming with $5,000 in cash, my winnings at the blackjack tables at the just completed SALT conference in Las Vegas. He took off like a … [Read more...]

May 20, 2014

Global Market Comments May 20, 2014 Fiat Lux SPECIAL LAS VEGAS SALT ISSUE Featured Trade: (LAST CHANCE TO ATTEND THE CHICAGO FRIDAY, MAY 23 GLOBAL STRATEGY LUNCHEON), (REPORT ON THE 6th ANNUAL SKYBRIDGE ALTERNATIVES (SALT) CONFERENCE)   … [Read more...]

Last Chance to Attend the Chicago Friday, May 23 Global Strategy Luncheon

Chicago

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Chicago on Friday, May 23. A three course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real estate. And to … [Read more...]

Report on the 6th Annual SkyBridge Alternatives (SALT) Conference

Anthony Scaramucci

Once again, I am writing to you from the poolside cabana B-2 at the Bellagio Hotel in Las Vegas. It is a baking hot 100 degrees in the shade and the air is bone-dry, so I’m draining my third rum punch for the day. The days when I risked getting dragged out to the parking lot to get my hands broken with a hammer for card counting at blackjack have long since passed, so I am … [Read more...]

May 19, 2014

Global Market Comments May 19, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JUNE 17 NEW YORK STRATEGY LUNCHEON), (MAY 21 GLOBAL STRATEGY WEBINAR), (COME TO THE JUNE 13-14 INVEST LIKE A MONSTER LAS VEGAS CONFERENCE) … [Read more...]

Meet John Thomas and Jim Parker in New York on June 17

Empire State Building

Come join Mad Day Trader Jim Parker and I for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Luncheon, which we will be conducting in New York, NY on Tuesday, June 17, 2014. An excellent three course lunch will be provided. A PowerPoint presentation will be followed by an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, … [Read more...]

Don’t Miss the May 21 Global Strategy Webinar

Making Sure that your Next  Trade Alert brings home some Bacon

My next global strategy webinar will be held on Wednesday, May 21 at 12:00 PM EDT. I’ll be giving you my updated outlook on stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, precious metal, and real estate. The goal is to find the cheapest assets in the world to buy, the most expensive to sell short, and the appropriate securities with which to take positions. I will also be opining … [Read more...]

May 16, 2014

Global Market Comments May 16, 2014 Fiat Lux (SPECIAL DAVID TEPPER ISSUE), Featured Trade: (AN EVENING WITH DAVID TEPPER), (SPY), (QQQ), (IWM) (TLT), (FXE) (MAY 21 GLOBAL STRATEGY WEBINAR) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) PowerShares QQQ (QQQ) iShares Russell 2000 (IWM) iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) CurrencyShares Euro Trust (FXE) … [Read more...]

An Evening with David Tepper

David Tepper

“There is a time to make money, and a time to not lose money. This is one of those times.” That was the insightful gem I came away with after listening to David Tepper speak at the 7th annual SALT Alternative Investment Conference in Las Vegas Nevada. Tepper continued, opining that the markets are “dangerous” here, and that he was “nervous.” “It was easy to buy stocks (SPY), … [Read more...]

Don’t Miss the May 21 Global Strategy Webinar

Making Sure that your Next  Trade Alert brings home some Bacon

My next global strategy webinar will be held on Wednesday, May 21 at 12:00 PM EDT. I’ll be giving you my updated outlook on stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, precious metal, and real estate. The goal is to find the cheapest assets in the world to buy, the most expensive to sell short, and the appropriate securities with which to take positions. I will also be opining … [Read more...]

Chicago Friday, May 23 Global Strategy Luncheon

Chicago

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Chicago on Friday, May 23. A three course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real estate. And to … [Read more...]

An Afternoon with General Colin Powell

Colin Powell

I have long had enormous respect for General Colin Powell. My commanding four star general when I was flying errands for the Marine Corps. during Desert Storm, he fights my kind of war; they’re very short, three days in the case of desert storm, and we won. And topping everything else, the Kuwaitis paid for it all. It was the best training exercise I ever enjoyed. General … [Read more...]

May 14, 2014

Global Market Comments May 14, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JUNE 26 ISTANBUL, TURKEY STRATEGY LUNCHEON) (I’M OFF TO THE LAS VEGAS SALT CONFERENCE), (THE TECHNICAL/FUNDAMENTAL TUG OF WAR), (SPY), (INDU), (IWM) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) iShares Russell 2000 (IWM) … [Read more...]

June 26 Istanbul, Turkey Strategy Luncheon

Istanbul, Turkey

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Istanbul, Turkey on Thursday, June 26, 2014. A three course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real … [Read more...]

I’m Off to the Las Vegas SALT Conference

Anthony Scaramucci

I will spend the rest of the week attending the 6th annual SALT conference at the Bellagio Hotel in Las Vegas. This is the preeminent get together of the major players in the hedge fund industry. There, I will hook up with readers, consulting clients, old pals, and former staff, many of whom now run their own multi billion dollar hedge funds. I could write a letter entirely … [Read more...]

The Technical/Fundamental Tug of War: Who Will Win?

Cromagnon Man

For the last few weeks, I have had two groups of analysts screaming in my ears. Fundamental researchers are asserting that at $120 per share in earnings, generating price earnings multiple of 18, stocks are at the historic middle of a 10-22 range. Q1 earnings are almost over and modestly outperformed on the upside, although not with the magnitude seen in recent … [Read more...]

May 13, 2014

Global Market Comments May 13, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JUNE 23 LONDON STRATEGY LUNCHEON) (THE ENDLESS SUMMER OF 2014), (SPX), (RIDING WITH TREASURY SECRETARY JACK LEW) S&P 500 Index (SPX) … [Read more...]

June 23 London Strategy Luncheon

Big_Ben_8583a

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in London on Monday, June 23, 2014. A three course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, currencies commodities, precious metals, and real estate. And to keep … [Read more...]

The Endless Summer of 2014

Game of Thrones

We have just endured three weary months of tedious range trading, typical of a normal summer’s action. The problem is that the actual summer is about to begin. Are we going to suffer another three months of tedious range trading? Is summer trading this year going to last a full six months? Is this the endless summer of 2014? That is the alarming conclusion of the many … [Read more...]

Riding with Treasury Secretary Jack Lew

Jack Lew

I was perusing my morning email in Zermatt a few weeks ago, and spotted the familiar White House address with the .gov ending. Would I be interested in meeting with the new Treasury Secretary, Jack Lew? It was just what I needed to lure me out of my Alpine lair back to the USA. I responded “yes,” and instructions followed to meet him at the private jet terminal at San Francisco … [Read more...]

May 12, 2014

Global Market Comments May 12, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (LAST CHANCE TO ATTAEND THE ORLANDO FLORIDA SATURDAY, MAY 17 GLOBAL STRAGEGY LUNCHEON) (WHY ARE BOND YIELDS SO LOW?) (TLT), (TBT), (LQD), (MUB), (LINE), (ELD), (QQQ), (UUP), (EEM), (DBA) iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury (TBT) iShares iBoxx $ Invst Grade Crp Bond … [Read more...]

Last Chance to Attend the Orlando, Florida Saturday May 17 Global Strategy Luncheon

Magic Kingdon, Orland, FL

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Orlando, Florida on Saturday, May 17. A three-course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real … [Read more...]

Why Are Bond Yields So Low?

Orangutan

Investors around the world have been confused, befuddled, and surprised by the ultra low level of long term interest rates in the United States. At Friday’s close, the 30 year Treasury bond yielded a parsimonious 3.46%, the ten year, 2.62%, and the five year only 1.63%. The ten-year is threatening its all time low yield of 2.38%, a return as rare as a dodo bird, last seen in … [Read more...]

Meet John Thomas and Jim Parker in New York on June 17

Empire State Building

Come join Mad Day Trader Jim Parker and I for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Luncheon, which we will be conducting in New York, NY on Tuesday, June 17, 2014. An excellent three-course lunch will be provided. A PowerPoint presentation will be followed by an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, … [Read more...]

Options for the Beginner

Options for the Beginner and Beyond

I strongly urge readers of this letter to log on to Amazon and by a copy of Options for the Beginner and Beyond by W. Edward Olmstead. Options contracts offer investors a wonderful instrument for minimizing risk, while maximizing the upside, and I am going to recommend many more such strategies in the future. So, if you want to have the slightest idea of what I am talking … [Read more...]

Bring Back the Uptick Rule!

Art work

When the Dow crashed 514 points in a single day a few years ago, the market lost a staggering $850 billion in market capitalization. High frequency traders were possibly responsible for half of this move, but generated a mere $65 million in profits, some 7/1,000’s of a percent of the total loss. Are market authorities and regulators being penny wise, but pound foolish? The … [Read more...]

May 8, 2014

Global Market Comments May 8, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JULY 25 ZERMATT, SWITZERLAND GLOBAL STRATEGY SEMINAR), (A SPECIAL OFFER FOR AUSTRALIAN SUBSCRIBERS), (HOW TO TRADE CALL SPREADS IN AUSTRALIA), (WILL THE ABIBABA IPO BLOW UP THE MARKET?) (YHOO), (SFTBY), (MSFT), (AMZN), (EBAY) Yahoo! Inc. (YHOO) SoftBank Corp. (SFTBY) Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) Amazon.com … [Read more...]

July 24 Zermatt, Switzerland Global Strategy Seminar

Zermatt

Come join me for afternoon tea for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Seminar, which I will be conducting high in the Alps in Zermatt, Switzerland at 2:00 PM on Thursday, July 24, 2014. A PowerPoint presentation will be followed by an open discussion on the crucial issues facing investors today. Coffee, tea, and schnapps will be made available, along with light … [Read more...]

A Special Offer for Australian Subscribers

kang1

Executing the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Trade Alerts from the other side of the world can pose some annoying challenges. After speaking with many of my Australian followers on my recent trip down under, I learned of the obstacles presented by distant time zones, dealing in foreign currencies, regulations, and obtaining live customer support. I want to make my service easy as … [Read more...]

How Australians Can Save on Taxes While Trading

Kangaroo

There are two types of trading accounts permitted by Australian financial regulators: Cash Accounts – opened by individuals Regulation “T” accounts -  opened by corporations and trusts Reg “T” accounts have no problems executing any of my Trade Alerts, including those for stocks, bonds, exchange trade funds, options, call spreads, and put spreads. However, regulators … [Read more...]

Will the Alibaba IPO Blow Up the Market?

Alibaba

The biggest initial public offering in history is about to be issued by Chinese Internet commerce giant, Alibaba. The floatation, which could raise as much as $18 billion in cash, could value the total company as high as $220 billion, making it the fifth largest company in the US. The big question now facing equity strategists around the world is whether the Alibaba issue is … [Read more...]

May 7, 2014

Global Market Comments May 7, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (CHICAGO FRIDAY, MAY 23 GLOBAL STRAGEGY LUNCHEON), (THE NEW COLD WAR), (THE BIPOLAR ECONOMY), (TESTIMONIAL) … [Read more...]

Chicago Friday, May 23 Global Strategy Luncheon

Chicago

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Chicago on Friday, May 23. A three course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real estate. And to … [Read more...]

The New Cold War

Ian Bremmer

My friend, Ian Bremmer of the Eurasia Group, a global risk analyst who I regularly follow, has published an outstanding book entitled The End of the Free Markets: Who Wins the War Between States and Corporations. I find this highly depressing, as it takes me as long to read one of Ian’s books as it takes him to write another one. To read a review of his highly insightful … [Read more...]

May 6, 2014

Global Market Comments May 6, 2014 Fiat Lux SPECIAL ISSUE ABOUT THE FAR FUTURE Featured Trade: (LAS VEGAS WEDNESDAY MAY 14 GLOBAL STRAGEGY LUNCHEON) (PEAKING INTO THE FUTURE WITH RAY KURZWEIL), (GOOG), (INTC), (AAPL), (TXN) Google Inc. (GOOG) Intel Corporation (INTC) Apple Inc. (AAPL) Texas Instruments Inc. (TXN) … [Read more...]

Las Vegas Wednesday, May 14 Global Strategy Luncheon

Las Vegas

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Las Vegas, Nevada on Wednesday, May 14. A three-course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real … [Read more...]

Peeking into the Future with Ray Kurzweil

Borg

This is the most important research piece you will ever read, bar none. But you have to finish it to understand why. So, I will get on with the show. I have been hammering away at my followers at investment conferences, webinars, and strategy luncheons this year about one recurring theme. Things are good, and about to get better, a whole lot better. The driver will be the … [Read more...]

May 5, 2014

Global Market Comments May 5, 2014 Fiat Lux SPECIAL ISSUE ABOUT THE FUTURE Featured Trade: (ORLANDO FLORIDA SATURDAY, MAY 17 GLOBAL STRAGEGY LUNCHEON), (BEWARE THE “SPINNING TOPS”), (SPY), (TLT), (THE HISTORY OF TECHNOLOGY) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) … [Read more...]

Orlando, Florida Saturday May 17 Global Strategy Luncheon

Magic Kingdon, Orland, FL

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Orlando, Florida on Saturday, May 17. A three-course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real … [Read more...]

Beware the “Spinning Tops”

Tops

Winter is definitely over here in Incline Village, Nevada. When I started my daily ten-mile hikes from the Tunnel Creek Café ten days ago, I had to don snowshoes in the parking lot. Yesterday, I had to climb for two hours to find snow at 8,000 feet. It’s definitely time to put my winter equipment into storage. The aspen trees are budding and yellow crocuses are breaking out … [Read more...]

The History of Technology

The-Victorian-Internet-Standage-Tom-9780802716040

I have just finished leisurely reading Tom Standage’s book The Victorian Internet: The Remarkable Story of the Telegraph and the Nineteenth Century On-Line Pioneers. Standage discusses the creation and development of the telegraph system and how it revolutionized communication in the nineteenth century. The book claims that Modern Internet users are in many ways the heirs of … [Read more...]

May 2, 2014

Global Market Comments May 2, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JUNE 23 LONDON STRATEGY LUNCHEON) (APRIL 23 GLOBAL STRATEGY WEBINAR), (COME TO THE JUNE 13-14 INVEST LIKE A MONSTER LAS VEGAS CONFERENCE), (SCAM OF THE MONTH) … [Read more...]

June 23 London Strategy Luncheon

Big_Ben_8583a

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in London on Monday, June 23, 2014. A three course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, currencies commodities, precious metals, and real estate. And to keep … [Read more...]

Don’t Miss the May 7 Global Strategy Webinar

John Thomas

My next global strategy webinar will be held on Wednesday, May 7 at 12:00 PM EDT. Mad Day Trader Jim Parker will be my willing coconspirator. I’ll be giving you my updated outlook on stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, precious metal, and real estate. The goal is to find the cheapest assets in the world to buy, the most expensive to sell short, and the appropriate … [Read more...]

Scam of the Month

Bernie Madoff

Having trouble raising capital for your new hedge fund? Just list Warren Buffet as your “Honorary Chairman.” That’s what California prison guard Ottoniel Medrano did. To help his marketing efforts, he also claimed that he had $4.8 billion in assets under management as well as massive real estate holdings somewhere in Asia. Medrano’s International Realty Holdings managed … [Read more...]

May 1, 2014

Global Market Comments May 1, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (LAS VEGAS WEDNESDAY, MAY 14 GLOBAL STRAGEGY LUNCHEON) (MY MEA CULPA ON THE MARKETS), (AN ENVIRONMENTAL ACTIVISTS TAKE ON THE MARKETS), (DBA), (MOO), (PHO), (FIW) PowerShares DB Agriculture (DBA) Market Vectors Agribusiness ETF (MOO) PowerShares Water Resources (PHO) First Trust ISE Water Idx (FIW) … [Read more...]

Las Vegas Wednesday, May 14 Global Strategy Luncheon

Las Vegas

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Las Vegas, Nevada on Wednesday, May 14. A three-course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real … [Read more...]

My Mea Culpa on the Markets

Burning Building

When the market let’s you out with a nice profit ahead of two major risk events, you take it. We have 64% of the potential profit in the S&P 500 (SPY) May, 2014 $192-$195 in-the-money bear put spread at today’s prices. We have an important Federal Reserve meeting where they are expected to announce Taper IV, cutting their monthly bond buying to only $45 billion. The Fed … [Read more...]

An Environmental Activist’s Take on the Markets

Waterfall

I spent an evening with Lester Brown, president of the Earth Policy Institute and a winner of the coveted MacArthur Prize, for some long-term thinking about the environment and its investment implications. Global warming is causing the melting of ice sheets in Greenland and Antarctica, glaciers in the Himalayas, and the Sierra snowpack. Water tables are falling and fossil … [Read more...]

April 30, 2014

Global Market Comments April 30, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (CHICAGO FRIDAY, MAY 23 GLOBAL STRAGEGY LUNCHEON) (IS THE REAL ESTATE MARKET CATCHING COLD?), (ITB), (KBE), (ON EXECUTING TRADE ALERTS) iShares US Home Construction (ITB) SPDR S&P Bank ETF (KBE) … [Read more...]

Chicago Friday, May 23 Global Strategy Luncheon

Chicago

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Chicago on Friday, May 23. A three course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real estate. And to … [Read more...]

Is the Real Estate Market Catching Cold?

House Fire

I used to begin my pieces about residential real estate talking about the broker I found hanging from the showerhead at an open house. That didn’t really happen. But from 2008-2012 conditions were so dire that it could have. That is clearly not the case any more. The market has been on fire for the past two years. Private equity firms put a floor under the markets by pouring … [Read more...]

On Executing Trade Alerts

From time to time I receive an email from a subscriber telling me that they are unable to get executions on trade alerts that are as good as the ones I get. There are several possible reasons for this: 1) Markets move, sometimes quite dramatically so. 2) Your Trade Alert email was hung up on your local provider’s server, getting it to you late. This is a function of your … [Read more...]

April 29, 2014

Global Market Comments April 29, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JUNE 17 NEW YORK STRATEGY LUNCHEON), (BUSINESS IS BOOMING AT THE MONEY PRINTERS), (CROWDFUNDING OUR CHALLENGES IN EDUCATION) … [Read more...]

Meet John Thomas and Jim Parker in New York on June 17

Empire State Building

Come join Mad Day Trader Jim Parker and I for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Luncheon, which we will be conducting in New York, NY on Tuesday, June 17, 2014. An excellent three course lunch will be provided. A PowerPoint presentation will be followed by an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign … [Read more...]

Business is Booming at the Money Printers

New $100 Bill

All of the high-grade paper used by the US Treasury to print money is purchased from one firm, Crane & Co., which has been in the same family for seven generations. Last year, the Feds printed 38 million banknotes worth $639 million. Although they have seen the recession cause the velocity of money to decline, recent reflationary efforts have spurred a big increase in … [Read more...]

Crowd Funding Our Challenges in Education

Graffiti 2

One of the constant challenges in living in the San Francisco Bay Area is figuring out all of the new business models that you have thrown at you on a daily basis. I can tap on an icon on my iPhone, and two minutes later a taxi shows up (Uber). Another app downloads books on my favorite topics straight into my phone so I can listen to them while hiking (Audible). And heaven … [Read more...]

April 28, 2014

Global Market Comments April 28, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JULY 18 BARCELONA, SPAIN STRATEGY LUNCHEON), (WATCH OUT FOR THE HEAD AND SHOULDERS), (SPY), (QQQ), (TLT), (FXE), (FXY), (GLD), (SLV), (THE SERVICE JOB IN YOUR FUTURE), (MCD) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) PowerShares QQQ (QQQ) iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) CurrencyShares Euro Trust (FXE) CurrencyShares … [Read more...]

July 18 Barcelona, Spain Strategy Luncheon

Barcelona, Spain

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Barcelona, Spain on Friday, July 18, 2014. A three course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real … [Read more...]

Watch Out for the Head and Shoulders

Head & Shoulders Shampoo

Every technical analyst in the world is pouring over their charts this weekend and coming to the same conclusion. A “head and shoulders” pattern is setting up for the major indexes, especially for NASDAQ (QQQ) and the S&P 500 (SPY). This is terrible news for the stock investors, as well as other owners of risk assets like the US dollar, commodities, and real estate. It … [Read more...]

The Service Job in Your Future

McDonalds Employee

Anyone wondering about the long term future of the US economy should take a look at the chart below. It shows the unrelenting growth of services’ share of American GDP growing from 25% to 45% over the last sixty years. Far and away the fastest growth area has been in health care and with the first Obamacare now underway, that growth is set to accelerate hugely. Financial … [Read more...]

April 25, 2014

Global Market Comments April 25, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (LAS VEGAS WEDNESDAY, MAY 14 GLOBAL STRAGEGY LUNCHEON), (STOCKS TO BUY AT THE BOTTOM), (LNG), (GOOGL), (AAPL), (IBB), (BRKA), (AMZN), (DIS), (FB), (YHOO), (SSO), (XLV), (QQQ), (THE CHINA VIEW FROM 30,000 FEET) (FXI), (DBC), (DYY), (DBA), (PHO) Cheniere Energy, Inc. (LNG) Google Inc. (GOOGL) Apple Inc. … [Read more...]

Las Vegas Wednesday, May 14 Global Strategy Luncheon

Las Vegas

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Las Vegas, Nevada on Wednesday, May 14. A three-course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real … [Read more...]

Stocks to Buy at the Bottom

Jim Parker

My friend and esteemed colleague, Mad Day Trader Jim Parker, spent the weekend perusing hundreds of long term charts. He was assembling a short list of attractive names to buy after the next major sell off. I am not talking about a modest 4% decline. Even a textbook 10% won’t get his attention. I’m talking about the kind of gut churning, rip your face off, time to change the … [Read more...]

The China View from 30,000 Feet

Great Wall of China

I have long sat beside the table of McKinsey & Co., the best management consulting company in Asia, hoping to catch some crumbs of wisdom (click here for their home page). So, I jumped at the chance to have breakfast with Shanghai based Worldwide Managing Director, Dominic Barton, when he passed through San Francisco visiting clients. These are usually sedentary affairs, … [Read more...]

April 24, 2014

Global Market Comments April 24, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (ORLANDO FLORIDA SATURDAY, MAY 17 GLOBAL STRAGEGY LUNCHEON), (APPLE BLOWS OUT Q2), (AAPL), (ANOTHER NAIL IN THE NUCLEAR COFFIN), (NLR), (CCJ) Apple Inc. (AAPL) Market Vectors Uranium+Nuclear Enrgy ETF (NLR) Cameco Corporation (CCJ) … [Read more...]

Orlando, Florida Saturday May 17 Global Strategy Luncheon

Magic Kingdon, Orland, FL

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Orlando, Florida on Saturday, May 17. A three-course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real … [Read more...]

Apple Blows Out Q2

apple logo

Steve Jobs must be rolling over in his grave. He hated the idea of rewarding Wall Street in any way viewing the entire industry as nothing more than a collection of thieves, con men, and charlatans. Today, we learned that Apple will carry out a 7:1 stock split in June, creating an absolute windfall for the brokerage industry. It seems that the brokers are having the last … [Read more...]

Another Nail in the Nuclear Coffin

Nuclear Power Plant

Southern California Edison (SCE/PF) has announced that it is permanently shuttering its controversial nuclear power plant at San Onofre. The move is only the latest in a series of closures implemented by utilities around the country, and could well spell the end of this flagging industry. This is further dismal news for holders of ETF’s in the sector, like the Market Vector … [Read more...]

April 23, 2014

Global Market Comments April 23, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JUNE 17 NEW YORK STRATEGY LUNCHEON) (APRIL 23 GLOBAL STRATEGY WEBINAR), (COME TO THE JUNE 13-14 INVEST LIKE A MONSTER LAS VEGAS CONFERENCE)   … [Read more...]

Meet John Thomas and Jim Parker in New York on June 17

Empire State Building

Come join Mad Day Trader Jim Parker and me for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Luncheon, which we will be conducting in New York, NY on Tuesday, June 17, 2014. An excellent three-course lunch will be provided. A PowerPoint presentation will be followed by an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, … [Read more...]

Don’t Miss the April 23 Global Strategy Webinar

John Thomas

My next global strategy webinar will be held on Wednesday, April 23 at 12:00 PM EDT. This time Mad Day Trader Jim Parker will be my willing coconspirator. I’ll be giving you my updated outlook on stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, precious metal, and real estate. The goal is to find the cheapest assets in the world to buy, the most expensive to sell short, and the … [Read more...]

April 22, 2014

Global Market Comments April 22, 2014 Fiat Lux ANOTHER SPECIAL TESLA ISSUE Featured Trade: (LAST CHANCE TO ATTEND THE APRIL 25 SAN FRANCISCO STRATEGY LUNCHEON), (CRASH TESTING THE TESLA), (TSLA) Tesla Motors, Inc. (TSLA) … [Read more...]

Last Chance to Attend the April 25 San Francisco Strategy Luncheon

San Francisco

Come join me for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in San Francisco on Friday, April 25, 2014. An excellent meal will be followed by a wide-ranging discussion and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real estate. And to … [Read more...]

Crash Testing the Tesla

Tesla  Damage

The Tesla Model S1 (TSLA) has been rated by Consumer Reports magazine as the best car ever built, grabbing a coveted 99 score out of 100. It has been ranked by the US government Department of Transportation as the safest car ever built. Even competitors love the car. So I decided to see if these vaunted claims were true and crash test my own $110,000 high performance S1 on … [Read more...]

April 21, 2014

Global Market Comments April 21, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JULY 11 SARDINIA, ITALY STRATEGY LUNCHEON) (THE 1% AND THE BOND MARKET), (TLT), (TBT), (MUB), (LQD), (ELD), (JNK), (MAKE YOUR NEXT KILLING IN AFRICA), (AFK), (GAF) iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury (TBT) iShares National AMT-Free Muni Bond (MUB) iShares iBoxx $ … [Read more...]

July 11 Sardinia, Italy Strategy Luncheon

Sardinia, Italy

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Golfo Arancia, Italy on Friday, July 11, 2014. A three course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. Golfo Arancia is on the famous Costa Smeralda, some 15 kilometers north of Olbia, on the island of Sardinia. You … [Read more...]

The 1% and the Bond Market

Dracula

After holding back for months, I finally shot out a Trade Alert to sell short the Treasury bond market (TLT). The second the high frequency traders got a whiff of my trade, they crunched the market nearly an impressive two points. Congratulations to the Trade Alert followers who managed to get in quick enough to make hay. For those who didn’t, wait for the next one. There … [Read more...]

Make Your Next Killing in Africa

African

Feel like investing in a state sponsor of terrorism? How about a country whose leaders have stolen $400 billion in the last decade and has seen 300 foreign workers kidnapped? Another country lost four wars in the last 40 years. Still interested? How about a country that suffers the world’s highest AIDS rate, regularly endures insurrections where all of the Westerners are … [Read more...]

Las Vegas Wednesday, May 14 Global Strategy Luncheon

Las Vegas

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Las Vegas, Nevada on Wednesday, May 14. A three-course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real … [Read more...]

The Markets Are Not Rigged

Flash Boys

I managed to get a pre release copy of “Flash Boys: A Wall Street Revolt”, Michael Lewis’s latest bestseller about high frequency trading, and plowed through it over the weekend. In it, Lewis claims the markets are “rigged” for the ordinary investor, and they are getting ripped off, in effect, paying a giant “tax” to Wall Street to get their trades done. Nothing could be … [Read more...]

April 16, 2014

Global Market Comments April 16, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (CHICAGO FRIDAY, MAY 23 GLOBAL STRAGEGY LUNCHEON), (BUY SOLAR STOCKS ON THE DIP), (FSLR), (SPWR), (SCTY), (TAN), (USO), (UNG), (XLU), (THE ONE SAFE PLACE IN REAL ESTATE) First Solar, Inc. (FSLR) SunPower Corporation (SPWR) SolarCity Corporation (SCTY) Guggenheim Solar (TAN) United States Oil … [Read more...]

Chicago Friday, May 23 – Global Strategy Luncheon

Chicago

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Chicago on Friday, May 23. A three-course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real estate. And to … [Read more...]

Buy Solar Stocks on the Dip

House - Solar Panels

Now that the stock market appears destined to soon enter correction territory, I have started searching for industries and companies that I want to buy at the bottom. The solar industry is at the top of that list. Solar has a been a long time in coming. For decades, it was a niche energy source with very narrow following among scientists, the military, and Greenpeace … [Read more...]

April 15, 2014

Global Market Comments April 15, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (FRIDAY APRIL 25 SAN FRANCISCO STRATEGY LUNCHEON), (HOW LONG WILL THE RUN IN MASTER LIMITED PARTNERSHIPS CONTINUE?), (LINE), (BWP), (USO), (UNG), (PILING ON THE SHORTS AGAIN), (SPY) Linn Energy, LLC (LINE) Boardwalk Pipeline Partners, LP (BWP) United States Oil (USO) United States Natural Gas (UNG) SPDR … [Read more...]

How Long Will the Run in Master Limited Partnerships Continue?

Pipeline

Boy, that was one hell of a recommendation I made back in 2012, getting readers to buy Master Limited Partnerships (MLP’s). The share price for my favorite, Linn Energy (LINN), is unchanged from when I urged readers to pick it up. However, they have taken home nearly 25% in dividend payoffs during the same period. Not a bad return in this zero interest rate world. The … [Read more...]

Piling on the Shorts Again

Burning Building

This is a bet that the S&P 500 does not rocket to a new all time high by the May 16, 2014 expiration. The news flow this morning is giving us an opportunity to re enter the short positions that I covered on Friday. Half of the opening 80-point pop in the Dow came from Citibank (C), which surprised to the upside with its Q1 earnings report. We also got March retail … [Read more...]

April 14, 2014

Global Market Comments April 14, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JULY 7 ROME, ITALY STRATEGY LUNCHEON), (CASHING IN ON MY SHORTS), (VXX), (VIX), (SPY), (TLT), (FXY), (QQQ), (TESTIMONIAL), (WHERE IS THE MARKET BOTTOM?), (SPY), (QQQ) iPath S&P 500 VIX ST Futures ETN (VXX) VOLATILITY S&P 500 (^VIX) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond … [Read more...]

July 7 Rome, Italy Strategy Luncheon

Rome, Italy

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Rome, Italy on Monday, July 7, 2014. A three-course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real estate. … [Read more...]

Cashing in on My Shorts

Burning Building

Take the easy money and run. No one every got fired for taking a profit. That’s the mood I was in when I came in and saw my long volatility ETF (VXX) spiking and my short in the S&P 500 (SPY) cratering. I sent out Trade Alerts immediately that took my model-trading portfolio into a rare 100% cash position. The Volatility Index (VIX) is up a breakneck 35% in a week, while … [Read more...]

Where’s This Market Bottom?

Girl with Chopsticks

After yesterday’s 267 point swoon, the S&P 500 (SPX) has fallen 4.2% from its late March peak. It looks like the “Sell in May” crowd, of which I was one, is having the last laugh after all. Is this a modest 5% correction in a continuing bull market? Or is it the beginning of a Harry Dent style crash to (SPX) 300 (click here for the interview on Hedge Fund Radio … [Read more...]

April 11, 2014

Global Market Comments April 11, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (FRIDAY APRIL 25 SAN FRANCISCO STRATEGY LUNCHEON) (MAD HEDGE FUND TRADER BLASTS TO NEW ALL TIME HIGH) (SPY), (IWM), (VXX), (TLT), (GE),  (GS), (FXY), (UUP), (GLD), (USO), (THE RETURN OF PETER THE GREAT), (RSX) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) iShares Russell 2000 (IWM) iPath S&P 500 VIX ST Futures ETN … [Read more...]

Friday April 25 San Francisco Strategy Luncheon

San Francisco

Come join me for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in San Francisco on Friday, April 25, 2014. An excellent meal will be followed by a wide-ranging discussion and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real estate. And to … [Read more...]

Mad Hedge Fund Trader Blasts to New All Time High

John Thomas

The industry beating performance of the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Trade Alert Service has maintained its gobsmacking pace from last year, picking up another 14.5% profit so far in 2014. The Dow Average was down a pitiful 1% during the same period, pegging my outperformance of the index at a stunning 15.50%. April alone is up a blistering 6.89%. The trailing 12-month return is … [Read more...]