Japan to Launch IRA’s

Girl - Ticker

The Japanese government has introduced the Individual Retirement Account for individual investors in Japan for the first time. The move is part of Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s multifaceted efforts to revive Japan’s economy, and could unleash as much as $690 billion in net buying into Japanese equities by 2018. The move was inspired American IRA’s, which were first introduced … [Read more...]

Kiss That Union Job Goodbye

Line Up - Queue

Those of you counting on getting your old union assembly line job back in Detroit can forget it. The eight year forecast published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics shows that 4.19 million jobs will be gained in the US in professional and business services, followed by 4 million health care and social assistance jobs, while 1.2 million will be lost in manufacturing. This … [Read more...]

July 23, 2014

Global Market CommentsJuly 23, 2014Fiat Lux Featured Trade:(THE SECOND AMERICAN INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION),(INDU), (SPY), (QQQ), (USO), (UNG), (GLD), (DBA),(TESTIMONIAL)   Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI)SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)PowerShares QQQ (QQQ)United States Oil (USO)United States Natural Gas (UNG)SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)PowerShares DB Agriculture ETF (DBA)   … [Read more...]

July 22, 2014

Global Market Comments July 22, 2014 Fiat Lux SPECIAL ISSUE ON TURKEY Featured Trade: (LAST CHANCE TO ATTEND THE JULY 24 ZERMATT, SWITZERLAND GLOBAL STRATEGY SEMINAR), (HAS TURKEY SUFFERED ENOUGH?),  (TUR), (EEM) iShares MSCI Turkey (TUR) iShares MSCI Emerging Markets (EEM) … [Read more...]

Last Chance to Attend the July 24 Zermatt, Switzerland Global Strategy Seminar

matterhorn-Copy2-1

Come join me for afternoon tea for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Seminar, which I will be conducting high in the Alps in Zermatt, Switzerland at 2:00 PM on Thursday, July 24, 2014. A PowerPoint presentation will be followed by an open discussion on the crucial issues facing investors today. Coffee, tea, and schnapps will be made available, along with light … [Read more...]

Has Turkey Suffered Enough?

John Thomas

I am writing this to you from the veranda of the presidential suite at the Ciragan Palace Hotel in Istanbul. The former palace of an Ottoman prince, the commerce of the Straights of Bosphorus plays out before me. Empty supertankers lumber up the narrow waterway to pick up another load of Russian crude at Baku, followed by full containerships loaded with consumer goods to pay … [Read more...]

July 21, 2014

Global Market Comments July 21, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (CHECKING IN WITH SKYBRIDGE’S ANTHONY SCARAMUCCI) … [Read more...]

Checking in With SkyBridge’s Anthony Scaramucci

Anthony Scaramucci

“We are in a broad based liquidity driven bull market.” Furthermore, the major indexes are poised to tack on “another 10% by the end of this year.” That was the informed view of SkyBridge Capital managing partner Anthony Scaramucci, known as the “Mooch” to his friends. I touched based with Anthony while passing through New York a few weeks ago. Scaramucci’s Views are not … [Read more...]

July 18, 2014

Global Market Comments July 18, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (MAD HEDGE FUND TRADER SETS NEW ALL TIME HIGH WITH 22.9% GAIN IN 2014), (AAPL), (CAT), (MSFT), (TLT), (GM), (SPY) (PLAY CHINA’S YUAN FROM THE LONG SIDE), (CYB), ($SSEC), (EEM) Apple Inc. (AAPL) Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) General Motors Company … [Read more...]

Mad Hedge Fund Trader Sets New All Time High with 22.9% Gain in 2014

John Thomas

I am writing this to you from the island of Sardinia, part of Italy, a clump of arid mountains dropped right in the middle of the western Mediterranean. I am bobbing offshore from Porto Cuervo on the famed Costa Smeralda, or Emerald Coast, in a friend’s 100-foot sailboat, awaiting permission to enter. The water here is so clear that the boats appear to float on air. This … [Read more...]

Play China’s Yuan from the Long Side

Girl - Chinese

One of the oldest games in the foreign exchange market is to always buy the currencies of strong countries that are growing and to sell short the currencies of the weak countries that are shrinking. Any doubts that China’s Yuan is a huge screaming buy should have been dispelled when news came out that exports have once again started to surge, thanks to the recovery of its … [Read more...]

July 17, 2014

Global Market Comments July 17, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JULY 24 ZERMATT, SWITZERLAND GLOBAL STRATEGY SEMINAR) (ANNOUNCING THE MAD HEDGE FUND TRADER VIDEO CHANNEL ON YOUTUBE), (THE ULTRA BULL ARGUMENT FOR GOLD), (GLD), (GDX), (ABX), (SLV) SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX) Barrick Gold Corporation (ABX) iShares Silver Trust (SLV) … [Read more...]

July 24 Zermatt, Switzerland Global Strategy Seminar

matterhorn-Copy2-1

Come join me for afternoon tea for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Seminar, which I will be conducting high in the Alps in Zermatt, Switzerland at 2:00 PM on Thursday, July 24, 2014. A PowerPoint presentation will be followed by an open discussion on the crucial issues facing investors today. Coffee, tea, and schnapps will be made available, along with light … [Read more...]

Announcing the Mad Hedge Fund Trader Video Channel on YouTube

John Thomas

One request I get more than any other, is to expand on my half century of international travel, provide a business, economic, and historical backdrop, and place it in today’s global context. Shake up such a cocktail of experience and knowledge, and more than a few trading and investment ideas spill over the top. If it’s funny, that helps too. It seems that I am one of a … [Read more...]

The Ultra Bull Argument for Gold

John Thomas -Gold

I have been an unmitigated bear on the price of gold for the past three years. In recent years, the world has been obsessed with yields, chasing them down to historic levels across all asset classes. The barbarous relic, which yields nothing, costs you money to store it and carries hefty transactions costs, doesn’t fit anywhere in such a universe. However, the recent … [Read more...]

July 16, 2014

Global Market Comments July 16, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (LAST CHANCE TO ATTEND THE JULY 18 BARCELONA, SPAIN STRATEGY LUNCHEON)  (AN EVENING WITH TEXAS GOVERNOR RICK PERRY),  (LNG), (UNG), (TSLA) Cheniere Energy, Inc. (LNG) United States Natural Gas (UNG) Tesla Motors, Inc. (TSLA) … [Read more...]

Last Chance to Attend the July 18 Barcelona, Spain Strategy Luncheon

Barcelona, Spain

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Barcelona, Spain on Friday, July 18, 2014. A three course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real … [Read more...]

July 15, 2014

Global Market Comments July 15, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JULY 17 GLOBAL STRATEGY WEBINAR FROM BARCELONA, SPAIN), (JUMPING BACK INTO APPLE), (AAPL), (HOW TO AVOID PONZI SCHEMES) Apple Inc. (AAPL) … [Read more...]

Don’t Miss the THURSDAY, July 17 Global Strategy Webinar Live From Barcelona, Spain

John Thomas

My next global strategy webinar will be held live from Barcelona, Spain on THURSDAY, July 17 at 12:00 PM EDT. I’ll be giving you my updated outlook on stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, precious metal, and real estate. The goal is to find the cheapest assets in the world to buy, the most expensive to sell short, and the appropriate securities with which to take … [Read more...]

Jumping Back Into Apple

Apple Trucking

Last Thursday, Trade Alert followers saw Mad Day Trader Jim Parker and I both jump into Apple (AAPL) on the long side, once again. When two old critters with a combined 85 years of trading experience, such as ourselves, agree on something, it is usually a pretty good idea. We were both responding to a rare $3, or 3.1% dip in the share price of Apple in response to the … [Read more...]

How to Avoid Ponzi Schemes

bernie madoff

I spent a sad and depressing, but highly instructional evening with Dr. Stephen Greenspan, who lost most of his personal fortune with Bernie Madoff. The University of Connecticut psychology professor had poured the bulk of his savings into Sandra Mansky’s Tremont feeder fund; receiving convincing trade confirms and rock solid custody statements from the Bank of New … [Read more...]

July 14, 2014

Global Market Comments July 14, 2014 Fiat Lux SPECIAL MAD DAY TRADER ISSUE Featured Trade: (MAD DAY TRADER JIM PARKER’S Q3 VIEWS), (SPX), ($NDX), (QQQ), (TLT), (TBT), (FXA), (FXE), (FXY), (GLD), (GDX), (SLV), (USO), (UNG), (LNG), (CORN), (WEAT), (SOYB), (DBA) SPX Corporation (SPW) Nasdaq 100 Index ($NDX) PowerShares QQQ (QQQ) iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond … [Read more...]

Mad Day Trader Jim Parker’s Q3 Views

Jim Parker

The stock markets are on the verge of a small correction, perhaps less than 5%, which should unfold over the next six weeks. There is just not enough juice in a mini crisis triggered by one lousy Portuguese bank, the Banco Espiritu Santo, to take us any further. Bonds globally should put in their highs for the year during this period. After that, it will be off to the … [Read more...]

July 11, 2014

Global Market Comments July 11, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (THURSDAY, JULY 17 GLOBAL STRATEGY WEBINAR FROM BARCELONA, SPAIN), (JULY 24 ZERMATT, SWITZERLAND GLOBAL STRATEGY SEMINAR), (WILL SYNBIO SAVE OR DESTROY THE WORLD?) Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLV) Monsanto Company (MON) SPDR S&P Biotech ETF (XBI) SPDR S&P Pharmaceuticals ETF (XPH) … [Read more...]

Don’t Miss the THURSDAY, July 17 Global Strategy Webinar Live from Barcelona Spain

John Thomas

My next global strategy webinar will be held live from Barcelona, Spain on THURSDAY, July 17 at 12:00 PM EST. I’ll be giving you my updated outlook on stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, precious metal, and real estate. The goal is to find the cheapest assets in the world to buy, the most expensive to sell short, and the appropriate securities with which to take … [Read more...]

July 24 Zermatt, Switzerland Global Strategy Seminar

matterhorn-Copy2-1

Come join me for afternoon tea for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Seminar, which I will be conducting high in the Alps in Zermatt, Switzerland at 2:00 PM on Thursday, July 24, 2014. A PowerPoint presentation will be followed by an open discussion on the crucial issues facing investors today. Coffee, tea, and schnapps will be made available, along with light … [Read more...]

July 10, 2014

Global Market Comments July 10, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (WHY IS THE S&P 500 BEATING THE DOW), (SPY), (BAC), (HPQ), (AA), (GS), (V), (NKE), (AAPL), (GE), ($NIKK), (CAT), (DIS), (INTC), (AN EVENING WITH BILL GATES, SR.) (TESTIMONIAL) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) Bank of America Corporation (BAC) Hewlett-Packard Company (HPQ) Alcoa Inc. (AA) The Goldman Sachs … [Read more...]

Why is the S&P 500 Beating the Dow?

Mickey Mouse

I often see one stock index outperform another, as different segments of the economy speed up, slow down, or go nowhere. Sometimes the reasons for this are fundamental, technical, or completely arbitrary. Many analysts have been scratching their heads this year over why the S&P 500 has been moving from strength to strength for the past year, while the Dow Average has … [Read more...]

An Evening with Bill Gates, Sr.

Bill Gates Jr-Sr

I had a chat with Bill Gates, Sr. recently, co-chairman of the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, the world’s largest private philanthropic organization. There, a staff of 800 helps him manage $30 billion. The foundation will give away $3.1 billion this year, a 10% increase over last year. Some $1.5 billion will go to emerging nation health care and another $750 million to … [Read more...]

July 9, 2014

Global Market Comments July 9, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (LAST CHANCE TO ATTEND THE JULY 11 SARDINIA, ITALY STRATEGY LUNCHEON), (DON’T BE SHORT CHINA HERE), ($SSEC), (FXI), (CYB), (CHL), (BIDU), (CATCHING UP WITH ECONOMIST DAVID HALE), (EEM), (GREK), (IWW), (EWJ), (NGE), (FXY), (YCS) Shanghai Stock Exchange Index ($SSEC) iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) WisdomTree … [Read more...]

Last Chance to Attend the July 11 Sardinia, Italy Strategy Luncheon

Sardinia, Italy

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Golfo Arancia, Italy on Friday, July 11, 2014. A three course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. Golfo Arancia is on the famous Costa Smeralda, some 15 kilometers north of Olbia, on the island of Sardinia. You … [Read more...]

Don’t Be Short China Here

Chinese Parade

Everyone who has been reading this letter for the past seven years (yes, there are quite a few of you), know that I am a fundamentalist first and a technician second. Of course you need to use both, as those who mistakenly leave one tool in the bag reliably underperform indexes. The one liner here is that I use fundamentals to identify broad, long term, even epochal … [Read more...]

Catching up with Economist David Hale

David Hale

I have been relying on David Hale as my de facto global macro economist for decades and I never miss an opportunity to get his updated views. The challenge is in writing down David’s eye popping, out of consensus ideas fast enough, because he spits them out in such a rapid-fire succession. Since David is an independent economic advisor to many of the world’s governments, … [Read more...]

July 8, 2014

Global Market Comments July 8, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JULY 18 BARCELONA, SPAIN STRATEGY LUNCHEON) (TIME TO TAKE ANOTHER RIDE WITH GENERAL MOTORS), (GM), (F), (TM), (TESTIMONIAL), (QUANTITATIVE EASING EXPLAINED TO A 12 YEAR OLD) General Motors Company (GM) Ford Motor Co. (F) Toyota Motor Corporation (TM) … [Read more...]

July 18 Barcelona, Spain Strategy Luncheon

Barcelona, Spain

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Barcelona, Spain on Friday, July 18, 2014. A three course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real … [Read more...]

Time to Take Another Ride with General Motors

Corvette

It is safe to say that all of the bad news is finally in the price at General Motors (GM). In the wake of the latest batch of recalls last week, the total number of cars slated for mandatory repairs now equals virtually all of the company’s production of the last five years. Woe to the outside supplier who provided those faulty, but cheap ignition switches to the beleaguered … [Read more...]

Quantitative Easing Explained to a Twelve Year Old

QE Explained youtube

I know you spend all day trolling the internet for the most entertaining video on YouTube every day. What, you don’t? I’m shocked, shocked. That’s OK, so I’ve done it for you. Click on the link below to watch a six-minute animation explaining quantitative easing to a 12 year old, using cute little cuddly figures. Was Ben Bernanke a plumber who was called to fix a pipe only … [Read more...]

July 7, 2014

Global Market Comments July 7, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (THE TIME TO DUMP THE EURO IS HERE), (FXE), (EUO), (UUP), (TAKING PROFITS ON CATERPILLAR), (CAT)  CurrencyShares Euro Trust (FXE) ProShares UltraShort Euro (EUO) PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish (UUP) Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) … [Read more...]

The Time to Dump the Euro is Here

Euro Symbol

The blockbuster nonfarm payroll on Friday, coming in at a heady 288,000 has certainly removed any doubt that the US economy will reaccelerate in the fall. Earlier months were substantially revised up. Monthly job growth of 200,000 plus now seems to be the new norm, after five consecutive months of such prints. The headline unemployment rate plunged to 6.1%, a new six year … [Read more...]

Taking Profits on Caterpillar

Caterpillar Tractor

So, I’m sitting here in my Turkish redoubt, fighting off unusually aggressive flies and going over my charts. It’s further proof that no matter where in the world you travel, work follows you. There is truly no rest for the wicked. As a respite, I have the Best of the Guess Who playing on iTunes. I noticed that the market priced our Caterpillar (CAT) July, 2014 … [Read more...]

July 4, 2014

Global Market Comments July 4, 2013 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (PRESIDENT HILLARY AND THE MARKETS), (TESTIMONIAL) … [Read more...]

The Markets and President Hillary

Hillary Clinton

Yes, I know that the presidential election of 2016 is another two years off. But if you already know the outcome of that contest you can use it to your advantage trading the markets today. You don’t want to get caught out like many conservatives did in 2012, who were forced to dump stock in a hurry to beat a surprise jump in capital gains taxes after an unexpected Obama win, … [Read more...]

July 3, 2014

Global Market Comments July 3, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (MAD HEDGE FUND TRADER SETS NEW ALL TIME HIGH WITH 19.74% GAIN IN 2014), (GOOGL), (TLT), (CAT), (IBM), (SPY), (VIX), (MSFT), (POPULATION BOMB ECHOES), (POT), (MOS), (AGU), (WEAT), (CORN), (SOYB), (RJA) (THE COOLEST TOMBSTONE CONTEST) Google Inc. (GOOGL) iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) Caterpillar Inc. … [Read more...]

Mad Hedge Fund Trader Sets New All Time High with 19.74% Gain in 2014

John Thomas

I am writing this to you from the ancient city of Bodrum on the southwest coast of Turkey. Coming here, I had to set my watch ahead ten hours, then back 3,000 years. As I sit here on my balcony, a flotilla of yachts, both large and small, motor by with the Greek island of Kos hovering in the background in the haze. Smoke from the gurgling water pipes below waft in my … [Read more...]

Population Bomb Echoes

Crowd - Overcrowding

Pack your portfolios with agricultural plays like Potash (POT), Mosaic (MOS) and Agrium (AGU) if Dr. Paul Ehrlich is just partially right about the impending collapse of the world’s food supply. You might even throw in long positions in wheat (WEAT), corn (CORN), soybeans (SOYB) and rice. The never dull and often controversial Stanford biology professor told me he expects … [Read more...]

The Coolest Tombstone Contest

Tombstone

To prove that The Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader only deals with the highest quality, top drawer clientele, I want to share the picture below sent in by a subscriber. … [Read more...]

July 2, 2014

Global Market Comments July 2, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JULY 24 ZERMATT, SWITZERLAND GLOBAL STRATEGY SEMINAR), (WHO WAS BEN BERNANKE?), (PLEASE USE MY FREE DATA BASE SEARCH), (DRINKS WITH THE PRESIDENT) … [Read more...]

July 24 Zermatt, Switzerland Global Strategy Seminar

matterhorn-Copy2-1

Come join me for afternoon tea for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Seminar, which I will be conducting high in the Alps in Zermatt, Switzerland at 2:00 PM on Thursday, July 24, 2014. A PowerPoint presentation will be followed by an open discussion on the crucial issues facing investors today. Coffee, tea, and schnapps will be made available, along with light … [Read more...]

Drinks with the President

Obama with Security

President Barrack Obama certainly arrives at a party like a rock star. Three silver GM Suburban’s flanking a hulking, armored black Cadillac limo screech to a halt with lights flashing. All of the roads in the immediate vicinity are closed to traffic. A dozen sunglasses bedecked Secret Service agents leap out, immediately scanning the perimeter. The president bounds out … [Read more...]

July 1, 2014

Global Market Comments July 1, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (WHEN THE DEMOGRAPHIC HEADWIND BECOMES A TAILWIND), (LISTEN TO JOHN THOMAS ON HEDGE FUND RADIO), (AN AFTERNOON WITH ACE REPORTER HELEN THOMAS) (THE TAX RATE FALLACY) … [Read more...]

When the Demographic Headwind Becomes a Tailwind

People

I managed to catch up with my friend, Harry Dent, the other day, the guru on all things demographic (click here for his). Regular readers of this letter are well aware of the enormous headwind impeding all assets classes caused by the retirement of 80 billion baby boomers, which started in earnest at the beginning of 2012. With only 65 million Gen Xer’s of the following … [Read more...]

Listen to John Thomas on Hedge Fund Radio

BusinessJohnThomasProfileMap2-1

During my recent trip to Australia, I had the privilege to be interviewed by Alan Patching, one of the leaders of the country’s vibrant business community. Alan was the chief organizer of the 2000 Sydney Olympics. He is the author of several business books. He is also a professor at Bond University in Perth, Australia. Patching is one of the top entrepreneurs in Australia, … [Read more...]

An Afternoon with Ace Reporter Helen Thomas

Helen Thomas

I managed to catch up with my former white House Press Corp colleague, Helen Thomas, just a short time before she passed away last year at the age of 92. Helen was the oldest and longest serving member of this esteemed group of journalists and had the traditional right to ask the first question at each press conference. The native Kentuckian covered every president since … [Read more...]

June 30, 2014

Global Market Comments June 30, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JULY 7 ROME, ITALY STRATEGY LUNCHEON), (HOW OBAMACARE WILL BOOST YOUR PORTFOLIO), (XLV), (GILD), (XLS), (XPH), (XBI), (GOOG) Health Care Select Sector SPDR (XLV) Gilead Sciences Inc. (GILD) Exelis Inc. (XLS) SPDR S&P Pharmaceuticals ETF (XPH) SPDR S&P Biotech ETF (XBI) Google Inc. (GOOG) … [Read more...]

July 7 Rome, Italy Strategy Luncheon

Rome, Italy

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Rome, Italy on Monday, July 7, 2014. A three course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real estate. … [Read more...]

How Obamacare Will Boost Your Portfolio

Obama

Still basking in the glow of 2013’s spectacular 26% gain in the Dow, I sat down on a rock on a high mountain the other day to try and figure out what happened. The last time I saw a move this healthy was back in the nineties, when a perfect trifecta of the Internet going mainstream, cheap graphical user interface enabled personal computers, and an easy to use World Wide Web … [Read more...]

June 27, 2014

Global Market Comments June 27, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (DON’T MISS THE JULY 2 GLOBAL STRATEGY WEBINAR) (JULY 24 ZERMATT, SWITZERLAND GLOBAL STRATEGY SEMINAR) (THE TWO CENTURY DOLLAR SHORT), (CNN’S JOHN LEWIS; THE DEATH OF A COLLEAGUE) … [Read more...]

Don’t Miss the July 2 Global Strategy Webinar

Making Sure that your Next  Trade Alert brings home some Bacon

My next global strategy webinar will be held on Wednesday, July 2 at 12:00 PM EDT. I’ll be giving you my updated outlook on stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, precious metal, and real estate. The goal is to find the cheapest assets in the world to buy, the most expensive to sell short, and the appropriate securities with which to take positions. I will also be opining … [Read more...]

July 24 Zermatt, Switzerland Global Strategy Seminar

matterhorn-Copy2-1

Come join me for afternoon tea for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Seminar, which I will be conducting high in the Alps in Zermatt, Switzerland at 2:00 PM on Thursday July 24, 2014. A PowerPoint presentation will be followed by an open discussion on the crucial issues facing investors today. Coffee, tea, and schnapps will be made available, along with light … [Read more...]

June 26, 2014

Global Market Comments June 26, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JULY 11 SARDINIA, ITALY STRATEGY LUNCHEON), (MY BRIEFING FROM THE JOINT CHIEFS OF STAFF), (XLK), (WHY THE JGB MARKET MAY BE READY TO COLLAPSE), (FXY), (DXJ), (EWJ) Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK) CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust (FXY) WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity (DXJ) iShares MSCI Japan (EWJ) … [Read more...]

July 11 Sardinia, Italy Strategy Luncheon

Map of Sardinia

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Golfo Arancia, Italy on Friday, July 11, 2014. A three course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. Golfo Arancia is on the famous Costa Smeralda, some 15 kilometers north of Olbia, on the island of Sardinia. You … [Read more...]

Why the JGB Market May Be Ready to Collapse

Population Pyramid chart

When I first arrived in Japan in 1974, international investors widely expected the country to collapse, a casualty of the overnight quadrupling of oil prices from $3 per barrel to $1, and the global recession that followed. Japanese borrowers were only able to tap foreign debt markets by paying a 200 basis point premium to the market, a condition that came to be known as “Japan … [Read more...]

June 25, 2014

Global Market Comments June 25, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JULY 7 ROME, ITALY STRATEGY LUNCHEON) (WHERE THE ECONOMIST BIG MAC INDEX FINDS CURRENCY VALUE), (FXF), (FXE), (FXA), (FXE), (CYB) (THE FALLING MARKET FOR KIDS), (HOLLYWOOD CASHES IN ON WALL STREET TROUBLES) CurrencyShares Swiss Franc Trust (FXF) CurrencyShares Euro Trust (FXE) CurrencyShares Australian … [Read more...]

July 7 Rome, Italy Strategy Luncheon

Rome, Italy

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Rome, Italy on Monday, July 7, 2014. A three course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real estate. … [Read more...]

Where The Economist “Big Mac” Index Finds Currency Value

McDonalds - China

My former employer, The Economist, once the ever tolerant editor of my flabby, disjointed, and juvenile prose (Thanks Peter and Marjorie), has released its “Big Mac” index of international currency valuations. Although initially launched as a joke three decades ago, I have followed it religiously and found it an amazingly accurate predictor of future economic success. The … [Read more...]

June 24, 2014

Global Market Comments June 24, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (LAST CHANCE TO ATTEND THE JUNE 26 ISTANBUL, TURKEY STRATEGY LUNCHEON), (THE BEST FINANCIAL BOOK EVER), (A DAY WITH TOM FRIEDMAN OF THE NEW YORK TIMES) … [Read more...]

Last Chance to Attend the June 26 Istanbul, Turkey Strategy Luncheon

Istanbul, Turkey

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Istanbul, Turkey on Thursday, June 26, 2014. A three course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real … [Read more...]

June 23, 2014

Global Market Comments June 23, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JULY 24 ZERMATT, SWITZERLAND GLOBAL STRATEGY SEMINAR), (THE NEW COLD WAR), (WHY I LOVE/HATE THE OIL COMPANIES), (XOM), (USO), (THE WORST TRADE IN HISTORY), (AAPL) Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) United States Oil (USO) Apple Inc. (AAPL) … [Read more...]

July 24 Zermatt, Switzerland Global Strategy Seminar

matterhorn-Copy2-1

Come join me for afternoon tea for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Seminar, which I will be conducting high in the Alps in Zermatt, Switzerland at 2:00 PM on Thursday, July 24, 2014. A PowerPoint presentation will be followed by an open discussion on the crucial issues facing investors today. Coffee, tea, and schnapps will be made available, along with light … [Read more...]

The Worst Trade in History

Apple Computer

Say you owned 10% of Apple (AAPL) and you sold it for $800 in 1976. What would that stake be worth today? Try $22 billion. That is the harsh reality that Ron Wayne, 76, faces every morning when he wakes up, one of the three original founders of the consumer electronics giant. Ron first met Steve Jobs when he was a spritely 21-year-old marketing guy at Atari, the inventor of … [Read more...]

June 20, 2014

Global Market Comments June 20, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JULY 11 SARDINIA, ITALY STRATEGY LUNCHEON) (THE CHINA VIEW FROM 30,000 FEET), (FXI), (DBC), (DYY), (DBA), (PHO). (TRIBUTE TO A GIANT OF JOURNALISM, ROY ESSOYAN) (TESTIMONIAL) iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) PowerShares DB Commodity Index Tracking (DBC) PowerShares DB Commodity Dble Long ETN … [Read more...]

July 11 Sardinia, Italy Strategy Luncheon

Sardinia, Italy

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Golfo Arancia, Italy on Friday, July 11, 2014. A three course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. Golfo Arancia is on the famous Costa Smeralda, some 15 kilometers north of Olbia, on the island of Sardinia. You … [Read more...]

June 19, 2014

Global Market Comments June 19, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JULY 7 ROME, ITALY STRATEGY LUNCHEON) (NOTICE TO MILITARY SUBSCRIBERS), (CHINA’S COMING DEMOGRAPHIC NIGHTMARE) … [Read more...]

July 7 Rome, Italy Strategy Luncheon

Rome, Italy

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Rome, Italy on Monday, July 7, 2014. A three course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real estate. … [Read more...]

June 18, 2014

Global Market Comments June 18, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JUNE 26 ISTANBUL, TURKEY STRATEGY LUNCHEON) (AMERICA’S NATIVE INDIAN ECONOMY) … [Read more...]

June 26 Istanbul, Turkey Strategy Luncheon

Istanbul, Turkey

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Istanbul, Turkey on Thursday, June 26, 2014. A three course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real … [Read more...]

June 17, 2014

Global Market Comments June 17, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JUNE 18 GLOBAL STRATEGY WEBINAR), (LAST CHANCE TO ATTEND THE JUNE 23 LONDON STRATEGY LUNCHEON) (ARE JUNK BONDS PEAKING?),  (JNK), (HYG), (A TOUCHDOWN FOR USC), (INTC) SPDR Barclays High Yield Bond (JNK) iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bd (HYG) Intel Corporation (INTC) … [Read more...]

Don’t Miss the June 18 Global Strategy Webinar

Making Sure that your Next  Trade Alert brings home some Bacon

My next global strategy webinar will be held on Wednesday, June 18 at 12:00 PM EDT. This time Mad Day Trader Jim Parker will be my willing coconspirator. I’ll be giving you my updated outlook on stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, precious metal, and real estate. The goal is to find the cheapest assets in the world to buy, the most expensive to sell short, and the … [Read more...]

Last Chance to Attend the June 23 London Strategy Luncheon

Big_Ben_8583a

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in London on Monday, June 23, 2014. A three course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, currencies commodities, precious metals, and real estate. And to keep … [Read more...]

June 16, 2014

Global Market Comments June 16, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (LAST CHANCE TO ATTEND THE JUNE 17 NEW YORK STRATEGY LUNCHEON), (DIAMONDS ARE STILL AN INVESTOR’S BEST FRIEND), (SO YOU THINK THEY’RE NOT WATCHING YOUR PC?) … [Read more...]

Last Chance to Meet John Thomas and Jim Parker in New York on June 17

Empire State Building

Come join Mad Day Trader Jim Parker and I for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Luncheon, which we will be conducting in New York, NY on Tuesday, June 17, 2014. An excellent three course lunch will be provided. A PowerPoint presentation will be followed by an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, … [Read more...]

So You Think they’re not Watching Your PC?

Computer

Hey! You there, staring at this monitor. This is your PC talking to you. No, not you over there standing in the background. I’m talking to the guy sitting in front of me poking at my keys. Ouch! That one hurt! So you thought no one was watching, did you? Let me set you straight. About a month ago you clicked on a certain website and I installed myself as a cookie on your … [Read more...]

June 13, 2014

Global Market Comments June 13, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JUNE 18 GLOBAL STRATEGY WEBINAR), (JULY 11 SARDINIA, ITALY STRATEGY LUNCHEON) (BE CAREFUL WHO YOU SNITCH ON), (COULD YOU QUALIFY TO BECOME A US CITIZEN?)   … [Read more...]

Don’t Miss the June 18 Global Strategy Webinar

Making Sure that your Next  Trade Alert brings home some Bacon

My next global strategy webinar will be held on Wednesday, June 18 at 12:00 PM EDT. I'll be giving you my updated outlook on stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, precious metal, and real estate. The goal is to find the cheapest assets in the world to buy, the most expensive to sell short, and the appropriate securities with which to take positions. I will also be opining … [Read more...]

July 11 Sardinia, Italy Strategy Luncheon

Map of Sardinia

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Golfo Arancia, Italy on Friday, July 11, 2014. A three course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. Golfo Arancia is on the famous Costa Smeralda, some 15 kilometers north of Olbia, on the island of Sardinia. You … [Read more...]

June 12, 2014

Global Market Comments June 12, 2014 Fiat Lux (TAKING OFF FOR EUROPE) … [Read more...]

Taking off for Europe

Electrical Adaptors

My tux and white dinner jacket are packed, the hotels are booked, and the limo is waiting outside. The Cessna is fully fueled and the flight plan filed. I am taking off for my annual European Strategy Luncheon Tour. I have worked the hardest in my life the past year, and it is time for a break. I have also put myself through the most grueling training regimen, hiking 2,000 … [Read more...]

June 11, 2014

Global Market Comments June 11, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (MAD HEDGE FUND TRADER TOPS 2014 GAIN OF 17.8%), (AAPL), (GOOG), (TLT), (FXY), (THE BEST STOP LOSS OF THE YEAR), (VXX), (SPY), (JUNE 17 NEW YORK STRATEGY LUNCHEON) Apple Inc. (AAPL) Google Inc. (GOOG) iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust (FXY) iPath S&P 500 VIX ST … [Read more...]

Mad Hedge Fund Trader Punches Tops 2014 Gain of 17.8%

TA Performance

The industry beating performance of the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Trade Alert Service has punched through to a new all time high almost every day for the past ten days. The total return for my followers so far in 2014 has reached 17.82%, compared to a far more modest 4.6% for the Dow Average during the same period. June so far is up a healthy 2.32%. I managed to pull this … [Read more...]

The Best Stop Loss of the Year

Skateboard Fall

Traders throughout the industry have been left with their jaws hanging open in the wake of the complete collapse of volatility for the S&P 500 (SPY). When the volatility hit the $10 handle a few days ago, it was the lowest level in nearly a decade. Especially hard hit has been the iPath S&P 500 VIX Short Term Futures ETN (VXX), which has cratered from $56 to $30, … [Read more...]

June 10, 2014

Global Market Comments June 10, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JULY 25 ZERMATT, SWITZERLAND GLOBAL STRATEGY SEMINAR), (IT’S “RISK ON” AGAIN), (SPY), (CAT), (IBM), (JPM), (MSFT), (AAPL), (TLT), (TBT), (MUB), (LQD), (LINE), (ELD), (FXE), (ABOUT THAT TESLA RECOMMENDATION), (TSLA) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) International Business Machines Corporation … [Read more...]

July 24 Zermatt, Switzerland Global Strategy Seminar

matterhorn-Copy2-1

Come join me for afternoon tea for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Seminar, which I will be conducting high in the Alps in Zermatt, Switzerland at 2:00 PM on Thursday, July 24, 2014. A PowerPoint presentation will be followed by an open discussion on the crucial issues facing investors today. Coffee, tea, and schnapps will be made available, along with light … [Read more...]

It’s “RISK ON” Again

Leonard DiCaprio

“Well, I’ll either be up 25% by the end of June or I just blew up my 2014 performance.” That is what I told my esteemed colleague, Mad Day Trader Jim Parker, right after I engineered a major “RISK ON” adjustment for my model trading portfolio. If I am right, and bonds peaked and yields bottomed for the year, then my followers will make a fortune. Money will pour out of … [Read more...]

Meet John Thomas and Jim Parker in New York on June 17

Empire State Building

Come join Mad Day Trader Jim Parker and I for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Luncheon, which we will be conducting in New York, NY on Tuesday, June 17, 2014. An excellent three course lunch will be provided. A PowerPoint presentation will be followed by an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, … [Read more...]

About That Tesla Recommendation

JT with Tesla

Will the person who bought Tesla shares (TSLA) on my recommendation last year at $30 please email me? I have been traveling a lot recently and lost your email address. I would like to get a testimonial from you. The stock hit $250 earlier this year and is up 833% from your cost, making it one of the best performing shares in US over the last 18 months With the money … [Read more...]

June 9, 2014

Global Market Comments June 9, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (LAST CHANCE TO ATTEND THE JUNE 13-14 INVEST LIKE A MONSTER LAS VEGAS CONFERENCE) (JULY 18 BARCELONA, SPAIN STRATEGY LUNCHEON) (THE SOLAR ROAD REVISTED), (AAPL), (GOOG), (TSLA), (FB), (TWTR) Apple Inc. (AAPL) Google Inc. (GOOG) Tesla Motors, Inc. (TSLA) Facebook, Inc. (FB) Twitter, Inc. (TWTR) … [Read more...]

Come to the June 13-14 Invest Like a Monster Las Vegas Conference

ilam-lasvegas-baby

Please come to hear me, Mad Hedge Fund Trader John Thomas, as the keynote speaker at the Invest Like a Monster Las Vegas Conference on June 13-14. I will be joined by many old friends from across the investment spectrum. Jon and Pete Najarian will teach you the tricks of the trade for navigating the ever complex options markets. Fellow former combat pilot, Chuck Hughes, … [Read more...]

July 18 Barcelona, Spain Strategy Luncheon

Barcelona, Spain

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Barcelona, Spain on Friday, July 18, 2014. A three-course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real … [Read more...]

June 6, 2014

Global Market Comments June 6, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JULY 11 SARDINIA, ITALY STRATEGY LUNCHEON) (THE ECB’S DRAGHI FINALLY USES HIS BAZOOKA), (FXE), (EUO), (EZU), (EEM), (SPY), (A COW BASED ECONOMICS LESSON) CurrencyShares Euro Trust (FXE) ProShares UltraShort Euro (EUO) iShares MSCI EMU Index (EZU) iShares MSCI Emerging Markets (EEM) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) … [Read more...]

July 11 Sardinia, Italy Strategy Luncheon

Sardinia, Italy

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Golfo Arancia, Italy on Friday, July 11, 2014. A three course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. Golfo Arancia is on the famous Costa Smeralda, some 15 kilometers north of Olbia, on the island of Sardinia. You … [Read more...]